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Lary Doe

@larydoe.bsky.social
3.1K followers 881 following 2.3K posts

Behavioral Economist, Runner, 🐈Servant, Husband to a Strong Woman. ProgRock Enthusiast. GO BLUE DEVILS!!!

PostsRepliesMedia
Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
Why people call each other names...
open.substack.com
Low-Cost Name Games
Cheap Talk Pricing
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 28/07/2025
Curious about the Federal Reserve Reno plans? www.ncpc.gov/projects/8113/ The water feature that Trump is SOOOO concerned with 👇🏻 Flower beds? The non-existent Roof-top Garden? There are detailed photos and sketches of everything.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 27/07/2025
Not once did they say "tax". FoxNews is responsible for the dumbing down of America. Not a single one could have passed my Freshman Econ class. *They just repeat the lies with a smile on their lips.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 27/07/2025
I know this might get me in trouble... You have to watch the Trump PSA from South Park!!! *it's about halfway in, but you need the buildup for context.
youtu.be
The PSA contains synthetic media | South Park
YouTube video by South Park Studios
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
Epstein lunchtime thought- Your 16-yr old daughter disappears for days at a time, and you don't ask many questions? "How'd you get money/clothes/whatever?" Feels like a question I'd be asking the victim's parents...
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
Lumber as of 9 a.m. EDT. Add in 9% passthrough due to Tariffs on Canadian products. 25% on the stuff coming from Baltic region. Mills in Pacific NW are running at reduced capacity for maintenance. Housing affordability becomes harder when the Gov. places barriers to pricing.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
The messaging creep on the Epstein files is getting worrisome. Hearing Neera Tanden throwing Merrick Garland under the bus is deeply concerning. Blaming pendulum swing policies between Trump 45 and Biden as a culprit? Now we wait and wonder who has something additional to spew?
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 24/07/2025
Pop Culture to a hit this week... Ozzy Malcolm Now Hulk Growing up in the 70's-80's, these guys were everywhere.
cnn.com
Legendary wrestler Hulk Hogan dead at the age of 71, WWE says | CNN
Professional wrestling legend Terry Bollea, better known as Hulk Hogan, died on Thursday at the age of 71 at his home in Clearwater, Florida.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 24/07/2025
Today's hero... She knew exactly how to reach his weakness by showing her strengths.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 23/07/2025
Just a reminder that the House of Representatives takes 160 days for recess. That's 147 days they are in session!? Please, tell me more about waste, fraud and abuse.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
Such a great singer... Ozzy is coming home...
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
The Chair of the Federal Reserve has a 4-year term to increase the dialogue between it and Congress. 2x a year testimony before each chamber. And because over on the "Dumb Place" they think Powell makes $Millions... $250K, an SES2 pay scale for the GS aware!
federalreservehistory.org
Federal Reserve Reform Act of 1977
Signed by President Jimmy Carter in November 1977, this amendment to the Federal Reserve Act was instrumental in shaping the current Fed.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
@elerianm.bsky.social is unfortunately drinking the Cool-Aid. Continued promotion of the idea Jay Powell or the Federal Reserve should be party to any political influence is foundationally incorrect. Bessant, Trump, Liz Warren... none should be "insisting" on policy.
cnbc.com
Top economist Mohamed El-Erian breaks ranks with Wall Street and says Powell should resign to preserve Fed independence
El-Erian, president of Queens' College at Cambridge University, said he was aware that his view did not align with the Wall Street consensus.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
Revenue from the Federal Estate/Gift Tax was $34B in 2023. Retirement funds and Homes make up the majority of assets. Homes, post-tax dollars. Retirement varies by composition of asset. My point is these types of taxes can lower generational wealth being transferred or destroyed.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
It was really disheartening to listen to a @marketplace.org podcast, "Financially Inclined", that undermined the expertise of Ph.D. holders. Not a specific person, but saying that only those who have attended Medical School deserve the title Dr.? Odd statement. May rethink my next donation.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 21/07/2025
Rep. Anna Paulina Luna can go F*ck herself with whatever rusty implement is close by!
foxnews.com
Fed Chair Jerome Powell hit with criminal referral by House GOP Trump ally
Trump ally Rep. Anna Paulina Luna claims Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell committed perjury during Senate testimony and in communications with the Office of Management and Budget.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 21/07/2025
Lessons from Karate Kid Legends? Women are set pieces with no agency. They only make "bad decisions". (Must be saved by "hero", even Mom!) The "Bad Boy" has no adult telling him he doesn't own women. #ToxicMasculinity gets re-enforced by these stupid tropes.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 20/07/2025
Well Donald... This is the point Economists will say begins the full effect of your economic choices. It's now all you, not Biden, not Obama(?). Can't hide from your choices...
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 20/07/2025
Sunday Data Point - #Medicare Payments Calculating the payments back to States from the Federal doesn't include Medicare. 2023 data shows CA outpacing receipt of payments by $10's of Billions over other States. For those arguing CA net-payer status? It's not quite what people argue.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 19/07/2025
This 👇🏻 is why checking your sources for data is important. While the headline numbers are accurate, the current Administration is opting to hide methodology to create a narrative. *Those worried about Government Reports? It's still good data, but the "news releases" are the questionable stuff!!
snopes.com
Checking Trump admin claim native-born workers accounted for all job gains in first half of 2025
The Department of Labor's graphic used non-seasonally adjusted data.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 19/07/2025
Epstein "Client List" Thought - I know my former boss's name is in Epstein's phone book, like many who could pull some string. Those individuals, the ones who donated money to a legitimate cause 25 years ago, shouldn't be dragged for things they didn't know. Seek justice, just be careful.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 18/07/2025
Stephen Colbert is a nice guy, let's start there. But at $15M and the kind of numbers late night shows pull in, this is a dying medium. Podcasts draw a large number of the same guests and in a more timely fashion. (unless pushing movie/show) NBC/ABC are going to watch this closely.
tvinsider.com
Late Night Ratings Revealed: Who's Top & Who's Lagging Behind?
One host has made huge gains year-on-year.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 18/07/2025
Fed Gov. Chris Waller assumes a perfect distribution of Tariff split - 1/3 Manufacturer, 1/3 Importer, 1/3 End Customer being a 1 time increase. In a lab or book, absolutely correct... but It ignores competitive advantages and imperfect pass-through, where not all are equal. 1/2👇🏻
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 17/07/2025
Seriously Comcast? Even with TVs using the streaming app (it's slow garbage that lacks functionality), the bill is getting abusive. *Don't care about local sports, but for "reasons" I'm stuck paying for them.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 17/07/2025
OK, what are people buying? Is the higher income cohort carrying the economy? Unemployment is steady at 4.1%. All the data supports NO cut in Fed Funds Rate in July.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 16/07/2025
I'm disappointed in society today... at least portions of society.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 16/07/2025
I only know @jessicabriedl.bsky.social through her writings. They're well-researched and her conclusions backed by data. Reading her recent experiences with "people" attacking her, simply for being #trans, is upsetting. As it is when read about others... It shouldn't be this way.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 15/07/2025
Core CPI is up 2.9% Y/Y. Airline and Hotel pricing is falling, lower demand. There has been some normalization of pricing since Covid. Overall volume of retail sales is lowering. Consumption down alongside price creep. The tariff inflation still isn't in the data, by September?
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
👇🏻This lacks a basic understanding of how campaigns work. The issue needs to be limiting the calendar days, ad spend and maybe not piss away money on 2000 consultants? It's an industry in and of itself with no benefit. If they weren't campaigning, then they'd have to do their jobs!
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
Fiscal Dominance - Federal Reserve versus Government in a game of Chicken. Central Bank can't respond in a way Trump wants. Trump can't stop increasing Federal Deficit. As they said in Highlander "There can be only One!" Rates will need to stay high until inflation effects of tariffs show in data.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 13/07/2025
RFKJr. is not the brightest bulb but these measles outbreaks are lagging indicators of a longer-term problem. States created cut-outs for religious exemptions, etc. with no regard for public health. Maybe Chuck could concentrate on Shutdown concerns instead?
usatoday.com
Schumer demands RFK Jr. declare measles emergency, saying he 'walked' US into outbreak
Sen. Chuck Schumer, the Senate minority leader, accused Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. of gutting public health.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 12/07/2025
I say let him try... It's a blatant Constitutional violation and I would be interested in how some in Congress defend it. Supreme Court ruled on these types of maneuvers decades ago... can't hide behind them!
nbcnews.com
Trump threatens to take away Rosie O'Donnell's U.S. citizenship
The president on Saturday threatened to revoke comedian Rosie O'Donnell's U.S. citizenship, something he cannot legally do.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 12/07/2025
Regressive Taxes are fun to study and mapping the nature of how the current Administration has constructed them. Because Tariffs are, by definition, a consumption tax. I'll be curious to see how state Sales Tax are affected by changing consumption. Eventually something breaks...
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 12/07/2025
Reading through the "Comment Section" of another poorly sourced hit piece on Jay Powell via @nypost.com People's opinion range from wildly stupid to complete ignorance. But that's how we got the Admin we current suffer through!
nypost.com
Jerome Powell ‘considering resigning’ as pressure grows over lavish $2.5B HQ: report
The Trump aide said Powell’s departure would be “the right decision for America, and the economy will boom.”
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 11/07/2025
HOA Story- Springtime Clipboard Brigade sent me a letter about a bent gutter hit by a tree. (It was March and I hadn't scheduled the person yet.) My wife today sees response to my notification to HOA about my pending Goat Purchase (backyard fenced). She's concerned I may actually order a goat 😁
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 11/07/2025
You go into a disaster area and the couture choice is Green Keds? (Add in the flipped semi for background.) Melania... a pair of boots, steel tipped boots. The total lack of empathy is bothersome. Get some mud on your shoes. *From a distance how do you differentiate blondes in faux BDUs?
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 11/07/2025
27 overdoses in a single block in a single day? #addiction is an illness and someone thought they would take advantage of it by offering "product" that was obviously tainted.
wbaltv.com
Mass overdose: City launches 'neighborhood stabilization response'
Baltimore City leaders are in Penn North a day after a mass overdose to launch a "coordinated neighborhood stabilization response."
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 11/07/2025
Trump needs Powell out of office to make the math of OBBA work long-term. The amount of pushback renovations at the Fed at getting (seriously, normal price escalation over 7 years?) shows the path they've chosen. 👇🏻Is how you "create" misconduct or gross incompetence.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
Today's Class Topic - Why people cling to an idea even in the face of a negative outcome. Sunk Cost Fallacy, it's just a term for doubling down on a plan of action because you can't let go. Unless faced with a cost or benefit, people plow forward w/ irrational choices. #teaching
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
#MechaHitler spewing Nazi Punk while targeting POC, LGTBQ+, or bicyclists... What could possibly go wrong?
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 09/07/2025
My strange Basket of Goods tracks not only food I eat but some weirdly specific items. This particular #synth has been out of stock for 3 months running Any guesses? #Tariffs It's a small, local dealer and rather than assume the tax, they've decided to just forgo the sale
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 09/07/2025
Saw this Meme and can't help but point out... He'd charge them for the services. Not a dime is coming from him unless it's to buy a new plane. *Was in Houston after Harvey in 2017, only church I saw closed and not answering the door.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 09/07/2025
Wealth is Citizenship agnostic. Europe has seen outflows that will eventually require the lessening of public support programs. U.S. growth will simply be a put on Trump policies. Iran/Nigeria interest me, so much corruption that we're just laundering their grift.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 09/07/2025
As we suffer through another Amazon holiday, a gentle reminder. 3rd party vendors and small businesses can't participate without taking an absolute loss due to... #Tariffs... that's right folks, another example of how businesses that drive our economy suffer when they can't participate.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 08/07/2025
This "book" was delivered to my office by the DNC? The note attached mentioned the advice I'd had given about changing an aspect of their Economic Messaging. This is just Tuesday afternoon finger pointing because they are on track to screw up their messaging yet again.
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 08/07/2025
I'm very curious by what mechanism Trump thinks he can assume control of D.C. or N.Y.C.? Posse Comitatus is very clear about not deploying military. But we know he'll just invoke The Insurrection Act anyway...
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 08/07/2025
Still reading but... If States used Federal Funds (ARPA/CARES Act) to replenish Unemployment expenditures in excess of revenue, there's a tipping point where another Black Swan potentially shutters basic services. CA really needs to reexamine their tax base. #econsky
nber.org
The Revenue and Distributional Impacts of Unemployment Insurance Reform: Evidence from California
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 08/07/2025
Butterfly Effect Pt. 2 - In 2013 Apple made a bid of $25B for Tesla, with the caveat that Musk was to leave company. Obviously, Musk's ego couldn't allow that. Would Apple's design teams have let the #Cybertruck out in the wild? Model 3? Y? Musk would have considerably less $ Just a thought...
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 07/07/2025
Started this 👇🏻over the weekend. I'm convinced the author is taking pot-shots at the current President and I couldn't stop laughing. *How many changes to the draft-copy were made before publication (7/2) is now my guessing-game! #booksky
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Lary Doe @larydoe.bsky.social · 07/07/2025
It's called #Gametheory, dummy. Check your spelling before posting!
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