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Nico Napolio

@nicholasnapolio.bsky.social
502 followers 553 following 47 posts

Assistant Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside 🏳️‍🌈

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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
Thanks, David! Glad you found them helpful :)
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David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
Strongly recommend this excellent set of videos for learning about formal models in political science by @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social youtube.com/@animated-po...
nicholasnapolio.bsky.social
Nico Napolio (@nicholasnapolio.bsky.social)
Assistant Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside 🏳️‍🌈
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 22/09/2025
Here's a video explaining Pivotal Politics that's appropriate for anyone with some familiarity with basic spatial models that I made for my honors "Theories of American Political Institutions" class this fall Let me know if you find it useful! youtu.be/Ofn6ueuNkSo?...
youtu.be
Pivotal Politics: Simulating the US Congress
YouTube video by Animated Politics
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 09/09/2025
The full video with explanations and audio is coming soon!
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 09/09/2025
I've had a lot of fun this summer animating classic (but technical) political science theories for a class I'm teaching this quarter These two figures confused me a TON when I first saw them in Pivotal Politics as a first year grad student
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Good Authority @goodauth.bsky.social · 08/09/2025
Hurricanes can bring disaster. Presidents can help – or not. Are we playing politics with disasters? Read the latest from @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social: goodauthority.org/news/hurrica...
goodauthority.org
Hurricanes can bring disaster. Presidents can help – or not.
The White House has weakened FEMA’s ability to respond to natural disasters.
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UCR Political Science @ucrpolisci.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
Check out this new @bjpols.bsky.social article from Asst. Prof. @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social: “Executive Policymaking Coalitions, Veto Activation, and Collective Action Problems.” The article explores how agency coalitions activate veto points and leverage congressional collective action problems.
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 29/08/2025
Here's the link: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
cambridge.org
Executive Policymaking Coalitions, Veto Activation, and Collective Action Problems | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core
Executive Policymaking Coalitions, Veto Activation, and Collective Action Problems - Volume 55
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 29/08/2025
Instead, they can amplify gridlock between electorally induced changes in partisan and ideological coalitions by collaborating with other agencies to create ideological divisions among existing overseers
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 29/08/2025
Existing theories of multiple principals overseeing the bureaucracy have ignored strategies agencies can use to exploit legislative collective action problems. Bureaucrats do not always have to wait for gridlock in Congress resulting from biannual elections.
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 29/08/2025
I use a simple spatial model to show the conditions under which agency coalitions allow agencies to induce collective action problems. I then test the implications of the model with decades of data and dozens of federal agencies.
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 29/08/2025
The final paper from my dissertation is now out in @bjpols.bsky.social! I argue that federal agencies collaborate in the policymaking process in order to induce collective action problems in Congress and to pit oversight committees against each other so that agency policies stick.
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British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 27/08/2025
NEW - Executive Policymaking Coalitions, Veto Activation, and Collective Action Problems - cup.org/3UNAjok - Nicholas G. Napolio #OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract discussing the influence of federal agencies on collaborative oversight and legislative actions in the U.S., analyzing agency cooperation problems, the role of veto points, and the impact on policy-making. The background is light green with the text highlighted in white.
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 07/08/2025
They'll be featured at @goodauth.bsky.social too! bsky.app/profile/good...
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 07/08/2025
I've spent part of my summer working on a series of videos designed to introduce students to the workhorse spatial model of politics. If you teach spatial models of politics, feel free to use! Any suggestions on content or presentation are very welcome as I haven't tested these with anyone yet.
youtube.com
One Dimensional Spatial Politics: The Median Voter Theorem
YouTube video by Animated Politics
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Good Authority @goodauth.bsky.social · 06/08/2025
🚨 RESOURCE ALERT! 🚨 We have a new teaching resource for you: Animated Politics. This video series explains the logic, math, and science behind politics. Watch and share: goodauthority.org/news/animate...
goodauthority.org
Animated Politics, a new teaching resource.
This video series explains the logic, math, and science behind politics.
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 17/07/2025
🚨New publication in JPIPE🚨 I scale executive agencies along a liberal –conservative dimension using LLMs to produce dynamic measures of ideology spanning 1949–2020. Estimates and pre-print available on my website, linked here: nicholasnapolio.com/research
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
Really happy to share my paper "Executive Policymaking Coalitions, Veto Activation, and Collective Action Problems" has been conditionally accepted at the BJPS!
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 20/05/2025
Thanks, Mike!
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Christian Grose @christiangrose.bsky.social · 16/05/2025
Photo from this year's USC graduation! 2025 PhD graduates @alcocerjj.bsky.social & @rcenteno.bsky.social alongside 2023 Phd @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social, who was visiting campus! Jose is off to Harvard, Raquel is off to Caltech, and Nico is tenure-track at UC, Riverside! #USCgrad @usc.edu
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 16/05/2025
In the paper, I develop a formal theory of legislator preferences for enforcing the separation of powers, describe theoretically derived measures of those preferences, and estimate them using ~1.3 million individual legislator decisions between 1973-2024. Please DM if you'd like to see the draft :)
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 16/05/2025
Very excited to share a new project I've been working on. MCs have a statistically detectable preference for enforcing the separation of powers, but it is rarely big enough to dominate their policy preferences and affect their roll call vote choices. Very early project - open to all feedback!
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Bill Resh @billresh.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
Looking fwd to Jeff Jenkins' PIPE workshop on 4/15 at @priceschool.usc.edu w/ @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social as discussant. I'll present a new @usc-clear.bsky.social paper on the impact of genAI on the U.S. fed civil service (arxiv.org/abs/2503.09637).
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UCR Political Science @ucrpolisci.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
Congratulations to all the graduate students who presented work at #MPSA2025! We had an amazing showing from our department. #polisky
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
My inaugural Good Authority post!
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 11/03/2025
Coming to MPSA 2025! I've organized a conference-within-a-conference on the separation of powers. We've got a great lineup of scholars working at the intersection of legislative and executive politics. And I'm very grateful to the @dfadcoalition.bsky.social for sponsoring the CwC!
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 27/02/2025
Excited to join the team! I’ll be writing about one post a month on American political institutions and current events.
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 27/12/2024
Conclave being about spatial voting with a valence dimension?? Best picture, now.
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
Any time!
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
You're welcome! I wanted to see whether agencies publish rules more frequently on pro forma vs normal legislative days. I don't have the underlying data anymore (dead hard drive...) but these were my super rudimentary models.
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
It also tells you when they met and adjourned, which at one point I had scraped and had a measure of how many minutes each chamber was in session, but that's on a hard drive that died :(
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
I did this once for a project that didn't go anywhere, but I got the Daily Digest (www.govinfo.gov/app/collecti...) for each day from the GovInfo API. If one chamber is in session and the other isn't, it will say that that chamber was adjourned that day. So you can automate that by scraping the text
govinfo.gov
GovInfo
Official Publications from the U.S. Government Publishing Office.
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
I think we get the same result. If people vote retrospectively, they want to punish Biden for the state of country. If you kick out of office someone you think is leading it in the wrong direction, presumably you should update your belief about the direction of the country.
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
If someone is happy with the results of an election, it’s not surprising to me that they’re happy with the way things are going. If people vote prospectively about what they want government to do, and their candidate wins, they should rationally believe the country is going in the right direction.
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
I agree! I see people implicitly (or explicitly) making that argument though.
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
I believe it’s an index of both current and prospective questions
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
It's not immediately clear to me that (1) is the right theory.
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
Two theories of why partisans have different perceptions of the economy: (1) partisans are motivated reasoners who don't understand that "the economy" didn't change overnight or (2) partisans choose the party they think will improve their economic fortunes therefore winning improves the economy.
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
Agreed. I guess my point was that the *arguments* that the election was about the economy AND that voters are wrong to update their perceptions about the economy after the winner is revealed doesn't make a ton of sense to me. Regardless of the soundness of either argument, the two are inconsistent.
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
It seems difficult to argue both that this was an election about the economy on the one hand, but on the other that voters are irrational for updating their perceptions of the economy after making a decision based on their beliefs about the impact of the candidates' economic platforms.
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
If it's true that people voted their pocketbooks and therefore that Trump voters selected him because they believe he's better for their economic fortunes, then of course their perceptions of "the economy" (their future prospects) will increase after he's elected.
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
I'm not sure "voters are dumb" is the right conclusion to be drawn from data on differences in partisan perceptions of the economy.
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UCR Political Science @ucrpolisci.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
Join us for a conversation with faculty to talk about the election this Wednesday. See the flyer below for details.
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
(Doing this instead of engaging with Matt Gaetz news, btw)
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
He makes an argument that is pretty political-science-y. The admin state was created by liberals and was controlled by them until the conservative turn > liberal policies are the SQ > impediments to change entrench SQs disfavored by conservatives > conservatives should embrace administrative power
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Somehow have never come across this article written by Scalia in 1981 arguing that Republicans should abandon their support of limitations on agency action since they now controlled the administrative state. Later he'd support Chevron deference, totally consistent. www.cato.org/sites/cato.o...
cato.org
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 22/10/2023
Thanks David!
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 20/10/2023
I'm happy to announce that Jeff Jenkins and I have signed a contract with Cambridge University Press to write the book, "Political Parties, Congressional Politics, and the American Civil War."
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David Ryan Miller @davidryanmiller.com · 17/10/2023
Two major events are taking place on October 27: 1) The release of 1989 (Taylor's Version) 2) The 2023 SoCal PIPE Conference at @ucrpolisci.bsky.social If you're in the area and want to learn about political institutions/economy, join us! P.S. There *may* be touches of Swift interspersed
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Nico Napolio @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · 12/10/2023
My article “Executive Coalition Building” is now published open access in the Journal of Public Policy 🎉 www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
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