@jessmetcalf.bsky.social and I examine why it is unlikely that there will be a "warning" for the next pandemic in the form of a limited chains of transmission. If fact large numbers of failed emergence events should often reduce our concern.
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
science.org
Will there be a warning for the next pandemic?
How to best allocate resources to combat the threat of pathogen emergence remains an important open question. Using archetypes that characterize the link from genotype to fitness in both zoonotic rese...