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Magic Data Science

@mtgds.bsky.social
3.1K followers 94 following 2.5K posts

Doing math with Magic; doing Magic with math. (Chromatic Lantern; Julie Dillon)

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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
Breaking my long silence to report that +2 Mace now appears on Gatherer.
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
I've been listening to @justingary.bsky.social's podcast for awhile now, and was pleasantly surprised to see that this week's episode featured a guest -- and a game -- that you may be familiar with*: justingarydesign.substack.com/p/mark-rosew... A must-listen if you're interested in game design.
justingarydesign.substack.com
Mark Rosewater — Designing for Emotion, Embracing Complexity, and 28 Years of Iteration (#103)
Think Like A Game Designer Podcast
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
This is so cool. I think maybe all (?) of the art is from sketches/drafts of illustrations that have appeared on Magic cards. Seems fun, easy to learn, charming. Way to stick with it, @maro254.bsky.social
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 22/02/2026
📯I am pleased to announce the winner of the Lorwyn Eclipsed #P0P1 Challenge: 🎇 @formersquid 🎆 Going deep on BG, and hitting on the second-best Eclipsed creature (Kithkin), proved to be the keys to victory!
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
#calledshots for the future The Hobbit set: RW draft archetype will be Dwarf Typal, or at least, heavily Dwarf-centric, maybe with a connection to treasure (tho that's more likely RG) The return of common Legends, at least to fit in some of the many lesser Dwarves
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
~ ≠ ≈ I'm open to using the ~ if you're texting or in a hurry, but on an earnings report, I'd probably take the time to figure out how to write the ≈. Also, some wild keming choices here
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
Here is where ECL lands on the #PrinceVPauper ternary plot: decidedly _not_ Pauper. The rares and uncommons are relatively stronger than the commons, to a greater extent than pretty much any recent set. At common, look for good removal, friendly creature types, and... good luck!
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
Here is where ECL lands on the #PrinceVPauper ternary plot: decidedly _not_ Pauper. The rares and uncommons are relatively stronger than the commons, to a greater extent than pretty much any recent set. At common, look for good removal, friendly creature types, and... good luck!
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
Some time ago, I came up with a method of measuring the "openness" of a card in Limited, which can summarize up to describing a particular format. One of the more interesting things I found was how relatively "on-rails" Bloomburrow was, with its 10 typal archetypes. You can...
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
Some time ago, I came up with a method of measuring the "openness" of a card in Limited, which can summarize up to describing a particular format. One of the more interesting things I found was how relatively "on-rails" Bloomburrow was, with its 10 typal archetypes. You can...
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
Someday they'll post a job that requires 2+ years of graph-making and Limited-format-predicting experience.
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
@cubecobra.com Excited about the 1.5 update! Especially Scryfall drag'n'drop. Does this update mean that the job that calculates Cube Elo will run regularly? Also, at the moment, it seems like Playtest Data is missing?
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
Clearly Alara, and specifically, Bant
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
Here is a plot of GIHWR by rank within color, for commons and uncommons in ECL, per @17lands.bsky.social Among commons, it's G and then everyone else, although R and B have a higher top-end before falling off, while U and W are a little flatter. Among uncommons, ...
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
Here is a plot of GIHWR by rank within color, for commons and uncommons in ECL, per @17lands.bsky.social Among commons, it's G and then everyone else, although R and B have a higher top-end before falling off, while U and W are a little flatter. Among uncommons, ...
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
I'm one of these, @maro254.bsky.social Watched 20 years, 20 lessons Listened to the DtW podcast episodes expanding on that Listened to every DtW at least once Had a million ideas for models to build Spent a year working on those intermittently Started MTGDS.
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
Good! Magic needs more math.
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
Good! Magic needs more math.
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
They made a card just for me! 🥰 🫶 WotC
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
With all of the Treefolk and -1/-1 counters running around ECL, folks have been talking about how high-toughness the creatures in this set are. But, are they? 🤔 I went to make this graph, expecting ECL to be an obvious outlier, and it's... just not! As you can see... 👇
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
With all of the Treefolk and -1/-1 counters running around ECL, folks have been talking about how high-toughness the creatures in this set are. But, are they? 🤔 I went to make this graph, expecting ECL to be an obvious outlier, and it's... just not! As you can see... 👇
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
What does it say about a format if this is the highest GIHWR blue common?
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
Several folks on @maro254.bsky.social's Blogatog reported that players at prerelease were confused by the official 5-pair archetype guide, hesitating to explore the other five pairs, despite some support for them. So I made an unofficial guide to those secondary archetypes!
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
Several folks on @maro254.bsky.social's Blogatog reported that players at prerelease were confused by the official 5-pair archetype guide, hesitating to explore the other five pairs, despite some support for them. So I made an unofficial guide to those secondary archetypes!
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
Highest GIHWR red common after day one (57.6%), just saying.
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
A thread of cards and artists for which the same artist has illustrated the same card multiple times. 1) This has happened for a million basic lands; they're not included 2) This has happened trivially in many, many cases -- Spectacular Spider-Man, Cavern of Souls, Traveling...
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
I love that Magic is so far from being "solved." Here are your day-one top GIHWR commons.
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
A thread of cards and artists for which the same artist has illustrated the same card multiple times. 1) This has happened for a million basic lands; they're not included 2) This has happened trivially in many, many cases -- Spectacular Spider-Man, Cavern of Souls, Traveling...
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Some wisdom of the crowds, accumulated from the #P0P1 entries. Highly picked cards have historically been winning cards, so here are the commons and #2CUDS to look for before the @17lands.bsky.social data comes out.
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
We've got about... 4 hours until kick-off. Get your entries in!
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
Here's a novel way to think about the text on Magic cards: What proportion of the words* on a given card, or in a given set, also appeared in 𝐴𝑙𝑝ℎ𝑎? The answer, in general, is -- almost all! But with some interesting variation, and a clear trend. The y-axis here only...
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
Literal hours until #P0P1 kicks off -- this is a great opportunity to get some last-minute insight before you make your selections 👇
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
Here's a novel way to think about the text on Magic cards: What proportion of the words* on a given card, or in a given set, also appeared in 𝐴𝑙𝑝ℎ𝑎? The answer, in general, is -- almost all! But with some interesting variation, and a clear trend. The y-axis here only...
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
This is awesome, and very clever! @sierkovitz.bsky.social 🤝 probability
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
Here's the answer: Zombie × Spirit. Lot's of Zombies, lots of Spirits. Just one Zombie Spirit
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Ninly @ninlymtg.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
This was a fun and edifying exercise as I feel my way around drafting and learning new sets. Kind of like a fantasy league for draft formats -- an idea that's crossed my mind, and I suspect I'm not alone there. Looking forward to seeing how my picks do.
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 18/01/2026
One very cool thing they did in ECL is take things that are usually costs/downsides -- like putting -1/-1 counters on your own creatures, tapping permanents to cast things (convoke), and upping your color count (costly in a deckbuilding sense), and... finding ways to turn all...
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Ryan @r-condon.bsky.social · 18/01/2026
I just entered my selections for the ECL #P0P1 Challenge! You can participate too; read more here: t.co/xNvJij51ms Feeling good about my selections this time -- I usually end up middle of the pack. Hoping to break that streak!!
t.co
https://mtgds.wordpress.com/2023/11/08/p0p1-challenge/
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 18/01/2026
One very cool thing they did in ECL is take things that are usually costs/downsides -- like putting -1/-1 counters on your own creatures, tapping permanents to cast things (convoke), and upping your color count (costly in a deckbuilding sense), and... finding ways to turn all...
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 18/01/2026
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 18/01/2026
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 17/01/2026
I feel really bad for the designers at WotC. This leak sucks for them.
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 17/01/2026
If you could build a typal EDH deck, using only creatures of a specific type with illustrations taken from a single plane, which combination would provide a base for the strongest deck? Dominarian Wizards? Spirits from Kamigawa? Eldrazi from Zendikar? Vampires from Innistrad? ?
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
Follow-up #mtgtrivia question: There are two creature types that have each appeared on over 600 unique creature cards, but only appear together once on a specific card's typeline. What are the creature types, and what is the card? Hint: Qrohgrq va Yrtvbaf
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
Sneak (𝑇ℎ𝑖𝑠 𝑐𝑎𝑟𝑑 𝑚𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡 𝑠𝑛𝑒𝑎𝑘 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑜 𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑟 𝐿𝑜𝑟𝑤𝑦𝑛 𝐸𝑐𝑙𝑖𝑝𝑠𝑒𝑑 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑙𝑒𝑎𝑠𝑒.)
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
Many Magic: The Gathering players ask the question
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
Putting "Chitinous" in a cardname is just WotC setting a trap for podcasters/youtubers. We *just* had Chitin Gravestalker, less than a year ago!
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Magic Data Science @mtgds.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
I'm sure you all remember the fun new Artifact subtype, Spacecraft, from its debut in Edge of Eternities... But did you know that this was not the first time Spacecraft have appeared as a subtype? Can you remember where it *first* appeared?!? (This one boggled my mind)
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