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NonZero

@nonzeronews.bsky.social
623 followers 129 following 739 posts

Writing and podcasts about politics, human nature and tips on averting the apocalypse. Led by journalist and author @robertwrighter.bsky.social. Subscribe at nonzero.org

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Reposted by NonZero
American Prestige @amprestigepod.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
AP x NonZero - What’s Driving Dario? w/ @robertwrighter.bsky.social AP and @nonzeronews.bsky.social once again join forces. This time: Why the AI vibe shift? americanprestigepod.com/episodes/739...
americanprestigepod.com
American Prestige
“American Prestige” takes a comprehensive look at U.S. foreign policy and int'l affairs, providing listeners with everything they need to know about what's going on in the world.
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Is the AI "Slowdown" for Real? | @robertwrighter.bsky.social and AI analyst @thezvi.bsky.social discuss Dario Amodei's proposal to slow down AI—the logic behind it and the challenges ahead of it.
youtube.com
Is the AI "Slowdown" for Real? | Robert Wright & Zvi Mowshowitz
YouTube video by Nonzero
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
This is what businesses want. They want swarms of agents that you can give a mission, and they'll do it well. @robertwrighter.bsky.social on why we should expect AI agents to sacrifice themselves for the swarm, as they did during the OpenAI breakout.
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
The Week in AI that Changed the World | Liron Shapira, host of @doomdebates.bsky.social, and @robertwrighter.bsky.social discuss the epic AI vibe shift that was catalyzed by an Anthropic employee’s resignation—and the big AI stories that paved the way for it.
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The Week in AI that Changed the World | Robert Wright & Liron Shapira
YouTube video by Nonzero
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
"We are probably months away from AI systems getting out there loose in cyberspace, finding servers to run on unbeknownst to the people powering those servers." @scasper.bsky.social Full conversation: youtu.be/cUpa9E8RHAk
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
The AI Safety Vibe Shift | @davidskrueger.bsky.social, founder of AI safety nonprofit Evitable, joins @robertwrighter.bsky.social to discuss the OpenAI breakout and other recent AI developments—and how they’ve impacted prospects for an AI slowdown.
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The AI Safety Vibe Shift | Robert Wright & David Krueger
YouTube video by Nonzero
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
Trump’s Unending War | Curt Mills and Andrew Day of The American Conservative join @robertwrighter.bsky.social to discuss the state of the Iran war—how negotiations have been unfolding (and unraveling), what the war is doing to the MAGA coalition, and how the war could reshape the Middle East.
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Trump’s Unending War | Robert Wright, Curt Mills, and Andrew Day
YouTube video by Nonzero
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
The Stockfishification of everything @hamandcheese.bsky.social on Elon Musk's Stockfish analogy.
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
Fasten Your Bot-belts | Samuel Hammond (@hamandcheese.bsky.social) of FAI joins @robertwrighter.bsky.social to discuss the “Pacing the Frontier” letter in the context of the OpenAI “rogue” model escape and other signs of AI acceleration.
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Fasten Your Bot-belts | Robert Wright & Samuel Hammond
YouTube video by Nonzero
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Reposted by NonZero
jointorchbearer.bsky.social @jointorchbearer.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
There is a long history of Silicon Valley assuming that market conditions can handle AI safety. Connor Leahy explains the flaw to @robertwrighter.bsky.social on the Nonzero podcast. Private markets run on profit incentives, not global coordination. Check out the clip, then watch the full video below
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
Are the Ukraine and the Iran Wars Merging? | @robertwrighter.bsky.social and Nikita Petrov discuss whether Ukraine's strike on an Iranian ship may lead to WW3 and whether Ukraine's drone incursions into Russia have really turned the tide.
youtu.be
Are the Ukraine and the Iran Wars Merging? | Robert Wright & Nikita Petrov
YouTube video by Nonzero
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
Last week two seemingly unrelated events, one in the tech world and one in Trump world, together illustrated how unprepared the planet is for the AI revolution—in particular, for its potential to create international turmoil, up to and including nuclear war.
nonzero.org
Trump and the AI rational actor problem
A new theory about why foreign policy elites aren't worried enough. Plus: Graph of the week.
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
"People don't want unelected billionaires in Silicon Valley gambling with the lives of them and their family. No one wants this." Connor Leahy (@npcollapse.bsky.social) of @controlai.com argues the superintelligence problem is political, not technical.
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
The Ideology Behind AI | @robertwrighter.bsky.social and Connor Leahy (@npcollapse.bsky.social), US executive director of @controlai.com, discuss the history of AI culture and the influences that shaped it—from the hippies, to the rationalists, to Marx, to sci-fi stories, and more.
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The Ideology Behind AI | Robert Wright & Connor Leahy
YouTube video by Nonzero
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
Trump’s Self-Inflicted Iran Quagmire | @robertwrighter.bsky.social and journalist Zaid Jilani discuss the latest on the Iran war and how the US, Israel, and Iran have played—and misplayed—their hands in the conflict.
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Trump’s Self-Inflicted Iran Quagmire | Robert Wright & Zaid Jilani
YouTube video by Nonzero
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
Iran, Israel, and the Future of US Power | @robertwrighter.bsky.social and @amprestigepod.bsky.social hosts @dwdavison.bsky.social and @dbessner.bsky.social discuss the state of the Iran war and its fallout for America and the world.
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Iran, Israel, and the Future of US Power | Robert Wright, Derek Davison, and Daniel Bessner
YouTube video by Nonzero
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
Putin's two options:
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
Are Russia and NATO Headed for War? | As the NATO summit kicks off, @robertwrighter.bsky.social and journalist @leonidragozin.bsky.social discuss signs that the Ukraine war could spill into a direct conflict between Russia and members of NATO.
youtu.be
Are Russia and NATO Headed for War? | Robert Wright & Leonid Ragozin
YouTube video by Nonzero
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Reposted by NonZero
Robert Wright @robertwrighter.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
If you've been lying awake at night wondering what exactly the title of my new book on AI means, your ship has come in. In the latest @nonzeronews.bsky.social I provide the definitive exegesis.
nonzero.org
What is the "God test"?
Explaining the title of my new book on AI.
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
"We are the environment of AI's evolution. And unlike the environment of biological evolution, we are reflective and aware and conscious." @robertwrighter.bsky.social discussing his new book The God Test on @jacklgoldsmith.bsky.social's Executive Functions. www.execfunctions.org/p/the-god-test
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
Seeing China Clearly | Trans-Pacific tech watcher @tfa.ng joins @robertwrighter.bsky.social to take a close look at China—including how the government works (and doesn’t), online censorship, how China sees AI and the chip war, the legacy of the one-child policy, and more.
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Seeing China Clearly | Robert Wright & Tianyu Fang
YouTube video by Nonzero
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 30/05/2026
It’s not every day that an emerging technology is deemed important enough to get this kind of treatment. In fact, it’s not even every century. @robertwrighter.bsky.social www.nonzero.org/p/ais-papal-...
nonzero.org
AI's Papal Audience
Plus: Graphs of the Week
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Reposted by NonZero
Robert Wright @robertwrighter.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Trump's all-too-rare cooperative impulses should be encouraged. But when he expresses them, the MSM and the Blob give him negative feedback. My @nonzeronews.bsky.social piece on the US-China summit:
nonzero.org
Trump's accidental triumph in Beijing
Plus: Bipartisan AI anxiety in vivid form.
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
www.nonzero.org/p/trumps-acc...
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 16/05/2026
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
Is the AI Takeoff Starting? | Timothy B. Lee (@binarybits.bsky.social), author of the Understanding AI newsletter and host of the AI Summer podcast, joins @robertwrighter.bsky.social to discuss whether AI is a “normal technology” or something much, much more.
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Is the AI Takeoff Starting? | Robert Wright & Timothy B. Lee
YouTube video by Nonzero
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Is intelligence an absolute good? @robertwrighter.bsky.social and @paulbloomatyale.bsky.social disagree. Full discussion: youtu.be/KBlZ8AuWU1Q
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
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Reposted by NonZero
Robert Wright @robertwrighter.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
I had a predictably illuminating conversation about the prospects for a US-Iran peace deal with Rob Malley, who played a lead role in negotiating the Obama nuclear deal with Iran.
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
Can Trump and Iran Make a Deal? | Rob Malley—a lead negotiator for Obama’s 2015 nuclear deal with Iran—and @robertwrighter.bsky.social discuss what kind of deal between Trump and Iran is conceivable and what kinds of leverage both sides have.
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Can Trump and Iran Make a Deal? | Robert Wright & Robert Malley
YouTube video by Nonzero
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 18/04/2026
You're obviously not gonna be able to confront China in East Asia. You can't even confront Iran. @dbessner.bsky.social criticizes the blob for holding on to the idea of American hegemony in East Asia.
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 18/04/2026
Iran and the Demise of US Hegemony | Robert Wright and American Prestige hosts @dwdavison.bsky.social and @dbessner.bsky.social discuss whether Trump and Iran can reach a peace deal, who's winning the Hormuz blockade duel, and what it all means for America’s global standing.
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Iran and the Demise of US Hegemony | Robert Wright, Derek Davison, and Daniel Bessner
YouTube video by Nonzero
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
Can AI Stop Wars? | @robertwrighter.bsky.social and Nikita Petrov discuss whether AI could help resolve international conflicts as the world edges toward catastrophe. Plus: Trump's "act of war" in the Strait of Hormuz, the AI model so dangerous Anthropic delayed its release, and more.
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Can AI Stop Wars? | Robert Wright & Nikita Petrov
YouTube video by Nonzero
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
Iran's War for a New Middle East Order | Hooman Majd, author of the memoir Minister Without Portfolio, joins @robertwrighter.bsky.social to discuss Iran’s strategic goals, the prospects for regime survival, and the US's missed opportunities for entente with Iran.
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Iran's War for a New Middle East Order | Robert Wright & Hooman Majd
YouTube video by Nonzero
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
Israel, Iran, and Antisemitism | @robertwrighter.bsky.social and @peterbeinart.bsky.social, publisher of The Beinart Notebook, discuss how Trump and Bibi’s war with Iran risks fueling antisemitism. Plus: Tucker vs Fuentes on Israel, the ADL’s counterproductive speech policing, Epstein, and more.
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Israel, Iran, and Antisemitism | Robert Wright & Peter Beinart
YouTube video by Nonzero
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
Will Trump Pull the Trigger on Iran? | @robertwrighter.bsky.social and Middle East expert Joshua Landis discuss the logic (or lack thereof) behind air strikes—and the implications for the US, Israel, and the wider region.
youtu.be
Iran War II | Robert Wright & Joshua Landis
YouTube video by Nonzero
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
"We don't know what AGI or superintelligence will ultimately deliver. But we know it's coming. And we must plan now to make sure we have the energy infrastructure to support it." — Eric Schmidt. New piece on who's driving the AI race — and why the urgency deserves scrutiny.
nonzero.org
“Winning the AI race” could be bad for the world
Plus: Misleading graphs of the week
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
"The race itself is inherently dangerous, since the side that's losing could decide that it has to resort to extreme measures if it wants to escape subjugation." More from @robertwrighter.bsky.social on the race to superintelligence/AGI:
nonzero.org
“Winning the AI race” could be bad for the world
Plus: Misleading graphs of the week
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
The latest Earthling questions the common assumption that the US is in some sense better than China and will thus handle the dominance granted by AI supremacy more virtuously and responsibly than China would. @robertwrighter.bsky.social
nonzero.org
“Winning the AI race” could be bad for the world
Plus: Misleading graphs of the week
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
"We'll probably need superintelligence to help us figure out the new governance mechanisms that superintelligence will demand." — Sam Altman. New piece by @robertwrighter.bsky.social on the AI race — and whether winning it would actually be good for the world:
nonzero.org
“Winning the AI race” could be bad for the world
Plus: Misleading graphs of the week
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
The visual display of quantitative information can be powerful; a glance at a good graph can give you the big picture fast. By the same token, visually displayed data can be subtly, yet powerfully, misleading.
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
After Russia's invasion of Ukraine, there was more American bemoaning of the invasion of a democracy by an autocracy than of the invasion of a sovereign nation, even though sovereignty, not democracy, is what made the invasion illegal. Racing China to AGI shares the same underlying perspective.
nonzero.org
“Winning the AI race” could be bad for the world
Plus: Misleading graphs of the week
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 22/02/2026
Would AI-powered American dominance of Planet Earth, if achieved, be a good thing?
nonzero.org
“Winning the AI race” could be bad for the world
Plus: Misleading graphs of the week
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
The "Manichaean" framing of democracy vs. autocracy has stalled AI safety cooperation with China. Ironically, Trump’s transactional realism might make rapprochement possible under the right circumstances. www.nonzero.org/p/trump-ai
nonzero.org
Trump + AI = ?
The case for hope. (Plus: graphs of the week)
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
The dashed curve is the curve that was fit to the data that existed as of the spring of last year. More: www.nonzero.org/p/trump-ai
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
The tech industry and the AI-skeptics in the MAGA base would make strange bedfellows on AI. But a sufficiently alarming AI incident could unite both groups around regulation—especially if Trump is persuaded that his legacy depends on it.
nonzero.org
Trump + AI = ?
The case for hope. (Plus: graphs of the week)
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
"Trump is just another business hack who hates regulation when it hurts him and likes it when it helps him." @robertwrighter.bsky.social argues that there are circumstances under which Trump could pivot and embrace AI regulation. www.nonzero.org/p/trump-ai
nonzero.org
Trump + AI = ?
The case for hope. (Plus: graphs of the week)
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NonZero @nonzeronews.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
Data via @Gallup.com www.nonzero.org/p/trump-ai
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