iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Fed minutes drop at 2pm, right after a $39B 10-year auction — in a week asking the market to absorb $119B in supply with a soft foreign bid. Futures are red across the board. Full plan: kingcambo812.substack.com/p/trading-pl...

kingcambo812.substack.com

Trading Plan – Wednesday, October 7, 2026

Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Russell 2000 short interest just hit 8.0% — highest since at least 2019, nearly double where it was at the start of 2025. Pre-2022 bear market, it was 3.5%. Small caps are the most hated trade on the tape right now. Crowded shorts on an underperforming index are exactly how squeezes happen.

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

The S&P hit an all-time high today (7,844.52) and gave back 25 points by the close. NVDA did the identical trick — record print, +0.14% close. MOVE index is flagging "extreme" bond volatility right now. A record that fades this hard into Fed minutes, no breakout; it's a dare. tinyurl.com/King-Cambo

kingcambo812.substack.com

Evening Debrief – Tuesday, October 6, 2026

Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

10-year Treasury just hit 5.34%, 30-year hit 5.70% — both the highest since 2002. Confirmed, not a drill. Per the FT, that pressure's now hitting corporate borrowing directly, and the weakest, lowest-rated names are first in line for default risk. The Kill Switch didn't need a memo.

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

For every $1 in the S&P 500, 41 cents rides on just 10 stocks. Nvidia alone takes 8 cents. The next 10 biggest companies after that? 10 cents combined. The other 402 companies split 23 cents. The index isn't diversified — it's 10 stocks wearing 490 name tags.

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Michael Burry didn't just short the AI trade — he put a date on it. Shifted Micron and Nebius bets into put options targeting a collapse by mid-2027. A short says "this falls." A dated put says "this falls by THIS day or I eat the premium." That's not a hedge; that's a bet with a clock on it.

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Nancy Pelosi just disclosed her 13th REOF LLC real estate buy since 2019 — $500K-$1M to acquire office space at 225 Bush St, San Francisco. In the most distressed office market in the country. Filed Oct. 5. Thirteen times isn't luck; it's a pattern. @carlquintanilla.bsky.social

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Analysts expected a $3/bbl hike on Saudi crude to Asia. Aramco cut $5/bbl instead — a 6-year low. Unnamed sources say it covers buyers' freight costs after the conflict hit exports. The company, whose own CEO says the oil buffer is spent, is now discounting crude to keep customers.

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

78 months without a recession — 6th-longest since 1854, per NBER. To beat the record (128 months, 2009-2020), this needs to run to early 2031. Meanwhile, real wages are falling, confidence is near a decade low, and the 10-year sits at a 24-year high. Technically alive. Doesn't mean it's felt.

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

NVDA closed at a record $5.7T Monday. It's up 28% this year. The semiconductor index is up 96%. The king of the AI trade is trailing its own court jesters by more than 3x — a $150B buyback and a Morgan Stanley top-pick call later, still the laggard. The bubble grades on a curve.

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

$71.3T. The S&P 500 just pushed the total US stock market above $82T — about 48% of the entire planet's public equity value. One index is now worth more than most other countries' markets combined. "Asset owners are winning" reads like a boast until you remember it's a confession.

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Dimon warns "you can't borrow endlessly" — right as the debt crosses $40 trillion for the first time ever. What he leaves out: JPMorgan is one of the largest underwriters of the Treasury bonds funding that borrowing. Warn about the fire, sell the gasoline, collect both ways.

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Senate had one job: ban Congress from trading stocks. Got 53, needed 60 — killed by a voter-ID rider Schumer himself called a "poison pill." Now the same people who sank it run ads calling opponents "prolific traders." ~40 members have blown disclosure deadlines since summer.

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Let’s get the obscenity out of the way first: the Nasdaq 100 hit a record overnight, the S&P closed within half a percent of its own high, and the 10-year and 30-year both printed their highest levels since 2002 on the same calendar day… kingcambo812.substack.com/p/trading-pl...

kingcambo812.substack.com

Trading Plan – Tuesday, October 6, 2026

Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Launched a 26-stock AI Bubble Basket this week — one-liners on every name, buy/sell zones, no hedging. 16 of 26 closed green yesterday while the Nasdaq partied on four companies' shoulders. Free, no catch. kingcambo812.substack.com/p/ai-bubble-basket-launch-26-stocks

kingcambo812.substack.com

Introducing the AI Bubble Basket Synthetic ETF: 26 Components, One Slow-Motion Reckoning

Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino

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Reposted by @KingCAMBO

Montana Skeptic @montanaskeptic.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Three things astonish me about @kingcambo.bsky.social: 1. How brilliant he is (day-in, day-out). 2. How correct I think he will prove. 3. That more of you are not reading this guy even though it's completely free. kingcambo812.substack.com/p/evening-de...

kingcambo812.substack.com

Evening Debrief – Monday, October 5, 2026

Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

Treasury doubled its bond buyback to defend a 20-year auction. Lasted six hours. By Friday, the 30-year hit its highest weekly close since 2007. New DFD digs into it: kingcambo812.substack.com/p/dumpster-f...

kingcambo812.substack.com

Dumpster Fire Digest #30

Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 24/07/2026

Nasdaq red before the bell, VIX at 18.62, and the 10-year sitting 23bps above the Kill Switch for the 29th straight session. Dirty Dozen just logged its 4th close above the 20-day. Iran war hits Day 146. Two economies, one ticker screen. #EconSky kingcambo812.substack.com/p/day-146-ki...

kingcambo812.substack.com

TRADING PLAN — FRIDAY, JULY 24, 2026

Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 24/07/2026

Iran rejected the ceasefire deal. Day 145. Dow -508. NASDAQ -543. MOVE at 80.07 — highest of the conflict. Dirty Dozen closed above EMA20 for the FOURTH consecutive session on a -508 day. The bond market isn't nervous. It's issuing a verdict. #EconSky kingcambo812.substack.com/p/evening-de...

kingcambo812.substack.com

Evening Debrief - Thursday, July 23, 2026

Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 23/07/2026

Al-Udeid Air Base is empty. Zero aircraft on satellite imagery. Four Americans came home in flag-draped cases. Two Saudi tankers are burning. 10-year at 4.714%. USO above +3 sigma. Dow -474. The physical market has been right 28 sessions. Stay Savage! — KingCAMBO #EconSky tinyurl.com/rs7h7wwe

tinyurl.com

Trading Plan - Thursday, July 23, 2026

Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 23/07/2026

GOOGL beat by $2.87B. Raised capex to $205B. 22B AI tokens per minute. NASDAQ -157 anyway. 10-year at 4.659% — highest of the war. Tesla missed EPS by 40%. Replacing Model S/X lines with Optimus robots. The bond market doesn't care about GOOG. #EconSky kingcambo812.substack.com/p/evening-de...

kingcambo812.substack.com

Evening Debrief - Wednesday, July 22, 2026

Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 22/07/2026

TSLA: $0.33 EPS vs $0.55 expected. Miss by 40%. Revenue beat. Margins collapsed. Discounts ate the profit. Regulatory credits dried up. Decommissioning Model S/X lines at Fremont for Optimus. Growth without profit doesn't justify the multiple. #EconSky kingcambo812.substack.com

kingcambo812.substack.com

Fear and Loathing In Trader Hell | KING CAMBO | Substack

Day trader. Gonzo journalist. Last Sane Bastard in This Casino. Staring at charts since 1996. A tweet from a man in a big house moves the S&P 500 more than the Fed. Join the tribe. It's free. Stay Sav...

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 22/07/2026

Alphabet raised capex guidance to $195-205B. Was $180-190B. Gemini: 22 billion API tokens per minute. $205B in annual capex is larger than the market cap of all but 85 companies on earth. The AI extraction machine is not slowing. It is accelerating. #EconSky kingcambo812.substack.com

kingcambo812.substack.com

Fear and Loathing In Trader Hell | KING CAMBO | Substack

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 22/07/2026

TSLA: 33 cents EPS vs 51 cents expected. Miss by 35%. Revenue beat. Margins collapsed. Hedgeye said don't buy the manufactured beat. The beat didn't come. Alphabet beat by $2.87B. Tesla missed by a third. Same night. Different stories. Full debrief later. kingcambo812.substack.com

kingcambo812.substack.com

Fear and Loathing In Trader Hell | KING CAMBO | Substack

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 22/07/2026

GOOGL: $119.8B revenue. Beat by $2.87B. $850M/day just got faster. The AI capex thesis survives the first real test of earnings season. Dirty Dozen above EMA20. TFRP death cross reversal is now live. Full debrief tonight. Stay nimble. Stay Savage! — KingCAMBO | kingcambo812.substack.com

kingcambo812.substack.com

Fear and Loathing In Trader Hell | KING CAMBO | Substack

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 22/07/2026

Alphabet reports in 90 minutes. $850M/day in advertising revenue. $116.7B expected. The AI capex thesis on trial. The Dirty Dozen closed above EMA20 for only the second time in a month. TFRP death cross Day 31. This print decides whether the structural recovery is real. kingcambo812.substack.com

kingcambo812.substack.com

Fear and Loathing In Trader Hell | KING CAMBO | Substack

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Reposted by @KingCAMBO

Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 22/07/2026

“Real yields on U.S. 10-year Treasuries have reached the highest since 2023.” @bloomberg.com

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 22/07/2026

Brent just cracked $95. Every bypass route is now simultaneously contested. Hormuz blockaded. Bab el-Mandeb blockaded. Saudi East-West pipeline feeds into the blockade. Kazakhstan's Black Sea route closed overnight. The Goldman base case had $80 by Q4. — KingCAMBO | kingcambo812.substack.com

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 22/07/2026

Brent $95. Every bypass route is contested. 200 THAAD interceptors left. An OpenAI model escaped containment and hacked HuggingFace. TSLA and Alphabet report tonight. USO is at +3 sigma before the open. The tell has been right for 11 sessions. kingcambo812.substack.com

kingcambo812.substack.com

Fear and Loathing In Trader Hell | KING CAMBO | Substack

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 22/07/2026

Trump Media: $100K/month API for faster access to presidential posts. The same account behind $2.65B in pre-positioned crude shorts placed 15-21 minutes before market-moving Truth Social posts. The White House denies it. The subscription page exists. kingcambo812.substack.com/p/dumpster-f...

kingcambo812.substack.com

Dumpster Fire Digest #29-The $100,000-Per-Month Question Nobody in Washington Will Ask Out Loud

Dispatches From the Last Sane Bastard in This Casino

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 13/07/2025

Well, strap in, you slack-jawed pikers, it’s been a week of pure, unadulterated chaos from this swamp fortress, where the Orange Menace, that bloviating gasbag of supercharged hokum, turned the world into his personal circus of dipshitery… kingcambo812.substack.com/p/this-weeks...

kingcambo812.substack.com

This Week’s Dumpster Fire Digest: Sixth Edition – Trump’s Tariff Tantrums and BTC’s Moonshot Mayhem

Dispatches from The Last Sane Bastard in This Casino

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 08/06/2025

It’s June 2025, and I’m neck-deep in the crypto swamp, three Red Bulls and a bad decision past sane. kingcambo812.substack.com/p/beavis-but...

kingcambo812.substack.com

Beavis, Butthead, and Bitcoin: A Gonzo Ride to $236,887 or Bust

Dispatches from The Last Sane Bastard in This Casino

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 18/05/2025

This Substack screed, forged for you skewers Alan Greenspan and Ben Bernanke for inflating the dot-com and housing bubbles, then tossing Wall Street a $700B TARP lifeline while your pikers choked on the 2008 crash. kingcambo812.substack.com/p/fear-and-l...

kingcambo812.substack.com

Fear and Loathing at the Federal Reserve: Part 4 – Bubble Barons and Crash Kings

Dispatches from The Last Sane Bastard in This Casino

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@KingCAMBO @kingcambo.bsky.social · 12/05/2025

5:42 AM, May 12, 2025, and the futures are screaming like a pack of rabid hyenas on a cocaine bender... kingcambo812.substack.com/p/pre-market...

kingcambo812.substack.com

Pre-Market Briefing: Tariff Tantrums, MAG 7 Madness, and a Gonzo Clusterfuck of Epic Proportions

Dispatches from The Last Sane Bastard in This Casino

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