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Nicholas Carl

@nicholasacarl.bsky.social
393 followers 326 following 17 posts

Assistant director of the Critical Threats Project at the American Enterprise Institute | Managing joint research with ISW | Strategic and military analysis on Middle East and Indo-Pacific

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Reposted by Nicholas Carl
Critical Threats Project @criticalthreats.bsky.social · 27/10/2025
NEW | CTP’s @nicholasacarl.bsky.social and @briancarter.bsky.social assess risks and opportunities for the US in Iran in their latest report, “The State of the Axis of Resistance.” Read the full report: www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/the... Here are their key points: (1/3)
criticalthreats.org
The State of the Axis of Resistance: Assessing Risks and Opportunities for the United States
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Reposted by Nicholas Carl
Critical Threats Project @criticalthreats.bsky.social · 16/07/2025
CTP's @nicholasacarl.bsky.social: "The sudden loss of so many IRGC Command Network members has dislodged the faction from power and created vacuums in the military hierarchy, political landscape, and Khamenei’s inner circle. Read more: www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/a-n...
criticalthreats.org
A New Era of Iranian Military Leadership
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Nicholas Carl @nicholasacarl.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
An under looked aspect of the Iran-Israel war is that Israel has prompted generational change in Iranian military leadership. It is hard to overstate how significant this turnover is for Iranian decision-making and how the regime works in general. 🧵
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Reposted by Nicholas Carl
Critical Threats Project @criticalthreats.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
The Iranian armed forces have myriad entities that factor into regime security. CTP's @nicholasacarl.bsky.social broke them down for you: criticalthreats.org/analysis/exp... Stay tuned for our latest update on the Israel-Iran conflict.
criticalthreats.org
Explainer: The Iranian Armed Forces
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Nicholas Carl @nicholasacarl.bsky.social · 11/02/2025
A recently leaked speech by a senior Iranian commander provides a rare and candid look into how Iran is coping with its strategic defeat in Syria and what it will do next. www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/ira...
criticalthreats.org
Iranian Commander Discusses the State of the Axis of Resistance
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Nicholas Carl @nicholasacarl.bsky.social · 10/12/2024
My latest here on the fall of Assad. Iranian leaders must rethink their strategy in the Middle East now that the core assumptions and ideas that underpinned that strategy for over a decade have been upended.
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Reposted by Nicholas Carl
Joyce Karam @joycekaram.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
JUST IN: IAEA censures Iran over nuclear activity, 19 voted in favor of the resolution, 12 abstained, while China and Russia voted against the resolution. www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...
al-monitor.com
IAEA censures Iran over nuclear activity
Out of its 35 member countries, 19 voted in favor of the resolution, 12 abstained, while China and Russia voted against the resolution.
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Nicholas Carl @nicholasacarl.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
Beginning my Bluesky journey sharing my latest in the Hudson Institute's Current Trends in Islamist Ideology. The death of Ebrahim Raisi in May upended the political status quo in Tehran and triggered an impromptu reshaping of the Iranian political landscape. www.hudson.org/politics-gov...
hudson.org
Political Transition in Post-Raisi Iran
The death of President Ebrahim Raisi in a helicopter crash in May 2024 upended the political status quo in Iran and created new uncertainty about where the country is headed. In many ways, Raisi was a...
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