Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Tough to see: I recently took a drive and drone flight around the Ferris Fire burn scar, which spans nearly 65,000 acres in southwest Colorado. waterdesk.org/photos-ferri... 131
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Farther downstream, here’s the Dolores River winding through canyon country in drone footage I shot in September 2020 near Gateway and Bedrock, Colorado. More photos and videos: waterdesk.org/multimedia/p... 020
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 24/09/2026New in The Water Desk’s free multimedia library: photos of the Dolores River and McPhee Reservoir in southwest Colorado. When I visited in early September, the reservoir was 42% full and the river—a tributary of the Colorado—was running low. waterdesk.org/photos-dolor... 111
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 09/07/2026A smoky, shriveled Blue Mesa Reservoir, along Colorado’s Gunnison River, on July 1. More photos of this part of the Colorado River Storage Project are available in The Water Desk’s free multimedia library: waterdesk.org/photos-blue-... 185
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 02/07/2026The Gold Mountain Fire burns north of Ouray, Colorado, on July 1. 041
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 01/04/2026A sea of red across the West, with many basins at just a fraction of normal snow water equivalent on March 31. (These maps lag by a day.) 011
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 01/04/2026Colorado's snowpack is at just 22% of the median for April 1. The gray band marks the record highs and lows for the statewide snowpack since 1987. The colored lines trace individual seasons over nearly four decades. The plunging black line represents the current season—an extreme outlier. 110
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 01/04/2026This map shows the percentile for each state’s April 1 snowpack. Eight states are at 0—the lowest on record. Washington is leading the way at the 5th percentile. 100
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 01/04/2026Here are statewide snowpack levels as a percentage of the April 1 median (1991-2020). 100
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 18/03/2026On Saturday, I drove over three mountain passes in southwest Colorado and flew my drone to capture photos of the low-to-nonexistent snowpack. These images show the conditions along U.S. 550 between Durango and Ouray. 0158
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 12/03/2026🌡️ "Every major river basin in the West experienced its first or second warmest winter (December, January, and February) on record." www.drought.gov/drought-stat... 021
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 12/03/2026❄️ Another bleak snow drought update as the West faces a March heat wave: "Snow drought worsened from February into early March due to record warmth, despite near-normal precipitation across much of the West." www.drought.gov/drought-stat... 1147
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 09/03/2026Despite last week's storm, Colorado’s statewide snowpack is at a record low—just 63% of normal. Only 30 days to go until the state's median date for peak snowpack: April 8. Colorado's snowmelt supplies water to 19 other states and Mexico. nwcc-apps.sc.egov.usda.gov/basin-plots/... 053
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 09/03/2026The snowpack is below normal in every river basin in the West. This March 8 map shows that a few watersheds are above 90% (green), but all that red shading indicates less than 50% of the 1991-2020 median for snow water equivalent. www.nrcs.usda.gov/programs-ini... 1149
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 17/02/2026And here's the Winter Storm Severity Index for the next three days, showing where impacts are expected to be greatest. www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/wssi/wss... 010
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 17/02/2026Here's a 72-hour snow accumulation map from the Colorado Climate Center based on data from the Weather Prediction Center. climate.colostate.edu/ski-dashboar... 120
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 17/02/2026Some impressive snowfall totals are in the forecast. The West's snowpack could sure use it. The map below, via Pivotal Weather, shows the projected 48-hour accumulation from the National Weather Service. home.pivotalweather.com 120
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 05/02/2026More grim news about the West's snow drought: 🛰️ Lowest Feb. 1 snow cover in the satellite record (since 2001) 📉 Record-low Feb. 1 statewide snowpack in Oregon, Colorado, and Utah ⚠️ “A Dry, Warm January Leaves the West With the Worst Snowpack in Decades” www.drought.gov/drought-stat... 065
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 03/02/2026Widespread bleak readings for the West's snowpack — and the water it contains. All of the red dots on this map represent monitoring stations where snow water equivalent was below the 15th percentile on February 2. nwcc-apps.sc.egov.usda.gov/imap/ 120
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 29/01/2026NASA: Western U.S. snow cover is tracking at record-low levels for January, based on satellite observations dating back to 2001. science.nasa.gov/earth/earth-... 035
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 23/01/2026The Winter Storm Severity Index for the next 3 days shows the huge footprint of this dangerous weather system. WSSI highlights areas where travel and daily life may be disrupted by snow, ice, and wind. www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/wssi/wss... 0138
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 22/01/2026Colorado needs this incoming storm in the worst way. Snowmelt from Colorado supplies water to 19 other states and Mexico, but statewide snowpack is at a record low — just 56% of the median for this date. nwcc-apps.sc.egov.usda.gov/basin-plots/... 063
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 22/01/2026In this January 21 map of snow water equivalent, basins in red are below 50% of the 1991–2020 median; orange indicates 50–69% of normal. www.nrcs.usda.gov/programs-ini... 142
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 20/01/2026Northern lights and the Milky Way near Durango tonight. 031
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 15/01/2026🌡️ December brought record-breaking average temperatures to 9 Western states, and Idaho had its second-warmest December on record (dating back to 1895). www.nrcs.usda.gov/sites/defaul... 030
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 09/01/2026⚠️ Washington, Oregon, Colorado, Utah, Arizona, and New Mexico have the most severe snow drought conditions. 📉 More than 80% of all SNOTEL stations in each state have snow water equivalent levels below the 20th percentile. www.drought.gov/drought-stat... 020
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 09/01/2026❄️ Snow drought update 🛰️ The West’s January 4 snow cover was the lowest for that date in the satellite record since 2001. 🥵 “Every major river basin in the West experienced near-record or record warmth through December 2025, inhibiting the accumulation of snow.” www.drought.gov/drought-stat... 165
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 15/12/2025❄️ Snow drought update 🛰️ West's Dec. 7 snow cover: lowest for that date in satellite record since 2001 🥵 “Nearly every major river basin in the West experienced a November among the top 5 warmest on record." www.drought.gov/drought-stat... 📸 My view at Purgatory, north of Durango, on Dec. 12 041
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 04/12/2025Here's the basin-by-basin look at snow water equivalent. www.nrcs.usda.gov/programs-ini... 000
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 04/12/2025Looking at percentiles, the snowpack is dismal in most Western states. Idaho and Wyoming are at record-low levels for this date relative to the 1991-2020 period of record. www.snow.news/p/grim-weste... 100
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 04/12/2025The West could sure use some snow. The snowpack in seven states is below 50% of normal. It's still early in the season, but there's a lot of catching up to do. More details in my latest post at snow.news: www.snow.news/p/grim-weste... 141
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 07/11/2025Interesting graphic from NASA illustrates how the Milankovitch cycles change the Earth's motion and influence its climate. science.nasa.gov/science-rese... 010
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 05/11/2025Rough start for Colorado's snowpack, according to the Colorado Avalanche Information Center. www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=... 030
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 30/09/2025And here's the total snowfall accumulation since October 1, 2024. 010
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 30/09/2025Today is the last day of the 2024-2025 Water Year. This animation shows snow water equivalent from October 1, 2024, to June 1, 2025. www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/nsa/ 120
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 24/09/2025It's great to see snow falling again in Colorado. This map shows accumulations over the past 14 days. 020
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 06/03/2025New snow drought update says the snowpack is "abysmal" in Arizona and New Mexico. www.drought.gov/drought-stat... 022
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 05/02/2025"Exceptional snow drought persists in the Southwest (Arizona, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah) as a result of record dry conditions." www.drought.gov/drought-stat... 2124
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 18/12/2024How Colorado’s snowpack is stacking up so far this season. After a great November (salmon-colored), it’s been a lousy December (beige) for snow in the high country. nwcc-apps.sc.egov.usda.gov/awdb/basin-p... 141
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 16/12/2024Latest snowpack map shows a mixed bag across the American West www.nrcs.usda.gov/programs-ini... 010
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 13/12/2024Historical probability of at least 1 inch of snow cover on Christmas (1991-2020) www.climate.gov/news-feature... 000
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 02/12/202430-minute exposure. The star trails are oriented around the north celestial pole. The cloudy area is the movement of the Milky Way. 0194
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 31/10/2024Interesting post about snowfall during La Niña winters www.climate.gov/news-feature... 000
Mitch Tobin @mitchtobin.bsky.social · 23/10/2024Fall storm made it feel like winter around Engineer Mountain, between Durango and Silverton. 010