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Lourenço, J.

@lourencojml.bsky.social
883 followers 1K following 171 posts

Pathogen Population Biology Lab @ CBR/UCP, Lisbon, cbr.fm.ucp.pt/en/node/7111 Eco-epidemiology of mosquito-borne and antigenically variable pathogens.

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Reposted by Lourenço, J.
Scott McGrath @smcgrath.phd · 01/07/2026
🧪 A 68-country survey of 72k people shows the global average trust in science is quite high at 3.6 out of 5. The real fracture isn't universal; it's heavily localized and political. In the US, Republican confidence dropped from 85% to 65% since 2020, while remaining stable on the left. #AcademicSky
nature.com
Have people stopped trusting science? The data tell a surprising story
Some say there’s a global crisis of trust — but research reveals where the real problems lie.
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Reposted by Lourenço, J.
Julie Blommaert @drjulieb.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
Every single piece I read on this hits the nail on the head AND I struggle to find a single quote that is more deserving of being shared than the entire article thespinoff.co.nz/politics/29-...
thespinoff.co.nz
The problem with treating science like a startup
Few New Zealanders spend much time thinking about volcanic monitoring but when a volcano erupts, we expect expertise to exist immediately.
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Measuring the growth of infectious disease modelling publications and their impact on policymaking. Policy citations declined after the pandemic despite continued IDM output. Shows persistent global inequities in IDM research production and policy influence. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 21/06/2026
Um testemunho honesto. www.publico.pt/2026/06/21/s...
publico.pt
Inocência Mata: “Qualquer negro nascido na maternidade Alfredo da Costa é mandado para a sua terra”
Em termos pessoais, a experiência de Inocência Mata com episódios de discriminação mudou muito nas últimas décadas. Nos anos 1990 foi várias vezes vítima de racismo; mais recentemente deixou de o ser.
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
#Influenza H1 HA may be composed of discrete variable regions (VRs). Variability of an #epitope may depend on how many VRs it contains, rather than on the intrinsic VR variability. Epitopes of limited variability may be exploited to make universal #vaccines. doi.org/10.1016/j.me...
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Reposted by Lourenço, J.
Rebecca Solnit @rebeccasolnit.bsky.social · 07/03/2026
This happened. The print interview was edited in ways that feel very jumpy, but I got to say some things. Like: Maybe changing the world is more like caregiving than it is like war. Too many people still expect it to look like war. [and then there's a crazy jump-cut w/out transition.]
nytimes.com
Rebecca Solnit Says the Left’s Next Hero Is Already Here
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Reposted by Lourenço, J.
EVOMG-Doctoral Network @evomg-dn.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
Become part of a Marie Skłodowska-Curie Doctoral Network a prestigious EU initiative offering world-class research training, international experience, and strong career prospects for early-stage researchers. It’s more than a PhD:it’s a launchpad for your research career! Apply now: www.evomg-dn.eu
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 10/10/2025
Ecology matters: "while drought decreases #mosquito abundances, it paradoxically increases #WNV infection (...) probably stems from reduced water availability, which concentrates mosquitoes and pathogen-amplifying bird hosts around limited water sources" royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/...
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 04/08/2025
Great paper "Implications of successive blood feeding on Wolbachia-mediated dengue virus inhibition in Aedes aegypti mosquitoes", showing that successive feeding shortens #dengue EIP but #Wolbachia retains protective effects. doi.org/10.1038/s414...
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
Wondering what the potential of the #Qdenga #vaccine against #dengue infection and disease may be if delivered? This is a great paper to go to. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Image shows cover of research paper with abstract
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
Great. Can we start sooner?
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Reposted by Lourenço, J.
Sarah Murphy @13sarahmurphy.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
Let’s just remind ourselves about Farage’s big meal ticket idea again. And no, this isn’t about how the Tories did it, this is just Brexit reality. And Farage would make the deal *even worse*. Pariah status, unreliable, ruined UK howling about immigration and moaning that everything is broken.
Independent front page. Jan 2025

Five years on, the true cost of Brexit

£30.2bn
Cost of Britain's divorce settlement from the EU (HM Treasury) - not counting any ongoing impacts to the economy

£27bn
Drop in goods exports to EU in 2022 alone due to the introduction of trade barriers since Brexit (LSE) with food, agriculture and fishing among worst-hit sectors

15%
Long-term hit to
UK trade (OBR) as revealed in
Budget forecast

£2.8bn
Annual decrease in UK food exports to the EU
(Centre for Inclusive
Trade Policy)

6 in 10
Britons think
Brexit has gone badly (YouGov) and 12% believe it has gone well

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Tonnes drop in seafood exports to the EU since 2019 (Marine Management Organisation)

3.6m+
Number of immigrants into UK since the end of BU free movement
(ONS) despite claims it would reduce the flow

56%
Proportion of dairy producers
struggling to find workers (Arla)

1,227,800
EU nationals who left the UK between 2016-21 (ONS)

16,400
Number of businesses that stopped exporting to EU due to Brexit trade rules (LSE)

1/3
Drop in EU students at UK universities

2.3m
Net migration since end of free movement
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
Today is the day Europeans are happy for not buying a Tesla
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Reposted by Lourenço, J.
Guillaume Méric @gmeric.bsky.social · 24/04/2025
New work in Nature shows that a brief 5-day CIP course in (n=60) healthy adults can lead to emergence of AMR in ~10% of ~5600 gut microbial species. Most mutations in gyrA (known FQ hotspots), do not affect fitness & can be detected >10wks (projected to persist >1y) 🔗 www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Brief antibiotic use drives human gut bacteria towards low-cost resistance - Nature
Brief ciprofloxacin exposure in humans drives antibiotic resistance evolution in gut bacteria through selective sweeps, particularly involving DNA gyrase mutations, which persist long after exposure a...
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Reposted by Lourenço, J.
John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch.ft.com · 22/04/2025
The key chart right now: Usually US economic pain is cushioned by falling bond yields and a strengthening dollar, which mean lower interest rates and more spending power for consumers. This time we’re seeing the opposite, meaning the pain will be amplified.
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 22/04/2025
We have been exploring a bit whether #ClimateChange trends (1980-2019) in some Atlantic #archipelagos may have resulted in changes to climate-based #ecological suitability for #dengue virus - in short, yes; but with relevance only in tropical islands. We will put this and other results out ASAP.
Two figures. One shows the geographical maps of islands from Atlantic archipelagos including Madeira, Cape Verde, Canaries and São Tomé & Príncipe. The maps are coloured to highlight locations for which climate change between 1980 and 2019 have increases or decreases ecological suitability for dengue virus transmission. The other plot shows, per island, the absolute change in suitability accumulated over the study period, showing that only in tropical islands have changes been significant.
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 21/04/2025
Haven't used Xeeter for 7 months, and today I am purging my footprint. That is 2887 Xeets over the years. You can do the same using Luca Hammer's script. github.com/lucahammer/t...
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Reposted by Lourenço, J.
Any Doubts @anydoubts.bsky.social · 20/04/2025
"These countries aren’t just buying bonds to be nice; they’re bankrolling the U.S. government. And when they threaten to pull the plug, even slowly, Washington listens." Trump has been outplayed? Who knew.🙄
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 19/04/2025
Really nice, straight to the point paper by @drrachellowe.bsky.social 's team. Short-term effect of temperature and precipitation on the incidence of West Nile Neuroinvasive Disease in Europe: a multi-country case-crossover analysis - www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...
thelancet.com
Short-term effect of temperature and precipitation on the incidence of West Nile Neuroinvasive Disease in Europe: a multi-country case-crossover analysis
These findings emphasize the significance of short-term variations in temperature and precipitation in driving WNND incidence in Europe. Meteorological factors can be used to operationalize early warn...
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Reposted by Lourenço, J.
Monica Bettencourt-Dias @monicabettencourt.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
See the best of the 1st day of #EMBOcells4planethealth #EMBOClimateResilience youtu.be/KFRFSPHdjFM?..., amazing people and very inspiring discussions!! @embo.org. We will be posting interviews so that you can actually follow some of what is happening!!
youtu.be
EMBO Workshop Cells 4 Climate Resilience Best Of Day1
YouTube video by Cells4PlanetaryHealth
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
For ~17y, my research has depended on #Dropbox. As part of a larger effort to skip USA-based soft services and hardware for which I have lost confidence in (e.g. security and ownership) this dependence ended today. From now on, all work, including data, code, and text will be hosted in Europe.
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Reposted by Lourenço, J.
Marion Koopmans @marionkoopmans.bsky.social · 04/04/2025
Please share with people interested in arbovirology. We are looking for an enthusiastic colleague to strengthen our team please share if you know of scientists interested in arbovirology, ready to make a move to Rotterdam! www.academictransfer.com/en/jobs/3508...
academictransfer.com
Assistant professor Arbovirology
We are looking for a passionate researcher interested in basic arbovirology to join our team!
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
Archipelagos are often overlooked in West Nile virus ( #WNV ) studies, despite the risk to unique local avian species & humans. We train ecological niche #modelling on European data and project ecological #suitability across 5 Atlantic archipelagos.
researchsquare.com
Land and Climate Suitability for West Nile Virus in Atlantic Archipelagos Guided by Historical Data from Europe
West Nile (WNV) is a zoonotic mosquito-borne virus with an expanding geographical range and epidemic activity worldwide. Computational studies have contributed to the understanding of factors driving ...
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 25/03/2025
To scale: #time. youtube.com/watch?v=nOVv...
youtube.com
To Scale: TIME
YouTube video by To Scale:
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Reposted by Lourenço, J.
Tuuli Lappalainen @tuuliel.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
Faculty job opportunity in Sweden in computational infectious disease!
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Ben Pierce @benfpiercephd.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
Imagine the Enterprise getting anything done had there been a crew of only 8 Rikers. DEI is good.
The cast of Star Trek: The Next Generation
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Reposted by Lourenço, J.
Becky Smith @rlsdvm.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
38/250 is Regional variation in the landscape ecology of West Nile virus sentinel chicken seroconversion in Florida VBD landscape ecology needs to consider vector, host, and virus - nice to see it split out regionally to allow for that
doi.org
Regional variation in the landscape ecology of West Nile virus sentinel chicken seroconversion in Florida
How landscape composition and configuration impact the distribution of multi-vector and multi-host mosquito vector-borne disease systems, such as West Nile virus (WNV), remains challenging because of ...
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 23/02/2025
Must watch. AI and Science. AI and the future public perspective of Science. The role of the Media. Spot on.
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Amy Tan, MD @amytanmd.bsky.social · 21/02/2025
Very heartened to see this. And proud to be working with @plos.org
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Christie Aschwanden @cragcrest.bsky.social · 04/02/2025
"We will not retract published articles on request by an author on the basis that they contain so-called banned words" @bmj.com takes a stand: "Medical journal editors must resist CDC order and anti-gender ideology" www.bmj.com/content/388/...
bmj.com
Medical journal editors must resist CDC order and anti-gender ideology
The news that on 31 January 2025 the Trump administration instructed scientists employed by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) to withdraw or retract articles from medical and sci...
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Reposted by Lourenço, J.
Perran Ross @perran.bsky.social · 04/12/2024
Our latest work on Wolbachia mosquitoes is now published! journals.asm.org/doi/10.1128/...
journals.asm.org
Wolbachia strain wMelM disrupts egg retention by Aedes aegypti females prevented from ovipositing | Applied and Environmental Microbiology
Wolbachia mosquito releases are expanding around the world with substantial impacts on dengue transmission. Releases have succeeded in many locations, but the establishment of Wolbachia has been chall...
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 30/11/2024
This is Kiddo. A Portuguese Podengo found abandoned in my street in Lisbon 1y ago. She is now 2 and a happy dog. Podengo's closest relatives are Egyptian hunting dogs (from which they inherit the Jackal looks). This time of the year is when pets get most abandoned. As a society we can do better.
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
We - CLIMADE (climade.health) - participated in COP29 with a summary of our work (climate driven pathogens) and proposed recommendations for the near future. www.linkedin.com/posts/ceri-s...
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 11/11/2024
Curious on the #ecological conditions associated with the recent emergence of #Oropouche in #Brazil ? We explore this in a new #preprint currently under review [1]. Huge team effort, with support of the CLIMADE consortium [2]. [1] www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1... [2] climade.health
Image shows maps of Brazil, colored according to the level of several variables of interest, including forest cover, human density and temperature among others. Below each map, graphics present association of each variable with the observed spread of Oropouche virus. Certain variables like forest cover, human density and temperature show clear relationships.
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 26/10/2024
This is what we estimate to be the typical seasonality of environmental suitability for West Nile virus ocurrence in Portugal. We look at Portugal, 2 other EU countries and 5 Atlantic archipelagos. Results will be on preprint pretty soon. #WNV
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Colin Carlson @colincarlson.bsky.social · 29/09/2024
The One Health concept turns 20 today 🎈🦇🌴 To celebrate, I wrote about a new proposal that would pivot the pandemic treaty from vaccine sharing to investments in nature conservation, and what it tells us about where One Health is (and has maybe always been) headed www.carlsonlab.bio/thoughts/rou...
carlsonlab.bio
Is a river cleanup a vaccine? — The Carlson Lab
This and other questions posed by the One Health approach, on the twentieth anniversary of its first adoption.
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Thiago Carvalho @cyrilpedia.bsky.social · 03/09/2024
'To our knowledge, this paper provides the first empirical evidence for the existence of dialect prejudice in language models; that is, covert racism that is activated by the features of a dialect' www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
AI generates covertly racist decisions about people based on their dialect - Nature
Despite efforts to remove overt racial prejudice, language models using artificial intelligence still show covert racism against speakers of African American English that is triggered by features...
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 31/08/2024
Population at risk of #dengue virus increased over 40y due to coupled #climate & population growth factors. Global South: increases due to pop growth in areas w/ historically high climate suitability. Global North: increases in climate suitability in areas w/ limited pop growth. rdcu.be/dSu4w
rdcu.be
Population at risk of dengue virus transmission has increased due to coupled climate factors and population growth
Communications Earth & Environment - Changes in population growth and climatic conditions have increased the risk for dengue transmission, particularly in the Global South, according to a virus...
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Colin Carlson @colincarlson.bsky.social · 28/08/2024
Excited about the epidemiology of emerging viruses? We're looking for one or more postdocs in - count em - FOUR areas. Join us right as we move into the Public Health Modeling Unit, a beautiful office full of brilliant and kind colleagues from across Yale's campus. apply.interfolio.com/153039
Four focus areas: geographic range shifts, causal inference in ecoepidemiology, mosquito-arbovirus interactions, and literature annotation and disease surveillance. (Shortened due to text limits)Aerial view of beautiful Yale campus at sunrise or sunset, covered in trees
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Lyndon Hood @lyndonhood.bsky.social · 19/08/2024
Behold the marketplace of ideas
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Thiago Carvalho @cyrilpedia.bsky.social · 17/08/2024
'Many were young men with genital lesions, and many also had HIV. Ultimately, tests revealed those patients had monkeypox, a viral disease that had only been documented in Nigeria three times, with the last case occurring 39 years earlier.'
science.org
The untold story of how Nigeria’s mpox outbreak sparked a worldwide epidemic
The virus circulated for 8 years before going global. Could it have been stopped?
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 13/08/2024
More studies like this are needed in #Portugal: red-legged partridge individuals sampled 2018-2022 tested positive using VNT: 28.8% #WNV, 8.1% #BAGV, 2.1% #USUV. As such, long-term serological surveillance revealed likely endemic circulation of WNV. www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
biorxiv.org
Dynamics of Bagaza, West Nile, and Usutu viruses in Portugal revealed by long-term serological surveillance in red-legged partridges, 2018-2022
bioRxiv - the preprint server for biology, operated by Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, a research and educational institution
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Onisillos @onisillos.bsky.social · 05/08/2024
"This is related, I believe, to the fact that people assume everything is dengue. And because dengue is well known, they hydrate and send the patient home. We need to understand that this is not the case. We are in a different situation now." www.theguardian.com/global-devel...
theguardian.com
Outbreak of Oropouche virus in Brazil should be a ‘wake-up call’, say experts
The disease, spread by midges and mosquitoes, has been linked to two deaths as cases surge in previously unaffected areas
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 05/08/2024
Rapid Spatial Expansion Beyond the Amazon Basin: Oropouche Virus joins other main arboviruses in epidemic activity across the Americas - we x2 publicly available genomes, characterize recent recombination and spatial spread. #CLIMADE #OROV climade.health/2024/08/04/r...
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 28/06/2024
We apply ecological niche modelling using WNV historical evidence & environmental variables in #Portugal. Backgrounds compatible with #WNV had a warmer+drier #climate, high avian diversity, specific #avian species & land types. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
The historical ecological background of West Nile virus in Portugal indicates One Health opportunities
West Nile (WNV) is a zoonotic arbovirus with an expanding geographical range and epidemic activity in Europe. Not having yet experienced a human-assoc…
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John Sundman @jsundman.bsky.social · 07/03/2024
This is really, really good.
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 06/03/2024
Known as EPINEST, the model was developed and tested by tracking the spread of avian #influenza viruses (AIVs) through networks of farms, markets and transport systems of broiler chickens in #Bangladesh. One Health Poultry Hub + Fantastic effort from Francesco Pinotti at Oxford
onehealthpoultry.org
Hub team develops new computer tool to track livestock disease threats and support smarter One Health interventions - One Health Poultry Hub
field_5d1dea40731f9
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Lourenço, J. @lourencojml.bsky.social · 16/02/2024
North-south pathways, emerging variants, and high climate suitability characterize the recent spread of dengue virus serotypes 2 and 3 in the Dominican Republic. www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
Figure 2. Dispersion dynamics of DENV-2-III in the Dominican Republic. A) Maximum likelihood (ML) phylogenetic analysis of 29 new ew complete genome sequences of DENV-2-III generated in this study combined with 661 sequences from GenBank. The scale bar represents units its of nucleotide substitutions per site (s/s) and the tree is mid-pointed rooted. Colors represent geographic sampling locations. B) The highlight on on the right (panel B) shows the phylogeographic reconstruction of the Dominican Republic Clade (n=43). Solid curved lines denote the links ks between nodes and the directionality of movement. Circles represent nodes of the MCC phylogeny and are colored according to their inferred ed time of occurrence. Shaded areas represent the 80% highest posterior density interval and depict the uncertainty of the phylogeographic estimates tes for each node.
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Thiago Carvalho @cyrilpedia.bsky.social · 11/02/2024
"Brazil was due for a bad dengue year — numbers of cases of the virus typically rise and fall on a roughly four-year cycle — but experts say a number of factors, including El Niño and climate change, have significantly amplified the problem this year." www.nytimes.com/2024/02/10/h...
nytimes.com
Brazil Has a Dengue Emergency, Portending a Health Crisis for the Americas
Record numbers of cases of the mosquito-borne virus have been reported in the Southern Hemisphere summer, and the surge is likely to move north.
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Healthcare-Global @healthcare-global.bsky.social · 10/02/2024
www.medscape.co.uk/viewarticle/...
medscape.co.uk
Is the British Government Eroding Primary Care on Purpose?
The situation is “dire” and “by design”, says Ellen Welch, past co-chair of the Doctors’ Association UK.
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