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Maria Paniw

@paniw.bsky.social
2.8K followers 1.2K following 129 posts

RyC fellow at EBD-CSIC & scientific coordinator of LifeWatch ERIC Spain Distributed Center| Global-change ecology| forecasting| multi-species demographic models. For more info: globalchangeeco.com and also euro-ecoforecast.wordpress.com

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Reposted by Maria Paniw
Mathilde Martin @mathildemartin.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
🧑‍🎓 [Jan-June 2027] We offer two 6-month research projects (Master's thesis or gap-year internship) on meerkat vocal communication 🎤 at the University of Zurich 🇨🇭 Check it out! mathildemartin-research.com/wp-content/u...
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Hahaha, so true!
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Journal of Applied Ecology @jappliedecology.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
📖 Check out our new research article! Resident mortality determines grey wolf range dynamics 🐺 🌏️ 🌲 Find out more here 👉️ buff.ly/KdNYsMS
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Chris Terry @christerryecology.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
New Review out today in @natecoevo.nature.com with @callejas.eurosky.social, @andreatabi.bsky.social and Virginia Domínguez-García, where we take a critical look at the role interaction matrices play within community ecology. Sharing link: rdcu.be/bzD2oYUVKYMa... and short thread: (1/n)
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Join the seminar!
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Jelena Pantel @jhpantel.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Consider joining the great group at Young Modellers in Ecology --> Lunchbox Models seminar series. You can hear a bit more about what I've been up to for the last few years in terms of mathematical / statistical models to identify eco-evo dynamics, and also hang out for the exchange session after.
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Jeremy Yoder says no war @jbyoder.org · 20/09/2026
Okay this jogged loose something I've had half-written for a while now: Despite decades of effort, scientists have still not found a substitute for reading the paper denimandtweed.jbyoder.org/2026/09/desp...
denimandtweed.jbyoder.org
Despite decades of effort, scientists have still not found a substitute for reading the paper
Science is difficult, but not for the reason you think. It’s not that conceiving a research program is difficult. It’s not that planning and performing an experiment or observational st…
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Katharine Hayhoe @katharinehayhoe.com · 20/09/2026
Elite athletes, musicians, actors & more often use cultural importance as an excuse for why they're exempt from cutting their emissions. In this new analysis led by @manuelsuter.bsky.social, we argue the opposite: visibility and influence should raise the bar, not lower it! Read more:
nature.com
The climate responsibility of cultural influencers - npj Climate Action
In socially influential fields such as elite sport, music, and film, cultural relevance is often invoked as a special moral status that exempts them from genuine emissions reduction. We argue that vis...
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
🧪🌎 I had a great time at #NSOGfÖ2026! But best of all was reuniting with the forecast-challenge crew for our workshop! If you like 🌳🐰🪲 or want to try your model on a new system, submit a forecast to our challenge! There is ⏰ - we'll announce winners in Oct/Nov: donanadt.lifewatch.dev/app/donana-f...
Cara Gallagher, Sanne Ever, Maria Paniw, and Billur Bektas from the Ecological Forecasting Initiative at the NSO-GFÖ 2026 meeting.
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Methods in Ecology and Evolution @methodsinecoevol.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
📖 Published📖 A method to estimate actual infrastructure-induced mortality by integrating hierarchical sources of imperfect detection 🧪 📈 🔎 Find out more: buff.ly/1CLbCww
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Erik Svensson @evolodonata.ecoevo.social.ap.brid.gy · 05/09/2026
Come join me and my colleagues at the Department of Biology at #LundUniversity in #Sweden! New position as Senior Lecturer in Computational Biology just announced. Apply or spread the word to all interested candidates! […]
ecoevo.social
Original post on ecoevo.social
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Michel Nivard @michelnivard.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
A mother of a 16 year old, green card holder, a psychology and statistics professor at Los Angeles Pierce College, very much “someone like me”, has been in ICE detention since April. She and her family have even been blocked from self deprorting to Turkey. Bone chilling read.
thenation.com
One Woman’s Message From the Hell of ICE Detention
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Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf @rahmstorf.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
Wie viele der “Klimaskeptiker”, die meinen alles besser zu wissen als die Fachleute, hätten die Sonnenfinsternis korrekt vorhersagen können? Die Erderwärmung entwickelt sich seit einem halben Jahrhundert wie auf Basis der Physik vorhergesagt. www.realclimate.org/index.php/cl...
realclimate.org
RealClimate: Model-Observation Comparisons
RealClimate: Since we have been periodically posting updates since 2009 of climate model output comparisons to observations across a range of variables, we have now set up this page as a permanent pla...
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
🌿 🧪🌎 Niche metrics are a standard method to capture species climatic tolerances in community ecology, but are rarely used in population studies. We combined climatic niche position with IPMs in 2 shrubs and show that small shifts in niche position → big demographic changes! doi.org/10.1111/1365...
doi.org
Climatic niche position predicts population dynamics in Mediterranean shrubs after drought
Climatic conditions closer to the species' climatic niche centroid generally resulted in higher population growth in two Mediterranean shrubs, but demographic responses differed between species and w....
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
🥚->🐛->🦋 New review: life-history dynamics are key to linking mechanisms to population trends under global change - but hugely biased toward vertebrates. We (Nacho Bartomeus, @oscar-godoy.bsky.social & I) outline methods & a path forward for insects. 🧪 @ebdonana.bsky.social doi.org/10.1016/j.co...
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Borja Ribera @boriberac.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
El Departamento de Seguridad Nacional de los Estados Unidos de Donald Trump quiere sacar al gobierno de Sánchez y poner uno afín. No lo digo yo, lo dicen ellos.
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Brooke @brooklynmarie.bsky.social · 02/08/2026
A deadline definitely wrote this
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
Ole ole ole 🥳🇪🇸🇪🇸
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
Another lovely meeting- and so nice to see you all and forge new collaborations
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Dr. Viktor Baranov🧪🦟🐛🪲 @swarmofthoughts.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
Might be on interest for my ecology friends here 🧪, we shown how even 40 years of observations does not rarefy completely diversity of insect groups with prevalent dark taxa (looking at you, 🪰) @flygirlnhm.bsky.social @steveormerod.bsky.social @stephenbheard.bsky.social @cschaboo.bsky.social
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Ana Benítez @anabenlop.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
New paper out from the lab!! 📢
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Estación Biológica de Doñana - CSIC @ebdonana.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
🐺 📉Reducir apenas un 10% la mortalidad de los lobos ibéricos que viven en grupos familiares permitiría mejorar su estado de conservación y duplicar su área de distribución en 30 años. Más info: www.ebd.csic.es/divulgacion/... Estudio completo: besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
First 🐰 forecast challenges are up and running thanks to the excellent work by @sanneevers.bsky.social presenting at ECCB 2026. Check them out here: donanadt.lifewatch.dev/app/donana-f... & contribute your own forecast! Winners will be announced by the end of summer - and will get a 👕
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
Interested in learning more: check out our Doñana DT (donanadt.lifewatch.dev/app/donanadt) and forecast challenges (donanadt.lifewatch.dev/app/donana-f...) - and participate in a challenge! 🌳🐰
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
Ecological Digital Twins + Forecasting Standards + e-Infrastructure = Effective Conservation. Representing @lifewatcheric.bsky.social and @ecoforecast.bsky.social at @eccb26leiden.bsky.social. 🧪🌎
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Conservation policy should evaluate not only direct mortality, but also its hidden effects on social structure, reproduction, and dispersal. Process-based digital twins can help make those predictions. 🐺🌍🧪 This study has been expertly led by the brilliant Ana Morales @ebdonana.bsky.social
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Resident wolves hold packs together. When mortality drops, packs become larger (+11%), reproduce more (+8%), and young wolves disperse much farther (+130%). These cascading demographic effects unlock population recovery and range expansion.
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Why haven't 🐺 in 🇪🇸 expanded their range despite lots of suitable habitat? It may be due to high resident mortality! A 10% reduction in mortality in established packs could double the occupied range, even if disperser mortality doesn't change: besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Resident mortality determines grey wolf range dynamics
In the Iberian Peninsula, enabling recovery may require effective population-level protection. More broadly, down- and de-listing policies should be supported by explicit evaluation of the indirect d...
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Eneko Arrondo @bioeaf.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
La mortalidad del lobo ibérico impide su expansión a través de diferentes mecanismos demográficos. Como decía mi profesor de física: no hay mas cera que la que arde besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
🚨Job alert 🚨 I am looking for a PhD student to join our DEMOCAST team (globalchangeeco.com/jobs). The general project is about ecological forecasting, but there is lots of flexibility to develop the thesis. We are at @eccb26leiden.bsky.social this week if anyone is interested and wants to chat.
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
Join us!!!!!
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Markus Eichhorn @markuseichhorn.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
Is the golden age of field-based ecology only just about to begin? An interesting argument that AI will displace demand for computational skills but increase the need for real data. 🧪🌏
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
AI, Comparative Advantage, and the Next Decade of Ecological Research
Click on the article title to read more.
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Ketan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co · 25/06/2026
TY @ktoussaint.bsky.social for covering the extremely urgent shift required in media coverage of deadly fossil fuel disasters - go read the full article, it's an excellent summary of this problem (and share it) www.fastcompany.com/91563140/sto...
fastcompany.com
There's a deadly heat wave in Europe. Experts are begging media outlets to stop making it look fun
Images of crowded beaches or people swimming in pools are known to make extreme weather seem less dangerous.
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Jörg Spengler 🇪🇺 @joergspengler.bsky.social · 21/06/2026
In Bayern werden jene Leute abgeschoben, die kooperativ sind und sich an Regeln halten, weil sie leichte Beute sind. Menschen, die einen Arbeitsplatz haben und in die Sozialsysteme einzahlen. Menschen wie Rugiatu Kamara aus Passau. Es ist eine Schande! www.taz.de/!6185924
taz.de
Abgeschobene Frau in Passau: „Nix Stammtisch, stinksauer bin i“
Ende April wurde in Passau eine Frau, die seit sechs Jahren in einem Traditionsgasthaus angestellt war, abgeschoben. Seither probt der Wirt den Aufstand.
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LifeWatch ERIC @lifewatcheric.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
📣 LifeWatch ERIC is looking for its next Chief Executive Officer, through an international open competition, to lead the organisation into its next phase of development. More info ➡️ bit.ly/4qY0lmn
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Journal of Animal Ecology @animalecology.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
Check out this new review👇️ malddaba: An open-access database of age-specific mammalian demography for comparative analyses in evolutionary biology and demography🌍 🐵 🔎 buff.ly/sUF7wDu
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
Check out the paper for more great examples and a super well written how-to guide! And also for a lesson of why it always pays to publish your code 😎
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
The paper shows how to test your structured population models beyond just assessing population growth rates. In my case, the stress test showed that by not modelling group dynamics in yellow bellied marmots explicitely, I didn't capture the huge variation in lifetime reproductive output.
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
What do you do if THE top researchers in your field ask if they can use your published code to "stress test" your model results? 😨 You say: Go ahead! But you think: Nothing I can do about it, it's all out there now 😅 Anyway, this turned out to be a fun collaboration 🧪: doi.org/10.1111/2041...
doi.org
Challenging and diagnosing structured population models by testing predictions from stochastic demography
Structured population models are parameterized to accurately project expected population sizes, stage/state distributions and population growth rates, but they also predict the variation in outcom...
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
Check out the wonders that crawl beneath your feet if you visit the Kalahari desert
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Andrea Fuller @andreafuller.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
How can we sample life below the ground? New paper describing a subterranean trap for invertebrates, with Walter Jubber and @paniw.bsky.social besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Capturing the unseen: A low‐cost method for stratified subterranean sampling of soil invertebrates in drylands
We developed a low-cost, stratified subterranean trap for live capture of soil macrofauna in the sandy, dryland soils of the southern Kalahari. The subterranean traps sampled below-ground taxa and li...
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
🐜 🪲 🐛 Drylands are seasonally 🌡️ and so, many species, especially ectotherms, spend part, or most, of their life below-ground. But how do we access this hidden world? We have developed a cheap and scalable method to do just that that works great in sandy soils. 🧪 doi.org/10.1002/2688...
doi.org
Capturing the unseen: A low‐cost method for stratified subterranean sampling of soil invertebrates in drylands
We developed a low-cost, stratified subterranean trap for live capture of soil macrofauna in the sandy, dryland soils of the southern Kalahari. The subterranean traps sampled below-ground taxa and li...
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JBLanuza @joseblanuza.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
The complex interactive effects of global change stressors and cascading species interactions require integrative approaches that study and conserve ecosystems beyond individual species. This was a beautiful collaborative experience with colleagues from EBD
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
We couldn't be happier to have Emma on board! Highly qualified AND a lovely human 😍
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Emma L Underwood @geospatialemma.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
I’m happy to share that I recently joined @paniw.bsky.social at @ebdonana.bsky.social!🌿 The PREDICT project will develop and deploy an open, reusable, interoperable, and scalable cyberinfrastructure (LifeWatch Eric) for biodiversity forecasts, evaluation, and dissemination. 👩‍💻
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
All of this was only possible with the amazing support of the computer engineers at LifeWatch (a special thanks to Julio), who did the 🧑‍💻🪄🧙🤖, so that us researchers could focus on the 🧪. Also a big thanks to @ebdonana.bsky.social for hosting
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
These workflows will be essential to predict ecosystem change in key habitats using predictive digital twins (including the Doñana DT - expertly led by @sanneevers.bsky.social)
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
And we have our first completely interoperable and user-friendly workflow to help build and evaluate ecological forecasts up and running (and soon fully online): www.lifewatch.eu/thematic-ser...
lifewatch.eu
Workshop | Modelling and Workflows
LifeWatch ERIC Thematic Service Workshop | Modelling and Workflows | Seville, 21-22 May 2026
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Maria Paniw @paniw.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
🔄 Last week, we completed our 1st joined workshop of the Modelling WG and the National Distributed Center of @lifewatcheric.bsky.social.
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