iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

There are a number of lessons that could be drawn from this - but one is that for all the hand-wringing, a lot of problems around stopping the rise of the far right in the West can (and should) in fact be solved with drone strikes.

Post from Mark Chadbourn:

"Ukraine blows up Russian data centres and immediately and mysteriously online talk about Germany's Far Right AfD virtually disappears.

Stop Putin you stop the Far Right."

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 1h

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 5h

Which doesn't make them any less evil, and they absolutely relished being able to indulge in systemic bigotry. But by and large, fascist systems aren't made up of true believers - just awful, power-hungry people.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 5h

Ironically, not that far off from actual Nazis, in the sense that they absolutely did have a core group who genuinely worked from racial theories - but then the wider structure, including many higher-ups, was mostly made up of hangers-on who were in it purely for adjacency to power.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 19h

Frankly, more like 18 years. Russia's invasion of Georgia in 2008 should have been treated as a five-alarm fire, but between that and Ukraine in 2014, too many warnings were missed.

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Olga Nesterova @onestpress.onestnetwork.com · 09/10/2026

Zelenskyy: While our teams are meeting in Florida, US President is having conversation with Kremlin leader responsible for this war. I believe they are simply using our team as a cover...clearly not acting in good faith as a partner. And this, in my view, is a weak decision from strong partners.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

It's a smokescreen to try and use (whatever is left of) US power to shield Russia's oil industry. There's no reason Ukraine should take any of it at face value, and they probably won't, but it's absolutely gross and thuggish.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

The number going down isn't going to last even a few months if Russia has no diesel to sell, which it doesn't.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

100%. This is just a smokescreen trying to shield the Russian oil industry from further Ukrainian attacks. There's no reason Ukraine shouldn't ignore it and double down, especially since the US has little meaningful leverage left against them.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

It's a smokescreen designed to protect Russia's refineries, Trump trying to do what Putin's air defences are failing at. At this point, I see no reason for Ukraine not to double down. It's not like the US has much meaningful leverage left against them.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Oh, I think this is largely a smokescreen - but a smokescreen designed to shield Russia's oil industry from further attacks. Ukraine is absolutely doing great, and should just double down in response. There's not much genuine leverage the US has against them at this point.

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Eliot Higgins @eliothiggins.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

- Attacking the ICC - Palling around with Russia - Broadcasting executions

static.klipy.com

Are We The Baddies? Meme

ALT: Are We The Baddies? Meme

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

I wish they all agreed to skip the byelection and just let Count Binface have it.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Between that and other news today, I am honestly struggling to describe the US, both as a nation and a state, as anything other than evil.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

On the same day, sanctioning the ICC and unsanctioning Russia. The US is just a transparently evil state at this point, and will be so until it stops (or is stopped from) behaving like this.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

On the same day, the US has sanctioned the International Criminal Court (directly on the pretext that it may otherwise go after US leaders) and unsanctioned Putin's Russia. At this point, one can only conclude that the US is a transparently evil state, and will be so until it stops (or is stopped).

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

I think we have to accept that the US is, at this point, just transparently evil. And will be until it stops (or is stopped from) behaving like this.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

I hope Zelenskyy orders an immediate escalation against Russian refineries, and states around the Baltic work with Ukraine to assist with interdicting Russian attempts to ship the oil out through there.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Missile route logic according to the White House, 2026.

Map showing a long line through the western Pacific, Indian oceans, then around the far side of South America to the eastern Pacific and into Hawaii, with the caption: "Pearl Harbour had to be an inside job, no chance a japanese plane could have flown this far in 1941."

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Kind of a similar vibe here...

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

It's hard to predict 2. because so much will depend on turnout. Even most UCP voters seem to be for remaining. Looking at polling data, there's only maybe 5/87 ridings that are >75% UCP. Between those, I think there is a small chance one or a couple of might get chipped away, but probably not more.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

I think the danger zone is if the separatists are able to chip away a majority in one or more of 87 provincial ridings in Alberta, especially if there is oil or critical mineral infrastructure. It doesn't mean anything legally, but it could be used as a pretext for future provocations by US actors.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Also keep an eye on the Alberta independence referendum in Canada (Oct. 18). While it's guaranteed to fail, it'll be worth watching what the US-right-wing-backed separatists do next. I'm not sure it's exactly a Donbas playbook that they will be running, but something like that is possible.

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The Lexorcist @lexidarlingxoxo.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

I’m at the Pizza Hut. I’m at the house of leaves. I’m at the combi s n e a v t a i e o l n fo esuoh & tuh azzip

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

To be fair, they also stick to those tricks for years after they failed to work as if they did. Ask them about the results of the 2020 election. It's a bizarro world they live in where things that demonstrably don't work at treated as if they do.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Lines up pretty neatly with the election result.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Also, Russia's economy is both incomparably weaker and heavily reliant on China's. Outside of nuclear weapons, Russia just doesn't have much that could significantly damage China's ability to fight - even if an initial clash went very badly for China, they would recover very quickly.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

I feel like that's also not incidental - my parents had a full-blown tantrum about the pandemic and decided to make their gradual slide into conspiracy theories my problem. I don't really like hearing people tell me that my education made me part of a cult, so no wonder I stopped talking to them.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

I want to help build a better world through working on something bigger with networks of people. But I'm yet to be in a network that hasn't been experiencing a major collapse within a few years of me getting into it.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

I honestly feel like it's some kind of cruel joke that not only did I get all that but also lived the late Soviet/early post-Soviet experience as a kid. Institutional collapse has never not been the norm around me but I've still somehow stayed enough of an idiot to keep tying myself to institutions.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

It's also interesting that anime/manga never really moved on from that. Millennial, Gen Z, and even Gen Alpha authors are still writing recognizably "lost decade" stories three decades later and getting a lot of reaction from audiences most of whom weren't even alive in the 90s.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

This is one of the reasons I completely avoid downloading mods (even if they contain no graphics assets or other large files) that have LLM-generated cover images. Because what else in there might be slop never touched by a human?

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Doing this album thing. 9 is not enough, so here's a bunch in no particular order that all still have an impact on me in some way, and I absolutely will reach for in particular times. (via www.my9albums.com)

My 9 album grid, in no particular order:

Muse - Origin of Symmetry
Opeth - Blackwater Park
The Pillows - MY FOOT
Minus the Bear - Planet of Ice
King Crimson - Larks' Tongues in Aspic
Lunatic Soul - Walking on a Flashlight Beam
Merzbow - Merzbuddha
Captain Beefheart & His Magic Band - Trout Mask Replica
Sigur Ros - ()

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Being unneccessarily serious for a second: I wonder to what extent this might also be political signaling, i.e. the AK being contextually used as Marxist-Leninist symbology (see: FRELIMO and the flag of Mozambique etc.)

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Meanwhile I'll be privately smug that I was more or less spot on in my assessments of where this was going and how much it was going to cost - not just this February, but even last June. Admittedly, for all the reasons you mentioned, none of this was hard to foresee. Shocking that so many didn't.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Using drones to hunt dogs and civilians at bus stops in Kherson doesn't make a whole lot of sense in terms of battlefield effectiveness either, and has little value for technical training, but they're certainly doing it and posting a lot of videos of it online.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

There are a lot of incredibly stupid things the Russians do, to the point where I wouldn't rule out this possibly being some sort of ritual hazing of the operators, either (could be putting them in their place by making them knowingly complicit in war crimes, or just desensitized).

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

To be fair, most drivers also don't have Ford F-150 shaped problems either, but the supply side had been so successful at convincing enough people they do that the prevalence of large trucks on the road became that problem. It seems like they're trying to make something like that happen here.

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

I recall he was hanging around the Rzeszow airport in Poland and border crossings to Ukraine in 2022, pointing fingers at how the West was "secretly" sending "tanks" to Ukraine, and how NATO was to blame for Russia's invasion. Pretty sure he left because security's patience with him was running out.

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Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

POPE LEO <turns chair around, sits, placing his arms on the back>: You want to hear about an Influencer, one with a direct connection to a superior intelligence?

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Otohiko @otohiko.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

We also have a strangely placed pink house and a very large orange that sells hot dogs!

Pink house, a guerrilla art installation in Montreal

Gibeau Orange Julep, a fast food place in Montreal

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