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Michael A. Lewis

@michaelalewis10.bsky.social
873 followers 919 following 308 posts

Sociologist/social worker also interested in stats, economics, and philosophy. Opinions mine, not my employer’s. Website: sites.google.com/view/prof-michael-…

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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Yeah, thanks for doing that! We all really appreciated it!
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Thanks!
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
“Vice signaling.” I hadn’t heard that one before.
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
@alexhowlett.bsky.social
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
The question of how UBI would be integrated into the current social policy landscape doesn’t come up that often. Economist Soomi Lee addresses it here: usbig.net/simplicity-a... @gisele600.bsky.social @scottsantens.com @karlwiderquist.bsky.social @murfmensch.bsky.social @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social
usbig.net
Simplicity and Complexity of Basic Income – USBIG
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Latest piece on UBI: usbig.net/social-exper... @murfmensch.bsky.social @karlwiderquist.bsky.social @scottsantens.com @alexhowlett.bsky.social @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social @etvpod.bsky.social @gdivinetz.bsky.social
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
What is it like to be philosophical?
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
It looks like the word “rigorous“ has escaped its “sandbox.”
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
www.lesswrong.com/w/interpreta...
lesswrong.com
Interpretations of "probability" — LessWrong
What does it mean to say that a flipped coin has a 50% probability of landing heads? Historically, there are two popular types of answers to this question, the "frequentist" and "subjective" (aka "Ba...
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
I know of it but haven’t read it. I’ll check it out.
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
I’d better pick up the pace on that bucket list then.
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
When I first heard that 10% chance I immediately wondered where on earth they got that number from.
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Sounds like you’re a frequentist. 😊
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Do you philosophers write about that too? the BS credence?
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
@etvpod.bsky.social @karlwiderquist.bsky.social @erikangner.com @seanmcarroll.bsky.social
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
I recently heard there's a 10% chance of AI killing us all. Is that a frequentist 10%, a credence 10%, or propensity 10%? Don't mean to joke or be flippant about such a serious matter. As they say, I sometimes try to "laugh to keep from crying." @kevinzollman.com @murfmensch.bsky.social
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Reposted by Michael A. Lewis
Karl Widerquist @karlwiderquist.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
New Lawless Park video for the song, "All Who Come in Peace Are Welcome Here" with pictures taken protests that have been happening in New Orleans in 2025 and 2026 @michaelalewis10.bsky.social
youtu.be
All Who Come in Peace Are Welcome Here
YouTube video by Karl Widerquist's Personal Channel
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
Got it, thanks!
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Oh, I meant to ask which problems do you find less exciting?
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
But I’m also generally interested in how ideas from probability figure into epistemology.
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
The relationship between Bayesian epistemology and the Bayesian, Frequentist, likelihood debate in statistics, the distinction between subjective and objective Bayesianism, and different interpretations of probability, especially how propensity and single case probabilities fit.
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Also looking forward to reading this one: hdsr.mitpress.mit.edu/pub/qasl4fza...
hdsr.mitpress.mit.edu
What Are Statistical Assumptions About? An Answer From Perspectivism
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
@lastpositivist.bsky.social @kgenin.bsky.social @cailinmeister.bsky.social
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
For philosophers on here into formal methods, I’m interested in learning more about Bayesian epistemology. I have read A Critical Introduction to Formal Epistemology by Bradley and am wondering if Fundamentals of Bayesian Epistemology by Titelbaum is a good follow up. @kevinzollman.com
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
It gets better by the time they're 24. Only 12 more years to go--just hang in there.
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
Thanks! How have you been? Hopefully, all is well!
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
My first recording with @jordanmossbx.bsky.social and cowritten with @karlwiderquist.bsky.social @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social (a fellow music guy but better than me). youtu.be/RyD2QJAyYSs?...
youtu.be
All Who Come in Peace Are Welcome Here
YouTube video by Release - Topic
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
I remember reading that paper and aspiring to be Non-Aligned, if I’m remembering it correctly. I still am.
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
Just kidding. Infanthood had its ups as well as downs. When mine was much younger, someone with a much older kid said to me, "little kids, little problems, big kids, big problems." Now that mine is 24 and trying to make her way in the world, I see exactly what they meant. Enjoy the laundry.
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
Having a child convinced me that people with newborns who said they were loving it were either lying or deranged.
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
My one and only is 24. Hang in there brother—it’ll be over soon.
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Yeah, I see what you're saying. We just have to figure out what those reasons and causes are as well as how to adjust those knobs in the right direction.
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
argument is right, then those who oppose UBI do so because of forces beyond their control. Getting them to change their minds and come to support UBI is going to be a tough road. It's not something they can easily do by an of pure free will.
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
course, doesn't mean it's wrong. And I know one person who I suspect will like at least some of what Scott has to say, namely @etvpod.bsky.social. But as I was reading Scott's piece and thinking about all this again, it occurred to me that this kind of argument for UBI faces a problem. If the
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Just read this piece scottsantens.substack.com/p/turtles-al... by @scottsantens.com. I did one a couple of years ago which ended up in the same place but by way of a different route usbig.net/moral-luck-g.... I think Scott is right that it's an argument many won't like. That, of
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
I read your book on machine learning and am putting in a request for a similar one on LLMs. 😊
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
the difference. Even if they are paying optimal attention with the optimal level of association (whatever any of that means).
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
Even if what that post said is true now (which it may not be), that doesn’t mean it will always be true. I know people who hate AI and don’t want to use or consume it in any way. I keep wondering how long they will be able to act on that hatred given that one day they may no longer be able to tell
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
“I tried but I can’t with continental philosophy.” I’m right there with you. I still remember the pain I felt during and after reading Archaeology of Knowledge. That was over 30 years ago.
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
Trying to see if I understand you. People could get authentic experiences from AI generated stuff, but the constant focus on “whether this is AI” could get in the way of that. Is that your point? If so, I suspect the problem is that for many, anything AI generated is by definition inauthentic.
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
I was gonna tell my management agent that I wasn’t gonna pay maintenance this month because money is just a social construct. But you ruined it with your fancy philosophizing.
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Seeing this way after it was posted. I read that David Lewis said he got the in incredulous stare for believing this one. That stare was completely warranted.
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
I heard he came up with some cute little diagrams.
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
I listened to it. Very interesting. I kept coming back to the same question: in a world where we‘re still fighting about how much moral standing to grant some humans, I wonder how AI will do.
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
Sounds like an interesting one! I just finished reading the part of a book on speech and language processing that covered the math of LLMs. I don’t know if LLMs experience anything it’s like to be doing all that linear algebra, calculus, probability, optimization theory, etc. Maybe?
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
Yeah, that ”created vaccine hesitancy“ one was jaw dropping!
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
As I was reading it, I thought it sounds like what @theubiguy.bsky.social is doing. Then the article mentioned that it is what he’s doing.
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
I saw it and immediately thought of you.
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
Looks like a study for @etvpod.bsky.social
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Michael A. Lewis @michaelalewis10.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
Something that, perhaps, I should work on. 😊
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