iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Lula: “I honestly think I’m going to win the election in the first round. I think this election will be decided on Sunday. “Flávio Bolsonaro has no past, no present and no future.”

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Lula: “Trump knows that we have strategic things that he needs. I still have not put the reciprocity law into practice. “But he imports niobium, and 60% of his niobium comes from Brazil. And he knows that the moment we apply reciprocity, I’m going to play the same way he played.”

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Brazilian President Lula: “If it weren’t for me confronting these fascists, they would win the election easily. So I am an obstacle to them. “As long as I am alive, I will work to make sure fascism does not return to this country.”

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Mark Chadbourn @chadbourn.bsky.social · 10h

Lots of restlessness in Lib Dem ranks about Ed Davey’s leadership. One of his MPs spoke out against him yesterday, while an internal document has just been leaked, Sky News reports.

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“As the US mainland hasn’t been invaded since 1812 and there is no prospect of any country invading such a large land mass with (relatively) friendly neighbours, the only logical conclusion is that the implied threat will come from within.”

chadbourn.substack.com

The War At Home

The Pentagon identifies a new enemy…in America

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George Monbiot @georgemonbiot.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Odd looking clouds in Moscow oblast. #explodey

A white cloud of smoke rises above trees against a sunset

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Far from taking pride in it, the men who killed this magnificent animal should be deeply ashamed. That swift, sleek, wonderful monster, flashing with holographic colours, reduced to a dead black lump. www.devonlive.com/news/devon-n...

devonlive.com

Monster 282kg tuna landed in Brixham is 'heaviest ever' catch

Giant £4,000 Bluefin tuna caught off Devon coast could be heading to Michelin-starred restaurants

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Brizo75 @brizo75.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Will we "all be in it together" again like last time? The UK’s wealth gap has grown by 50% in eight years – and poses a strategic risk to the nation - LSE Inequalities share.google/fuhu2zdJgh48...

share.google

The UK’s wealth gap has grown by 50% in eight years – and poses a strategic risk to the nation - LSE Inequalities

The size of the UK's wealth gap is not only unfair. It poses major risks to our economy, society, democracy and environment. How should policymakers respond?

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How Trump plans to break America so it can’t be repaired

“A pattern has been established since Trump entered the White House for his second term that indicates a strategy to cripple how the US operates to such a degree that whoever comes next will find it impossible to repair.”

chadbourn.substack.com

Scorched Earth

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Zelenskyy: “A target in the Black Sea was hit, as well as a launch and storage site for attack drones in the Oryol region. “Sanctions were also applied against an oil facility in the Samara region and a supply depot for the occupiers in the Bryansk region.

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Sikorski: “Kremlin’s assets frozen in Europe are never going back to Russia. “They can be used in the future as war reparations or to help Ukraine rebuild, or they can be used now to help prevent further destruction and make future reconstruction cheaper.”

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Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski at EuropeFuture Forum: “I once did a quick calculation of where Russia would be if she developed since 1913 at the pace of Canada. “She would have the economy of the United States. “It has the economy of less than Italy now.”

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Sikorski: “Unfortunately, even if the war ends tomorrow, Russia will remain a threat. “We cannot afford to once again underestimate the danger of Moscow’s militarism.”

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Kremlin: “Russia’s warning about the consequences of possible attempts to blockade Kaliningrad should not be seen as a confrontational statement.”

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George Monbiot @georgemonbiot.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Trump to Time: “I have the highest of IQs. I have the highest. I'm fine.”

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You can see the genocide from space. Yet still it is widely denied.

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The Empty City @davidallengreen.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

NEW The diabolical defending of Manchester City Understanding an aggressive litigation strategy By me, at @prospectmagazine.co.uk (Prospect paywall is down currently.) www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/ideas/law/th... #MCFC

What can explain such an aggressive and counterproductive approach? To an extent the answer may be in the facts and the evidence. Perhaps the view was that the only chance of getting out of this was to be unhelpful as well as robust. In respect of an earlier dispute with Uefa, an internal communication at the club apparently said “Uefa doesn't respond to anything other than aggression”. Maybe the view was taken that this would work here too. Maybe the club still thinks it will work in the end, with the league being pushed into settlement on appeal or at the doors of the High Court.

But this does not offer a total explanation. What may work with Uefa may not work with other adversaries. The structure of the league’s investigation and the disciplinary approach meant that aggression would not only be unhelpful, but would count heavily against the club. An appeal on the law or procedure at the High Court in this sort of case only has a remote chance of success. It can be assumed the club was warned of all this.

There is a phrase in football punditry that “the defending is diabolical”. Here diabolical is, of course, a synonym for dreadful. But in its more literal sense, diabolical means bedevilled with wrongful purpose. And the strategy adopted by Manchester City in contesting this matter is also in this sense diabolical. The club will have known that it was unlikely to work, and that it would make things harder, but the club decided to do it anyway.

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Mark Chadbourn @chadbourn.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

French President Emmanuel Macron on the UK rejoining the EU: “If the British want to take a first step in this direction, I think it is very good news both for their country and for Europeans.”

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Mujtaba Rahman @mijrahman.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Don't believe the Europeans when they say the UK is no longer interesting, a priority etc etc Every senior EU official I've met today in Brussels has spent 20 mins talking about @andyburnham.bsky.social speech. The EU is paying attention and interested - even if it pretends otherwise

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George Monbiot @georgemonbiot.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

In terms of messaging, this is very positive, and a big shift from the nature-hatefest of the Starmer administration. Mind you, most tree-planting is unnecessary: I'd like to see much more emphasis on natural regeneration. 🧵 www.theguardian.com/environment/...

theguardian.com

Half a million trees to be planted in England in three years, says government

Exclusive: Environment secretary Angela Eagle to make pledge as part of efforts to protect against extreme weather

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Trump’s weakness after his defeat in the Iran War is evident in how the Iranians feel comfortable ramping up their demands. Today an IRGC spokesperson said the US “must admit defeat” and withdraw from the region.

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Estonian Foreign Minister Margus Tsahkna: “Based on the information collected by the Estonian Internal Security Service we can conclude with certainty that the arson attack on Milrem Robotics premises that took place on the night of 14–15 august in Tallinn…

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The Cornell Rape Case is a feature not a bug

“These cases are always treated in isolation by the media, a shocking incident, like a murder, borne of specific motivations. But they’re not like murders at all and they shouldn’t be seen as individual crimes — they’re symptomatic of a sickness in society that afflicts all countries everywhere.”

chadbourn.substack.com

The Man Problem

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Andy Burnham is not ruling out a Labour general election pledge to rejoin the EU, Bloomberg reports.

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The Tories are so bad at politics. Their latest campaign against Burnham is “he’s taking us back to the 70s” which sounds like grandpa yelling at people to get off the lawn. Most voters are too young to have any idea what that means. They do remember Johnson and Truss though.

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Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani @mayor.nyc.gov · 29/09/2026

Today, in Russian propaganda:

Schaeffer Marlyse. @Schaef... • 6h
S
• Translated from French Show original
I am a French mother with beautiful children.
I did not give birth to them for them to be sent to the trenches.
French and Russian mothers do not want their children to fight against each other.
We are not enemies.
#RuslandIsNotMyEnemy

Els van Veen O
Follow
@veen_els
I'm a Dutch mother with beautiful sons. I did not give birth to my children to be sent into the trenches. Dutch and Russian mums don't want their boys fighting each other. We are not enemies. #RuslandIsNotMyEnemy

Nadja @EuropaNormal • 9h
• Translated from German Show original
I am a German mother with a beautiful son. I didn't give birth to my child to send him into the trenches. German and Russian mothers do not want their boys to fight against each other. We are not enemies.
#RuslandIsNotMyEnemy

Dday @DdayohneZiffern • 12h
I'm a German mother with beautiful sons. I did not give birth to my children to be sent into the trenches. German and Russian mums don't want their boys fighting each other. We are not enemies.
#RuslandIsNotMyEnemy

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Today, we opened the Jobs NYC Center at 2 Lafayette Street — a walk-in hub where New Yorkers can find city job opportunities, get application support, and connect with hiring agencies.

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Mark Chadbourn @chadbourn.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Today, in lying: Trump: “The arrest in the UK was fantastic. Working with Britain, it was an amazing job. “We had them under investigation. They were looking to do big damage to our fort, and working with the British worked out great. “We had them under view for a long time, and we got them.”

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The Pentagon never disclosed that eight US Marines were injured when an Iranian cruise missile hit their vessel in the Strait of Hormuz on September 14, NBC reports. Injuries were eventually added to the casualty record with no announcement ten days later.

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Meta restringe la cuenta de Lula y su partido alerta por posible injerencia extranjera

US social media companies are interfering in the Brazilian elections in favour of the Far Right’s Flávio Bolsonaro. Meta is the latest. It’s just blocked the campaign account of President Lula in the final stretch of the election.

elespectador.com

De cara a las elecciones en Brasil, Lula enfrenta a Meta por restringir su cuenta mientras su partido alerta por posible injerencia extranjera.

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Carole Cadwalladr @carolecadwalla.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

NEW: Meet the real AI ‘rogue agent’: Lord Watson of Palantir. I am sick to the teeth of this current AI hype cycle & its perversion of language. The only thing going ‘rogue’ right now are AI boosters, a gullible & compliant press & a Labour Lord 1/ broligarchy.substack.com/p/meet-the-r...

broligarchy.substack.com

Meet the real AI “rogue agent”: Lord Tom Watson

A Labour leader is out of control. The world needs a containment strategy now

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Trump is touting a diesel export ban and Goldman Sachs has produced a note to say why it’s a bad idea. Initially US diesel drops by $0.25 a gallon during the week of the ban, but that then pushes gas prices ⬆️ After the ban, global prices would still be higher due to lost US refinery output.

goldman Research
Sacns
Commodities Research
26 September 2026 | 11:50AM EDT
OIL ANALYST
Modeling Potential US Diesel Export Restrictions
Daan Struyven
draw five conclusions.
on US diesel prices as inventories build. We estimate that, initially while storage
under 4% of the current $6.5/gallon.
Texandra Paulu
2 evandra paulus fias comi
Goldman Sachs & Co. LLO
Yulia Zhestkova Grigsby
（648）445-905
production can mean downward pressure on gasoline production, i.e. upward
• Third, restrictions on US diesel exports would add upward pressure on ex-US
with prices elsewhere, including Europe, putting upward pressure on US diesel
• Gasoline markets are tightening rapidly.
would tighten ex-US gasoline markets.

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