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NPV10

@npv10.bsky.social
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Reposted by NPV10
whyambee.bsky.social @whyambee.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
fun fact: last week, NSF suddenly cancelled a solicitation shorturl.at/lrCcY, with the deadline just two weeks out why, you (and all who spent untold hours writing the proposals) might ask? well, the title of the program was MFAI (no, Mathematical Foundations) Russian imperial bureaucracy, level 982
whitehouse.gov
Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Inaugurates The Era of Super Intelligence
USHERING IN SUPER INTELLIGENCE: Today, President Donald J. Trump signed an Executive Order to replace the term “Artificial Intelligence” (“AI”) with
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Dual class stock for mega tech IPOs is the default these days but it really highlights the deficiencies of the PBC structure and sort of invalidates the entire concept if this is the endgame for its most high profile use case
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
For all the flaws of a drawn out traditional project finance process, you sort of avoid sloppy docs that have your developer claim FM for permits lol
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Very kind of Wright to introduce the admins latest (unintended) decarb policy while he’s in NYC for Climate Week
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Feels like we will have our very own 1MDB… between this and the office of strategic capital not sure which one is more likely to produce indictments first
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Exploiting real estate zoning loopholes is like one of trumps sincere long held passions, it’s all so much more primitive than this stuff below
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
I am also in “a deciding mode” for this Sunday afternoon, options range from taking a nap, going for a run or meeting a friend for beers. Also open to doing nothing.
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
three new issue alerts in my inbox this morning... seems like a rush to try squeeze through the IPO window before it gets shut
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
DCs consume already close to 10% of Malaysian electricity generation. Not clear how sustainable a LNG reliant strategy is from this point onwards…
reuters.com
Malaysia's data centres guzzling more power as temperatures soar, officials say
Malaysia's data centres are consuming more power as temperatures rise, leaving a ​9 gigawatt gas-fired capacity gap for the government to fill by 2032, ‌officials said on Tuesday.
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Does summer break in Tehran overlap with our schedules? In any case it was nice for energy to chill a bit but now back to fundamentals
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
the pace of vance pr stories will increase dramatically as we approach 28 huh
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Doesn't seem great that the number of conflicts to monitor on liveuamap is increasing... yemen.liveuamap.com
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Intl and multilateral orgs that are in DC and not Beijing at this point have had no choice but tie themselves to whatever prevailing US admin wants for their self interest and survival, not sure this is all that surprising
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
we not have CFA bsky... oh my on a serious note, I only did level 1 (at the time involuntarily so) and having had zero finance background in college I think lv1 is the best quasi-academic crash course in broad finance you can do starting in the industry
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Reposted by NPV10
Casey Newton @caseynewton.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
UBS becomes the first bank to ask prospective employees: can you type into a box?
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
glass half full to this is that ai gas2power investment is speculative while crowding out fossil baseload growth in low/middle income in favor of quicker renewables transition. A potential undershoot in ai buildout (esp in gw vs $ terms) does not reverse the latter trend
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Datacenters are discovering ESG from first principles it seems. Figuring out (often fairly creative and elaborate ways) how to align local stakeholders with massive capex dev is usually an obvious step in project development alas the industry is acting as if it’s a novel concept
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Reposted by NPV10
advait @advaitarun.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
I said this about gas turbines for @heatmap.news last year but it’s striking to see it confirmed:
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
Of course Stephen Feinberg probably deserves it all and then some more regardless
bloomberg.com
Private Equity Targets America’s War Machine and Its $1 Trillion Budget
Deputy Defense Secretary Stephen Feinberg wants America’s war machine to get cozier with companies. The private equity firm he co-founded is building a constellation of next-generation businesses to a...
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
“Back at Camp David, as he was confronted by Trump over the bare weapons stockpile, Hegseth defended himself and blamed his deputy, Stephen Feinberg, for the shortages and for not ensuring Trump was fully apprised of the issue, both persons familiar said.” Our Fox News PR cosplay cabinet … jfc
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
On one hand, a lot of this is just cronyism, on the other it makes you wonder how much the resiliency of the US economy is enabling not just Trump admin but a lot to state & municipalities that otherwise would be in pretty rough shape right now and much more desperate for economic support
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
I don’t think there’s any one quick and easy tax policy fix in the us but you probably have to play whack-a-mole a lot more aggressively to avoid entrenched entitlement on the far end of the income spectrum (cf carried interest)
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
All the large renewable developers shifting to gas but refusing to update their save the world mission statements
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
My favorite part of this story. Which tech podcaster did they get instead of a DJ lol
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Feels like musk is going to instruct grok to go do some bad hacking stuff to keep up with the anthropic/oai humble brags of this week
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
One trend that’s not overly obvious in the financial discourse is the capex substitution by way of opex and as much contingent liabilities as ratings agencies will allow them to get away with. It’s unfortunately really hard to quantify how much is pushed out this way vs. own b/s capacity baseline
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
Imagine your main qualification for the job is to get this deal through and instead you get the largest (?) breakup fee in M&A history
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
Great job to the Paramounts head of legal who was ex anti trust head at Trump I DOJ.
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Yet Musk has been exceptionally successful in building massive datacenters largely due to a cavalier approach to laws&regs that other AI labs can’t stomach directly… that might be as valuable as hiring talent (which seems to be particularly mercenary in AI world, despite all the ethics posturing)
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
I don't think we appreciate enough just how much wealth Musk was able to generate by 10x-ing SpaceX over a 2-3 yr period: it permits him to acquire/merge a stagnating Tesla and still come out massively ahead in terms of his wealth (and control) vs. the alternative (dealing with a deflating balloon)
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
I think it would benefit Elon for SpaceX to be the hype-driven MuskCo pre-merger
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
Not that it matters for a MuskCo, but one problem with investing into asset heavy capacity is that it's basically impossible to achieve any meaningful profitability - despite $ bn in cash flow - under an infrastructure biz model if capital is raised at 50x P/B
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
Quite notable that unlike say Google et al, Anthropic as the *Public Benefit Corporation*, has zero public disclosure on its carbon foot print nor any carbon footprint commitments. Perhaps it’s time to get rid of the latest double bottom line zombie and start from scratch
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
Claude on track of having by far the worst carbon footprint of frontier models huh?
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Reposted by NPV10
whyambee.bsky.social @whyambee.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
should be kept in mind: the idea was to create collective farms (kolkhoz), kibbutzim sans self-governing or ability to sell freely their harvests. as the contemporary joke went: CPSU: create kolkhozes! JEWISH AUTONOMY: created! now please send the peasants
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
The exhausting discourse about Klein (podcast/NYT millennials), Yglesias (too online X/bsky millennials), et al represent a growing vacuum for fresh left of center pol discourse. Neither their content, nor objection to it, suggests an ability to shape or meaningfully assess the zeitgeist
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 11/07/2026
Re: OpenAI lawsuit, I don’t really understand how Apple had such lax cyber security policies. Senior exec just taking with them a second laptop to their next job and Apple not wiping this thing asap? Feels really strange coming from plain vanilla regulated finance world world
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
You get the sense that the takeaway from a lot of VC/Tech that ESG is woke and thus dead really did extend itself to the G part despite it being mostly about like following laws and mitigating very material compliance risks and conflicts
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
Great timing ahead of S1 disclosures.
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
Is there a market for whether he’s on Rogan or Tucker first?
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
I’m fairly cynical of the PBC concept’s ability to meaningfully secure private public alignment but the symbolism of appointing a figure whose legacy is (rightly or wrongly) the prioritization of financial markets over public/employment to the oversight board prior to the IPO surprises me still
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Setting up oversight board to be as market friendly/wall st name recognition as possible ahead of s1/IPO as not to scare the listing narrative with PBC governance structure
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
One of the more relatable trump moments to me
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
To the extent I think about SpaceX stock prices, I think it's useful to think of it as a combined MuskCo for various reasons that probably will become increasingly relevant
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Presumably part of Iranians newfound sovereignty over SoH requires them to shoot at vessels at fairly regular cadence (without necessarily escalating) to maintain its claims… not fun for the maritime industry there
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 05/07/2026
It’s a self selection mechanism as finance is fundamentally a trade where (like most professions) skills are taught on the job. The avg finance grad is far likely to be a better fit for the job than the avg humanities grad; but certain humanities grads make excellent/better finance professionals.
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 05/07/2026
Is it safe to return to DC today?
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
This project has been challenged long before current macro trends but a good heuristic for where global LNG markets are heading if middle income economies are abandoning lng2power projects to the point where turbines are sold for salvage/refurb value to the us
ieefa.org
Gas turbine sale signals the end of another Philippine LNG project
After more than a decade of delays, Australia-based Energy World Corporation’s (EWC) liquefied natural gas (LNG)-to-power project in the Philippines appears to have come to an end following the sale o...
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NPV10 @npv10.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
😂 for a second the MD vs MO typo caught me! Can’t imagine the level of mass freakout if this was announced in MoCo, MD
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