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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 05/01/2026

2026 Strength of Schedule (based on 2025 regular-season records):

Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 04/01/2026

Since 1978, TB has been eliminated all 5 times it has needed help in the final week to make the postseason (1998, 2008, 2010, 2016, 2025). During that span, only the Raiders have been eliminated more times when needing help in the final week without making the playoffs on any of those occasions (6).

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 04/01/2026

AFC and NFC Seeding Scenarios (Updated after Sunday 1:00pm games):

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 04/01/2026

Re: CAR/TB/ATL scenario: Another example of two division teams fighting for a playoff spot in the season’s final week that would have their playoff hopes decided by a division rival that was already eliminated was CLE/CIN/PIT in 1985….(1 of 2)

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 04/01/2026

Week 18 NFC Seeding Scenarios entering Sunday:

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 30/12/2025

2025 Week 18 NFC Seeding Scenarios:

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 30/12/2025

2025 Week 18 AFC Seeding Scenarios. All 64 combinations (assumes no ties):

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 30/12/2025

2025 Week 18 AFC Seeding Scenarios (Updated):

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

If Atlanta loses or ties on MNF, it would be the first time there are TWO winner-take-all games entering the final week of the season since 2013 when PHI/DAL played for the NFC East title; and GB/CHI for the NFC North crown.

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

At least one team has been locked into a specific seed with one week to play each season since 2004 (22nd straight year). Green Bay is the first team locked into the 7 seed with one week left since the playoffs expanded to 14 teams in 2020.

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 26/12/2025

Teams to clinch on Christmas: Playoff berth: 1989 PIT 2005 NYG 2006 PHI 2011 ATL 2016 KC 2016 MIA 2025 GB Division title: 1989 MIN (NFC Central) 1994 MIA (AFC East) 2000 TEN (AFC Central) 2005 CHI (NFC North) 2016 PIT (AFC North) 2020 NO (NFC South)

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 23/12/2025

If PIT, HOU, GB, and CAR all clinch this week, it would mark the first time the entire playoff field is set prior to the final week of the season since 1974. h/t (@JoeNFL on X)

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 23/12/2025

There are now just 4 playoff spots up for grabs which is tied for the fewest entering the final two weeks of the season since 1990 (1990, 2019).

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 23/12/2025

10 playoff spots clinched is the most with 2 weeks to play in NFL history. This is also the highest percentage of playoff berths clinched with 2 weeks to go in the regular season: 10 of 14 (71.4%): 2025 8 of 12 (66.7%): 1990, 2019 9 of 14 (64.3%): 2022, 2024 5 of 8 (62.5%): 1974

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 23/12/2025

8 teams clinched playoff berths in Week 16—tied for the most playoff spots clinched in one week in NFL history (1982 Week 16).

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 22/12/2025

5 teams have clinched playoff berths so far this week. If IND loses or ties tonight on MNF, 3 more teams (BUF, JAX, LAC) would clinch for a total of 8. It would mark the most teams to make the postseason in one week since 1982 when 8 teams qualified for the 16-team Super Bowl tournament in Week 16.

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 22/12/2025

The Steelers are in Super Bowl contention with 2 weeks to play for a record 22nd consecutive season (2004-25). Pittsburgh surpasses the 1966-86 Dallas Cowboys who were in playoff contention with 2 weeks to go for 21 straight seasons.

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 22/12/2025

Since 2002 realignment, this is only the third time, and first since 2013, that 7 of the 8 divisions are still up for grabs entering the final two weeks of the regular season (2010, 2013, 2025).

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 22/12/2025

Five NFC teams (LAR, SEA, PHI, CHI, SF) have clinched playoff spots through Week 16. This is only the third time as many as five NFC teams have secured a playoff berth with 2 weeks to go (1990, 2021, 2025).

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 22/12/2025

This is the 16th consecutive season that none of the No. 1 seeds have been clinched with 2 weeks to play. The 2009 Indianapolis Colts are the last team to lock up the 1 seed with 2 or more weeks remaining in the regular season.

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 22/12/2025

Number of teams in Super Bowl contention with 2 weeks to play (since 2002): 2025: 18 2024: 19 2023: 24 2022: 24 2021: 24 2020: 21 2019: 17 2018: 19 2017: 19 2016: 22 2015: 18 2014: 21 2013: 19 2012: 19 2011: 22 2010: 20 2009: 19 2008: 19 2007: 16 2006: 24 2005: 17 2004: 26 2003: 17 2002: 21

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 16/12/2025

Needing only five teams to be weeded out of playoff contention is the fewest with three weeks left since 1973: 1973: 13 teams in playoff contention, 8 team-playoff field 2025: 19 teams in playoff contention, 14-team playoff field

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 16/12/2025

The Steelers have been in Super Bowl contention with 3 weeks to play for 26 consecutive seasons which is the third-most all-time: 30 (Oakland/L.A. Raiders, 1967-96) 27 (Miami, 1977-2003) 26 (PITTSBURGH, 2000-25)* * active streak

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 16/12/2025

Most consecutive seasons a team has been in Super Bowl contention with 3 weeks to play, active streak: 26 (Pittsburgh, 2000-25) 20 (Green Bay, 2006-25) 17 (Seattle, 2009-25)

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 16/12/2025

Teams in Super Bowl contention with 3 weeks to play, since 2002 (Updated): 2025: 19 2024: 23 2023: 26 2022: 27 2021: 27 2020: 26 2019: 20 2018: 26 2017: 23 2016: 26 2015: 25 2014: 24 2013: 25 2012: 24 2011: 22 2010: 23 2009: 24 2008: 22 2007: 23 2006: 25 2005: 18 2004: 27 2003: 22 2002: 21

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 15/12/2025

This is only the 4th time since 2002 realignment, and first since 2016, that all eight divisions are still up for grabs entering the final three weeks of the season (2010, 2014, 2016, 2025).

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 15/12/2025

Teams in Super Bowl contention with 3 weeks to play (since 2002): 2025: 20 (19 if MIA loses) 2024: 23 2023: 26 2022: 27 2021: 27 2020: 26 2019: 20 2018: 26 2017: 23 2016: 26 2015: 25 2014: 24 2013: 25 2012: 24 2011: 22 2010: 23 2009: 24 2008: 22 2007: 23 2006: 25 2005: 18 2004: 27 2003: 22 2002: 21

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 15/12/2025

Teams to clinch on December 14 (since 1970): Playoff spot: 1981 PHI 1986 LA Rams 1986 NYJ 1986 SF 1991 CHI 1997 JAX 1997 TB 2003 IND 2014 ARI 2025 LAR 2025 DEN Division title: 1975 STL Cardinals 1980 ATL 1980 MIN 1986 CLE 2003 CAR 2003 KC 2003 STL Rams 2008 PIT 2014 DEN 2014 IND 2014 NE 2015 NE

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 15/12/2025

The Denver Broncos are the first AFC team to clinch a playoff berth for the 10th time since 1970—the most by any team in the AFC during that span (1977, 1984, 1986, 1987, 1989, 1996, 1997, 1998, 2013, 2025). DEN advanced to the Super Bowl on 7 of the previous 9 occasions and won it twice (‘97,’98).

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 15/12/2025

This is the fourth time the LA Rams have been the first NFL team to clinch a playoff berth since 1970. Here’s how far the Rams advanced in each of those seasons: 1975 (Advanced to NFC Champ.) 1999 (Won Super Bowl XXXIV) 2018 (Lost Super Bowl LIII) 2025 (?)

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 14/12/2025

The Kansas City Chiefs are only the 10th team to be eliminated this early (with 3 weeks to play) that had advanced to the Super Bowl the prior season: 1967 KC 1969 BAL Colts 1990 DEN 1999 ATL 1999 DEN 2002 STL Rams 2003 OAK 2005 PHI 2022 LAR 2025 KC

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 14/12/2025

This is the first time the Vikings have been eliminated with 3 weeks to play since 2013.

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 14/12/2025

The Bengals have now been eliminated 16 times with 3 weeks to play since 1990—tied for the most during that span (Browns, Cardinals).

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 07/12/2025

This is the 15th time that NYJ has been eliminated from playoff contention with 4 weeks to play since 1970—the most by any NFL team during that span.

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 07/12/2025

This is the earliest the Falcons have been eliminated since 2019.

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 07/12/2025

This is Washington’s earliest playoff exit (with four weeks to play), since 2014.

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 07/12/2025

Most times a team has been eliminated from playoff contention with 4 weeks to play (since 2002): 8: CLEVELAND 8: NY JETS 8: Jacksonville 8: Las Vegas 7: Detroit

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 07/12/2025

Through Week 14, there are 23 teams in Super Bowl contention—the fewest with 4 weeks to play in 20 years (2005, also 23). In the NFC, 11 teams remain in playoff contention which is the fewest in that conference with 4 weeks to go since 2002 (also 11).

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 01/12/2025

LV has been eliminated with 5 weeks to go for the 2nd straight season, joining the following teams that were eliminated with 5 weeks to play in back-to-back seasons since 1990: 1997-98 IND 1998-2000 CIN 1999-2000 CLE 2008-10 DET 2008-09 STL 2016-17 CLE 2016-17 SF 2021-22 HOU 2024-25 NYG 2024-25 LV

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 30/11/2025

This is the 7th time TEN has been eliminated from playoff contention with 5 weeks left in the regular season since 1970. Only CIN has been eliminated more times with 5 weeks left to play in a season since the merger (10).

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 30/11/2025

The Saints have been eliminated from playoff contention with five weeks to play. It’s NO’s earliest playoff exit since 1980.

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 30/11/2025

This is the earliest that ARI has been eliminated from playoff contention, with five weeks to play, since 1986 when they were known as the St. Louis Cardinals.

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Reposted by Ivan Urena

NFL Scenarios @nflplayoffscenarios.com · 06/01/2025

This would be the 7th time we have had a playoff spot or seed come down to SoV since realignment in 2002. It's the first time since realignment that a division has come down to SoV. (h/t @ivanurena.bsky.social )

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 05/01/2025

Updated AFC seeding scenarios after wins by BAL and CIN on Saturday: (h/t @JoeNFL on X)

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 30/12/2024

Number of teams in Super Bowl contention with 1 week to play (since 2002): 2024: 17 2023: 20 2022: 19 2021: 18 2020: 18 2019: 15 2018: 15 2017: 15 2016: 14 2015: 14 2014: 16 2013: 18 2012: 15 2011: 16 2010: 16 2009: 17 2008: 18 2007: 15 2006: 20 2005: 14 2004: 17 2003: 14 2002: 19

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 30/12/2024

Since 1975, this is only the 2nd time that the 2 seed is locked (PHI) but the 1 seed is still in play entering the final week. The only other time this occurred was in 1993 when SF was locked into the 2 seed and DAL/NYG were vying for the 1 seed. (DAL beat NYG 16-13 in Week 18 to clinch the 1 seed).

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Ivan Urena @ivanurena.bsky.social · 30/12/2024

BUF & PHI locked up the 2 seed in their respective conferences. This is the 1st time in 15 years that any team was locked into the 2 seed heading into the final weekend (2009 SD). Also, this is the 1st time both 2 seeds are locked prior to the final week since IND & GB in 2007. (h/t KyleStanderfer)

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