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@KingCAMBO

@kingcambo.bsky.social
114 followers 132 following 113 posts

Day trader. Gonzo journalist. Last Sane Bastard in This Casino. Staring at charts since 1996. A tweet from a man in a big house moves the S&P 500 more than the Fed. Join the tribe. It's free. Stay Savage. ☠️

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Average credit card rate just hit 22.36%, the highest in a year, one point off the all-time record. Since 2021, that number’s up 6.5 points. Car loans aren’t cheap either — 7.54% on a 5-year new car note. The Fed cuts, the APR doesn’t care. Kill Switch doesn’t either.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Cook Political just moved 18 seats toward Democrats — 224-234 projected, well clear of 218. Divided government means gridlock on AI deregulation, and it means committee gavels that can subpoena. DFD #32 will lay out the receipts. Soon somebody with teeth gets to ask about them.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Market-implied odds of an October Fed pause just hit 85%. Polymarket’s own numbers independently land near 83%. Meanwhile the 10-year’s at 5.227% and Pimco’s talking about 6%. Somebody’s reading this wrong, and it isn’t obviously the bond desk. Kill Switch stays active either way.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
AI Winners Index +58% YTD. Everything else in the S&P: +5%. A 53-point gap. Micron +263%, Marvell +224%, Intel and AMD +190% each, same eleven months. The market isn’t rotating into AI anymore. It’s forgotten how to price anything that doesn’t have AI in the earnings call.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
AI Big 10 now owns 40-45% of the entire S&P 500 market cap — a record, confirmed across Goldman, Yahoo, and Kobeissi. Ten stocks wearing the other 490 as a trench coat. One bad disclosure doesn’t rattle a sector anymore. It rattles the market.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
30-year Treasury just printed 5.618% — highest since August 2000. VIX is sitting at 15.20, pretending nothing’s wrong. MOVE’s over 100. Kill Switch active, 10-year at 5.227% and widening. Somebody’s wrong between these two desks. History knows which one usually is.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Buried in Trump's 517 trades, past the Meta headline and the Coinbase sale everyone already wrote about, is a cluster nobody's flagged yet: CrowdStrike, Fortinet, and Datadog all got sold in the same August filing — not trimmed, sold...
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
OpenAI’s revenue got audited by a newspaper. FT says ~$50B, $20B light. Bloomberg countered with $70B by year-end — and that part’s independently confirmed. Oracle, CoreWeave, chips all fell on the first number, rallied on the second. Nobody rallied on the audit.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Trump’s August disclosure: up to $25M in Meta, millions in SpaceX debt, $273M total — confirmed by CNBC and five other outlets. TFRP tracker closed at 359.00 19 of 25 were red the same week. Nobody needs a conspiracy theory. The filing’s public. The job description isn’t supposed to look like this.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
You could hear the gears grinding from here: war premium, weather premium, AI-credit hangover, and a long Columbus Day weekend sitting on top of it like a drunk uncle with a lighter. kingcambo812.substack.com/p/trading-pl...
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Ray Dalio told a room of CEOs in Singapore that AI debt-funded spending + rising rates is “the” setup for a burst — comparing it to 1929. Hyperscaler capex: $700B this year to $1T next. Nobody can say nobody warned them.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Ray Dalio told a room of CEOs in Singapore that AI debt-funded spending + rising rates is “the” setup for a burst — comparing it to 1929. Hyperscaler capex: $700B this year to $1T next. Nobody can say nobody warned them.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
$CMG +6% on reports Starbucks explored buying Chipotle outright. Combined company: ~$50B in sales. Watch SBUX’s own reaction, not CMG’s — the target always pops on rumor, the acquirer tells you if the math’s real.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Retail stock allocation hit 71.8% in September — highest since Dec 2017. Cash fell to 13.3%, lowest since 2017. Nobody moved to safety. They moved to stocks, right as the 10-year sits at 24-year highs.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Retail stock allocation hit 71.8% in September — highest since Dec 2017. Cash fell to 13.3%, lowest since 2017. Nobody moved to safety. They moved to stocks, right as the 10-year sits at 24-year highs.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
517 trades disclosed for August. $5-25M Meta buy, plus SpaceX debt two days before signing a commercial space transportation policy. Nobody needs a conspiracy theory. That’s just a timestamp.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Fed minutes drop at 2pm, right after a $39B 10-year auction — in a week asking the market to absorb $119B in supply with a soft foreign bid. Futures are red across the board. Full plan: kingcambo812.substack.com/p/trading-pl...
kingcambo812.substack.com
Trading Plan – Wednesday, October 7, 2026
Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Russell 2000 short interest just hit 8.0% — highest since at least 2019, nearly double where it was at the start of 2025. Pre-2022 bear market, it was 3.5%. Small caps are the most hated trade on the tape right now. Crowded shorts on an underperforming index are exactly how squeezes happen.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
The S&P hit an all-time high today (7,844.52) and gave back 25 points by the close. NVDA did the identical trick — record print, +0.14% close. MOVE index is flagging "extreme" bond volatility right now. A record that fades this hard into Fed minutes, no breakout; it's a dare. tinyurl.com/King-Cambo
kingcambo812.substack.com
Evening Debrief – Tuesday, October 6, 2026
Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
10-year Treasury just hit 5.34%, 30-year hit 5.70% — both the highest since 2002. Confirmed, not a drill. Per the FT, that pressure's now hitting corporate borrowing directly, and the weakest, lowest-rated names are first in line for default risk. The Kill Switch didn't need a memo.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
For every $1 in the S&P 500, 41 cents rides on just 10 stocks. Nvidia alone takes 8 cents. The next 10 biggest companies after that? 10 cents combined. The other 402 companies split 23 cents. The index isn't diversified — it's 10 stocks wearing 490 name tags.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Michael Burry didn't just short the AI trade — he put a date on it. Shifted Micron and Nebius bets into put options targeting a collapse by mid-2027. A short says "this falls." A dated put says "this falls by THIS day or I eat the premium." That's not a hedge; that's a bet with a clock on it.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Nancy Pelosi just disclosed her 13th REOF LLC real estate buy since 2019 — $500K-$1M to acquire office space at 225 Bush St, San Francisco. In the most distressed office market in the country. Filed Oct. 5. Thirteen times isn't luck; it's a pattern. @carlquintanilla.bsky.social
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Analysts expected a $3/bbl hike on Saudi crude to Asia. Aramco cut $5/bbl instead — a 6-year low. Unnamed sources say it covers buyers' freight costs after the conflict hit exports. The company, whose own CEO says the oil buffer is spent, is now discounting crude to keep customers.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
78 months without a recession — 6th-longest since 1854, per NBER. To beat the record (128 months, 2009-2020), this needs to run to early 2031. Meanwhile, real wages are falling, confidence is near a decade low, and the 10-year sits at a 24-year high. Technically alive. Doesn't mean it's felt.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
NVDA closed at a record $5.7T Monday. It's up 28% this year. The semiconductor index is up 96%. The king of the AI trade is trailing its own court jesters by more than 3x — a $150B buyback and a Morgan Stanley top-pick call later, still the laggard. The bubble grades on a curve.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
$71.3T. The S&P 500 just pushed the total US stock market above $82T — about 48% of the entire planet's public equity value. One index is now worth more than most other countries' markets combined. "Asset owners are winning" reads like a boast until you remember it's a confession.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Dimon warns "you can't borrow endlessly" — right as the debt crosses $40 trillion for the first time ever. What he leaves out: JPMorgan is one of the largest underwriters of the Treasury bonds funding that borrowing. Warn about the fire, sell the gasoline, collect both ways.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Senate had one job: ban Congress from trading stocks. Got 53, needed 60 — killed by a voter-ID rider Schumer himself called a "poison pill." Now the same people who sank it run ads calling opponents "prolific traders." ~40 members have blown disclosure deadlines since summer.
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Let’s get the obscenity out of the way first: the Nasdaq 100 hit a record overnight, the S&P closed within half a percent of its own high, and the 10-year and 30-year both printed their highest levels since 2002 on the same calendar day… kingcambo812.substack.com/p/trading-pl...
kingcambo812.substack.com
Trading Plan – Tuesday, October 6, 2026
Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Those 401K's are passive. They have to buy the entire index. So you probably own slivers of a lot of stuff. 😬
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Launched a 26-stock AI Bubble Basket this week — one-liners on every name, buy/sell zones, no hedging. 16 of 26 closed green yesterday while the Nasdaq partied on four companies' shoulders. Free, no catch. kingcambo812.substack.com/p/ai-bubble-basket-launch-26-stocks
kingcambo812.substack.com
Introducing the AI Bubble Basket Synthetic ETF: 26 Components, One Slow-Motion Reckoning
Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino
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Reposted by @KingCAMBO
Montana Skeptic @montanaskeptic.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Three things astonish me about @kingcambo.bsky.social: 1. How brilliant he is (day-in, day-out). 2. How correct I think he will prove. 3. That more of you are not reading this guy even though it's completely free. kingcambo812.substack.com/p/evening-de...
kingcambo812.substack.com
Evening Debrief – Monday, October 5, 2026
Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Thanks for the kind words, my friend! 👊
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
Treasury doubled its bond buyback to defend a 20-year auction. Lasted six hours. By Friday, the 30-year hit its highest weekly close since 2007. New DFD digs into it: kingcambo812.substack.com/p/dumpster-f...
kingcambo812.substack.com
Dumpster Fire Digest #30
Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
10:32 AM and all 30 components in the SOXX are presently red...😬
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Yes this is very true. I published about this last Saturday: kingcambo812.substack.com/p/dumpster-f...
kingcambo812.substack.com
Dumpster Fire Digest #29-The $100,000-Per-Month Question Nobody in Washington Will Ask Out Loud
Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Nasdaq red before the bell, VIX at 18.62, and the 10-year sitting 23bps above the Kill Switch for the 29th straight session. Dirty Dozen just logged its 4th close above the 20-day. Iran war hits Day 146. Two economies, one ticker screen. #EconSky kingcambo812.substack.com/p/day-146-ki...
kingcambo812.substack.com
TRADING PLAN — FRIDAY, JULY 24, 2026
Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Iran rejected the ceasefire deal. Day 145. Dow -508. NASDAQ -543. MOVE at 80.07 — highest of the conflict. Dirty Dozen closed above EMA20 for the FOURTH consecutive session on a -508 day. The bond market isn't nervous. It's issuing a verdict. #EconSky kingcambo812.substack.com/p/evening-de...
kingcambo812.substack.com
Evening Debrief - Thursday, July 23, 2026
Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
GO FIGURE! And then there is this, Carl: kingcambo812.substack.com/p/dumpster-f...
kingcambo812.substack.com
Dumpster Fire Digest #29-The $100,000-Per-Month Question Nobody in Washington Will Ask Out Loud
Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
And many others. Take a look at his personal book: kingcambo812.substack.com/p/3711-trades
kingcambo812.substack.com
3,711 TRADES
How the President of the United States Built an AI Semiconductor Book, Collected $2.65 Billion in Pre-Positioned Crude Profits, and Filed the Paperwork Late
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
The Compound has been calling the physical oil tell since July 6. 28 sessions of USO above VWAP while the paper market priced ceasefires that didn't exist. 11 million b/d shut-in. Al-Udeid empty this morning. Two Saudi tankers burning. The twilight zone just ended. — KingCAMBO |
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Al-Udeid Air Base is empty. Zero aircraft on satellite imagery. Four Americans came home in flag-draped cases. Two Saudi tankers are burning. 10-year at 4.714%. USO above +3 sigma. Dow -474. The physical market has been right 28 sessions. Stay Savage! — KingCAMBO #EconSky tinyurl.com/rs7h7wwe
tinyurl.com
Trading Plan - Thursday, July 23, 2026
Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
GOOGL beat by $2.87B. Raised capex to $205B. 22B AI tokens per minute. NASDAQ -157 anyway. 10-year at 4.659% — highest of the war. Tesla missed EPS by 40%. Replacing Model S/X lines with Optimus robots. The bond market doesn't care about GOOG. #EconSky kingcambo812.substack.com/p/evening-de...
kingcambo812.substack.com
Evening Debrief - Wednesday, July 22, 2026
Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
TSLA: $0.33 EPS vs $0.55 expected. Miss by 40%. Revenue beat. Margins collapsed. Discounts ate the profit. Regulatory credits dried up. Decommissioning Model S/X lines at Fremont for Optimus. Growth without profit doesn't justify the multiple. #EconSky kingcambo812.substack.com
kingcambo812.substack.com
Fear and Loathing In Trader Hell | KING CAMBO | Substack
Day trader. Gonzo journalist. Last Sane Bastard in This Casino. Staring at charts since 1996. A tweet from a man in a big house moves the S&P 500 more than the Fed. Join the tribe. It's free. Stay Sav...
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
Alphabet raised capex guidance to $195-205B. Was $180-190B. Gemini: 22 billion API tokens per minute. $205B in annual capex is larger than the market cap of all but 85 companies on earth. The AI extraction machine is not slowing. It is accelerating. #EconSky kingcambo812.substack.com
kingcambo812.substack.com
Fear and Loathing In Trader Hell | KING CAMBO | Substack
Day trader. Gonzo journalist. Last Sane Bastard in This Casino. Staring at charts since 1996. A tweet from a man in a big house moves the S&P 500 more than the Fed. Join the tribe. It's free. Stay Sav...
000
@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
TSLA: 33 cents EPS vs 51 cents expected. Miss by 35%. Revenue beat. Margins collapsed. Hedgeye said don't buy the manufactured beat. The beat didn't come. Alphabet beat by $2.87B. Tesla missed by a third. Same night. Different stories. Full debrief later. kingcambo812.substack.com
kingcambo812.substack.com
Fear and Loathing In Trader Hell | KING CAMBO | Substack
Day trader. Gonzo journalist. Last Sane Bastard in This Casino. Staring at charts since 1996. A tweet from a man in a big house moves the S&P 500 more than the Fed. Join the tribe. It's free. Stay Sav...
000
@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
GOOGL: $119.8B revenue. Beat by $2.87B. $850M/day just got faster. The AI capex thesis survives the first real test of earnings season. Dirty Dozen above EMA20. TFRP death cross reversal is now live. Full debrief tonight. Stay nimble. Stay Savage! — KingCAMBO | kingcambo812.substack.com
kingcambo812.substack.com
Fear and Loathing In Trader Hell | KING CAMBO | Substack
Day trader. Gonzo journalist. Last Sane Bastard in This Casino. Staring at charts since 1996. A tweet from a man in a big house moves the S&P 500 more than the Fed. Join the tribe. It's free. Stay Sav...
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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
Alphabet reports in 90 minutes. $850M/day in advertising revenue. $116.7B expected. The AI capex thesis on trial. The Dirty Dozen closed above EMA20 for only the second time in a month. TFRP death cross Day 31. This print decides whether the structural recovery is real. kingcambo812.substack.com
kingcambo812.substack.com
Fear and Loathing In Trader Hell | KING CAMBO | Substack
Day trader. Gonzo journalist. Last Sane Bastard in This Casino. Staring at charts since 1996. A tweet from a man in a big house moves the S&P 500 more than the Fed. Join the tribe. It's free. Stay Sav...
000
@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
The Compound has been calling USO as the physical oil tell since July 6. 11 consecutive sessions above VWAP while the paper market kept pricing ceasefires that don't exist. +$12.46 prompt premium. Every bypass route contested simultaneously. The physical market stopped being polite.
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