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Will Warren @statsbywill.bsky.social · 31/01/2026

From today's San Diego State/Utah State game on CBS. Listen to how this is mixed. The range of the sound is clearer and you hear more of the game, not just the announcers with muted crowd noise. CBS is the best/closest at replicating what it sounds like if you're there of any of the networks.

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 05/01/2026

And with 272 games in the books, it's my time to sign off. Just want to shout out some people first (links from images are in alt text). @jpmsportsstats.bsky.social @ivanurena.bsky.social @kylestan.bsky.social @ray.playoffpredictors.com

Kyle Standerfer & Ivan Urena have endless troves of historical knowledge and are always willing to look something up and share. The most interesting things I post in a season usually come from them. Ivan has a book on the history of pro football schedules, which you can order here (link to https://www.amazon.com/Pro-Football-Schedules-Complete-Historical/dp/0786473517) !

Thomas Donovan & Jordan Anstey are the reason this site isn’t constantly error-riddled. They are my de facto editors, finding every mistake and helping refine scenarios day after day. When you see changes happen after the initial post, you can wager one of them is behind the fix.

Ray Lehnhoff is basically the entire reason this site exists. Without his technical expertise and support, I could never have made an operational site. Please support him by visiting his Playoff Predictors website (link https://v2.playoffpredictors.com/home) . It is the only NFL playoff machine that I can completely endorse as accurate.

Joe Ferreira has been my friend and mentor since 2007, and has taught me everything I know about scenarios. He’s basically responsible for this entire community existing, as I don’t think we would have ever found each other if it weren’t for his old CBS message boards. I cannot express enough how much I and the entire scenario community appreciate his generosity with his time and skills.

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jpmsportsstats.bsky.social @jpmsportsstats.bsky.social · 10/02/2025

@awfulannouncing.bsky.social should be very busy the next week and a half shredding fox for the countless mishaps and terrible broadcast of the Super Bowl Graphics package (and errors) Audio Half of the pre/half/post desk should be forced to retire Split screen design …

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 06/01/2025

Your final NFC Playoff Picture Image Courtesy of @jpmsportsstats.bsky.social

NFC Playoff Picture. DET has the 1 seed and a bye. 7 GB plays at 2 PHI. 6 WAS plays at 3 TB. 5 MIN plays at 4 LAR

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 06/01/2025

With the DET win, DET has clinched the NFC North division title, a first-round bye and homefield advantage Image courtesy of @jpmsportsstats.bsky.social

Detroit has clinched a first round bye and homefield advantage

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 06/01/2025

Your final AFC Playoff Picture Image courtesy of @jpmsportsstats.bsky.social

AFC playoff picture. 1 seed is KC. 7 DEN goes to 2 BUF. 6 PIT goes to 3 BAL. 5 LAC goes to 4 HOU

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 06/01/2025

With the DEN win, DEN has clinched a playoff berth. They are the 7 seed and will travel to Buffalo on wildcard weekend. Image courtesy of @jpmsportsstats.bsky.social

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 06/01/2025

With the DEN win, MIA has been eliminated from playoff contention. Image courtesy of @jpmsportsstats.bsky.social

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 06/01/2025

With the DEN win, CIN has been eliminated from playoff contention. Image courtesy of @jpmsportsstats.bsky.social

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 05/01/2025

With the TB win, TB has clinched the NFC South division title. Image courtesy of @jpmsportsstats.bsky.social

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 05/01/2025

With the TB win, ATL has been eliminated from playoff contention. Image courtesy of @jpmsportsstats.bsky.social

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 05/01/2025

With the BAL win, BAL has clinched the AFC North division title. They are locked into the 3 seed and will host either PIT or LAC in wildcard weekend. Image courtesy of @jpmsportsstats.bsky.social

Graphic indicating Baltimore has clinched their division title

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 30/12/2024

With the WAS win, WAS has clinched a playoff berth. (Image Courtesy of @jpmsportsstats.bsky.social)

Washington has clinched a playoff berth.

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 30/12/2024

With the WAS win, LAR has clinched the NFC West division title (Image Courtesy of @jpmsportsstats.bsky.social)

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 30/12/2024

With the WAS win, SEA has been eliminated from playoff contention. (Image Courtesy of @jpmsportsstats.bsky.social)

Seattle has been eliminated from playoff contention.

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 29/12/2024

With the IND loss, IND has been eliminated from playoff contention.

Image indicating Indianapolis has been eliminated from playoff contention.

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 29/12/2024

With the PHI win, PHI has clinched the NFC East division title.

Image indicating Philadelphia has clinched their division title.

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 28/12/2024

What to watch for in DEN/CIN: 1) DEN clinches a playoff berth with a win/tie 2) CIN is eliminated from playoff contention with a loss/tie 3) IND is eliminated from playoff contention with DEN win/tie 4) MIA is eliminated from playoff contention with DEN win/tie

LAC won and clinched a playoff berth;
DEN win/tie eliminates CIN, MIA, and IND.
LAR win means that division title might be able to be clinched this week.

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 28/12/2024

With the LAC win, LAC has clinched a playoff berth.

Graphic indicating LAC has clinched a playoff berth

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 28/12/2024

What to watch for in LAC/NE: 1) LAC clinches a playoff berth with a win/tie 2) NE loss means that the 1st overall draft pick cannot be clinched until week 18

Breakdown of all games. Most important for now:
1) LAC win/tie clinches a playoff berth for LAC
2) LAC loss keeps MIA & IND safe from elimination today (not for the whole week)

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 25/12/2024

With the KC win, KC has clinched a first round by and homefield advantage throughout the AFC playoffs.

KC has clinched a first round bye and homefield advantage

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 24/12/2024

AFC Scenarios for week 17:

KC clinches the 1 seed with a win/tie or BUF loss/tie;
LAC clinches a playoff berth with a win/tie or IND loss/tie + MIA loss/tie
DEN clinches a playoff berth with a win/tie

CIN, MIA, and IND are each eliminated with a loss/tie
MIA & IND are both eliminated by LAC win/tie + DEN win/tie

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 24/12/2024

NFC Scenarios for week 17:

A list of all NFC clinching scenarios (covers DET, PHI, ATL, LAR, and WAS). See the scenarios at https://nflplayoffscenarios.com/2024/week/17/week-17-playoff-picture/#nfc

SEA is eliminated from playoff contention with a loss + LAR win/tie or a tie + LAR win or LAR win + 3.5 or more wins from (WAS, MIN, SF, BUF, CIN, CLE)

TB is eliminated from playoff contention with a loss + ATL win

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 24/12/2024

Seed possibilities and Control for week 17:

KC or BUF could be the 1 seed;
KC, BUF, PIT, or BAL could be the 2 seed;
BUF, PIT, HOU, or BAL could be the 3 seed;
PIT, HOU, or BAL could be the 4 seed;
PIT, BAL, DEN, or LAC could be the 5 seed;
PIT, BAL, DEN, LAC, IND, or MIA could be the 6 seed;
PIT, BAL, DEN, LAC, IND, MIA, or CIN could be the 7 seed

DET, PHI, or MIN could be the 1 seed;
DET, PHI, MIN, or WAS could be the 2 seed;
LAR, ATL, TB, or SEA could be the 3 or 4 seed;
DET, MIN, or GB could be the 5 seed;
PHI, MIN, GB, WAS could be the 6 seed;
PHI, GB, WAS, or TB could be the 7 seed

KC, DET, and MIN control the 1 seed;
BUF & PHI control the 2 seed;
PIT & LAR control the 3 seed;
HOU & ATL control the 4 seed;
BAL controls the 5 seed;
LAC & GB control the 6 seed;
DEN & WAS control the 7 seed;
MIA, CIN, IND, SEA, and TB are still alive but could win out and still miss the playoffs.

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 24/12/2024

With the GB win, GB has clinched a playoff berth.

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 08/12/2024

With the CLE loss, CLE has been eliminated from playoff contention.

Image indicating Cleveland has been eliminated from playoff contention.

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 23/12/2024

CIN's only path to the playoffs:

Cincinnati's path to the playoffs:
1) CIN wins vs DEN week 17
2) CIN wins at PIT week 18
3) KC wins at DEN week 18
4) IND does not win out
5) MIA does not win out

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 22/12/2024

With the WAS win, DAL has been eliminated from playoff contention.

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 22/12/2024

With the WAS win, SF has been eliminated from playoff contention.

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 22/12/2024

With the ARI loss, ARI has been eliminated from playoff contention.

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 22/12/2024

With the ATL win, NO has been eliminated from playoff contention.

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 16/12/2024

With the SEA loss, MIN has clinched a playoff berth

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 16/12/2024

With the IND loss, PIT has clinched a playoff berth.

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 16/12/2024

With the IND loss, HOU has clinched the AFC South division title.

Houston has clinched the AFC South division title

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NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 13/12/2024

What to watch for tonight: 1) MIN clinches a playoff berth with LAR loss/tie 2) Unless the game ends in a tie, GB cannot clinch a playoff berth this week.