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Nick Kalinowski

@kalidrafts.bsky.social
1.4K followers 375 following 160 posts

NBA Draft scout and Data Science Master's Graduate

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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 26/09/2025
Super excited to share that I have accepted a role within the analytics department with the Denver Nuggets moving forward! Eternally grateful to everyone here for their support for my content over the years, this is a dream come true for me. Excited to get started!
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 23/08/2025
Gracias por los recuerdos, Sudamérica Volveré pronto!
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 03/08/2025
Excited to announce the release of my personal website, which contains links to all of my basketball analytics projects in one place, for both NCAA and professional/NBA! Check it out here: kalidrafts.com
kalidrafts.com
Kalidrafts: Basketball Analytics by Nick Kalinowski | Kalidrafts Basketball Analytics
The personal website for all NCAA and NBA analytics projects by freelance basketball data scientist Nick Kalinowski, also known as kalidrafts on X/Bluesky. This website includes links to all of my bas...
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 06/07/2025
Time for the annual "let's extremely overreact to summer league box scores" part of the offseason
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
He signed with the Pelicans I believe, but yes I had him as a priority UDFA target for that reason. On the "smaller" side for guards nowadays but he has a +7 wingspan and uses it effectively on defense. Gonna need to keep up that 40+% three point shooting rate into SL if he wants to make the squad
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
NBA G-League values have been added to the International League BPM database, as well as the following leagues: Australian NBL1, German NBBL, Argentina (Liga A, Liga Argentina, Liga Desarrollo), Uruguay (LUB), Venezuela, Basketball Africa League, Turkish U19 Super League
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 15/06/2025
Similarly to my International League Box Plus-Minus (BPM) database, I created a spreadsheet depicting the BPM values of every FIBA Youth Competition, going back historically as far as I could find data. Link below! docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
Nope, only ran it for this year. Hopefully will do some stuff with historical data soon
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
docs.google.com
International Leagues BPM Values
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
I computed the Box Plus-Minus (BPM) for almost every major international league! The spreadsheet includes over 40 domestic and continental competitions, from Europe, Asia, and South America. A must-have tool for international hoops fans/scouts/coaches. Link below!
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 05/06/2025
Here are the results from last year, as additional context
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 05/06/2025
It's that time of the year again! Here is where my Machine Learning Big Board stands on the best available prospects from the NCAA ranks in this year's NBA Draft. Rankings are determined by expected performance over a player's rookie contract Note that this is *not* my opinion
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 01/06/2025
Combine Score website has gotten over 100,000 hits over the past month, which is absolutely crazy. Thank you all so much for the support, this means the world to me
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
I computed the Box Plus-Minus (BPM) values for most of the early-entry International/G league prospects to the 2025 NBA Draft Here they are in ranked order. Note that some teams are still playing games. These values are through this morning
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 29/05/2025
Pending last min changes, this is the final draft status of every prospect who declared for the 2025 NBA Draft and was invited to the combine. Final withdrawal rate: 12/40 (30%). Not much higher than last year; however, the percentage of autoeligible players (38%) is much higher
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Reposted by Nick Kalinowski
Iztok Franko @iztokfranko.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
🚨Lakers fans alert 🚨 New Draft Data Deep Dive with @kalidrafts.bsky.social Athletic, defensive-minded gems the Lakers could target in the 2nd round. Exactly what this roster is desperate for. 📊 Stats, comps, and Combine models digginbasketball.substack.com/p/draft-data...
digginbasketball.substack.com
Draft Data Deep Dive, Part II: Athletic Wings and Second-Round Gems for the Lakers
Let’s talk data, models, and other insights on athletic wings, bigs, and low-risk gambles
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 26/05/2025
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
docs.google.com
ANGT BPM Rankings
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 26/05/2025
The Adidas Next Generation Tournament (ANGT) recently concluded, and I have calculated the Box Plus-Minus (BPM) values for every player who participated. Here are the top 20 qualified players, and the link below will include all players who appeared in >60 minutes of gametime
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Reposted by Nick Kalinowski
Iztok Franko @iztokfranko.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
🚨Cooper Flagg Data Deep-Dive🚨 Stats, comps, and a detailed Q&A with @kalidrafts.bsky.social‬ on the most hyped prospect in years. With data, models, tons of comps, playmaking, fit in Dallas...👇 digginbasketball.substack.com/p/draft-data...
digginbasketball.substack.com
Draft Data Deep Dive, Part I: The Cooper Flagg Comparisons You Haven’t Heard Yet
Let’s talk data, models, and other insights on the prodigy prospect
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
all the same to me
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
Today's Athletic Profile Comparison: Walter Clayton Jr. and Brandon Knight
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 17/05/2025
It's mandatory now, but in past years, not a lot
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
The full #Rstats shiny webapp includes Player Profiles, Overall Rankings, and a Recruit Points breakdown, which explains the methodology for the score for each player. Check it out here: nkal11.shinyapps.io/NCAA_Interna...
nkal11.shinyapps.io
International Basketball Recruits Dashboard
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
The Recruit Points model has a pretty good past success rate at projecting which international players will contribute immediately at various levels. Here are some recent examples, and their respective Recruit Points values:
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
The full database includes all NCAA-eligible players from the following leagues: France (Pro A, Pro B, NM1, Espoirs), Spain (ACB, PFEB, SFEB), Italy (A, A2), Germany, ABA (Sr and Jr), Turkey (BSL, TBL), Lithuania (LKL, NKL), Greece (A1, A2), BNXT, NBL, SKL, Premijer Liga, KLS, & more!
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
College coaches and fans, with the recent flood of international prospects into the NCAA, I aimed to create a system to compare the best eligible players from the major European leagues against one another Introducing: The Recruit Points model, a 7-category statistical approach to rank intl players
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 27/04/2025
Update: Maluach and Bryant are in, Karaban will return to UConn. Have not heard/seen anything on Faye and Zikarsky
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 27/04/2025
NBA Draft Early Entry Deadline is tonight at 11:59 PM EST, with no official word on the following players: -Khaman Maluach -Alex Karaban -Carter Bryant -Mouhamed Faye -Rocco Zikarsky Seems like the South Sudanese visa restrictions may prevent Maluach from being able to enter
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 26/04/2025
Appreciate that!
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 25/04/2025
These scripts pull play-by-play data directly from the NCAA website, get the lineups that were in the game for both teams for all events, and can even compute on-off statistics for any player or group of players. Instructions on my GitHub: github.com/nkal22/ncaa_...
github.com
GitHub - nkal22/ncaa_hoops_pbp: Package to Extract Play-by-Play Data for NCAA Men's and Women's Basketball
Package to Extract Play-by-Play Data for NCAA Men's and Women's Basketball - nkal22/ncaa_hoops_pbp
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 25/04/2025
Over the past couple of weeks, I have spent some time developing a few Python scripts to pull play-by-play data for NCAA Men's and Women's Basketball, for all divisions. I think they're at a point now where I can make them public and share with the community! Link below!
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 19/04/2025
If you want to see how Combine Score results have translate to outcomes in the NBA Draft, I made a handy Tableau dashboard! public.tableau.com/app/profile/...
public.tableau.com
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 19/04/2025
Full results table can be viewed/downloaded here: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
docs.google.com
Combine Scores Database 2025
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 19/04/2025
NBA Draft testing szn is back, which means it's time for the return of Combine Scores! Find all of the results for the recent Portsmouth Invitational Tournament (PIT) below! Highest Combine Scores: 1) Jahmai Mashack (69.9) 2) Chase Hunter (67.8) 3) Moussa Cisse (65.5)
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
Here are my model's projected draft ranges for all of the prospects with a >50% chance of getting drafted, and have not already announced they are returning to school (although I may have missed one or two in that regard).
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
Final results for my NBA Draft Probability model for NCAA prospects. 45 players finished with a draft probability score above 50%, although a significant number have already announced that they are returning to school.
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Reposted by Nick Kalinowski
rex potray @rexpotray.bsky.social · 05/04/2025
I don’t put all my hot takes online, and this is a trust me bro situation but, when Cluff was in the portal last year I was on the Make Cluff a Buff train, and thanks to @kalidrafts.bsky.social’s portal tool I feel vindicated. And Cluff got a massive bag to go to Purdue this year.
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Reposted by Nick Kalinowski
Hoop Informatics @hoopinformatics.com · 01/04/2025
Big Z is in the portal. Would be fun to see the brothers Ivisic playing together for Illinois and what that double big lineup could look like. For all Portal inquiries be sure to check out the Transfer Portal App 🔗: nkal11.shinyapps.io/portal_datab... App Creator: @kalidrafts.bsky.social
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 25/03/2025
Curious about what your favorite player is worth in the transfer portal? Well fear not, because NIL Value estimations have been added to my transfer portal webapp! (Note: men's only for now, until I find good data for women's) nkal11.shinyapps.io/portal_datab...
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 25/03/2025
College basketball fans: now that the transfer portal window is open, I have created an interactive database for both men's and women's players! Track game performance, projections for production, and more! #Rstats MBB: nkal11.shinyapps.io/portal_datab... WBB: nkal11.shinyapps.io/transfer_mod...
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 16/03/2025
Here's where my Bracketology Machine Learning model currently stands on the morning of Selection Sunday! -UNC in, Indiana out -Texas off the bubble thanks to the #TerryTurnaround
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 12/03/2025
Here's the plot with Knueppel added, he's the darker orange color
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 12/03/2025
nkal11.shinyapps.io/portal_datab...
nkal11.shinyapps.io
CBB Transfer Portal
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 12/03/2025
College coaches and fans: Transfer Portal season is upon us, and this year, I sought to create an all-in-one FREE database for anybody to track and compare players in the portal. This tool includes ranking, expected performance, game-by-game grades, skill grades, and best fits Link below! #rstats
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 09/03/2025
Dylan Harper with one of the craziest moves I've seen all year, this reverse pivot was absolutely filthy
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 08/03/2025
Interesting note: Cooper Flagg and Dylan Harper have the exact same number of games with a Game Score above 23 (7 each). No other player has more than 3. The difference? Harper has had 7 games with a Game Score in the single digits since Flagg's most recent one (December 21).
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 08/03/2025
Great time to remind the audience of Deandre Ayton's monster run to close Pac-12 conference play
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 08/03/2025
And here's the update to one of @samvecenie.bsky.social's favorite charts: how Cooper Flagg's game-by-game performance stacks up against other recent NCAA number 1 overall picks. Through 30 games, Flagg has remained among the upper echelon of even this esteemed group
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 08/03/2025
An update on the Hollinger Game Score trends chart for various lottery prospects. Cooper Flagg overtook Dylan Harper for the most consistent high-level prospect around game 11 and never looked back; meanwhile Harper, Derik Queen, and Tre Johnson have all finished well following midseason slumps
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Nick Kalinowski @kalidrafts.bsky.social · 02/03/2025
And here's the results for the Expected Draft Range Model
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