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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

NHC CORRECTS the 10 pm Advisory: Winds remain at cat 2 strength at 100 mph.

Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

10 pm Hurricane #Isaias losing steam now that it has moved onshore. Winds have come down from 105 at landfall , Cat 2, to 85 mph now. Life-Threatening Storm Surge continues along the coast.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

ISAIAS MAKES LANDFALL NEAR DESTIN FLORIDA. It did so with 105 mph winds. Category 2.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

Onshore flow from #Isaias has the storm surge up to 5 feet in Panama City as of 9:30 pm. Extremely dangerous.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

Latest #Isaias Advisory has the winds down from 110 to 105 mph. A gust of 84 mph was just reported over Pensacola.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

As the eyewall of #Isaias moves onshore... wind gusts are up to 70 mph in Pensacola. Once the eye moves over them, the winds will come down briefly, until they pick back up from the opposite direction. The rain appears to be done for them after that.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

The onshore flow by St. George Island, Mexico Beach, & Panama City, is pushing up to4.35 feet of Gulf water inland. To west, the wind is pushing the water out. This will reverse once the eye moves onshore.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

Wind Gusts have been intense as #Isaias roars ashore. Mobile's wind gauge is no longer reporting. The last update was 59 mph.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

8 pm #Isaias Update: The eyewall is roughly 16 to 31 miles away, depending on location. This is the worst part. The center, or eye, is still 45 miles away. Once the eye moves on land, that's what NHC considers the hurricane to have made landfall. Winds down from 115 to 110 mph

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

Hurricane force gusts impacting Destin as the Northern extent of the eyewall is starting to move onshore.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

6 pm #Isaias update: The center is roughly 60 miles away from the Panhandle, however the leading edge of the Eyewall (worst part) is under 50 miles away. It should move onshore later this evening.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

#Isaias 6 pm Update: Remains a category 3 w 115 mph winds. Still on track to move onshore between Destin & Pensacola later this evening. The rain bands have been impacting the Panhandle since this afternoon.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Hurricane #Isaias 5 pm advisory (Issued Hourly Now) Weaker but still a Cat 3. Winds down from 120 to 115 mph. The center is South of Pensacola. Once the center moves onshore, NHC will consider that landfall. Heavy rain & winds have been impacting the area all afternoon.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

#Isaias Update: Hurricanes can produce tornado swarms. Everything in yellow is a tornado watch. This means twisters are possible, while the red smaller areas, suggest a tornado has been spotted on the ground or detected by radar.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

While the center of #Isaias will make landfall somewhere inside the cone w Hurricane force winds, impacts will be felt outside of it as well. Coastal areas in blue will still get Tropical Storm force winds, heavy rain and a storm surge.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

4 pm #Isaias Advisory (Now released hourly) Maintains category 3 strength. 90 miles South of Pensacola. When the center moves onshore, that's when NHC considers it making landfall.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Latest radar suggests the Eyewall of #Isaias is roughly 70 miles South of the Panhandle. Tropical storm force winds are already impacting the area. The eyewall is a ring of destruction. Plenty of damage left in its wake wherever it goes ashore.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Over the last 12 hours, some spots in SE Florida have seen between half an inch, to over 2 and a half. More is possible this evening.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

The greatest damage potential is where the eyewall moves ashore. Not limited to it. Forecast impacts: 🔴Life-threatening surge - Mouth of the Miss River to Suwannee, FL. 🔴Extremely dangerous winds - Parts of the Panhandle, S Alabama, & S Miss 🔴Tornado potential thru tonight.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

11 am Friday #Isaias Forecast Cone: 🔴 Models suggest it could maintain major hurricane intensity up until landfall tonight. 🔴 Official forecast keeps it Major just offshore the W Panhandle this evening 🔴Aircraft fixes indicate that Isaias has drifted a bit east of the previous forecast track.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

11 AM Friday Hurricane #Isaias Advisory: Remains as a cat 3 w winds of 120 mph. It became a Major Hurricane at 9 am. NHC says: CENTER OF ISAIAS EXPECTED TO REACH THE W. FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT. LIFE-THREATENING SURGE & DEVASTATING WINDS FROM FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO ALABAMA COASTS

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

NHC says: 🔴 "Regardless of its exact wind speed at landfall, Isaias will be a dangerous hurricane w significant storm surge, damaging winds, & flooding rains". 🔴It's wind field is also predicted to grow its impacts will extend well away from the center.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

#Isaias Friday morning Forecast Cone: It has turned towards the NNE w a NW jog later today. It'll also pick up forward speed. Landfall is forecast to occur tonight or early Saturday. It could continue to intensify for the next 12 hours while it moves over very warm water.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Thursday Evening, there's plenty of moisture (green) to feed #Isaias, however, dry air is filtering in to the west. This could help weaken it before it makes landfall. We'll be monitoring.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Thursday Evening, there's plenty of moisture (green) to feed #Isaias, however, dry air is filtering in to the west. This could help weaken it before it makes landfall. We'll be monitoring.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

One of the things we'll be monitoring from #Isaias, is where the Dirty Sector of the Storm will move ashore. Outside the eyewall, this is the worst part of the system, the NE quadrant. The westernmost Panhandle is looking at a moderate threat for tornados.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

These are the #Isaias advisories in place from Florida's Panhandle west to Louisiana. The storm is relatively small and compact. Wherever the center goes ashore, that's where the worst of the storm will be felt.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

5 pm Thursday Hurricane #Isaias update: It is stronger now at category 2 strength. Still forecast to impact the area between the westernmost Panhandle & Mobile Alabama to the west. Impacts will be felt far and wide outside the cone.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Thursday 2PM ISAIAS ADVISORY: No change in current sustained winds with #Isaias but remains forecast to intensify.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Hurricane #Isaias 11 am Thursday Update: Winds up from 80 to 85 now. Forecast to become a Category 2 later today. It remains on track to make landfall on the Gulf coast Friday night. The wind forecast is a bit lower as it appears shear may weaken it some before going ashore.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

#Isaias has the potential to cause flooding in many areas as reflected in the graphic. Flash and urban flooding, along with isolated river flooding, will be possible.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

ISAIAS RAINFALL: 🔴Amounts of 3 to 7" with localized totals up to 10 from far SE Louisiana to the Panhandle. 🔴 1 to 3" with localized amounts up to 5, are possible over the SE as far north as the Tennessee Valley & the Carolinas.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

8 am Thursday #Isaias Update: Intensity forecast continues to be tricky. Shear is not forecast to increase much the next 24 h, while Isaias keeps strengthening over warm waters. This should allow the storm to near major hurricane status as it nears landfall.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

8 am #Isaias Close-Up Cone: The first image shows where the center of the storm should move ashore, the 2nd illustrates where winds over 40mph will happen. Impacts will be felt outside of the forecast track. The system could be very near major hurricane strength at landfall.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

1 pm #Isaias Close-Up Cone. The center could make landfall between Panama City & Biloxi, Mississippi. While intensity as it moves ashore has come down from 110 mph to 105 mph...it could undergo rapid intensification. That area needs to monitor the progress of the storm carefully

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

#Isaias 11 pm Forecast Cone. Still on tap to move north between the westernmost part of the Panhandle and Biloxi , Mississippi.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

11 pm Wednesday #Isaias Advisory: On the cusp of becoming a category 1 hurricane. Once it surpasses 74 mph it'll reach cat 1 status. May happen overnight.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

While most of the oil & gas rigs in the Gulf Waters are west of Isaias' forecast track, there are still many in the projected cone of concern. They may be dealing with a possible major hurricane or close to it, by the end of the week.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

The worst should be along the Westernmost Panhandle.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

8 pm #Iasias Advisory: No change in intensity, remains at 65 mph winds. Also same forward speed as at 5 pm.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

8 pm #Isaias Forecast Cone: Models indicate is could become a hurricane as early as the overnight hours. Warm waters may have it reach cat 2 winds before landfall. By then, it will only be 1 mph hour shy of becoming a major hurricane. Lots to monitor.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

5 pm #Isaias Forecast Cone: Set to make landfall between Panama City & Gulfport Miss. on Friday. May be a Category 2 before going ashore.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

5 pm #Isaias Forecast Cone: Set to make landfall between Panama City & Gulfport Miss. on Friday. May be a Category 2 before going ashore.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Over the last 12 hours, some spots in SE Florida have seen between half an inch, to over 2 and a half. More is possible this evening.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Over the last 12 hours, some spots in SE Florida have seen between half an inch, to over 2 and a half. More is possible this evening.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Strong downpour across NE Broward County moving NE at 13 mph as of 4 pm. Heavy rain to last another 20 minutes. Drive w care.

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Clouds & rain moving in across Downtown Miami as of 3 pm Wednesday. May still get a few more downpours this afternoon/early evening

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Isaias Headlines 4 of 4 STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous surge & the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland. The water could reach the following heights in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at high tide

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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Isaias Headlines 3 of 4 - Isaias will cause heavy rainfall to the central U.S. Gulf coast and much of the Southeast Friday into the weekend. Amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with localized totals up to 10 Flash and urban flooding, along with isolated river flooding, will be possible.

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