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Pawel Zerka, PhD

@pawelzerka.bsky.social
410 followers 41 following 12 posts

Senior Policy Fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR), based in France / public opinion on foreign affairs / European sentiment / France / Poland / Belarus / Latin America

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Pawel Zerka, PhD @pawelzerka.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
According to the latest #polling data from ECFR, Europeans largely believe that the #war in #Ukraine will continue for at least another year. And there is a prevailing sentiment of dissatisfaction regarding the EU's performance in efforts to resolve the conflict. Source: datacollection.ecfr.eu
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Pawel Zerka, PhD @pawelzerka.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
SLAVA UKRAINI, HEROIAM SLAVA! Over the past 4 years, Europe has shown an incredible #solidarity with #Ukraine. But European leaders won’t avoid difficult questions as to whether they have done enough to end the #war, if they have done the right thing, and if they have a plan.
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Pawel Zerka, PhD @pawelzerka.bsky.social · 20/05/2025
@rafal-trzaskowski.bsky.social powinien zacząć mówić o 2027. Jeśli Nawrocki motywuje wyborców potrzebą zatrzymania jedynowładztwa Tuska, to łatwo to odwrócić. Prawica ze skrajną prawicą mogą dojść do władzy w 2027. Trzaskowski jako prezydent jest potrzebny, aby zatrzymać ich jedynowładztwo.
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Pawel Zerka, PhD @pawelzerka.bsky.social · 07/05/2025
These are Eurovisionary times.
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Pawel Zerka, PhD @pawelzerka.bsky.social · 02/05/2025
This is interesting on so many levels: as an effort of #Trump 2.0 to influence domestic politics in Europe (this time in #Poland); as an experiment on whether this can boost rather than damage the candidate's credibility; and as presence of 'US policy' in elections. tvpworld.com/86489103/rig...
tvpworld.com
Rightwing Polish presidential candidate meets Trump
The first round of the Polish presidential election will take place on May 18.
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Pawel Zerka, PhD @pawelzerka.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
With @celiabelin.bsky.social and @camillelons.bsky.social, we argue Le Pen's conviction will have implications well beyond France, serving as a powerful proof for the international far-right that the system is unfair and skewed against them 👇 @ecfr.eu
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Reposted by Pawel Zerka, PhD
ECFR @ecfr.eu · 05/03/2025
The Trump administration has withdrawn all military aid for Ukraine. Europeans can fill the void—but they need to act fast, writes @rafaelloss.bsky.social Read here:
buff.ly
Disdain for Ukraine: How Europeans can support Zelensky against Trump’s cuts
The Trump administration has withdrawn all military aid for Ukraine. Europeans can fill the void—but they need to act fast
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Pawel Zerka, PhD @pawelzerka.bsky.social · 05/02/2025
Join us next week for the discussion inspired by ECFR's fresh polling data.
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Pawel Zerka, PhD @pawelzerka.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
Don't write off #France just yet, but instead keep it engaged in Europe's defence & #Ukraine decisions + seek to fill in Europe's leadership gaps that its domestic political turmoil only exacerbates. Here's our recommendation - with @camillegrand.bsky.social & Camille Lons - for the rest of Europe.
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Pawel Zerka, PhD @pawelzerka.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
Germany, France... Which is the other EU country most vulnerable to government collapse or the need to call snap elections? The Netherlands? The Czech Republic? Spain?
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Pawel Zerka, PhD @pawelzerka.bsky.social · 04/12/2024
Today's vote to end #Barnier gov looks like a lose-lose situation to me. Not only will it heighten economic uncertainty in and vis-a-vis #France, but it's also to-be-seen if the left or the far-right, who voted the government down, will be able to draw any political benefit from it.
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Pawel Zerka, PhD @pawelzerka.bsky.social · 25/11/2024
Why #Europe needs #Brazil, how the two misunderstand each other, and what would it take for them to build a real partnership. We discussed these with Monica Hirst @jpuglierin.bsky.social & Nacho Torreblanca at the @ecfr.bsky.social webinar last Friday. Watch it here 👇 ecfr.eu/event/samba-...
ecfr.eu
Samba Steps: Understanding Brazil’s global role and what it means for Europe
As global power dynamics shift amid intensifying US-China rivalry, the rise of assertive middle powers, and increased scepticism toward the international rules-based order…
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