Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Yeah, thanks for doing that! We all really appreciated it! 010
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 28/09/2026“Vice signaling.” I hadn’t heard that one before. 110
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 28/09/2026The question of how UBI would be integrated into the current social policy landscape doesn’t come up that often. Economist Soomi Lee addresses it here: usbig.net/simplicity-a... @gisele600.bsky.social @scottsantens.com @karlwiderquist.bsky.social @murfmensch.bsky.social @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.socialusbig.netSimplicity and Complexity of Basic Income – USBIG 1128
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Latest piece on UBI: usbig.net/social-exper... @murfmensch.bsky.social @karlwiderquist.bsky.social @scottsantens.com @alexhowlett.bsky.social @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social @etvpod.bsky.social @gdivinetz.bsky.social 162
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 18/09/2026It looks like the word “rigorous“ has escaped its “sandbox.” 010
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 17/09/2026www.lesswrong.com/w/interpreta...lesswrong.comInterpretations of "probability" — LessWrongWhat does it mean to say that a flipped coin has a 50% probability of landing heads? Historically, there are two popular types of answers to this question, the "frequentist" and "subjective" (aka "Ba... 000
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 16/09/2026I know of it but haven’t read it. I’ll check it out. 100
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 15/09/2026I’d better pick up the pace on that bucket list then. 120
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 15/09/2026When I first heard that 10% chance I immediately wondered where on earth they got that number from. 110
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 15/09/2026Do you philosophers write about that too? the BS credence? 110
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 15/09/2026@etvpod.bsky.social @karlwiderquist.bsky.social @erikangner.com @seanmcarroll.bsky.social 110
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 15/09/2026I recently heard there's a 10% chance of AI killing us all. Is that a frequentist 10%, a credence 10%, or propensity 10%? Don't mean to joke or be flippant about such a serious matter. As they say, I sometimes try to "laugh to keep from crying." @kevinzollman.com @murfmensch.bsky.social 210
Reposted by Michael A. LewisKarl Widerquist @karlwiderquist.bsky.social · 30/08/2026New Lawless Park video for the song, "All Who Come in Peace Are Welcome Here" with pictures taken protests that have been happening in New Orleans in 2025 and 2026 @michaelalewis10.bsky.socialyoutu.beAll Who Come in Peace Are Welcome HereYouTube video by Karl Widerquist's Personal Channel 021
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 27/08/2026Oh, I meant to ask which problems do you find less exciting? 100
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 26/08/2026But I’m also generally interested in how ideas from probability figure into epistemology. 110
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 26/08/2026The relationship between Bayesian epistemology and the Bayesian, Frequentist, likelihood debate in statistics, the distinction between subjective and objective Bayesianism, and different interpretations of probability, especially how propensity and single case probabilities fit. 210
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 26/08/2026Also looking forward to reading this one: hdsr.mitpress.mit.edu/pub/qasl4fza...hdsr.mitpress.mit.eduWhat Are Statistical Assumptions About? An Answer From Perspectivism 100
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 26/08/2026@lastpositivist.bsky.social @kgenin.bsky.social @cailinmeister.bsky.social 100
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 26/08/2026For philosophers on here into formal methods, I’m interested in learning more about Bayesian epistemology. I have read A Critical Introduction to Formal Epistemology by Bradley and am wondering if Fundamentals of Bayesian Epistemology by Titelbaum is a good follow up. @kevinzollman.com 210
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 24/08/2026It gets better by the time they're 24. Only 12 more years to go--just hang in there. 110
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 23/08/2026Thanks! How have you been? Hopefully, all is well! 120
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 23/08/2026My first recording with @jordanmossbx.bsky.social and cowritten with @karlwiderquist.bsky.social @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social (a fellow music guy but better than me). youtu.be/RyD2QJAyYSs?...youtu.beAll Who Come in Peace Are Welcome HereYouTube video by Release - Topic 144
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 11/08/2026I remember reading that paper and aspiring to be Non-Aligned, if I’m remembering it correctly. I still am. 160
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 06/08/2026Just kidding. Infanthood had its ups as well as downs. When mine was much younger, someone with a much older kid said to me, "little kids, little problems, big kids, big problems." Now that mine is 24 and trying to make her way in the world, I see exactly what they meant. Enjoy the laundry. 030
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 06/08/2026Having a child convinced me that people with newborns who said they were loving it were either lying or deranged. 210
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 06/08/2026My one and only is 24. Hang in there brother—it’ll be over soon. 000
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 05/08/2026Yeah, I see what you're saying. We just have to figure out what those reasons and causes are as well as how to adjust those knobs in the right direction. 020
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 05/08/2026argument is right, then those who oppose UBI do so because of forces beyond their control. Getting them to change their minds and come to support UBI is going to be a tough road. It's not something they can easily do by an of pure free will. 130
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 05/08/2026course, doesn't mean it's wrong. And I know one person who I suspect will like at least some of what Scott has to say, namely @etvpod.bsky.social. But as I was reading Scott's piece and thinking about all this again, it occurred to me that this kind of argument for UBI faces a problem. If the 220
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 05/08/2026Just read this piece scottsantens.substack.com/p/turtles-al... by @scottsantens.com. I did one a couple of years ago which ended up in the same place but by way of a different route usbig.net/moral-luck-g.... I think Scott is right that it's an argument many won't like. That, of 260
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 04/08/2026I read your book on machine learning and am putting in a request for a similar one on LLMs. 😊 011
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 03/08/2026the difference. Even if they are paying optimal attention with the optimal level of association (whatever any of that means). 010
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 03/08/2026Even if what that post said is true now (which it may not be), that doesn’t mean it will always be true. I know people who hate AI and don’t want to use or consume it in any way. I keep wondering how long they will be able to act on that hatred given that one day they may no longer be able to tell 100
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 03/08/2026“I tried but I can’t with continental philosophy.” I’m right there with you. I still remember the pain I felt during and after reading Archaeology of Knowledge. That was over 30 years ago. 000
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 03/08/2026Trying to see if I understand you. People could get authentic experiences from AI generated stuff, but the constant focus on “whether this is AI” could get in the way of that. Is that your point? If so, I suspect the problem is that for many, anything AI generated is by definition inauthentic. 110
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 31/07/2026I was gonna tell my management agent that I wasn’t gonna pay maintenance this month because money is just a social construct. But you ruined it with your fancy philosophizing. 0340
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 31/07/2026Seeing this way after it was posted. I read that David Lewis said he got the in incredulous stare for believing this one. That stare was completely warranted. 010
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 30/07/2026I heard he came up with some cute little diagrams. 130
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 30/07/2026I listened to it. Very interesting. I kept coming back to the same question: in a world where we‘re still fighting about how much moral standing to grant some humans, I wonder how AI will do. 010
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 29/07/2026Sounds like an interesting one! I just finished reading the part of a book on speech and language processing that covered the math of LLMs. I don’t know if LLMs experience anything it’s like to be doing all that linear algebra, calculus, probability, optimization theory, etc. Maybe? 010
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 29/07/2026Yeah, that ”created vaccine hesitancy“ one was jaw dropping! 010
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 28/07/2026As I was reading it, I thought it sounds like what @theubiguy.bsky.social is doing. Then the article mentioned that it is what he’s doing. 130
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 22/07/2026I saw it and immediately thought of you. 020
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 22/07/2026Looks like a study for @etvpod.bsky.social 130
Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 21/07/2026Something that, perhaps, I should work on. 😊 030