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Seems like it's a pessimistic scenario posed by Kirby (United CEO) that they want to plan for to stay profitable: www.marketscreener.com/news/message... Kirby says he doesn't think things will get quite that bad but it's still going to be a crazy rise in ticket costs

marketscreener.com

Message from United CEO Scott Kirby to Employees: 'We’re ready, we have a plan and we’re going to continue executing that plan'

Message from United CEO Scott Kirby to Employees: 'We're ready, we have a plan and we're going to continue executing that plan' March 20, 2026 ...

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 03/03/2026

Everyone is reacting to the headline here, let's be real.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 03/03/2026

I can't. It's paywalled and all I can read is the abstract. PISA is a well known survey but I have no idea what the author did here. It's also in the "Journal of Adolescence", has a single author, and was cited once in an Italian language work. How can I trust paper I can't read with no citations?

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 02/03/2026

Wait how can you prove correlation with 2 point? Is this a 2 point linear regression? What is R^2? Is the correlation statistically significant?

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 28/02/2026

The domestic opposition exists within the Islamic Republic system and while it may oppose aspects of the ruling elite isn't really a fan of the US entering

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 28/02/2026

The opposition largely exists as a diaspora with many Iranian dissenters based out of the US. LA is a big center of this (often dubbed "Tehrangeles".) The current Reza Pahlavi is in the DC area.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 28/02/2026

I mean having a debate about what switches an LLM provider should hand to the government is fine. Coercing and shitlisting a company to force them to do your bidding is not.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 27/02/2026

3 generations is the standard that India uses for a lot of its ideas of cultural continuity. If you can trace Indian citizenship lineage within 3 generations you qualify for an OCI card.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 26/02/2026

Everyone I talk to who works at those labs talks about how they're working 60+ hour weeks so it seems understandable. Personally not sure if that amount of money is worth 60+ hours of work but shrug.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 25/02/2026

Klein seemed to be pretty frustrated (as are many of us I guess) that legislation follows from harms and because the electorate isn't "feeling it" yet that there's little policy appetite for any solutions.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 24/02/2026

You can use captchas or other POW style strategies to make spam costly, so I'm curious if that's the future. Open networks gated by captcha or interstitials or micropayments.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 24/02/2026

I think Internet comments have been directionally trending in this direction for a long time now and LLM slop is the final nail in the coffin. For at least 5 years now, Internet comments have been much less useful and more hostile than a group chat. LLM slop is eroding the little signal left.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 05/12/2025

Market manipulation can happen but there's an incentivized system of resolution which encourages each outcome holder to dispute if they feel unfair about it. Ultimately there's no perfect way to get to the truth unless you get to it yourself. But prediction markets can be better than social media.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 05/12/2025

Behind a paywall but this seems to just degenerate to the average social media case of being wrong yet fishing for likes. Resolution risk is a thing in betting markets but on Polymarket there's an oracle system where folks can dispute resolutions.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 04/12/2025

I think with a lot of the AI water use reporting we can see this in action. The veracity of claims is ultimately less important than the philosophical position one holds. Eventually you lose the plot with what are real facts and what are bubble opinions.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 04/12/2025

There's an added element of being "punished" for being wrong that's appealing in prediction markets. A big issue with media bubbles is you can just say incorrect things that fit your bubble's opinions. Even if you're completely wrong you'll get all the likes from everyone in your bubble.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 14/11/2025

Yeah there certainly are good ways to use the network. It's just... a lot of work. I can use that energy to do something else that brings me more joy. I think for many that's neither Twitter nor Bluesky.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 13/11/2025

I joined the network when it was in referral beta and I really want it to succeed but the posts here just do not bring me joy. I can read other sites that have none of the problems of neither Twitter nor Bluesky. And if you're willing to put up with the Twitter algo, it can be beaten into shape.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 13/11/2025

I think the reality is users who want neither an algorithmic timeline nor Twitter's ideological bias and mobbing problem just stopped using both websites. If Bluesky is going to keep having these problems, I think it will only ever be a niche network.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 21/10/2025

The incumbent progressive data has too small data sizes to make any conclusions positive or negative. At 14 / 15, that's max likelihood p = 0.933 at a 95CI (even 90) that's indistinguishable from the moderate rate (95CI - 68%, 90CI - 72%)

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 17/10/2025

Excuse me, I like to think of myself as a Big Decimal

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 10/10/2025

fil-c.org Huh looks like a memory sanitizing runtime on top of various libcs. Looks cool.

fil-c.org

Fil-C

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 10/10/2025

I think Doom Emacs is the hot thing these days for emacs distros. I've been told that evil mode (which is default in both Doom and Spacemacs I think) is actually a faithful recreation of vi bindings. Tbh I've been using vanilla emacs since 2004 and with LSP and tree-sitter I see no reason to leave

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 10/10/2025

Yeah I've abortively tried to switch out of emacs over the years, but it's so hard to switch. I guess editors are good examples of the Douglas Adams Tech Reaction meme.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 10/10/2025

外国人の視点で日本の旅行動画はいつもおもしろい

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 10/10/2025

Claude also sounds more like a STEM person and ChatGPT more like non-STEM. ChatGPT seems to one-shot stuff occasionally faster than Claude but also goes down paths that I don't want it to go. ChatGPT 5 vs Claude Sonnet 4.5 w/ Extended Thinking

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 10/10/2025

Thought I'd try ChatGPT again after a long time of using Claude. ChatGPT just feels a lot less steerable. With Claude I know I can get it to search by asking it to. I can generally "guide" Claude down certain ways of thinking or certain idea paths. ChatGPT seems more opaque.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 10/10/2025

Too much social media posting is how people want the world to be rather than how it is. It's human to want the world to be a certain way but when you get a room of 1000 people who only want to talk about an ideal world and not the real world, you get a lot of the bad stuff of social media.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 10/10/2025

Yes arxiv.org/html/2310.06... RLHF decreases LLM output diversity. Optimization and safety pressures are a force working against the "usefulness" of LLMs.

arxiv.org

Understanding the Effects of RLHF on LLM Generalisation and Diversity

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 10/10/2025

Bummed that the interest rate climate being what it is that construction is probably going to be hard to pencil out.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 09/10/2025

This has long been a cultural gap among software writers. Non-deterministic algorithms have been a thing forever and they often have much better average case bounds than deterministic algorithms but a cultural reluctance with non-determinism has kept a lot of it out of software

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 09/10/2025

I do this a lot with Claude. When I want Claude to calculate something exactly (let's say how many milestones I've finished in Hollow Knight), I ask it to write a script that does the calculation and then give me the answer. Not only does it work really well but I can audit the code.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 09/10/2025

I also think it's sad that only the Republicans are trying to win, albeit by lying, liberal votes while it seems like the Dems have abandoned the idea.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 09/10/2025

At this point I think the Republicans are a large enough set of interest groups that it's hard to say what the Party thinks. I agree the base does think this

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 09/10/2025

And I definitely think there's a bubble going on but if that's the response I get, I'm going to have my doubts whether you actually believe that AI is a bubble or that you *wish* AI we're a bubble so you could relish in some schadenfreude.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 09/10/2025

There's a lot being shared by the same crowd about how AI is a bubble but when you ask folks about shorting Nvidia they'll say something like "The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solve" which is a similar cop out. I mean Long Puts a year out are actually quite cheap.

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Reposted by meff

Justin Jackson @justinjackson.ca · 01/10/2025

Damn, this piece hits hard. "Social media promised connection, but it has delivered exhaustion." www.noemamag.com/the-last-day...

noemamag.com

The Last Days Of Social Media | NOEMA

Social media promised connection, but it has delivered exhaustion.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 26/09/2025

Thanks for writing this article. I've been getting a bit down on this place for various reasons but I really hope your great post brings new folks to the fold.

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meff @meff.bsky.social · 17/09/2025

Big for Schemes and any other languages that depend heavily on this

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