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Moderate Power Project

@modpowerproject.bsky.social
25 followers 10 following 67 posts

Championing moderate views and voices to expand political power in the vital center. Powered by Third Way

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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
For more, check out Third Way’s Moderate Data Hub’s latest Ad Wars update here: thirdwaydatahub.substack.com/p/the-2026-a...
thirdwaydatahub.substack.com
The 2026 Ad Wars Dispatch (37 Days Until Election Day)
Best ads of the week go to James Talarico (TX-SEN), Adam Hamilton (KS-SEN), & Marni von Wilpert (CA-48). The worst go to John Sununu (NH-SEN) & Donald Trump.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Amid spiking gas prices and a reignition of the Iran War, Marni von Wilpert’s campaign does not hold back in going after her GOP opponent’s defense of Trump.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Adam Hamilton goes after GOP Senator Roger Marshall for repeatedly suing hundreds of patients for outstanding medical debt—including new mothers who had C-sections and others who had miscarriages—and he uses one of Marshall’s victims as the main validator in this powerful ad.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
It seems that Ken Paxton just couldn’t get enough of the CCP during his all-expenses-paid trip to China where he raked in $40,000 from Chinese real estate developers. James Talarico’s campaign turned a serious corruption story into an extremely entertaining watch.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
There are 34 days to go until Election Day, and we’ve had a deluge of new ads. Here’s a look at a few of them.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Learn more about these and other Democrats running to make Republicans own their corruption: thirdwaydatahub.substack.com/p/meet-the-d...
thirdwaydatahub.substack.com
Meet the Democrats Making Republicans Own Washington’s Corruption
For the last decade, Donald Trump sold voters on the promise that he alone could fix a political system that had been rigged by elites against the working class.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Dan Sullivan sold out Alaska’s small fisheries. Mary Peltola is making him squirm this cycle as she calls out his investments in Alaska’s competitors and his history of corruption that has hurt Alaskans.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Rep. Marcy Kaptur is calling out Derek Merrin for corruption schemes that gave tax breaks to data centers. The sweetheart deals he cut are driving up costs for Ohioans. Now Merrin wants to represent them in Congress?
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Scranton Mayor Paige Cognetti is running for Congress with an ad featuring a three-time Trump voter sharing why they plan on pulling the lever for Cognetti this November. Spoiler alert: he believes she’ll take on corruption.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Ken Paxton’s corruption is so extreme, a Texas Ranger who worked for him blew the whistle. And that Ranger endorsed James Talarico and called out Paxton’s corruption in a hard-hitting ad.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Donald Trump promised that he alone could fix a political system that had been rigged by elites against the working class. He rode that message all the way to the White House. But Trump and Republicans are the ones rigging the system, and these Democrats are making them own it.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Dems came to win this cycle with "extraordinary candidates" across the country.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Headlines have focused on the far left's victories and suggest they are ascendent. The results, however, tell a different story. Third Way's Moderate Data Hub breaks down the key takeaways from the 2026 House primaries. Read more here: thirdwaydatahub.substack.com/p/the-center...
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Read more here: thirdwaydatahub.substack.com/p/what-it-ta...
thirdwaydatahub.substack.com
The Hard Math of Flipping the Senate
Democrats must win a supermajority of the moderate vote to put them over the top.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Winning back the Senate will require combative center-left candidates who offer a clear break from the status quo—not the Democratic Party brand voters just ousted.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Massachusetts and Oregon Democrats can run far to the left and appease the activist groups, but Josh Turek, Mary Peltola, and Sherrod Brown can’t.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
The response from political observers on Bluesky will be predictable: run as a progressive Democrat and go to war against Trump. But Bluesky posters have never had to win a Trump county or a Trump state.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
We've estimated the share of moderates needed to win the general election in each state, assuming Democrats hold roughly nine in ten liberals and win a sliver of conservatives.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Nearly all of Democrats’ best Senate pickup opportunities for the next three cycles are happening this year, with a path to a durable majority running through ruby-red states.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
For Democrats to take back the Senate this November, they need a supermajority of the moderate vote to flip their seats from red to blue. Third Way’s Moderate Data Hub calculated the floor in each state Democratic Senate candidates need to hit to win.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Gov. Andy Beshear says voters want candidates who are focused on their everyday needs and working to make life more affordable. Most importantly, they’re looking for hope.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
"Not every Democrat lives in Bushwick or Brooklyn." Yemisi Egbewole shares why Democrats need leaders who understand and can connect with voters beyond deep-blue districts.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Any path to the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination goes through South Carolina. In Politico Playbook, @bakarisellers.bsky.social shares what it takes to win a South Carolina primary and what Black voters will be looking for from candidates. Read more here: www.politico.com/newsletters/...
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
It will be center-left candidates that will deliver a Democratic House majority this November. Learn more and subscribe to Moderate Data Hub. thirdwaydatahub.substack.com/p/majority-m...
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
Rahm Emanuel is a "raging moderate" who wants to get stuff done.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Read more about the why Bobby Pulido might just be the model to win swing Latino voters over here: thirdwaydatahub.substack.com/p/bobby-puli...
thirdwaydatahub.substack.com
Bobby Pulido’s Model for Winning Back Latino Voters
New polling from Equis and WelcomePAC shows that Latino voters are abandoning both parties, and Bobby Pulido might just be the model to win them over.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Bobby Pulido is running the kind of campaign that's positioned to win: one that reflects the community's values, treats Latino voters as workers with economic aspirations, and talks about the cost of everyday living with the same urgency they feel.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Yet voters remain open to voting for Bobby Pulido because he is culturally moderate, locally rooted, and independent from the national party—especially on border security and immigration.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
In Texas’s 15th district, conservatives outnumber liberals by a 51-22% margin and Latinos make up 75% of the eligible voter population.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
42% say neither party cares about people like them, 38% say neither party gets things done.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Equis Research polling shows Latino voters have grown disaffected with both parties — most say they have no clear sense of what either one stands for.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
New polling from Equis Research and @welcometeam.bsky.social shows why swing Latino voters are abandoning both parties. Our latest piece breaks down how Bobby Pulido may have the blueprint to win them back.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
As the only Democrat representing a New York district Trump won in 2024, Congressman Tom Suozzi presents a path forward for moderate Democrats with his “Promise to America” pledge.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Just 35% of voters across these battlegrounds say the Democratic nominee is too far left. Read more about the findings here: thirdwaydatahub.substack.com/p/nyt-pollin...
thirdwaydatahub.substack.com
NYT Polling: Center-Left Senate Candidates Are Escaping the Democratic Party’s Extreme Brand
A 53% majority of voters across the battleground states believe the Democratic Party is too far left, but only 35% say the same of the Democratic Senate nominees.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Candidates like Roy Cooper, James Talarico, and Mary Peltola have shown Democrats can compete by running as authentic center-left candidates.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
In every battleground state except Maine, a majority of voters view the Democratic Party as ideologically extreme.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Swing voters aren't buying what the far left is selling.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Data Hub is on Substack! Discover the latest research and insights from Third Way’s Politics Team: thirdwaydatahub.substack.com
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Congratulations to the Beacon Coalition on their impressive accomplishments as part of the 2025–2026 Moderate Power Venture Fund cohort! Visit their website: beaconcoalition.org
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
You build a majority by flipping red seats — not turning blue seats bluer.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
Congratulations to the American Hunters & Anglers on their impressive accomplishments as part of the 2025–2026 Moderate Power Venture Fund cohort! Learn more: www.moderatepowerproject.org/invest…
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
Congratulations to the Juno Fund on their impressive accomplishments as part of the 2025–2026 Moderate Power Venture Fund cohort! Visit their website: www.thejunofund.com Learn more: www.moderatepowerproject.org/invest……
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
Democrats don't win by narrowing the coalition. They win by expanding it with messages that appeal broadly to Democrats, independents, and swing voters. The candidates best positioned to win in 2026 and 2028 understand this.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
Recent New York Times/Siena polling suggests Democratic voters are looking for combative, center-left leaders willing to fight for a clear agenda to move the country forward.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
Voters are souring on Trump’s immigration approach. More Americans now say ICE has gone too far and think Democrats are right to demand reforms. Follow @modpowerproject.bsky.social for more.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
That’s far more than the 24% who say Democrats need to move left, and the 18% who say the current position is fine.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
Echelon Insights is out with a new poll that shows a 42% plurality of Democrats/Democratic leaders say the party needs to move toward the center to win the next presidential election.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
🚨New polling shows that Democratic voters want the party to move toward the center.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
Read more about the truth on democratic primary voters at www.thirdway.org/memo/the-tru...
thirdway.org
The Truth About Democratic Primary Voters
Third Way is a national think tank and advocacy organization that champions moderate policy and political ideas. Our work on the center left acts as a critical bulwark against political extremism.
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Moderate Power Project @modpowerproject.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
The message these Democratic primary voters are sending is to be authentic, bold, and fight for real people, without being beholden to progressive purity tests. They want action, results, and, importantly, someone they think can win in November 2028.
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