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Andrew Mangan

@mangan.bsky.social
9K followers 481 following 129 posts

Writer, editor. Currently: Daily Kos. Formerly: FiveThirtyEight, Data for Progress. andrewmangan.com

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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
Even Republican pollsters see a blue wave
A spate of new surveys from GOP-affiliated pollsters show Democrats well positioned across key Senate races.
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
aeon.co/essays/its-n...
aeon.co
It’s not just screen time: kids are bombarded by hectic media | Aeon Essays
It’s not just screen time: the problem with children’s media is that it has become relentlessly hectic, loud and bright
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
How old is too old to serve in Congress?
Setting a maximum age limit on Congress has widespread support.
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Happy Labor Day, everybody. www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
Republicans are attacking unions at exactly the wrong time
Labor unions are popular. Why is the GOP acting like they aren’t?
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
Trump’s latest economic threat is by far his worst
The president issued what amounts to an extortionist threat.
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
The invasion of data centers into our neighborhoods presents us with a tangible means of pushing back against Big Tech. It is difficult to protest an app or a chatbot, but it is much easier to protest an actual building. www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
Americans’ hatred of data centers is about so much more
For decades, Big Tech has exploited us and eroded the foundation of society under the guise of bringing us together.
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Bizarre election fact: Republican Martin O'Donnell is challenging Rep. Susie Lee in Nevada's swingy 3rd District. His claim to fame? He wrote the music for the "Halo" video game series.
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Democratic socialism appears to be ascendant in the Democratic Party, but when it comes to winning elections, is that a good thing? www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
Does socialism help Democrats win elections?
There is perhaps no more fraught intraparty discussion at the moment.
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Solid work here: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-08-21...
gelliottmorris.com
Are the polls overestimating Democrats again?
It is tempting to “unskew” polls after repeat misses. But predicting future poll bias only works until it doesn’t
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
A long-shot race may be getting less long. www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
A Democratic senator in Kansas?
Two new polls suggest it’s possible. But it would take an extraordinary effort.
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
How Trump is damaging QAnon
Just as quickly as the conspiracy theory filled the news, data now shows it is slipping back to the fringes…
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
There's something happening in the Democratic Party. blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/primary-pr...
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
Can a democratic socialist win statewide in a swing state? Wisconsin may just tell us. www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
Can a socialist win this swing state?
If a flood of new polling bears out, Democrats will likely nominate a democratic socialist for governor in this Rust Belt state.
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
The midterm elections are now less 100 days away. Democrats are favored to retake the House, but how many seats can they reasonably expect to win? www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
Blue wave, tsunami, or trickle? Here’s what the data says.
The midterm elections are now 100 days away. Democrats are favored to retake the House, but how many seats can they reasonably expect to win?
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
The discourse-to-reality ratio for crypto is wild. d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/Cr...
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Term limits are a bad idea, actually. www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
Americans love this terrible idea to fix Congress
Congress is out of touch. It needs fresh blood. There should be term limits. Right?
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
With Donald Trump in the White House, every single day of news is a whiplash between satire-proof absurdity and heart-rending horror. www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
The emotional toll of Trump 2.0
This week’s The Conversation deals with the highs and lows of Trump in office.
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
apnews.com/article/ice-...
apnews.com
AP Exclusive: ICE officer in Maine shooting has history of violent behavior, family and records say
The Immigration and Customs Enforcement officer who shot a Colombian man in Maine this week is an Army veteran who has struggled with serious mental health issues since early childhood, according to c...
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
Why did no one tell me the two Republicans running for governor of South Dakota are named Rhoden and Doeden?
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
As Ohio goes, so goes the nation. If that old political adage bears out this year, it would be a hell of a problem for the Republican Party. My latest: www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
Will Trump make this red state flip blue?
If an old political adage bears out this year, it would be a hell of a problem for the Republican Party.
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
Apropos of nothing, here’s an article I wrote three weeks ago about Platner. www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
Can Graham Platner overcome scandals to win Maine?
Can voters separate the politics from the politician?
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
Spiking video game console prices are a clear sign of inflation—especially for one key voting bloc. Read more in my latest column: www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
The Washington Post is reporting that Trump‘s D.C. fireworks display for July Fourth are likely to release hazardous air pollution. It’s only the latest way he has botched America’s 250th birthday, as I looked into this past Sunday. www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
Trump fails miserably to throw America a birthday party
As America turns 250, Trump whiffs the softball of a lifetime.
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
Not only are Trump's events to celebrate America's 250th birthday unpopular, but also he has driven a record-low level of American pride. More in my latest column about our dispiriting semiquincentennial: www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
www.washingtonpost.com/climate-envi...
washingtonpost.com
Internal memo orders staff not to reveal deaths in national parks
Guidance issued by the Interior Department instructs National Park Service staff not to confirm deaths, the severity of injuries or other details.
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Planter’s personal scandals are starting to drag down his polling. I look at the state of the race in Maine: www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
Can Graham Platner overcome scandals to win Maine?
Can voters separate the politics from the politician?
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/ai-campaig...
blog.fiftyplusone.news
AI campaign ads are becoming more common
Campaign consultants are using AI, but some evidence suggests it might be counterproductive
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
Americans overwhelmingly agree heat waves and natural disasters are worsening the cost-of-living crisis. But climate change? Not as much. I dive into that mess—and other ways Democrats need to fix how they talk about critical issues. www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 07/06/2026
Nobody deserves a Slam title less than Zverev❤️
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
The DOJ came after Daily Kos. Here’s the full story.
Last year, on June 26, I wrote a story headlined, “Trump’s DOJ is targeting Daily Kos.” At the time, I couldn’t explain what was happening. A gag order prevented it. Now I can.
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
Following the pardons of Jan. 6 rioters and Hunter Biden, a strong majority of America supports major reforms to the presidential pardon. More in my latest: www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
Things are already getting crazy in the Texas Senate race:
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
Americans hate the idea of an AI data center being built near them. Democrats, independents, Republicans—majorities of all oppose it. Hard to find issues with more partisan unity than this. www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
Americans don’t want a data center in their backyard
Do server farms serve us?
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
www.natesilver.net/p/disney-era...
natesilver.net
Disney erased FiveThirtyEight
Nothing on the internet lasts forever. But Disney’s 10-year mismanagement of FiveThirtyEight is its own story.
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
Buried in the latest NYT/Siena poll is this interesting finding: When it comes to which party voters personally identify with, they lean toward the Democratic Party by 6 points now. In January, it was by just 1 point.
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
In the short term, Democrats face a huge disadvantage in fighting Republicans' gerrymandering. But there is hope. www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
How extreme could gerrymandering get?
Lo, the era of gerrymaxxing is upon us.
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
Sign up now for a free six-month subscription to Daily Kos! www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
Enjoy a free 6-month Daily Kos subscription on us!
Everyone gets a free six-month Daily Kos subscription!
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Reposted by Andrew Mangan
Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
ABC News has now taken all FiveThirtyEight articles completely offline. They now redirect to abcnews dot com.politics. A needless erasure of thousands of pages of knowledge.
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
Sometimes there is good news too. My latest: www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
These Democrats shouldn’t have a shot at winning—but they do
Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend that’s driving politics or culture. In Iowa…
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
There are over 500 comments on my column from yesterday, and—just take it from me—every single one of them likes my opinion and agrees wholeheartedly. www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
Kamala Harris might run again. Here’s why she shouldn’t.
Third time’s a charm, right? The former vice president seems to think so.
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
Trump's approval rating is clearly dragging down Republicans' performance on the generic ballot, though it's not as 1:1 as you might expect. (Data collated from Silver Bulletin.)
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
Gallup finds that 19.1% of American adults report having or being treated for depression—a higher rate than just a few years ago. Last September, seeing that trend in earlier data, I dove into the reasons why that might be: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...
dailykos.com
The new Great Depression is more than economic
Most Americans reject Trump’s policies and political violence amid growing national malaise. Explore public sentiment on key U.S. issues.
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
Actually, Democrats should do more gerrymandering. www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
Why Democrats should gerrymander
Virginia is for lovers—of democracy.
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 19/04/2026
Despite the numerous crises facing his administration, Trump is increasingly focused on construction projects, like the new White House ballroom, The Washington Post finds. Here’s me from last week on what that means: www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
Trump can’t escape his real estate past—and neither can we
At his core, President Donald Trump is a real estate guy who happens to run a country. That makes for a very chaotic fit, as this past week’s most popular stories on Daily Kos have shown.
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
In California's governor's race, two Republicans lead the pack, according to an average of polls conducted since Jan. 1. The highest-performing Democrat narrowly trails them. The catch? It's Swalwell. My latest look into Democrats' danger in the Golden State: www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
Democrats in California governor race may be saved by … Trump?
It’s a question nobody wants to hear: Will a billionaire save Democrats from themselves in California?
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
The California Democratic Party now says it's too late to remove Eric Swalwell's name—or any other—from the ballot, meaning that we're edging ever closer to something I warned about in December: a Republican governor in the Golden State. www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...
dailykos.com
A Republican governor in California? It’s possible.
Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend that’s driving politics or culture. Democrats ...
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
Trump's attack on the pope and his "I am Jesus" Truth Social post definitely won't help his approval among Christians, which has been deteriorating since he took office. www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
White evangelicals are souring on Trump—but there’s a catch
Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend that’s driving politics or culture. He is risen! ...
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
Voters are sour on the Democratic Party ... and yet they are much more likely to trust it in comparison to the GOP. For instance, of 17 policy areas where one party has a clear advantage, the Democratic Party has an edge on 14. Read more in my latest: www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
Americans are down on Democrats—until the alternative is the GOP
Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend that’s driving politics or culture. You may have ...
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
You know the Trump admin is in a bad place when a poll’s graph hides the percentage that agrees with the admin’s talking points because that share is so small
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Andrew Mangan @mangan.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
I tracked down a dozen competitive House districts that have seen measles outbreaks, including one—NY-17—that is currently considered a toss-up. More here: www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
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