Sign in

Nick Messenger

@nickmessenger.bsky.social
103 followers 88 following 114 posts

PhD | Senior Economist at the Ohio River Valley Institute |Ohio State Agricultural Environmental & Development Economics |Studying regional and energy economics, AI growth, and industrial decarbonization. Views my own.

PostsRepliesMedia
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
This is a conscious strategy called “starving the beast”
000
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Loudoun County, Virginia is the richest county in the US just outside Washington, D.C. Data center advocates who say small rural towns can replicate its economic success and simultaneously give away special tax breaks to AI companies are dishonest. Here’s why: www.thepublicgood.net/p/dcs-riches...
thepublicgood.net
D.C.’s richest suburb has had a very different data center experience than rural America.
Rural communities don’t want to be “backwards and poor,” as the President said, but they also likely can’t be Loudoun County, Virginia.
000
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
Actually, a lazy, “one size fits all” data centers ban is a symptom of our inability to govern effectively on AI, energy, environmental, and antitrust issues. www.thepublicgood.net/p/just-banni...
thepublicgood.net
Just banning data centers is bad, actually.
Nuance is bad politics, but smart policy.
000
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
I’ve been hyper critical of AI data centers but this is a case where politics > good policy. A ban is a lazy substitute for actual governance on AI, privacy, environmental, and antitrust issues. www.thepublicgood.net/p/just-banni...
thepublicgood.net
Just banning data centers is bad, actually.
Nuance is bad politics, but smart policy.
000
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
My new piece distills some of the debate around the Warren-Moreno proposal to maintain social security benefits and lift the payroll tax cap on incomes over $184,500. The probable alternative—automatic 22% cuts—devastates Appalachians in particular. ohiorivervalleyinstitute.org/the-warren-m...
ohiorivervalleyinstitute.org
The Warren-Moreno proposal prevents Social Security cuts that could cost elderly Appalachians over $4,000 per year. – Ohio River Valley Institute
Lifting the Social Security payroll tax cap would bring in over $3 trillion and keep the program solvent into the next generation.
000
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
I really don’t get the fuss over the reflecting pool and Abearham Lincoln Memorial??
000
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
Genuinely curious how long he can manage to jawbone oil down with tweets— er— “truths”
000
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
The average American is exactly where they were economically at 11:59am on January 20, 2025 when Joe Biden was still the President. The only difference is that now there are more dead American soldiers and dead Iranians.
010
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
Last week’s higher-than-expected jobs report was fueled primarily by seasonal hiring in hospitality (summer travel + the U.S. is preparing to host the World Cup…) and local government hiring (seasonal park employees, etc). I’d still be skeptical declaring the economy is “strong”
020
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
Bombing water and other civilian infrastructure in 100 degree heat is how you create the next generation of anti-American extremists, btw www.nytimes.com/live/2026/06...
nytimes.com
Iran War Live Updates: U.S.-Iran Strikes Risk Dangerous New Phase
000
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
I am often critical of JobsOhio and the corporate welfare model of economic development. But I also try to call balls and strikes & this approach could be a good step in a better direction for JobsOhio. Less smokestack chasing, more investment in our people. www.jobsohio.com/newsroom/new...
jobsohio.com
Gov. DeWine, Lt. Gov. Tressel, JobsOhio Announce $300M Experiential Learning Initiative to Address Talent Gaps and Bolster Career Awareness
010
Reposted by Nick Messenger
Buckeye Environmental Network @buckeyeenviro.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
“Freepoint’s Hebron plastic incinerator was an environmental health disaster that exemplified the reality of the so-called 'chemical recycling' industry,” BEN organizer Cat Adams said in a news release.
newarkadvocate.com
Freepoint Eco-Systems suspends recycling operations at Hebron plant
Freepoint Eco-Systems informed the Ohio EPA that it suspended recycling operations at its Hebron plant, which had been found noncompliant multiple times.
011
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
000
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
Despite Trump scaring paper oil prices down with vague “Iran deal” talk, there is a harsh physical reality coming as oil reserves hit bottom this summer. The price of gas has risen ~40% *with* the reserves during war. Each day the Strait of Hormuz remains closed makes the looming energy shock worse
023
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
If this is true, I’ve never been less proud to be an American. Targeting first responders with a second strike on a bridge is un-American. Becoming terrorists to fight terrorism is disgusting.
000
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
This remake is weird. The target audience seems to be millennial parents who want to introduce their sub 10yo kids to Potter. But it’s not like the movies have aged that poorly? I have friends “looking forward” to it but it’s not an “omg” excitement. Tough to see it sustaining viewers for 10 years
050
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
“Mexico will pay for the wall”
170
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Hopefully lawmakers don’t revive this version of “Team WV” down the road. The data shows, as we wrote this week, that JobsOhio’s results don’t match the privatization hype. ohiorivervalleyinstitute.org/copying-and-...
ohiorivervalleyinstitute.org
Copying and pasting ‘JobsOhio’ is a bad idea for West Virginia. – Ohio River Valley Institute
JobsOhio, the state's economic development arm, hasn’t delivered a jobs boom. Copying the program won't help West Virginians, either.
001
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Following great work by @ohiocapitaljournal.com and Scioto Analysis, this week at ORVI I deep dive the economic report card after 15 years of JobsOhio. This is important as West Virginia legislators plan to copy the private economic development program. ohiorivervalleyinstitute.org/copying-and-...
ohiorivervalleyinstitute.org
Copying and pasting ‘JobsOhio’ is a bad idea for West Virginia. – Ohio River Valley Institute
JobsOhio, the state's economic development arm, hasn’t delivered a jobs boom. Copying the program won't help West Virginians, either.
043
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
West Virginia legislators are misguided in their latest attempt to copy Ohio by privatizing the state’s economic development. I chronicle JobsOhio’s shortcomings in great detail in this week’s post. open.substack.com/pub/ohiorive...
open.substack.com
Copying and pasting ‘JobsOhio’ is a bad idea for West Virginia.
By Nick Messenger, Economist & Senior Researcher
010
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
Trump really trying to speed run Bush’s second term.
000
Reposted by Nick Messenger
Jacobin @jacobinmag.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
It’s not enough just to oppose this war on Iran. We should demand major cuts to the US military budget, starting with cutting it in half.
jacobin.com
Cut the Military Budget in Half
It’s not enough just to oppose this war on Iran. We should demand major cuts to the US military budget, starting with cutting it in half.
24213
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
And so many policies he has enacted that raise prices at the same time: more LNG exports, data center expansion (even behind the grid, they need their own fuel), tariffs on materials & equipment for infrastructure, & cutting off support for renewable development. open.substack.com/pub/ohiorive...
open.substack.com
Why “drill, baby, drill” won’t lower your utility bills
Increasing fracking and drilling operations could help energy companies, foreign consumers, tech companies, and shareholders— but not struggling Americans.
000
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
This week, I wrote about the mismatch between President Trump’s “drill, baby, drill” supply side rhetoric and the demand side energy realities. What is driving our utility bills higher? substack.com/profile/6007...
substack.com
Ohio River Valley Institute (@ohiorivervalleyinstitute)
How is it that America can be producing more energy than ever before, yet our utility bills continue to rise? And, more importantly, what is the likelihood that the Trump administration will be able t...
000
Reposted by Nick Messenger
Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
On immigration: "I often am asked to speak as an economist. And what we should never lose sight of is that each of us is a moral being. And you, as I, have to decide how we feel about this form of rhetoric."
401086377
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
This will be the first of many such announcements. I really don’t think the global economy is ready for the restructuring that is starting to hit.
010
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
It’s going to be a tumultuous year. www.cnbc.com/2026/02/26/b...
cnbc.com
Block shares soar 24% as company slashes workforce by nearly half
Block said Thursday it's laying off more than 4,000 employees, or about half of its headcount.
000
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
Truly the best graph on AI that I’ve seen.
000
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
What shouldn’t be missed is that between the bragging and blaming, President Trump offered exactly zero new policy ideas in last night’s State of the Union. No concrete or realistic plans to help address the economic struggles normal Americans are feeling.
043
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
It also seems like just yesterday I remember being told by the Biden admin that there were no workarounds to Supreme Court rulings and student loans would just need repaid. 🥺 Time flies
010
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
“Plans a workaround” is a hell of a way to say “President vows to continue illegal thing court already ruled on”
110
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
@fractracker.bsky.social
000
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
I cross-referenced FracTracker’s US data center dataset with whether their state offers a sales tax exemption for data centers — $100s of millions in chips & cooling equipment. Tech companies chase these tax breaks. Revenue that could support schools, police, roads, & other services for residents.
100
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
A quick summary of Friday’s jobs data, including some white collar AI and manufacturing industry trends I’m tracking. In short, it’s probably the worst year to be graduating with a college degree since 2009. DOGE deferred resignations also showing up publicgood.substack.com/p/jobs-round...
publicgood.substack.com
Jobs Roundup: January 2026
A quick overview of the newest U.S. jobs numbers and industry trends and AI.
000
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
This is a textbook example of “actions speak louder than words.”
000
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
What a dumb op ed of made up facts.The kid “might have” had a gun! (he didn’t) The professor could be “protecting people in the classroom behind him” (it was an elevator). How did he get in the building?! (It’s public) Slop from The Dispatch to waste e-space on this www.dispatch.com/story/opinio...
dispatch.com
‘Clown’ OSU professor tackled is lucky he didn't tangle with guys I know | Opinion
John Fortney: Some of the guys I trained with would’ve made sure the hoodie-wearing cameraman tackled by an Ohio State professor didn’t get up.
000
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Analysis has shown that leftover brine from oil and gas drilling, while cheaper than salt, often has high levels of radium and other heavy metals. Banning it from streets, where it seeps into ground water and local waterways, would protect millions of Ohioans abc6onyourside.com/news/local/o...
abc6onyourside.com
Ohio Democrats push to ban 'radioactive brine' as an ice remover for state roadways
Democratic state lawmakers are pushing to ban the use of oil and gas brine on Ohio roadways, warning that the common winter de-icing practice is "infecting" the
000
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Legislature: *cuts billions from public schools in their budget* Legislature: “property taxes are too high! Why are you guys cutting so much? The schools are not being responsible!”
000
Reposted by Nick Messenger
Jim Small @jimsmall.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
This professor, Luke Perez, used to teach at ASU. He was an instructor for the School of Civic and Economic Thought and Leadership, the "freedom school" that was launched with Koch money before the #azleg pumped millions into it. Background on that: azcir.org/news/2018/05...
13010
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Looking forward to digging into this new book from chrisbriem.bsky.social about the future (or lack thereof) of steel in Pittsburgh. Seems to dovetail with much of my own work— smokestack chasing & corporate welfare rather than reckoning with deindustrialization head-on has put our region behind.
000
Reposted by Nick Messenger
Ohio Capital Journal @ohiocapitaljournal.com · 11/02/2026
U.S. job estimates for 2025 were revised down this week by more than a million jobs, to a level of low growth rarely seen outside of recessions. ohiocapitaljournal.com/2026/02/11/r...
ohiocapitaljournal.com
Jobs report shows a historic stall in hiring last year • Ohio Capital Journal
U.S. job estimates for 2025 were revised down this week by more than a million jobs, to a level of low growth rarely seen outside of recessions.
175
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
As always, thanks to @rooster.info for being unafraid to name names and post the receipts.
040
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Ah yes, the Chase Center for Civics, Culture, and Society at Ohio State…where you get violently assaulted for legally asking questions about former board chair Les Wexner’s known connections to Epstein in public spaces. My alma mater continues its streak of embarassments www.wosu.org/politics-gov...
wosu.org
Ohio State Chase Center professor placed on administrative leave after assaulting cameraman
The Ohio political blog, The Rooster, published video showing Chase Center Assistant Professor Luke Perez hitting a cameraman and then throwing him to the ground.
1142
Reposted by Nick Messenger
Jonathan M. Katz @katz.theracket.news · 11/02/2026
This is El Paso, where the airspace has been shut down without explanation for ten days btw
341380673
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
To be clear, I’m just “educated speculating” from what publicly is available. I hope I’m wrong. :(
110
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Probably not possible or safe to attempt if you’ve also got public commercial passengers coming and going. Also invites protesters and advocates. Mexican airspace did not have an advisory, which makes me suspect it’s not military action.
010
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Depending on the source you’ve got about 80,000 detainees nationally. If you’re moving a sizable chunk through the airport in a short time frame, I think it’s less about the airspace and more about them setting up processing at the airport. Flights coming and going. Booking. Bus loading.
210
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
sahanjournal.com/immigration/...
sahanjournal.com
Federal ruling allows immigrants to be held indefinitely in Texas
A ruling by the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals on Friday means immigrants held in Texas now have limited legal options and indefinite timelines for detention. And in Minnesota, immigration authorities...
000
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
elpasomatters.org/2026/02/06/e...
elpasomatters.org
DHS buys El Paso warehouses for $123 million ICE mega detention center as deportation capacity expands nationwide
El Paso is a strategic location for the Trump administration because of Biggs Army Airfield, from which deportation flights have increasingly taken place. The mega facility is among several nationwide...
000
Nick Messenger @nickmessenger.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
A few source articles: www.nytimes.com/live/2026/02...
nytimes.com
Live Updates: F.A.A. Halts All Flights at El Paso Airport for 10 Days
000