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Paul Harvey

@paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc
3.4K followers 357 following 2.1K posts

Kayaker, former college wrestler (Wheaton ‘10), foster/bio/adoptive dad, husband to the world’s best wife. Writer for The Outfield and American Soccer Analysis

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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 5h
The 22 Under 22 list is pretty good until the mid teens and then the voters get precious and start elevating kids who barely play and when they do don't play well. Meanwhile leaving off: Hennadiy Synchuk (+0.18 g+/96 this year) Tate Johnson (+0.07, absolute rock for the Caps) Rodolfo Aloko (+0.13)
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 17/10/2026
The lone bright spot for NYCFC has been current draftee Ransford Gyan absolutely tearing it up for Clemson this year. They can’t bring him in soon enough.
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 21/09/2026
2 months later and the rate hasn't changed - in fact it might be even more steep. Witnessing greatness!
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 04/09/2026
My parents are from Northern and Southern California, I was born and raised overseas, and currently live in the South. Seems like my parents have the biggest influence on how I speak.
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 26/08/2026
What are we doing here
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 23/08/2026
Missing one extremely notably starter though
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 20/08/2026
Neither is right. Seeds 1-8 play each other. The losers go play the winning group of 8 composed of 9–12 plus winners of 13-20. The winners of the 1-8 games get a bye to the round after. It is hard to convey over text.
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 20/08/2026
Ok, this is how the new MLS playoff structure works. And honestly, having charted it out.. I don't hate it. It gives a lot of advantages to higher seeded teams but still gives the lower seeded teams a fighting chance.
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 11/08/2026
Comparing 16/17 year olds across leagues and decades is a bit of a fool's errand. At the same time, the best youth MLS prospect ever is Alphonso Davies. From a production perspective, Sullivan is making the leap a full year ahead of him. It's uncharted territory.
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 10/08/2026
Zack Lillington has been exclusively played as a defender in a back 3 for St Louis City 2 and done quite well, but I have not changed my stance that he's got the ability to be a genuinely special player as an 8
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 10/08/2026
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 09/08/2026
Uh… something isn’t right here
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 07/08/2026
Of course I had to do a USMNT challenge first
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 07/08/2026
New Centurions challenge at @futi.live: Win the league with the Full English, an XI entirely of English players. Getting closer...
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 03/08/2026
Genuinely how did this happen, I didn’t even think this team was that good
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 03/08/2026
Oh yes. Good luck topping this one. Road to 75 ⚽ MLS · Normal · 4-3-3 · Gregg Berhalter 15 pts · No playoffs 🟥🟥🟨🟨🟥🟥🟥🟥🟥🟥🟨🟥🟥🟨🟥🟥🟨 🟥🟥🟥🟩🟨🟥🟥🟥🟨🟥🟥🟨🟥🟥🟥🟩🟨 ⚽ Moralez 6 75points.netlify.app
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 29/07/2026
What if our best athletes played soccer and futsal and rugby and Aussie rules football and rowed crew
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 28/07/2026
Colorado Rapids Superdraft pick Mitchell Baker recently gained his Indonesian citizenship, and scored a hat trick on his debut with the national team. He'll be with Georgetown for another fall campaign.
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 28/07/2026
A lot of things are downstream of G+ but the biggest change I see is that he's getting better shots this year. Here's last year's shot map. He's always been a good dribbler but adding quality shots to that is a big upgrades. I don't think he'll ever be a great passer but those two things are enough
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 28/07/2026
It's funny that Hennadiy Synchuk is making The Leap and no one cares because he's on Montreal and is underperforming his xG. But it's also a good thing because if it came out that he was any good Montreal would sell him.
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 28/07/2026
Here's some interesting ones
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 27/07/2026
Cavan Sullivan has to keep it up but his developmental curve is thus far unprecedented in MLS.
A chart showing G+ cumulative by age, with Cavan Sullivan and Alphonso Davies highlighted. An unprecedented start for Cavan.
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 27/07/2026
Lovely profile here but I’m not sure I understand the point of Aaronson if this is who you’re bringing next to him, and if not Aaronson then who sits?
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 26/07/2026
What exactly is Johnson doing so well? He's not a flashy player but he's added progressive carrying this season while maintaining a high floor in the passing game, and locking down the left side defensively especially in the high press.
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 26/07/2026
Here's the top U21 MLS players over the last two seasons by my G+ based player Elo model. Americans (per Opta) are in blue, non-Americans in orange. Tate Johnson is quietly having a remarkable start to his MLS career in Vancouver.
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 21/07/2026
From @markcarey93.bsky.social comes this interesting chart. My gut instinct is that a pretty large portion of this is from teams simply working for better shots on average, the same thing driving the increase in scoring over the last decade+
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 21/07/2026
Really interesting profile for what is essentially a midfielder.
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 18/07/2026
A solid if not outrageously good player in Denmark. Good progressor and chance creator
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 18/07/2026
Jovanovic looks like real value for San Jose who don’t have much depth behind Judd/Werner
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 17/07/2026
He's probably the best overall player on the U20 roster, and it's a mystery why Charlotte doesn't prioritize getting him minutes. He's rumored to be moving to Bayern shortly, so maybe they don't want to risk the fee they'll be getting but it's strange.
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 17/07/2026
The U20 roster was released today to gnashing of teeth but honestly I don’t hate it, it’ll get the job done. Braden Dunham is maybe top 5 in the NT pool at LCB because that position has no depth. Plus we have a Basque kid from Bilbao, that kicks ass
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 13/07/2026
In comparison here's Daniel Ittycheria, who DC drafted but then let go for free to Vancouver's system. Yes, it's MLS Next Pro, but stylistically he's much more of a fit.
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 13/07/2026
This is just a stunning amount of money for a pretty one dimensional poacher type. I'm not sure he's going to become something notably different and I definitely think its not going to happen at DC
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 12/07/2026
I love how the Feudalism Bot has been temporarily commandeered by World Cup Bluesky
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 10/07/2026
He’s been great at every stop, from Georgetown to Vermont Green to the Crew 2. Obviously a big jump but I think he has what it takes. He’s kind of a utility attacker, comfortable on the wing or working underneath a central forward
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 07/07/2026
It’s actually time to return to our roots
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 06/07/2026
One more thing. Belgian CB Brandon Mechele is their version of Tim Ream, a hugely important ball progressor who is the key to breaking the press and advancing up the field. I am confident that Belgium has not faced as good of a press yet, though. If the USA can fluster the veteran it will be huge.
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 06/07/2026
They're also left side dominant, matching up against a sturdier flank with Freeman and Richards as well as Dest being a general pest. Adams will have to do a bit more shading towards that side as Maxim De Cuyper is one of the better left backs in the tournament, but it is a good matchup.
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 06/07/2026
The nice thing is that the three do tend to step on each other's toes a little bit. I don't think they've worked out the exact spacing and interaction with each other in order to make the offense click. I also don't think they have an answer at striker.
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 06/07/2026
Here's my day of Belgium - USA "preview". First, this is the first team we're facing that actually scares me. The USA has faced exactly one really gamechanging attacker so far, Arda Guler, and he ripped apart our B team. Now we're up against 3 of them:
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 29/06/2026
Here's a semi-realistic picture of what I'd like to see in the knockout round
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 25/06/2026
Mine might be more valuable than my house at this point
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 20/06/2026
There's a lot of different ways to measure field tilt (for example, % of a team's touches in the final third, or % of a team's touches out of total final third touches in the game) but the reason I prefer mine (team's touches in F3/total touches in game) is that it can show a mid block battle well
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 18/06/2026
Here are the current standings:
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 15/06/2026
Can't put a link and images in neatly in Bluesky but here's some of the stuff you can find in there. Going to put in some improvements this week.
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 15/06/2026
I see it's Motte and Bailey season again
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 14/06/2026
Of course I have receipts
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 12/06/2026
NYCFC fans know exactly what happens when Crepeau gets that high up the field
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 05/06/2026
To be fair how could we compete against “Olé (repeat 15x)” or this:
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Paul Harvey @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 01/06/2026
Re-skeet if your club has four current or former players going to the World Cup
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