Sign in

John Sugden

@johnsug.bsky.social
739 followers 13 following 92 posts

Armchair analytics for ultramarathons I'll likely never run

PostsRepliesMedia
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
No, they stop publishing those years ago.
120
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
tough break, Domo #bm100
0201
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
I don't think anything's certain with the Barkley, unfortunately 🤷
120
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
oops, ignore the -22:00 for Damian loop 3
020
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
~95 minutes to go; congrats Seb! #bm100
3151
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
the Barkley wins again, but we might have two fun runs (a year-over-year increase of 100%) #bm100
0253
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
2026 seems somewhat more tame than 2021/2025, at least Seb and Domo have a faster clip than John, Luke, and Jared (take that assessment with a grain of salt, this is the Barkley, afterall)
120
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
both have been out on loop 3 for 12:54 right now
150
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
along with splits
130
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
comparing Seb and Domo to their prior attempts #bm100
2302
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
~45 minutes until the loop 3 cutoff #bm100
0225
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
Sebastien and Damian have ~3.5 hours left if they want a chance at starting loop 4 #bm100
2301
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
It's hard to say b/c Keith doesn't generally share names until towards the end, but looks like he didn't make the loop two cutoff:
docs.google.com
Barkley Results
110
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
and then there were three #bm100
0295
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
about 5 hours left if runners want to go onto loop 4, else about 9 hours to finish with a fun run #bm100
1193
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
the three runners on loop 2 missed the cutoff, 4 runners remain #bm100
1334
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
off to bed soon; good luck poor souls in the briars #bm100
2484
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
Men's and Women's #BC100K races shattered Course Records today
050
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
two more in; ~40 minutes to go for the rest of the field #bm100
0210
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
Assuming Pale Guy hasn't left camp yet (will update when Keith shares more); 42 minutes until loop one cutoff #bm100
0100
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
Keith said 8 on loop 2, but I think he meant 9; ~75 minutes until the loop 1 cutoff #bm100
0111
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
coming up on t-minus 2 hours until the loop 1 cutoff #bm100
0120
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
🤯🤯🤯 Jen and Anne destroyed the #BC100k CR by 19:13 / 18:03 respectively
040
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
Here, I guess? I do have a substack, but it's not in real time
100
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
I haven't seen any confirmed names yet
100
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
Congrats to Hans and Anthony who both beat the #BC100K course record! (Hans by 4:55, Anthony by 0:23)!
081
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
oops, was making chicken alfredo for my wife #bm100
4252
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
#BC100k
010
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
Again, you're probably right, I'm barely functioning today
010
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
I'm not watching the live stream, but my understanding is that he injured himself early on in the race
100
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
You could be right; I have a head cold and nothing makes sense right now, but I thought my charts were cumulative. Either way, still lots of room for a few fun runs
110
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
Thanks Huw! I've automated a script and not sure the best way to update that right now, but I'm sure it will be fixed by the end of the day. What's your next race?
010
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
#BC100K is more exciting right now
250
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
Black Canyon 100k live-ish results while I wait for Barkley updates
2110
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
My old stats; doesn't really bode well if no one has finished loop one yet (historically, only 4% of runners who finished loop 1 after 9 hours would go on to finish all 5 loops) #bm100
3233
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
it's my pleasure, mr. nasty
000
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
"all [charts] are wrong, but some are useful" - George Box (UK statistician)
050
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
Not a helpful chart, but approximately 8.5 hours in; we could see first loop finishers soon if conditions aren't too nasty #bm100
2175
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
I have a head cold but will try my best
160
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
#bm100 cutoffs Conch: Feb 14 5:00 am ET Start: Feb 14 6:00 am ET Loop 1 cutoff: Feb 14 7:20 pm / 19:20 ET Loop 2 cutoff: Feb 15 8:40 am ET Loop 3 cutoff: Feb 15 6:00 pm / 18:00 ET Fun Run cutoff: Feb 15 10:00 pm / 22:00 ET Loop 4 cutoff: Feb 16 6:00 am ET Loop 5 cutoff: Feb 16 6:00 pm / 18:00 ET
25715
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
"The weather forecast for Frozen Head is: Heavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 4°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (gales from the S on Sat night, calm by Mon morning)." #bm100 www.mountain-forecast.com/peaks/Frozen...
3357
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
0173
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
I guess we're doing this
media.tenor.com
a man in a suit and tie is standing in front of a microphone on a stage .
ALT: a man in a suit and tie is standing in front of a microphone on a stage .
1180
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
A warmer year led to lower top-10 times in both fields, but yesterday was still an exciting #wser
020
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 20/03/2025
080
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 20/03/2025
Are you giving Laz a copy to hide in Frozen Head next year? 😆
070
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 20/03/2025
*since at least 1995, @taka-does-stuff.bsky.social 's database only goes back that far
250
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 20/03/2025
this year was brutal -- looks like the fewest total loops completed (and average loops per runner) since 1995 #bm100
2569
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 20/03/2025
final tracker (more or less -- still don't know who was the tenth runner to complete the first loop) -- congrats on a fun time in Frozen Head, John Kelly! #bm100
3465
Reposted by John Sugden
Jason DeJoannis @jdejoannis.bsky.social · 20/03/2025
Need to zoom in on the #bm100 fun run zone i.e. till 4am. The main issue will be the wind but temps and clouds should hold off for a bit.
081