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@npv10.bsky.social
191 followers 120 following 886 posts

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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 8h
of course this is the way but also like with everything ai, idk how you build intuition for financials/numbers without spending at least some substantial time in your 20s plowing through this stuff
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 20h
Will have to explain to the youth that “spreading financials” used to be a thing.
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
We do have credit cards that are very much portable anywhere you go
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
The irony is that geopol risk is sort of the main reason either of those are ever commercially viable enough to invest in new prod ie. you need trump 2.0 chaos to sustain it (which in turn is not sustainable…)
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Haven’t looked at numbers but Japanese firms likely own more geothermal generation in Indonesia than is in place in all of their country at home.
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
The CPA most certainly uses (or should use) AI themselves to manage the same workflows on their end.
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Tbf, financially this might be one of his rare successful efforts in the last 18 years
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Of course upstream o&g (my first love, rip) had the right approach: capm is fake just use 10%
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Or every ongoing M&A process… how much stupid value and synergies you have to come up with now to fudge away that extra 1% in RFR in just a few months but George says it’s “actually not bad news”!!!
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
I keep going back to this and it just feels like a really callous dismissal of lived experiences of people like myself: having to manage quarterly pe marks to counter the rise in wacc... you know how annoying it is to change a biz plan in october??
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
bc vs louisiana coast line does make a difference lol... probably minimizes environmental impacts and also if its high cost locale to build then assembling everything at a yard in sk or china actually makes sense too!
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
moz gas is offshore and the industry would have much rather it all been liquified offshore (see the ENI FLNG project there) but host gov'ts hate flng and unless absolutely necessary for tech/commercial reasons they would much rather have it onshore (jobs, sovereignty, etc)...
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Mozambique managed to pull it off (eventually) so I think investors are willing to put up with more insurgency risk than is wise lol... I do remember putting together kitimat pitch decks in like 2010
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
This is why I just don’t see bullish LNG growth as being credible. It’s underpinned by countries creating massive strategic energy dependence on a producer with clear and demonstrated domestic conflict over supply
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
I think it’s a little bit like saying WTI at $90 is fair valued based on long term real price trends, energy consumption as share of gdp etc… absolutely true alas people get worked up not at theory and pricing models but their “lived experiences” (I know… )
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
(less pleasant of course is that all of this is rooted in LKYs eugenics beliefs hence the focus on educated population for the social development unit)
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
good write up on this (and the long-standing efforts for government to play cupid lol)
straitstimes.com
GovTech launches dating pilot to match public officers
FirstDate is designed to matchmake public officers aged 21 to 35. Read more at straitstimes.com.
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Singapore has forever now tried to play matchmaker to fix its family formation malaise. It’s funny they are going into this just as we seem to be decidedly past peak dating apps (or so my single friends tell me)
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
CMU Miami? more like CMI
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
you're saying CMU wouldn't otherwise have a "Miami campus" on top of their goals?
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Reposted by NPV10
whyambee.bsky.social @whyambee.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
fun fact: last week, NSF suddenly cancelled a solicitation shorturl.at/lrCcY, with the deadline just two weeks out why, you (and all who spent untold hours writing the proposals) might ask? well, the title of the program was MFAI (no, Mathematical Foundations) Russian imperial bureaucracy, level 982
whitehouse.gov
Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Inaugurates The Era of Super Intelligence
USHERING IN SUPER INTELLIGENCE: Today, President Donald J. Trump signed an Executive Order to replace the term “Artificial Intelligence” (“AI”) with
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
just really big numbers incurred by orgs and people with an absence (a bit of a precondition to building this thing) of related risk management discipline
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
cap structure gets cleaned up at IPO and any dilution is offset by the blockbuster IPO mark-up. the 0.5tn in real world spend commitments are prob still the key ❗here
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
dont really know the details so at risk of saying something half baked, I'm in camp "financing costs to date don't matter if you get to IPO at 2tn"
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
when your equity is worth 2tn, burning a few dozen bn in dilution is not material tho?
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Those are like jaywalking laws no?
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Dual class stock for mega tech IPOs is the default these days but it really highlights the deficiencies of the PBC structure and sort of invalidates the entire concept if this is the endgame for its most high profile use case
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
only trump can get away with this
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Jokes aside, the way things are going the industry will go towards stealth DCs in more socially tolerated industrial sites like slaughterhouses or chemical plants.
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Distributed (some might say personal?) DCs in every home…
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
You’d think that integrated providers like Kaiser would have significant advantage going into all of this alas I haven’t seen them significantly more competitive in the DMV at least
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Sergey and Larry have voting shares not like alphabets governance is anything to write home about. And Sergey still tolerates Musk after he slept with his (now ex) wife so not sure why anyone’s surprised about the fact pattern here
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
The hallucinations change the output every time he runs it lol
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
pf lending very easy, pf repayment mixed results
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
It’s sort of the inverse of the “I declare bankruptcy*” Michael Scott meme. It’s meant to contest a situation that otherwise would have all sort of material consequences and clock ticking while you go work on some outcome you prefer (*default ≠ bankruptcy of course)
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Yes when you’re in default but really dont want to be
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Love it when mega deals get done based on “let’s add 50 bps for structuring complexity over underlying credit”. What could go wrong
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
For all the flaws of a drawn out traditional project finance process, you sort of avoid sloppy docs that have your developer claim FM for permits lol
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Very kind of Wright to introduce the admins latest (unintended) decarb policy while he’s in NYC for Climate Week
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Dear KKR, we’d like to extend 3 years of Experian Insider Trading Protection at no additional cost to you!
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
If you told me maga gets hypebeast in the national divorce…
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
I feel like a figurative rather than literal export ban is more likely? Like an EO proclaiming all diesel to be sold to American patriots in swing states first but not actual ban?
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Bsky can sometimes be really hostile and heartless to those with generous RSU vesting schedules
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Conceptually I think post IPO secondary sales into market are really similar to secondaries sold into an IPO. If the exiting investors could sell into the IPO they would, alas market prefers to see a primary issuance story.
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Just think of that as the same group of investors / flow who would also be doing the take private part (various PE investors and their associated funding). One is the exit the other the initial investment for them.
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
It’s somewhere in the middle, not like mcap is a flow either - the volume of secondary sales that goes out the door in the first 6-12 months in addition to the primary issuance is probably a good way a good proxy for net cash inflows
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Feels like we will have our very own 1MDB… between this and the office of strategic capital not sure which one is more likely to produce indictments first
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
At least us refiners can catch up on some much needed maintenance I guess?
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Maybe scb ventures seeding all these crypto shitcos to finally get the money launderers to greener pastures elsewhere
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
have a look at aggreko f1... asking for $15bn val after take private ~@3bn 5yrs ago; today zero EqV, Fixed Asset base of <3bn...
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