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Oskar Pietrewicz

@opietrewicz.bsky.social
2.2K followers 179 following 22 posts

Senior Analyst at the Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM) Korean Peninsula, East Asia Private opinions

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Oskar Pietrewicz @opietrewicz.bsky.social · 07/06/2025
Here is my brief take on the new president of South Korea. ➡️ What factors determined Lee Jae-myung's election? ➡️Who is the new president? ➡️What can the election results mean for South Korea’s domestic politics and its foreign policy? 👉 pism.pl/publications...
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Oskar Pietrewicz @opietrewicz.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
Many challenges and uncertainties lie ahead for 🇺🇸🇰🇵 relations. ➡️ unclear vision of 🇺🇸 policy towards the DPRK ➡️ 🇰🇵 has been strengthened by its alliance with Russia ➡️ the global and regional situation is much more complicated than in 2018 Find out more in my recent analysis 👇 pism.pl/publications...
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Oskar Pietrewicz @opietrewicz.bsky.social · 05/04/2025
My short take on the decision made by South Korea’s Constitutional Court, which upheld the parliament’s decision to impeach President Yoon Suk-yeol for illegally declaring martial law last December. pism.pl/publications...
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Steven Denney @stevendenney86.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
If we take opposition to Yoon's impeachment as a measure of authoritarian political attitudes, there are some observations we can make and hypotheses, some competing, that we can consider. 👇
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Dagyum Kate Ji @dagyumkateji.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
S. Korea and US should initiate concrete, practical — and largely nonexternal — discussions on the intractable, long-avoided question of their alliance’s role in a Taiwan contingency, moving beyond rhetorical alignment on peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait. www.koreaherald.com/article/1045...
koreaherald.com
South Korea, US should go beyond rhetoric, get real on Taiwan contingency: report
Allies should clarify expectations for role of alliance in event of US-China conflict South Korea and the United States should initiate concrete, practical — and largely nonexternal — discussions on t...
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John Delury @johndelury.bsky.social · 26/03/2025
Spring issue of Global Asia has just dropped, with a cover package on Martial Law in South Korea-- a topic that should get more global attention IMHO www.globalasia.org/latest-issue...
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ECFR @ecfr.eu · 20/03/2025
South Koreans and Europeans agree that Russia is a threat, Ukraine needs support and that the new US administration is trouble, writes @alexlipke.bsky.social @ecfrasia.bsky.social Read his new commentary:
buff.ly
Polls, peril and partnership: Why South Korea and the EU are natural allies
South Koreans and Europeans agree that Russia is a threat, Ukraine needs support and that the new US administration is trouble. As Trump shakes the global security order, their shared concerns could…
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Oskar Pietrewicz @opietrewicz.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
North Korea is playing a bigger role in Russia’s war on Ukraine than one might think. And it may turn out to be one of the pieces in the larger puzzle of U.S.-Russian talks on a ceasefire in the war in Ukraine. I would consider several possibilities 🧵🇰🇵🇷🇺🇺🇸
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Oskar Pietrewicz @opietrewicz.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
In my recent analysis for the Polish Institute of International Affairs, I argue that the evolution of 🇰🇷 domestic situation, the definition of the terms of the alliance, 🇰🇷 stance on 🇺🇸🇨🇳 rivalry, and the coordination of policies towards 🇰🇵 will be crucial for South Korea’s alliance with the U.S. 👇
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Tobias Harris @tobiasharris.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
Ishiba’s first meeting with Trump is over, and, at first glance, it appears that Ishiba returns to Tokyo with what he needed. Some initial thoughts here: open.substack.com/pub/observin...
open.substack.com
When Ishiba met Trump
Some initial thoughts on their first summit
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Tobias Harris @tobiasharris.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
Here's the English text of the joint statement. www.mofa.go.jp/mofaj/files/...
mofa.go.jp
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Raphael Rashid @koryodynasty.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
1/ I've obtained the 101-page indictment against President Yoon Suk Yeol detailing the December 3, 2024 martial law incident. He's charged with leading an insurrection (내란우두머리). Here's a breakdown of the allegations:
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Jesse Johnson @jljzen.bsky.social · 23/01/2025
US SecState Rubio’s call with his ROK counterpart does not mention denuclearization of Korean Peninsula. A signal to Kim Jong Un? www.state.gov/secretary-ru...
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Eric J. Ballbach @ericballbach.bsky.social · 21/01/2025
New SWP policy paper analyzing the motives driving South Korea's ever-closer relations with NATO. 👇 www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/...
swp-berlin.org
South Korea’s Ever-Closer Relations with NATO
Intersecting and Varying Motives of South Korea’s Moon Jae-in and Yoon Suk-yeol Administrations
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Dr. Mark P. Barry ☯︎ @drmarkpbarry.bsky.social · 19/01/2025
Democratic Regression and Resilience in South Korea: Lessons from the Martial Law Crisis globalasia.org/forum/democr...
globalasia.org
Democratic Regression and Resilience in South Korea: Lessons from the Martial Law Crisis
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Raphael Rashid @koryodynasty.bsky.social · 18/01/2025
1/ Breaking: South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol has been formally detained after a Seoul court approved full detention warrant, marking an unprecedented moment in the country's history. The decision came at 3am after a 5-hour court hearing. www.news1.kr/society/cour...
news1.kr
'내란 우두머리' 혐의 尹 대통령 구속…헌정사상 처음(종합2보)
尹 직접 출석해 입장 밝혔지만…법원 "증거인멸 우려" 서울구치소 수용동 이동…수형복 입고 머그샷·지문 채취 12·3 비상계엄을 선포해 내란 우두머리 혐의를 받는 윤석열 대통령이 19일 구속됐다. 현직 대통령 구속은 헌정사상 처음이다. 비상계엄 선포 47일만,
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Jake Kwon @jakekwon.bsky.social · 18/01/2025
Incredible scene in Seoul tonight as President Yoon Suk Yeol’s supporters are storming the Seoul courthouse in response to his arrest. They are smashing the windows and vandalising the offices.
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William Gallo @williamgallo.bsky.social · 17/01/2025
"Several Trump 2.0 senior officials are on the record demanding South Korea’s greater implication in cooperating with the U.S. to contain China. This is arguably the area with the greatest potential for a Washington-Seoul clash."
koreatimes.co.kr
Rust on the ironclad alliance?
The U.S.-South Korea relationship is about to enter a period of uncertainty. On Jan. 20, Donald Trump will be inaugurated - for a second time - as the 47th president of the United States. Judging by h...
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William Gallo @williamgallo.bsky.social · 11/01/2025
My big picture piece on US-South Korea relations following Yoon's martial law decree: I look at why the Biden admin seemed to overlook obvious red flags about Yoon, how Trump may handle the relationship, and whether things can return to normal anytime soon.
voanews.com
How Yoon's martial law bid complicates US-South Korea ties
Fallout could impact ties under Trump administration, analysts warn
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38 North @38north.org · 09/01/2025
Mason Richey assesses #SouthKorea's martial law declaration and its aftermath through the lens of political science. bit.ly/4gKPYy4
bit.ly
K-Coup and its Limits: Popular Sovereignty, Civic Virtue, and Political Science Blind Spots - 38 North: Informed Analysis of North Korea
When abrupt, consequential political events happen, we tend to have recourse to the general to ...
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Sangsin Lee @sslee.bsky.social · 03/01/2025
What has happened today in Seoul, and what will happen from now on? Let me address a few questions:
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Raphael Rashid @koryodynasty.bsky.social · 31/12/2024
1/ South Korea's acting president Choi Sang-mok appointed two of three Constitutional Court nominees today, allowing the court to properly proceed with suspended president Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment trial. But the selective appointment has drawn criticism from all sides.
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Joel Atkinson @joelatkinson.bsky.social · 31/12/2024
Support for DP declining for two consecutive weeks to 45.8% PPP up at 30.6%. 60.4% of poll respondents want a transition of power to the opposition, 32.3% want to continue with the ruling party
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Benjamin A. Engel @benjaminaengel.bsky.social · 29/12/2024
In this short reflection article for the Asia-Pacific Journal: Japan Focus, I focus on the impact of the New Right and election conspiracies among the Korean far right on Yoon's decision to declare martial law. 1/ apjjf.org/2024/12/engel
apjjf.org
Making Sense of South Korea’s Senseless Martial Law Declaration - The Asia-Pacific Journal: Japan Focus
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Raphael Rashid @koryodynasty.bsky.social · 28/12/2024
1/ Major Korean papers this morning analyse the second impeachment in two weeks. "Acting president of acting president" (권한 대행의 대행) creates what editorials describe as a triple crisis in politics, economy, and security.
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Joel Atkinson @joelatkinson.bsky.social · 29/12/2024
State Council meetings require a quorum of more than half the members and a two-thirds majority to pass resolutions. If the DP impeaches five additional cabinet members beyond Han duck-soo, it will be impossible to convene the cabinet due to the lack of quorum n.news.naver.com/mnews/hotiss...
n.news.naver.com
[뉴스 즉설]이재명 구하러 가는 '무한 탄핵 열차', 다음 탑승자는 누구?
여야가 헌법재판관 임명을 둘러싼 위험한 승부를 이어가고 있습니다. 국민의힘은 국회 몫 대통령 권한대행의 헌법재판관 임명을 반대하고 있고, 민주당은 국무위원 '연쇄 탄핵' 카드를 만지작거리고 있습니다. 국민들은 안중에
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Raphael Rashid @koryodynasty.bsky.social · 26/12/2024
1/ Latest from S. Korea: - Opposition files impeachment motion against Acting President Han Duck-soo after he refuses to appoint 3 new Constitutional Court justices - CC to begin Yoon impeachment hearing tomorrow Yoon is still silent, hasn't submitted documents, and isn't cooperating
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Karl Friedhoff @kfriedhoff.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
It's Friday and that means new report from Gallup Korea. As usual, I'm going to go through the report and put together a small thread on the survey findings.
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38 North @38north.org · 19/12/2024
In this quick take, Senior Fellow Rachel Minyoung Lee examines why #NorthKorea is taking a low-key approach to #SouthKorea’s political upheaval and martial law. bit.ly/41Pr2Ay
bit.ly
Quick Take: Pyongyang’s Subdued Coverage of South Korea’s Post-Martial Law Situation - 38 North: Informed Analysis of North Korea
How does North Korea feel about South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol’s enactment of martial law ...
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Oskar Pietrewicz @opietrewicz.bsky.social · 17/12/2024
In my latest analysis, I write about the reasons for the imposition and failure of martial law, the dispute over the impeachment of the president, and the prospects for the biggest political crisis in South Korea's democratic history. 👇 www.pism.pl/publications...
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Raphael Rashid @koryodynasty.bsky.social · 15/12/2024
1/ South Korea's Constitutional Court to hold its first meeting tomorrow at 10am to begin deliberations on President Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment, following his failed martial law declaration and subsequent parliament vote yesterday to impeach him. www.yna.co.kr/view/AKR2024...
yna.co.kr
'탄핵심판' 심리 앞둔 헌재…내일 尹에 "답변서 제출" 요청 | 연합뉴스
(서울=연합뉴스) 이도흔 기자 = 헌법재판소가 윤석열 대통령에 대한 본격적인 탄핵심판 심리를 앞두고 신속한 재판을 위해 관련 절차를 진행하고 있...
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Karl Friedhoff @kfriedhoff.bsky.social · 13/12/2024
Gallup Korea's new numbers are out, just 24 hours ahead of the 2nd impeachment vote. Thread incoming.
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Dr. Mark P. Barry ☯︎ @drmarkpbarry.bsky.social · 11/12/2024
Implications of South Korea’s Failed Impeachment Vote; Discussing the domestic and foreign policy implications of the failed vote to impeach South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol following his short-lived declaration of martial law www.stimson.org/2024/implica...
stimson.org
Implications of South Korea’s Failed Impeachment Vote • Stimson Center
Discussing the domestic and foreign policy implications of the failed vote to impeach South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol following his short-lived declaration of martial law
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Sangsin Lee @sslee.bsky.social · 11/12/2024
I wrote a thread about the insurrection in South Korea, which received significant attention. However, with so much news pouring in and the situation changing by the minute, I decided to stop updating that thread. Instead, I am starting new threads on a few specific topics.
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Benjamin A. Engel @benjaminaengel.bsky.social · 10/12/2024
Conservative media in Korea does not seem to be buying the PPP’s roadmap to have Yoon resign sometime early next year. Me paraphrasing but basically, if he won’t resign, the PPP must impeach Yoon. They say it would be a national embarrassment if Yoon is arrested for treason before being impeached.
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William Gallo @williamgallo.bsky.social · 09/12/2024
As we begin another day of political uncertainty in Seoul, - It's still unclear who is running what in the country - No details about any power sharing arrangement that allegedly exists - We don't know the legal rationale for any such deal - The presidential office has essentially gone dark
voanews.com
South Korea’s leadership unclear as Yoon struggles to retain power
South Korea’s defense ministry insisted that President Yoon Suk Yeol remained in charge of the country’s armed forces on Monday, even as the justice ministry enforced a travel ban against him followin...
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John Lee @koreanforeigner.bsky.social · 10/12/2024
President Yoon Suk-yeol's failed martial law declaration echoed the country's authoritarian past. What does this crisis reveal about the resilience - and risks - of the nation's democracy? Read Benjamin Engel's full analysis on Korea Pro. koreapro.org/2024/12/yoon...
koreapro.org
Yoon’s martial law echoes authoritarian playbook but fails in modern Korea - KOREA PRO
President Yoon Suk-yeol’s martial law declaration on the evening of Dec. 3 sent shockwaves reverberating around the world. For many international observers, it was seen as part of a broader trend of r...
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Yeji Chung @yejichung.bsky.social · 08/12/2024
🧵 South Korea faces constitutional crisis as ruling party suggests he's no longer involved in day-to-day governance. Experts warn of dangerous gaps in military command structure amid leadership uncertainty. Jeongmin Kim @nknewsorg.bsky.social writes: www.nknews.org/2024/12/lead...
nknews.org
Leadership crisis in Seoul raises North Korea contingency risk, experts warn | NK News
Prosecutors are investigating President Yoon Suk-yeol for possible treason after the prime minister and ruling party leader suggested Yoon is no longer involved in day-to-day governance of the country...
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Chad O'Carroll @chadocl.bsky.social · 08/12/2024
The rapid fall of Syria is surely going to be watched very closely by Kim Jong Un. Most people think of Putin and Xi as Kim Jong Un's closest partners. But Bashar al-Assad and Kim often shared more correspondence each year: www.nknews.org/2021/06/syri...
nknews.org
Syria’s Assad is Kim Jong Un’s most frequent pen pal in first half of 2021 | NK News
Kim Jong Un and Syria’s Bashar Assad have exchanged correspondence 12 times in 2021, NK News analysis of North Korean state media showed on Friday, four times the frequency of Kim’s reported communica...
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Raphael Rashid @koryodynasty.bsky.social · 08/12/2024
1/ A leaked military document allegedly reveals South Korea's Defense Counterintelligence Command (DCC) had drafted detailed martial law plans in November, one month before President Yoon's shock declaration on December 3. www.hani.co.kr/arti/politic...
hani.co.kr
방첩사 지난달 작성 ‘계엄 문건’ 공개…“치밀한 사전 모의 증거”
국회 국방위원회 소속 추미애 더불어민주당 의원이 8일 국군방첩사령부가 작성한 ‘계엄 문건’을 공개했다. 올해 11월 ‘충암파’ 중 한 명인 여인형 방첩사령관 지시로 방첩사가 작성해 보고한 이 문건에는 계엄 절차와 계엄사령부 구성 및 역할 등 계획이 상세히 명기돼 있다.
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Anton Hur @antonhur.com · 06/12/2024
Korea's preeminent *conservative* paper of record exclusively reports that President Yoon ordered someone at the National Intelligence Service (Korean CIA) to arrest the head of his own party (who would later vote against martial law) and when the NIS man refused, ordered his dismissal.
chosun.com
“‘정치인 체포’ 지시 받았다는 홍장원 1차장, 정치적 발언 문제돼 국정원 차원 인사 조치”
정치인 체포 지시 받았다는 홍장원 1차장, 정치적 발언 문제돼 국정원 차원 인사 조치 정보소식통 尹, 洪차장에 직접 전화로 지시
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Jenny Town @jennytown.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
Excellent assessment of how Yoon’s use of martial law—for whatever ill-conceived reason—was substantively illegal by Cho Hee-kyung : m.koreatimes.co.kr/pages/articl...
m.koreatimes.co.kr
The illegalities of Yoon's emergency martial law
For someone who has spent nine years studying for the bar exam in addition to four years as an undergraduate law major, President Yoon Suk Yeol seemed to have no idea about the constitutional provisio...
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Benjamin A. Engel @benjaminaengel.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
This group of PPP lawmakers suggest using this opportunity to amend the constitution, shorten presidential terms, and force Yoon out without the “paralyzing” effect of impeachment. 1/ m.yna.co.kr/view/AKR2024...
m.yna.co.kr
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Oskar Pietrewicz @opietrewicz.bsky.social · 04/12/2024
South Koreans work during the day, protest in the evening. A considerable crowd has gathered in Gwanghwamun Square, almost empty during the day. Everything was very well organised, with loud music cheering the protesters.
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Dan Sneider @dcsneider.bsky.social · 27/11/2024
AsiaTimes republishes my look at the prospects for Trump and Kim Jong Un to resume their failed diplomacy. Vaguely sourced report from Reuters says folks in Trump camp already thinking about this. asiatimes.com/2024/11/can-...
asiatimes.com
Can Trump and Kim Jong Un pick up where they left off? - Asia Times
South Korean media have been filled with discussion about what Donald Trump's return to power in the United States may mean for the Korean
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Marek Menkiszak @menkiszakm.bsky.social · 27/11/2024
We'll see 🧐
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William Gallo @williamgallo.bsky.social · 27/11/2024
82% of South Koreans oppose sending military aid, including arms, to Ukraine, according to a Gallup Korea poll cited by Reuters' @hyunsuinseoul.bsky.social search.app?link=https%3...
search.app
South Koreans remain opposed to sending arms to Ukraine
South Koreans remain widely opposed to directly supplying arms to Ukraine, polls show, despite renewed international requests from Kyiv and allied capitals after North Korean troops were reported to b...
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Patrycjusz Wyżga @patrycjusz.bsky.social · 24/11/2024
⏳️ Ponad dwie godziny kompendium wiedzy o Półwyspie Koreańskim: historia, stan obecny i prognozy. 🎙 Zapraszam na 📺 #Didaskalia z dr. Oskarem Pietrewiczem 💬 analitykiem Polskiego Instytutu Spraw Międzynarodowych!
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William Gallo @williamgallo.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
FYI: what was previously the "Korea watcher nerd feed" has been broadened to include accounts focused on Japan, China, and Taiwan. It's now the "NE Asia politics and security feed." bsky.app/profile/will...
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