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Frans Osinga

@osinga.bsky.social
4.1K followers 199 following 1.1K posts

Prof war studies Leiden Uni

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Reposted by Frans Osinga
MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 @maks23.bsky.social · 13h
🤡 The Kremlin has found “Nazis” in the Baltic States again: Russian Prosecutor General’s Office called local nationalists “supporters of Nazi Germany” In Russia, they started talking about the alleged “protection of national interests” in Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia.
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Frans Osinga @osinga.bsky.social · 13h
yep, plausibel scenario
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Hans de Vreij @vreij.bsky.social · 15h
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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 05/10/2026
These are the indicative estimates of Russia’s combat losses as of Oct. 5, according to the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
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Frans Osinga @osinga.bsky.social · 23h
equivalent van kill-box close air support en air interdiction concept dat de VS in iraqi freedom hanteerde in 2003
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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 05/10/2026
Russia is developing barrage-balloon systems to protect oil refineries and other strategic sites from Ukrainian drones. One concept uses radar-guided balloons to automatically adjust cables into an incoming drone’s flight path, trapping it before impact. #Russia
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Ukrainska Pravda 🇺🇦 @pravda.ua · 05/10/2026
🛡️ Ukraine's air defence downs 172 out of 205 Russian drones, attack is ongoing
pravda.com.ua
Ukraine's air defence downs 172 out of 205 Russian drones, attack is ongoing
Russian forces attacked Ukraine with 205 drones of various types overnight. Ukraine's air defence destroyed or jammed 172 UAVs, while hits were recorded at 13 locations.
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Bart Aafjes @bartaafjes68.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Berlijn gaat duizenden raketten leveren voor IRIS-T-luchtverdedigingssystemen als onderdeel van zijn nieuwste steunpakket. Dat blijkt uit een overeenkomst die is ondertekend door het ministerie van Defensie en Diehl Defense.
kyivindependent.com
Germany announces $1.46 billion in aid for Ukraine, including interceptor drones, air defense missiles
The package was announced by President Volodymyr Zelensky and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz at a joint press conference in Kyiv.
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Hans de Vreij @vreij.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
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Anton Gerashchenko @antongerashchenko.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
President Stubb: I want to remind everyone is that the Russian military was not capable of modern warfare when this war began, but now they are. So they are also gonna be much stronger when they regroup after the war. Our relationship with Russia will be very different.
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AmplifyUkraine 🔱🇺🇦 @amplifyukraine.eu · 04/10/2026
Control of the skies will shape war’s outcome in coming months, Ukrainian commander says #Ukraine
uawire.org
Control of the skies will shape war’s outcome in coming months, Ukrainian commander says
Andriy Biletsky, commander of the 3rd Army Corps of Ukraine's Armed Forces, has said that the coming months will be decisive in determining the outcome of the war between Ukraine and Russia. According to Biletsky, control of the skies will play a central role in shaping the course of the conflict. Analyst Heorhiy Revishvili relayed Biletsky's views, noting that the struggle over airspace— …
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🇺🇦 News @uazmi.media · 04/10/2026
Ukraine's deep strikes have wrecked over half of Russia's oil refining capacity, Defense Ministry says. #news #uazmi #economy #ukraine #russia "Fifty-one percent of the damaged oil refining capacity is a significant blow to the enemy's economy, to its ability to wage aggression, ...
uazmi.com
Ukraine's deep strikes have wrecked over half of Russia's oil refining capacity, Defense Ministry says.
"Fifty-one percent of the damaged oil refining capacity is a significant blow to the enemy's economy, to its ability to wage aggression, and to supply its mi...
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MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 @maks23.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
🇺🇸 The White House is monitoring a suspected plague case in Russia’s Irkutsk region after a 28-year-old anti-plague institute worker died following a laboratory accident, - Axios
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Illia Ponomarenko @ioponomarenko.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
The fact that Western embassies and international missions are openly refusing to give in to the Kremlin’s threats and publicly declaring that they’re staying in Kyiv is a great slap in Putin’s face and a very eloquent middle finger to him. Excellent and thank you.
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Ulrike Franke @rikefranke.eu · 04/10/2026
“In a tie-up with French defence electronics specialist Thales announced in June, Renault will co-produce its “Toutatis” drones and increase the current output 100 times over to 1,000 a month at full capacity, with production ready to go from 2027.”
ft.com
How Renault went from driveshafts to drones
French carmaker turns mass-manufacturing expertise to new frontier of warfare
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Б'єрнберт @bjornbert.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
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Ukrainska Pravda 🇺🇦 @pravda.ua · 04/10/2026
💀 Russia loses 1,750 soldiers over past day
pravda.com.ua
Russia loses 1,750 soldiers over past day
Ukraine's General Staff has updated data on Russian losses: Russia lost 1,750 soldiers killed and wounded over the past day.
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Bart Aafjes @bartaafjes68.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
The mess we're in. A thread worth reading.
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Frans Osinga @osinga.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
www.theguardian.com/books/2026/o...
theguardian.com
When is the right time to compare US politics to the Nazi era? This expert on Christian nationalism says: now
Robert P Jones argues that declining white Christian influence has fuelled an alliance with Trump, and warns it is reshaping US democracy
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Kyiv Post @kyivpost.com · 03/10/2026
A Ukrainian Mirage 2000-5F intercepted and shot down a Russian S8000 Banderol cruise missile using its onboard 30mm cannon. The engagement marks the first confirmed gun kill of its kind by the French-supplied jet, conserving costly air-to-air missiles. www.kyivpost.com/post/86008
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MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 @maks23.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
🇺🇦 Zelensky for FT: 🔹 After failures to seize Donbas, the Kremlin is betting on massive attacks to instill fear among Ukrainians. 🔹Ukraine destroys about 57% of jet drones and from 85% to 90% of conventional drones.
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MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 @maks23.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
🔹F-16 fighters demonstrate effectiveness in combating new Russian jet drones, but about half of the aircraft are in Europe for a long time for repair and maintenance. 🔹Kyiv seeks help from Western partners to transfer most of the maintenance work directly to Ukraine.
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Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Latest piece out. There was some confusion about why the UK, France and the Baltics were not invited by the US to its NATO meeting. Its actually brutally simple and part of a US strategy of divide and rule towards European security. And it might work. phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/divide-and...
phillipspobrien.substack.com
Divide And Rule: The US Strategy Towards Europe
And Why It Could Work
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Christopher Miller @christopherjm.ft.com · 02/10/2026
NEW: Yesterday I interviewed President Zelenskyy. Speaking at a school that had just been hit by a Russian jet drone, he said Ukrainian spy agencies had obtained intel that Putin told his military to remove all constraints that governed earlier air campaigns. “He said there are no rules now.”
ft.com
Putin has told military leaders to abandon rules of war, Zelenskyy says
Ukrainian leader tells FT his Russian counterpart has given the order that ‘there are no rules now’
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MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 @maks23.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
🇱🇹 LRT: Lithuania’s government has approved a bill banning Russian and Belarusian citizens from purchasing real estate near sites of strategic importance. If approved, amendments will take effect on Jan 1, 2027. 🇪🇪 Estonia has banned the transit of Russian and Belarusian grain through its territory.
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POLITICO Europe @politico.eu · 01/10/2026
European leaders must stop calling Russian attacks “hybrid,” according to Estonia's foreign minister. They are “terror attacks” and “sabotage attacks,” Margus Tsahkna told us in an interview.
politico.eu
It’s war, not hybrid attacks, says Estonian foreign minister
Margus Tsahkna says Europe must present a united front again Moscow.
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Trouw @trouw.nl · 01/10/2026
Rusland voert zijn defensie-uitgaven nog verder op en snijdt in onderwijs en zorg
trouw.nl
Rusland voert zijn defensie-uitgaven nog verder op en snijdt in onderwijs en zorg
Meer dan 181 miljard euro wil het Kremlin volgend jaar uitgeven aan defensie. Tussen 2027 en 2030 loopt dat bedrag zelfs op tot meer dan 530 miljard. De gewone burger draait op voor de kosten.
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Frans Osinga @osinga.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/o...
theguardian.com
‘Hitler was a lazy criminal who slept in until noon’: why most of what we think we know about the rise of the Nazis is wrong
In a new book, German artist and writer Philipp Ruch argues that viewing the ascent of Hitler’s NSDAP through the prism of the Third Reich has distorted our understanding of fascism’s electoral breakt...
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Joshua Livestro @joshualivestro.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
What could go wrong?
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Ukrainska Pravda 🇺🇦 @pravda.ua · 30/09/2026
🛡️ Air defence downed 254 drones on 30 September, Ukraine's Air Force reports
pravda.com.ua
Air defence downed 254 drones on 30 September, Ukraine's Air Force reports
Ukrainian air defence forces neutralised 254 out of 285 Russian drones launched against Ukraine between the morning and 18:30 on 30 September.
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MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 @maks23.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
🇸🇪✈️ "In the event of a Russian attack, Sweden will no longer limit itself to defense," stated head of Royal Swedish Air Force's Center. The new concept calls for a transition to offensive operations and the destruction of targets deep within enemy territory. This is about deterrence.
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Laurens Dassen @laurensdassen.voltnederland.org · 30/09/2026
De foto zegt genoeg. Deze mannen krijgen steeds meer macht over ons. Trump luidt de tijd van "Super Intelligence" in. De AI-race wordt opgeschroefd met alle gevolgen van dien. Het credo van deze tech-oligarchie is: meer, meer, meer. Die zeggenschap moeten we weer terugpakken. Een draad🧵1/9
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Frans Osinga @osinga.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
en er waren analisten die vonden dat het sturen van f-16s naar oekraine niet zinvol was.......
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WarTranslated (Dmitri) @wartranslated.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Tetiana Hasanenko, head of the Oleshky Military Administration, reported that Russians were seizing food from residents of Oleshky that had previously been dropped to them via drones by the Ukrainian military.
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Frans Osinga @osinga.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Isa, ik deel helemaal je kritiek op haar meningen maar zij is al geruime tijd geen lid meer van de AIV dus die aantijging richting de AIV is niet nodig. Geen spoor van Kremlin-adepten in de commissie vrede en veiligheid van de AIV. Kijk ook even naar de recente adviezen.
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Defense News @defensenews.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Russia plans to spend 17.1 trillion roubles, or $202 billion, on defense in 2027, a 27% increase. 🔗Link to article in comments ⬇️
Russia raises 2027 military spending by 27%, budget documents show
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Ursula von der Leyen @vonderleyen.ec.europa.eu · 28/09/2026
Europe is stepping up massively on defence. Today, we are moving forward with five major joint projects: drones, air defence, space, maritime security and our Eastern Flank. Five areas that are crucial to European security. And where we need to move fast.
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Gert-Jan Dennekamp @gjdennekamp.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Kyiv, hartje centrum, universiteit.
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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 28/09/2026
⚡️Poland to ease rules for shooting down drones, missiles entering from Russia. Visual identification of targets by pilots would not longer be required, Poland's Deputy Defense Minister said.
kyivindependent.com
Poland to ease rules for shooting down drones, missiles entering from Russia
Visual identification of targets by pilots would not longer be required, Poland's Deputy Defense Minister said.
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POLITICO Europe @politico.eu · 28/09/2026
Russia’s rising hybrid activity on Svalbard is sparking fears that Moscow could spark an incident that tests NATO’s Article 5 mutual defense clause. 🔗 www.politico.eu/article/russ...
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Max Boot @maxboot.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
An inspector general report noted, “Iranian strikes damaged and destroyed hundreds of buildings and structures at U.S. bases in Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, UAE, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Oman, and Jordan during the conflict. In addition, dozens of U.S. aircraft were destroyed or damaged.” wapo.st/4jsqNEo
wapo.st
Opinion | America’s military bases are no longer safe
Iran exposed a vulnerability that could be disastrous in a war with China.
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Vatniksoep @vatniksoepnl.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Poetin stelt in 2002 naar aanleiding van de oprichting: "De NAVO is primair een defensief blok. De uitbreiding van dit blok draagt bij aan de internationale veiligheid en de veiligheid van elk afzonderlijk lid."
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SentinelDesk | Defence & Geopolitics @sentineldesk.eurosky.social · 28/09/2026
Ukraine airlifted 4,000 kg of food to civilians trapped in Russian-occupied Oleshky, where some 2,000 residents are reportedly being denied food and water. Six military units coordinated the cross-Dnipro operation. 🗞️ euromaidanpress.com #Ukraine #Russia
euromaidanpress.com
Russia holds 2,000 people hostage in Oleshky without food or water—Ukraine flew 4,000 kg of food to locals across the Dnipro
Six military units coordinated one of the largest cross-Dnipro supply operations to the city Russia has turned into a starvation trap.
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TVP World @tvpworld.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
EU defense ministers are considering a new European system of mutual defence, similar to NATO’s Article 4. Meeting in Brussels, the ministers are also continuing to coordinate support for Ukraine and discussing how best to respond to the growing threat of Russian hybrid attacks on European soil.
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Chris Colijn @chriscolijn.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
De ene na de andere drone vliegt rond. Doden, gewonden, constante dreiging.
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Chris Colijn @chriscolijn.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Dit moet wel ongeveer een recordlengte zijn in Kyiv, als we zo doorgaan zitten we op 16 uur luchtalarm op een dag. Constant kleine aantallen straalmotor drones. Gekmakend.
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Frans Osinga @osinga.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
dit hebben de demonstranten op de Dam vanmorgen vast ook wel gelezen
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Hans de Vreij @vreij.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
🧵
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WarTranslated (Dmitri) @wartranslated.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Zelensky says this week Russia hit Ukraine with 2,200+ attack drones, about 1,650 glide bombs, and 38 missiles.
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Hans de Vreij @vreij.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Former chairman of NATO's Military Committee👇
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