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markpalko.bsky.social

@markpalko.bsky.social
224 followers 19 following 2.9K posts

The job description says data scientist, but still just a simple country statistician at heart. Blogging at observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com Andrew Gelman: "There's something wrong with the world that [Palko's] blog doesn't have a million readers."

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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
These people first convinced themselves that the second coming was at hand, then went looking for a technology to hang their beliefs on, changing messiahs in mid-stream when LLMs became the next shiny thing, somehow switching from one tech to another without rethinking any assumptions.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com/2026/09/can-...
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Yudkowsky repeatedly pictures himself, implicitly and explicitly, as a messianic figure. He's a chosen one slaying vampires, a new Harry Potter, a preternaturally wise child explaining the world to his elders.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
I assume the check from Thiel followed almost immediately.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
I know this is an odd detail to focus on but it would be highly unusual to have a "math teacher" in 2nd grade. Given that Musk style self mythologizing in Silicon Valley is as common as measles in PA, it's important that we take a hard skeptical look at these strangling snakes in the crib stories.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Mark Whittington in the Hill:
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
For a narcissistic sociopath, this has got to be better than heroin. From Rolling Stone: observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com/2021/05/musk...
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
@niedermeyer.online @lorak.bsky.social @montanaskeptic.bsky.social
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
The result? Even Claude says this defense of continuing to pour 100s of billions into models like Claude doesn't hold up.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
Shouldn't the the bond market, for lack of a better term, lose its shit over this?
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
Tell me Prof. Drechsel, what happens when the president pressures the Fed?
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
NYT stands up to the GOP: "At times they stretched the truth."
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Hot enough for this...
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
From Semafor. For those who had massive taxpayer payouts to tech companies on their bingo cards.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Perhaps the worst part, but it's a competitive field.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
This explains so much.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
About that "cheap" part.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
Sadly representative example we pointed out a few years ago: observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com/2021/02/musk...
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
In addition to saving Musk from financial ruin, this whole rotten SolarCity affair (particularly the faked demo), played a key role in convincing much of the MSM that Elon really was the messianic figure he pretended to be. observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com/2021/02/musk...
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
Is $35trn a lot? It sounds like a lot.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
Patrick Boyle's latest is not reassuring. youtu.be/wTiYaWFP59Q?...
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
I'm not going to link to this (it's bad enough that I clicked on it). Instead, check out this Cal Newport debunking of the whole OpenAI's model went rogue hysteria. youtu.be/S0u78gg26vU?...
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Newport quoting FT:
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
Here is perhaps the key number for understanding the entire Politico piece. Of the group this report describes as MAHA supporters, 31% could not explain what it was, and 16% had never even heard of it.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
Not sure remarkable is the word I'd use to describe a random assortment of sci-fi tropes from old movies, books he lied about reading, and half-remembered Thunderbirds reruns.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
They have two copies. One can still be borrowed.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com/2022/03/two-...
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
Not quite where it should be but better than AP.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 28/06/2026
Someone's thinking like his former boss. observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com/2018/06/elon...
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 21/06/2026
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 21/06/2026
Perhaps the most unnecessary "arguably" in recent memory.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
Not as obscure as Eyes but still deserving of better.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
Sharp, clever, loaded with talent in front of and behind the camera. Disappeared without a trace.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
Back in the day.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
Newport
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 24/05/2026
the fact that virtually no LA bars serve Victoria remains one of the great California mysteries.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
If you're under 40, virtual reality has been the next big thing since before you were born.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
Like love, working for the NYT means never having to say you're wrong. futurism.com/artificial-i...
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
See tomorrow's blog post on token-maxxing.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
Claim to emphasize.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
What suggests that Kadadi is someone who "view[s] the idea of a permanent underclass as overblown"?
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
This is an excellent point somewhat undercut by California YIMBY's pro-exurb stand in California Forever.
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
I wonder if there's some reason why Google would want to encourage all of this silly data-centers-in-space talk...
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markpalko.bsky.social @markpalko.bsky.social · 03/05/2026
Sue them.
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