John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 15/02/2026the Barkley wins again, but we might have two fun runs (a year-over-year increase of 100%) #bm100 0253
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 15/02/2026comparing Seb and Domo to their prior attempts #bm100 2302
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 15/02/2026Sebastien and Damian have ~3.5 hours left if they want a chance at starting loop 4 #bm100 2301
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 15/02/2026about 5 hours left if runners want to go onto loop 4, else about 9 hours to finish with a fun run #bm100 1193
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 15/02/2026the three runners on loop 2 missed the cutoff, 4 runners remain #bm100 1334
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 15/02/2026off to bed soon; good luck poor souls in the briars #bm100 2484
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026Men's and Women's #BC100K races shattered Course Records today 050
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026two more in; ~40 minutes to go for the rest of the field #bm100 0210
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026Assuming Pale Guy hasn't left camp yet (will update when Keith shares more); 42 minutes until loop one cutoff #bm100 0100
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026Keith said 8 on loop 2, but I think he meant 9; ~75 minutes until the loop 1 cutoff #bm100 0111
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026coming up on t-minus 2 hours until the loop 1 cutoff #bm100 0120
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026🤯🤯🤯 Jen and Anne destroyed the #BC100k CR by 19:13 / 18:03 respectively 040
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026Congrats to Hans and Anthony who both beat the #BC100K course record! (Hans by 4:55, Anthony by 0:23)! 081
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026oops, was making chicken alfredo for my wife #bm100 4252
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026Black Canyon 100k live-ish results while I wait for Barkley updates 2110
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026My old stats; doesn't really bode well if no one has finished loop one yet (historically, only 4% of runners who finished loop 1 after 9 hours would go on to finish all 5 loops) #bm100 3233
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026Not a helpful chart, but approximately 8.5 hours in; we could see first loop finishers soon if conditions aren't too nasty #bm100 2175
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026#bm100 cutoffs Conch: Feb 14 5:00 am ET Start: Feb 14 6:00 am ET Loop 1 cutoff: Feb 14 7:20 pm / 19:20 ET Loop 2 cutoff: Feb 15 8:40 am ET Loop 3 cutoff: Feb 15 6:00 pm / 18:00 ET Fun Run cutoff: Feb 15 10:00 pm / 22:00 ET Loop 4 cutoff: Feb 16 6:00 am ET Loop 5 cutoff: Feb 16 6:00 pm / 18:00 ET 25715
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026"The weather forecast for Frozen Head is: Heavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 4°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (gales from the S on Sat night, calm by Mon morning)." #bm100 www.mountain-forecast.com/peaks/Frozen... 3357
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 14/02/2026I guess we're doing thismedia.tenor.coma man in a suit and tie is standing in front of a microphone on a stage .ALT: a man in a suit and tie is standing in front of a microphone on a stage . 1180
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 29/06/2025A warmer year led to lower top-10 times in both fields, but yesterday was still an exciting #wser 020
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 20/03/2025this year was brutal -- looks like the fewest total loops completed (and average loops per runner) since 1995 #bm100 2569
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 20/03/2025final tracker (more or less -- still don't know who was the tenth runner to complete the first loop) -- congrats on a fun time in Frozen Head, John Kelly! #bm100 3465
Reposted by John SugdenJason DeJoannis @jdejoannis.bsky.social · 20/03/2025Need to zoom in on the #bm100 fun run zone i.e. till 4am. The main issue will be the wind but temps and clouds should hold off for a bit. 081
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 20/03/2025weather forecasts from www.mountain-forecast.com/peaks/Frozen... "Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Freeze-thaw conditions (max 13°C on Wed night, min -4°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (severe gales from the SSW on Wed night, light winds from the NW by Fri morning)." #bm100 2221
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 19/03/2025random #bm100 maths; for Tomo to go onto loop 3, he'd need a loop 3 time of 11:27:10; his prior loop 3 finishes were 15:13:08, 13:08:46, and 12:34:22, so this would be a bit of a stretch. However, he has a leisurely 15:27:10 to complete a fun run -- totally do-able. 1/2 2482
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 19/03/2025A fun run is a strong possibility for Tomo; he's roughly in the same spot as he was in 2019 which resulted in a fun run as well #bm100 1432
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 19/03/2025It's hard to update the tracker when we don't know which six runners are still out there, but the best update I can do it this: The #bm100 has been on-going for 23+ hours now. Since 1998, only 26% of runners who took over 23 hours to finish loop 2 even made it to a fun run :/ 2303
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 19/03/2025Note, per @taka-does-stuff.bsky.social John Kelly came in right after Tomo, and not in the first wave like I assumed. That being the case, his historical performance looks like this; the Barkley is out for blood this year #bm100 4433
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 19/03/2025simplifying a bit (assuming no one will get past the fun run, but I can always expand as needed), but I'm not sure it's yet really "readable" #bm100 1241
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 19/03/2025fixing the daytime/nighttime shading #bm100 - go Tomo go 2241
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 19/03/2025I know these initial charts are pointless, but if nothing else, helps me work on the formatting (I'm still new to creating charts for Bluesky) #bm100 2311
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 19/03/2025Assuming John Kelly was the 9:44:55 (or 9:44:57), this is how this year compares to previous attempts -- looking grim #bm100 2333
Reposted by John SugdenTrending Tags (Beta) @trendtags.bsky.social · 18/03/2025🌟 Trending Now on BlueSky (Last 1 hour): #photography #art #nsfw #gay #nature #birds #TheArchers #WiBOOIndication #BM100 #FurryArt #HomeforWhovians #TummyTuesday #nude #oc #landscape Trends refresh every hour. 041
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 18/03/2025calculated some quick stats on #bm100 runner finishing likelihoods based on their completion of each loop, while waiting for loop 1 to finish johnsug.substack.com/p/barkley-pr... 6558
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 18/03/2025update; no, in fact, I cannot do math #bm100 loop 1 cutoff = Mar 19 12:57 am / 00:57 loop 2 cutoff = Mar 19 2:17 pm / 14:17 loop 3 cutoff = Mar 19 11:37 pm / 23:37 fun run cutoff = Mar 20 3:37 am / 03:37 loop 4 cutoff = Mar 20 11:37 am / 11:37 loop 5 cutoff = Mar 20 11:37 pm / 23:37 0527
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 18/03/2025#bm100 starts at 11:17 am ET, so (if I did my math right) loop 1 cutoff = Mar 19 12:37 am / 00:37 loop 2 cutoff = Mar 19 1:57 pm / 13:57 loop 3 cutoff = Mar 19 11:17 pm / 23:17 fun run cutoff = Mar 20 3:17 am / 03:17 loop 4 cutoff = Mar 20 11:17 am / 11:17 loop 5 cutoff = Mar 20 11:17 pm / 23:17 1130
John Sugden @johnsug.bsky.social · 18/03/2025Found this guide for anyone else creating content for Bluesky 140
Reposted by John SugdenMarcus Krueger @trustedsystem.eurosky.social · 17/03/2025The wind on Wednesday at Frozen Head looks bad. #bm100 2131
