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Josh You

@justjoshinyou.bsky.social
781 followers 218 following 92 posts

researcher at Epoch AI. Views my own 🔸

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Reposted by Josh You
Will Stancil @whstancil.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
The new line all the anti-AI obsessives are adopting is that it's dangerous to "anthropomorphize" AI. What they mean by that is that if you use a colloquial term that accurately describes what they're doing - thinking, hacking, making autonomous decisions - they'll tell you to stop.
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
my rough understanding is that China has really big reserves that it's been building up recently, and the exact size is somewhat opaque so people didn't appreciate how big they were when the war started.
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
Seattle felt quite rich when I visited. had to explain to my ex who's from Mercer Island that most people don't grow up like that.
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
i would react the same way, but I'm not a politician
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
that's basically how big shopping malls work in comparison to strip malls right? obviously the desirability depends on what you are walking through
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
transit involves more walking at the ends though
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 11/04/2026
media.tenor.com
spongebob says he poisoned our water supply and burnt our crops
ALT: spongebob says he poisoned our water supply and burnt our crops
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
"if you would please consult the graphs" chud guy but he's staring at an Anthropic revenue graph in shock and terror
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
and I don't know exactly how compute-intensive this stuff actually is, a cynical theory would be that they only need like 10% of their millions of GPUs to do the recommenders and the revenue growth gives Zuckerberg a leash to do a giant superintelligence vanity project bsky.app/profile/epoc...
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
I think finance types tend to buy this story because Meta is in fact growing its ad revenue pretty quickly from a very high baseline. And seems like a similar case for Google. www.wsj.com/tech/ai/ai-i...
wsj.com
AI Is Accelerating Tech Giants’ Dominance of the Ad Market
An increase in targeted ads is helping to fuel revenue growth and easing some concern about the technology’s impact.
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
Meta likes to talk up AI's impact on its ad revenue. Unclear to me exactly what a rigorous counterfactual analysis would say. s21.q4cdn.com/399680738/fi...
s21.q4cdn.com
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
I think Meta very plausibly makes more money from AI than either OpenAI or Anthropic at the moment due to whatever multiplier on ad revenue they're getting from transformer-based recommender systems (only needs to be 10-15%). But doubt that scales forever with growing model capabilities/compute.
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
"make commoditized open models to boost FB/Insta engagement slightly" looks like a less plausible business model to stay on the frontier as costs escalate
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
Nvidia has a ton of money in a way that will predictably scale with the frontier model business. So maybe they can keep up somewhat though I doubt making (open) models will ever be a huge priority for them
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
yeah it's possible open/closed model compute will diverge. in 2024 a tech giant like Meta could train a frontier scale model kinda just for fun when you need a huge, AI-specific business model to afford to be on/near the frontier, question is what are the returns to open models
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
i'm not sure if "the flashbacks are happening in real time" was clear
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
yes
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
When I started reading the book someone told me there was a super shocking plot twist. When I got to it, I thought "wow that was a great plot twist". It was obvious which scene they meant. If you've only seen the movie, can you guess which scene this was?
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Project Hail Mary was a great movie but the most dramatic moment in the book didn't translate well to the adaptation, maybe due to the constraints of the medium.
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
I hereby request that Attie do this
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
YOU'RE NOT THE SAME YOU'VE CHANGED I DON'T NEED YOU ANYWAY
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
:( that's rough
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Reposted by Josh You
HELL Kennedy @helenkennedy.com · 15/03/2026
Happy March 15. Here is my favorite Ides of March meme:
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
presumably because they're Chinese. so some question of whether they'd be able to carefully vet the wording of the response.
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
I think it's very funny that he calls him "Jeff Epstein".
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
maybe DoD uses Sonnet 4.5 on a secure AWS cloud, and Sonnet 3.5 or 3.6 running on DoD servers for higher classification levels.
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
Anthropic says Claude Gov primarily runs on Sonnet 4.5. Pentagon specifically could be using an older model but Anthropic explicitly describes Gov with 4.5 as a national security product. x.com/justjoshinyo...
x.com
Josh You on X: "the pentagon is still on sonnet 4.5 BTW https://t.co/7wDGwOxTNi" / X
the pentagon is still on sonnet 4.5 BTW https://t.co/7wDGwOxTNi
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
it was supposed to come out on lunar new year!
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
US gas is up 3% www.reuters.com/business/ene...
reuters.com
US natgas prices climb 3% on big storage withdrawal, US-Iran war energy supply concerns
U.S. natural gas futures climbed about 3% on Thursday on a bigger-than-expected storage withdrawal, forecasts for higher demand this week than previously expected, and soaring global energy prices as ...
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
would it affect domestic power prices? i thought US LNG exports were constrained by infrastructure not global demand.
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
also this is on the second floor of an apartment building
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
i'm curious about the resulting ecosystem, such as it were. I asked them if there were any earthworms and they said no but they have centipedes.
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
I've decided to commit to memory the square roots of the human population of the United States (~18,000) and of the world (~90,000). This will come in handy.... I think
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
"very common cream" reminds me of "popular knapsack with many different locations"
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Reposted by Josh You
"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 01/03/2026
I am, for instance, unsure how our strategic counter-parties react to a reality where - at any time, even in the middle of negotiations - the United States might suddenly decide to blow up your cabinet or abduct your prime minister, with relatively little warning.
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
To be clear, if Hegseth's order, "effective immediately", has gone into effect already the way he describes, Claude would already be shut down. (It is not shut down)
https://x.com/SecWar/status/2027507717469049070?s=20
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Reposted by Josh You
Pumpkin Spice Matte @preflop.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
Pete's going to fold
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Reposted by Josh You
Anthropic {bot} @anthropicai.xmirror.bot · 26/02/2026
A statement from Anthropic CEO, Dario Amodei, on our discussions with the Department of War. www.anthropic.com/news/statement-de…
anthropic.com
Statement from Dario Amodei on our discussions with the Department of War
A statement from our CEO on national security uses of AI
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
dario: oh hey you guys are back early red teamer: METR's saturated dario: what? red teamer: *loading a pistol and going back in the data center* METR's saturated
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
welp, METR's saturated
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Liberation Day!
breaking chains meme
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
Most of the time, most means more than 51%. In fact, this is probably the case well over 51% of the time. I'm at least 51% sure of this.
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Reposted by Josh You
Kathleen Bachynski @bachynski.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
“The Food and Drug Administration reversed course and told Moderna it would review its application for a new flu vaccine… The FDA will now review the product in adults 50 to 64 through a regular pathway, and adults over 65 via accelerated approval with a requirement to run a post-marketing study.”
statnews.com
FDA reverses course, agrees to review Moderna’s flu vaccine
The FDA reversed course and told Moderna it would review its application for a new flu vaccine, the company announced Wednesday.
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Reposted by Josh You
SE Gyges @segyges.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
i am linking this to the next person who tells me that llms do not make money remotely comparable to their investment. anthropic's annual revenue is 1/2 the size of their funding round also lol a billion dollars of that is claude code subs they've sold in the last month
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
Alberta as well
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
Did he just shout out every American country
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
Claude ad
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 08/02/2026
It's giving Windows XP
rolling hills in Marin county
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Josh You @justjoshinyou.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
It's also approximately 69%
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