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Ryan Thibodaux

@notmrtibbs.com
18K followers 498 following 1K posts

Baseball Hall of Fame Ballot Tracker with @tonycal.bsky.social and @shutthedore.bsky.social Tracker: tracker.fyi

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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 15/03/2026
Very saddened to see the news that Carl Steward (@stewardsfolly.bsky.social) passed away. RIP to a Bay Area great.
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 21/01/2026
Fixed Félix Year 0 percent here (accidentally re-typed Pettitte's Year 0 number there).
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 21/01/2026
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 20/01/2026
This will need to be updated. Félix ties Aparicio for biggest all-time year over year gain (we'll have to dive into the decimal places to see who's actually #1). Utley and Pettitte also join the list.
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 20/01/2026
Full voting results per the BBWAA:
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 20/01/2026
We finish at 245 pre-results ballots. Thank you for following!
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 20/01/2026
Update at 243 ballots. Less than a half hour to go. We think we'll have our usual final two ballots from SNY right at the top of the hour. Anything else...?
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 20/01/2026
At 242 ballots:
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 20/01/2026
Ballot #241 is from John Shea. Holdovers Andruw Jones and Jimmy Rollins get carried over and are joined by Andy Pettitte (now +37) and Chase Utley (+25). Shea's column on his ballot will be published in the coming days at the San Francisco Standard. In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
John Shea's HOF ballot: Andruw, Pettitte (+1), Rollins, Utley (+1)
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 20/01/2026
After 239 ballots (and perhaps the busiest 45 minutes in Tracker history):
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 20/01/2026
Ballot #237 is from Tom Haudricourt. Four of his holdover make it back to his 2026 ballot, but Pedroia is dropped and falls to net +21. Carlos Beltrán inches closer to 90%. In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Tom Haudricourt's HOF ballot: Beltrán, Andruw, K-Rod, Utley. 
Pedrioa dropped.
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 20/01/2026
At 232 ballots:
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 20/01/2026
Ballot #232 is from the 2026 BBWAA Career Excellence Award winner Paul Hoynes. Along with 7 holdovers, Hoynes adds Hamels in his first year of eligibility along with Félix (+47) and Rollins (+16). Via the Cleveland Baseball Talk Pod: www.cleveland.com/guardians/20... In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Paul Hoynes' HOF Ballot: Beltrán, Buehrle, Hamels, Félix (+1), Torii, Andruw, Pedroia, K-Rod, Rollins (+1), Vizquel
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 20/01/2026
Meant to include this as the fourth pic...
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 20/01/2026
Net gained votes through 230 ballots (~54.2% of the vote): Félix +46 Pettitte +35 Utley +23 Pedroia +22 Abreu +18 Andruw +16 Rollins +15 Wright +14 Beltrán +12 Buehrle +12 A-Rod +10 K-Rod +8 Manny +7 Hunter +5 Vizquel +3
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 20/01/2026
With 229 ballots/~54.0% known: Beltrán 89.5% Andruw 82.5% - Utley 68.1% Pettitte 56.8% Félix 55.5% A-Rod 43.2% Manny 40.6% Abreu 38.9% Hamels 31.0% Pedroia 26.2% Rollins 25.8% Buehrle 23.1% Wright 19.7% Vizquel 12.2% K-Rod 11.4% Torii 6.1% - Braun 2.6% EE 0.9% Choo/Markakis/Pence/Porcello 0.4%
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 20/01/2026
Ballot #228 is from Pete Caldera. No adds or drops for returning candidates and no first-year candidates selected on his four-player ballot. Caldera's column: www.northjersey.com/story/sports... In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Pete Caldera's HOF ballot: Beltrán, Manny, A-Rod, Vizquel
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 20/01/2026
?
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 19/01/2026
Ballot #223 is from Bob Sherwin. No adds, drops or first-year candidates on Sherwin's ballot of four holdovers: Beltrán, Pedroia, Pettitte and Vizquel. In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Bob Sherwin's HOF ballot: Beltrán, Pedroia, Pettitte, Vizquel
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 19/01/2026
24 hours to go...
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 19/01/2026
Ballot #221 is from Nick Groke. No adds or drops for returning candidates and no first-year candidates selected. This is Abreu's second ever appearance on a ballot of 3 or fewer. Groke's explanatory thread: bsky.app/profile/nick... Tracker: tracker.fyi
Nick Groke's HOF ballot: Abreu, Beltrán, Utley
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 19/01/2026
And one last time for the cycle, some bonus charts: - Utley vs. Larry Walker's 2019 vs. Scott Rolen's 2021 (Walker was elected the next year in his final chance and Rolen was elected 2 years later) - Hamels in year one vs. Félix's year one last year - Andruw vs. Rolen 2023 (elected with 76.3%)
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 19/01/2026
And year over year tracking at 220 ballots for Félix Hernández, Andy Pettitte and Bobby Abreu (versus Larry Walker):
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 19/01/2026
Here's your #MicrofoftBrokeTheTracker screencap at 220 ballots, with year over year tracking at 220 ballots for Carlos Beltrán, Andruw Jones and Chase Utley:
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 19/01/2026
Ballot #218 is from John Perrotto. Ryan Braun has his sixth vote (2.8%) but is currently tracking below the 5% needed to secure an appearance on next year's ballot. Gaining Perrotto's vote this year are Pettitte (+32), Utley (+21) and Abreu (+15). In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
John Perrotto's HOF ballot: Abreu (+1), Beltrán, Braun, Andruw, Pettitte (+1), Manny, A-Rod, K-Rod, Utley (+1), Vizquel
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 19/01/2026
With 217 ballots/~51.2% known: Beltrán 88.9% Andruw 83.9% - Utley 67.7% Félix 57.1% Pettitte 56.7% A-Rod 42.4% Manny 39.6% Abreu 38.7% Hamels 31.8% Pedroia 26.3% Rollins 24.9% Buehrle 23.5% Wright 20.3% K-Rod 11.1% Vizquel 11.1% Torii 5.5% - Braun 2.3% EE 0.9% Choo/Markakis/Pence/Porcello 0.5%
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 18/01/2026
Ballot #213 comes via the Tampa Bay Times' group reveal and is from Eduardo A. Encina. He adds Abreu who improves to +14. First-year candidate Hamels is the other new vote to join four holdovers. TB Times group (below Topkin's column): www.tampabay.com/sports/rays/... In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Eduardo A. Encina's HOF ballot: Abreu (+1), Hamels, Félix, Andruw, Rollins, Utley
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 17/01/2026
And year over year tracking at 210 ballots for Félix Hernández, Andy Pettitte and Bobby Abreu (versus Larry Walker). I'll be out for the next few hours, so be sure to follow @shutthedore.bsky.social and @tonycal.bsky.social for any and all balloting updates!
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 17/01/2026
Here's your #MicrofoftBrokeTheTracker screencap at 210 ballots, with year over year tracking at 210 ballots for Carlos Beltrán, Andruw Jones and Chase Utley:
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 17/01/2026
Ballot #208 is from first-time voter Kyle Hightower. He checks the boxes of the two candidates currently above the 75% election threshold. Among the 36 first-timers to reveal their ballots so far, Beltrán is 36/36 (100%) and Andruw is 33-for-36 (91.7%). In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
First-time voter Kyle Hightower's HOF ballot: Beltrán, Andruw
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 16/01/2026
#MicrosoftBrokeTheTracker update @ 206 ballots. PSA for voters: last chance this cycle for a Friday night news dump ballot reveal!
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 16/01/2026
This voter was kind enough to write a mini ballot explainer column in our messages. Publishing here with permission:
•	King Félix has been terribly undersold so far in voting. He checks a ton of boxes. He was dominant in his era. 
•	Buehrle was the American League’s Tom Glavine. It boggles my mind that more people don’t see this. 
•	Abreu is vastly superior to Baines, and Baines got in. 
•	Jones has the resume, but I can’t get past the Christmas 2012 domestic incident. 
•	Beltrán has the resume, but I can’t get past the Astros cheating scandal.
[Ed. note: I then asked about Utley and Pettitte, since they are highest in vote share this year behind Beltrán and Jones]
•	Pettitte is a no because of PED admission.
•	Looking back on the ballot, I acknowledge that I vastly undersold Utley. I should have voted for him, on bWAR alone. My apologies to Utley. I will rectify if I am fortunate enough to vote again next year.
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 16/01/2026
Ballot #205 is from a voter who wishes to remain anonymous. We cannot report adds or drops if any on anonymous ballots. A 3-player ballot is the smallest public ballot that Abreu has ever appeared on and ties the smallest for Félix. Beltrán drops below 90%; Andruw below 84%. Tracker: tracker.fyi
Ballot from anonymous voter: Abreu, Buehrle, Félix
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 16/01/2026
With 204 ballots revealed/~48.1% known: Beltrán 90.2% Andruw 84.3% - Utley 69.1% Pettitte 58.3% Félix 57.4% A-Rod 43.1% Manny 40.2% Abreu 39.7% Hamels 31.4% Pedroia 27.0% Rollins 24.5% Buehrle 23.5% Wright 19.6% K-Rod 11.8% Vizquel 11.3% Torii 5.9% - Braun 2.5% EE 1.0% Choo/Markakis/Pence 0.5%
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 16/01/2026
Ballot #204 is from Tyler Kepner. No adds, drops or first-year selections. With more than half the ballots still remaining, David Wright has his 40th vote (received 32 all of last cycle). Pettitte has 119 (110 last year). Kepner's column: www.nytimes.com/athletic/696... In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Tyler Kepner's HOF Ballot: Beltrán, Andruw, Pettitte, Rollins, Utley, Wright
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 16/01/2026
Remarkable that you just, like, *remembered* this. 🤯
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 15/01/2026
Bonus charts @ 200 per @tonycal.bsky.social's request! - Utley vs. Larry Walker's 2019 vs. Scott Rolen's 2021 (Walker was elected the next year in his final chance and Rolen was elected 2 years later) - Hamels in year one vs. Félix's year one last year - Andruw vs. Rolen 2023 (elected with 76.3%)
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 15/01/2026
And year over year tracking at 200 ballots for Félix Hernández, Andy Pettitte and Bobby Abreu (versus Larry Walker):
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 15/01/2026
We made it to 200! Here's your #MicrofoftBrokeTheTracker screencap at 200 ballots, with year over year tracking at 200 ballots for Carlos Beltrán, Andruw Jones and Chase Utley:
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 15/01/2026
And finally from Newsday Sports, ballot #199 is from Roger Rubin. No adds or drops for returning candidates and no first-year candidates selected on his 2-player ballot. Newsday's group reveal: www.newsday.com/sports/baseb... In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Roger Rubin's HOF ballot: Beltrán, Andruw
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 15/01/2026
Ballot #196 is from David Lennon. He checks the names of his four holdovers and stops there with no adds or drops for returning candidates and no first-year candidates selected. Newsday group: www.newsday.com/sports/baseb... In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
David Lennon's HOF ballot: Beltrán, Andruw, Pettitte, Utley
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 15/01/2026
The Tracker Team welcomes Félix Hernández to the All-Time (Tracker Era) Full Cycle Net Gained Vote Leaderboard:
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 15/01/2026
Ballot #192 is from Mike Axisa. Félix gains again and is now net +41. Andruw gets his 12th gained vote with no drops. After missing election by 35 votes last year, Andruw is +12 and has votes from 32 of 35 first-timers. Axisa's column: www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/202... Tracker: tracker.fyi
Mike Axisa's HOF Ballot: Abreu, Beltrán, Buehrle, Hamels, Félix (+1), Andruw (+1). Pettitte, Manny, A-Rod, Utley
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 15/01/2026
And year over year tracking at 190 ballots for Félix Hernández, Andy Pettitte and Bobby Abreu (versus Larry Walker):
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 15/01/2026
Here's your #MicrofoftBrokeTheTracker screencap at 190 ballots, with year over year tracking at 190 ballots for Carlos Beltrán, Andruw Jones and Chase Utley:
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 15/01/2026
Looks like we're done for today. History suggests tomorrow will be an eventful one for our project. Summary at 189 ballots attached. #MicrosoftBrokeTheTracker
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 14/01/2026
Oops, that's supposed to say +39 for Felix of course.
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 14/01/2026
Net gained votes through 188 ballots (~44.3% of the vote): Félix +39 Pettitte +27 Utley +20 Pedroia +15 Abreu +12 Buehrle +11 Andruw +11 Rollins +11 Beltrán +10 Wright +10 A-Rod +9 K-Rod +7 Manny +6 Vizquel +2 Hunter +1 tracker.fyi
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 14/01/2026
Less than a week to go! Here's where things stand at 184 ballots. Should be a few dozen more to come by Tuesday afternoon...
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 14/01/2026
Looks like the football writer who bravely proposed a Tuesday afternoon sports posting blackout clicked "mute reply for everyone" on my reply, so here's what the post above is replying to, for anyone wondering:
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