iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Patrick Hamilton

Amy Maxmen, PhD @amymaxmen.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

The Ebola outbreak in Congo is now exploding in North Kivu, where 34% of Ebola patients are being treated in bare-bones health facilities instead of Ebola Treatment Units, according to @msf.org 3,982 confirmed deaths 😔 www.doctorswithoutborders.org/latest/ebola...

doctorswithoutborders.org

Ebola outbreak spreading like “wildfire” across North Kivu

The province is bearing an increasing share of the Ebola burden in DR Congo, while access to specialized care remains insufficient.

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Reposted by Patrick Hamilton

Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 26/06/2026

After 5 months of data, 2026 seems unlikely to set a new annual record...but with significant uncertainty around the timing and magnitude of the emergent El Niño cycle, that outlook could change quickly over the next few months. More from our May 2026 Temp Update, now avail: tinyurl.com/6jxwabaa

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Reposted by Patrick Hamilton

Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 21/06/2026

The blog about by climate brain 🧠 drawings. If you have ever wondered why many people are not very concerned about climate change, and most are not climate activists. medium.com/@patrickhami...

medium.com

The Climate Brain — Why isn’t everyone a climate change activist?

This is the story behind the two pictures I drew. Climate Brain cartoons versions 1.0 and 2.0. These represent my attempts to make sense of…

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Reposted by Patrick Hamilton

Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 13/04/2026

Is anyone up to using the data in this thread to make a rough estimate the max temperature 🌡 of an exceptional heatwave in the USA 🇺🇸 in around 70-100 years time? (Assuming about 3C warming). Or know this from another source. I'd like to add it to the graph. bsky.app/profile/raro...

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Reposted by Patrick Hamilton

Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

A link to the PowerPoint of the graph of our planet's temperature, from 20,000 years ago to 80 years into the future. Includes links to the sources. docs.google.com/presentation...

docs.google.com

Global temp 20000 years Sep 2026.pptx

Ice sheets cover Scotland & N. Ireland Africa: cool, dry & no Lake Victoria 1st agriculture & civilisations Roman Warm Period Little Ice Age Medieval Warm Period ? 2100 4 ~2100 - 97% of Alpine Glacier...

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

We still don't seem to be at a stage where even the banning (or big tax) on the use of private jets would be a popular policy. I still reckon that most people don't think that the impacts of climate change either won't be that bad, or are uncertain.

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Reposted by Patrick Hamilton

Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

And with a lighter background.

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

Small update to include exceptional Indian heatwave in the future.

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 13/09/2026

This is one of the the IPCC 'availability and access to food' graphs. But I really struggle to figure out what it means. Is anyone able to translate this into the sort of impact you might expect at 2050, or 2100 - to add as a label to this grap?

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

For India, CMIP6-based projections for 1-in-50-year heatwave peaks in the hottest northwest/central regions indicate roughly: 2°C global: 50–53°C 3°C: 52–55°C 4°C: 54–57°C These align with observed records near 51°C ...Higher pathways could bring 55°C+ events into young lifetimes.

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

*Grok referenced the CCC. Any feedback or suggestions for different labels? (I'm never sure if posting on BlueSky has much impact because you can't monitor link clicks/views)

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

@grok thinks the UK heatwave temperature is about right. For a 1 in 50 year heatwave: 2C - around 40-43C 3C - around 43-46C 4C - around 45-48C So, young children the UK could reasonably expect to see a 45C heatwave in their lifetimes. - Co-pilot wasn't convinced by AMOC dates.

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Reposted by Patrick Hamilton

Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

Climate change deniers - new recruits.

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

Climate change deniers - new recruits.

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 05/09/2026

Thanks. Is this correct? CMIP5 - doesn't include known uncertainties in carbon cycle feedbacks. So most of this variability is due to clouds. C4MP and PPE do, so carbon cycle could result in an increase of 0.5-1C in the upper estimate of warming by 2100?

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 05/09/2026

Having browsed these papers & responses (as a non expert), I'm still unsure what has happened in those model runs that give the very high temperatures for the exact same emissions. E.g - Is it the Amazon dieing back unexpectedly quickly? - Or clouds behaving odd? - Or an ocean current collapsing?

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

A few small updates since the last version.

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

Our planet's temperature since 20,000 years ago. And the nest 75 years.

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

Thanks for the summary. The ranges for each scenario are quite wide for the same emissions. It would be interesting for someone to write an article re what happens in these runs that give these high temperatures. E.g. is it a few big uncertainties or many little ones. Amazon, clouds etc.

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

Its worth also looking at the uncertainty. With 'current policies frozen at 2025', the range is 2.2-3.9 degrees C. So a 5% chance of exceeding 3.9C.

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 30/08/2026

Interesting read. It would be interesting to follow this up with some interviews / focus groups to find out how people interpret 'climate hope' type articles/messages. My guess is that a lot of people will misinterpret what the authors intend.

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 17/08/2026

Max temp recorded each year in the UK 🇬🇧 since 1900. • Red =🌡35 degrees C + • Now includes 38.1C from Kew a few days ago. • hopefully the last update this year

A graph showing that the record annual temperature in the UK has increased.

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 14/08/2026

An imaginative account of the impacts of climate change from the perspective of someone born this year & looking back. 2044-2047 isn't looking great. A must read! - though not if you want to hear something reassuring. What do you think? after2c.com

after2c.com

After 2C - Histories of the Future of Global Warming

An interactive exploration of five plausible, research-grounded climate futures, written as history papers looking back from the year 2100.

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 14/08/2026

This Telegraph article is a good account of the problems British farmers are facing with the drought & heatwaves. Thought one of the interviewees says that hot summers *might* be here to stay -- implying that he thinks that summers may go back to normal. www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/08...

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 06/08/2026

Large study on attitudes of European farmers to climate change. Not too different to non-farmers. - Most see it as a big or fairly big problem (~25% don't). - Only ~10% see this as entirely driven by humans. pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC...

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 29/07/2026

Has anyone actually learnt anything about future of wildfires in Europe from the recent media coverage and/or social media?

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 28/07/2026

Sounds great. Which program do you use for your art? Is it Photoshop?

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 26/07/2026

I'd really like to know if we can expect such fires in the UK in 80 years or so. And how much worse such fires in France/Spain might be then. 2 million displaced? I have not come across this written anywhere in the media coverage, except for a vague 'they will be more common/severe' Any ideas?

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 26/07/2026

There must be academics working on trends on heatwaves in Europe & impacts on wildfires on BlueSky. This is supposed to be where real academic discourse moved to after abandoning X. Has anyone seen a good explanation of this question?

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 25/07/2026

Now over 200,000 people evacuated in France & Spain due to wildfires. But.. ...what would such fires look like in 50-75 years? 2 million evacuated? ....when will we likely start seeing this in the UK? I'm yet to see these addressed in the media coverage. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

bbc.co.uk

More than 220,000 evacuated in France and Spain due to wildfires

French firefighters battle a blaze heading towards Bordeaux while officials in Madrid say they face the "worst fire in the history of the region".

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Reposted by Patrick Hamilton

Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 18/07/2026

This seems relevant again, after the record breaking heatwaves across Europe & the USA, and now with wildfires across Canada.

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 18/07/2026

This seems relevant again, after the record breaking heatwaves across Europe & the USA, and now with wildfires across Canada.

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 09/07/2026

We are probably on the orange trajectory- heating up our planet to somewhere between 2.2 and 4.7 degrees C. Heatwaves then will be something else. What would it take to persuade people that this isn't such a great idea?

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 05/07/2026

As far as I can see, it is impossible to find out what an exceptional 2100 heatwave will be like if you are not already an expert. Even after all the extensive reporting from the recent European heatwave. I really just don't get why the experts don't tell us.

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 29/06/2026

Latest update for annual maximum temperature recorded each year in the UK. Hopefully the last update for this year.

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Reposted by Patrick Hamilton

Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 27/06/2026

What does this IPCC graph mean to people? Mass starvation, 5x food global food price spikes, or a few challenges that will be overcome with better technology & crops?

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Reposted by Patrick Hamilton

Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 27/06/2026

Quick update to include yesterday's record temperature.

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 27/06/2026

The origin of this thought. Has anyone written an article about this? What actually happens in the red the red-purple bit?

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 27/06/2026

Quick update to include yesterday's record temperature.

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 27/06/2026

What does this IPCC graph mean to people? Mass starvation, 5x food global food price spikes, or a few challenges that will be overcome with better technology & crops?

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Reposted by Patrick Hamilton

Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 25/06/2026

Hottest recorded temperatures🌡in the UK from 1900 to 2026 (so far, till 26th June). Red = above 35 degrees C. Hopefully the last update this year. #heatwave

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 25/06/2026

To be honest, despite following this topic for about 20 years I still have little idea of the risks to agriculture & societies. I've never been able to translate the scientist language into something real, e.g. 10x global food price increase over 2 years.

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Reposted by Patrick Hamilton

Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 24/06/2026

I estimated 45C for a 1 in 15 year UK heatwave around 2100. But the @metoffice.gov.uk have this for 2056 (link). What should I put for 2100? What could today's young people experience? Anyone? There seems to be no info from a reputable source on this. www.metoffice.gov.uk/blog/2026/uk...

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 25/06/2026

I'd like to plot an equivalent graph for India or France, if anyone knows where I could find such lists.

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 25/06/2026

Hottest recorded temperatures🌡in the UK from 1900 to 2026 (so far, till 26th June). Red = above 35 degrees C. Hopefully the last update this year. #heatwave

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 25/06/2026

That didn't last long. To update at the end of the day.

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Patrick Hamilton @patbhamilton.bsky.social · 25/06/2026

Do you know if there is a list of annual record temperatures recorded for France? (Every year - not just the top 10)

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