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Nicolò Tamberi

@ntamberi.bsky.social

20 followers 31 following 5 posts

Post-doctoral research fellow at the Centre for Inclusive Trade Policy. Views are my own.

Posts Replies Media

Reposted by Nicolò Tamberi

Alex @s3alfisc.bsky.social · 19/04/2025

PyFixest 0.29 is on PyPi! - We have updated how small sample adjustments are computed. PyFixest inference matches fixest now 100%, out of the box and all of the time! - We have added support for fully saturated event studies, which in turn enables @apoorvalal.com's DiD specification tests.

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Reposted by Nicolò Tamberi

Ivan Werning @ivanwerning.bsky.social · 14/04/2025

How Tariffs Affect Trade Deficits... ... a new paper with amazing trade economist Arnaud Costinot. Many politicians and the general public expect tariffs to reduce imports lower imports and thus work to close a trade deficit. Economists typically say "not so fast"... 🧵1/n

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Reposted by Nicolò Tamberi

CITP @thecitp.bsky.social · 16/04/2025

5 positive steps that major trading partners to the US should take to preserve the essence of the global trading system when responding to Trump’s reciprocal tariffs: pause retaliation, not joining US discrimination against China...& more 👉 citp.ac.uk/publications... @michaelgasiorek.bsky.social

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Reposted by Nicolò Tamberi

CITP @thecitp.bsky.social · 04/04/2025

The US stands to lose $1,900 per capita yearly (more if countries retaliate) due to #TrumpTariffs. Canada & Mexico are the 2nd most affected countries. The EU & China are somewhere in the middle of the welfare losses distribution. See here 👉 citp.ac.uk/publications...

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Nicolò Tamberi @ntamberi.bsky.social · 04/03/2025

The question now is: who is going to be next?

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Nicolò Tamberi @ntamberi.bsky.social · 04/03/2025

But let's not forget that all these tariff announcments, retraction and re-announcements introduce a lot of uncertainty. Looking at the NAFTA renegotiation, I found that uncertainty of losing preferential tariffs for decreased US imports from Canada and Mexico. And they did not recover with USMCA

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Nicolò Tamberi @ntamberi.bsky.social · 04/03/2025

What if tariffs are lifted? I find similar responses for tariff increases and decreases. In about 15 months we are back to square one

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Nicolò Tamberi @ntamberi.bsky.social · 04/03/2025

The response of imports to these special tariffs was quite quick. In about 15 months we see the full response. Given a tariff increase by 25%, we can expect imports to drop by -26% in the first month and arrive to -53% after one year or so

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Nicolò Tamberi @ntamberi.bsky.social · 04/03/2025

So the 25% #tariff on Canada and Mexico will start today. The closest experience we had to these tariffs are those imposed by Trump in 2018: largely discriminatory, possibly negotiable and hopefully temporary. I've looked the past experience to learn something @thecitp.bsky.social @uktpo.org

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Reposted by Nicolò Tamberi

Alejandro G. Graziano @aggraziano.bsky.social · 15/01/2025

Attention PhD students, postdocs, prof. economists! We will have our first Nottingham International Trade Summer School this summer! Lecturers: Arnaud Costinot and Andres Rodriguez-Clare Dates: 30/6 to 5/7 Registration open! www.nottingham.ac.uk/gep/news-eve...

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Reposted by Nicolò Tamberi

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 07/11/2024

Ok, this needs a lot of tweaking and more work, but here's a minimal viable product for An econometrics paper (Deep Neural Networks for Estimation and Inference) 1. paulgp.github.io/2024/11/06/r... An economic theory paper (Targeting Interventions in Networks) 2. paulgp.github.io/2024/11/06/r...

paulgp.github.io

Testing out a new format: Reader's Digest of Econometrica Papers [Econometrics Paper]

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