It is not just tariffs that might affect growth but also trade uncertainty and the effects of the Trump policy agenda

Accord would create market of 700mn by dropping tariffs on more than 90% of goods

Analysis of large language models (LLMs) shows their potential to generate inflation forecasts at least as good as the most respected, but costlier, sources of inflation forecasts.

Tracking Information On Industrial Policies Since 1 January 2023

Trade imbalances significantly alter the welfare implications of tariffs. Using an illustrative model, we show that trade deficits enhance a country's ability t