Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 04/10/2026It's all about prices and the electorate thinks Trump is driving them upwards 000
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 17/08/2026Why are the vibes bad? This chart from @michaelsantoli.bsky.social 's new email newsletter by BCA Research might yield clues. 000
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 14/08/2026She was nice to you because she knew then that she could lie to you. You are a mark. 100
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 06/08/2026Should incorporate the breadth/diffusion of inflation too 010
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 29/07/2026To my fellow posters, note that gallup has asked which party is addressing the most critical issues (eg focus) and it is *very* predictive. You don't want to be on the wrong end of this metric as Biden was and Trump is. news.gallup.com/poll/651092/... 100
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 20/07/2026Michael Scott photo shopping himself into his girlfriend's family photo vibes 000
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 18/07/2026Electronics were deflationary for decades, but no longer wolfstreet.com/2026/07/17/f... 000
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 16/07/2026Beyond tariffs, inflation, and war, one of Trump's big economic problems is people don't tolerate him as much in a non zero interest rate (ZIRP) environment (like in his first term) 000
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 15/07/2026Lmao, England's coach trying to explain why he switched to a 1-4-5 prevent defense and lost to Argentina 000
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 02/07/2026Our new striker for the Belgium match after the Balogun red card 030
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 30/06/2026All those young guys who voted Trump for crypto reasons really got fleeced. 000
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 21/06/2026America believes the Iran War was not worth it and Trump ended the war from a position of weakness. www.cbsnews.com/news/opinion... 000
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 09/06/2026The Trump curse continues. The Knicks owner invites him to watch the game and they lose at home after winning twice in San Antonio. 120
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 18/05/2026Not a great trendline for the incumbent going into the midterms. 000
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 22/04/2026This is a really informative and well done visual by @upshot.nytimes.com 081
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 17/04/2026I would also argue that Americans are not used to both goods and services inflating together, we've had decades of services inflation being partly counteracted by goods deflation, and consumer sentiment really tanked when both occurred. 2101
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 17/04/2026I've followed some of the back and forth with you and the folks saying 'well sentiment rebounded in the 1980s', but I think they're not getting that things are fundamentally different in some ways. Some charts I've recently seen posted 141
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 15/04/2026Young adults (25-39) were twice as likely to carry student debt in 2022 vs 1992 000
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 12/04/2026The you can't knock me out if I do it to myself approach 000
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 11/04/2026When we have a discussion about "vibes", it should be noted that the worst of the "vibecession" occurred when *both* goods and services inflated. It made it seem like everything was going up in a way that we didn't feel when just services were going up. 000
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 09/04/2026Spending money on the Iran War is unpopular. It is really unpopular when tied to domestic spending cuts. 000
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 08/04/2026I love when pollsters, like Patrick, just completely ignore their own surveys findings. Good luck lol 020
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 08/04/2026A stunning rebuke to Trump with the Democrats flipping this Supreme Court seat by 20 points. 000
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 08/04/2026So far, the counties that have fully reported in Wisconsin have shifted 19 to 26 points to the left. 000
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 08/04/2026The shifts are big everywhere in Wisconsin, but particularly so in Trump won counties 000
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 03/04/2026Sort of a funny pattern how the jobs report has alternated between adding jobs and losing them since May 2025. 000
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 31/03/2026Gallup Party ID: 2026 D+10 (midterms) 2024 Q4 R+4 (Trump elected) 2022 Q4 R+6 (midterms) 2020 Q4 D+6 (Biden elected) 2018 Q4 D+8 (midterms) 011
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 19/03/2026A reminder that opec constrained output to keep oil prices elevated to hurt Biden and help Trump. Eat shit. 000
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 18/03/2026Trump voters who regret their vote most often cite the war, promises (not kept), and prices. @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social 000
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 08/03/2026Bad numbers for team trump on the economy, and most of the poll was conducted before we started a war with iran 000
Josh Alien @joshalien.bsky.social · 05/03/2026The price increases will continue until morale increases 000