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John R Raymond

@johnrraymond.bsky.social
11K followers 1.2K following 3.1K posts

Slava Ukraini🇺🇦 #BelieveWomen "Trump is Putin's puppet." How Trump Operates: tinyurl.com/thememo1

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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, Anthropic's #Claude #Sonnet 5.5 is so shitty it makes you wonder if they have literal baboons in charge of product johnrraymondesq.medium.com/if-sonnet-5-... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
If Sonnet 5.5
Anthropic has a serious problem with its product. Having examined Claude Sonnet 5.5 closely, I have concluded that it is so comically bad…
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, Moral inversion is back with a vengeance. It's a countdown until Trump again blames Ukraine for Russian aggression johnrraymondesq.medium.com/what-russian... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
What Russian Diesel?
Trump is a known liar and known Putin bootlicker.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, Don't fall for the lying bullshit coming out of Anthropic. Claude is no safer than other models. johnrraymondesq.medium.com/why-you-cant... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
Why you can’t trust Anthropic any more than any other AI company
Anthropic wants you to believe that its distinguishing feature is safety. Sadly, that is just marketing bullshit.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, It makes sense why NATO actions aimed at containing Kaliningrad has Moscow shitting little green twinkies. johnrraymondesq.medium.com/why-russia-i... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
Why Russia Is Suddenly So Nervous About Kaliningrad
Russia is rattling the nuclear saber over Kaliningrad because something changed.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, Eric Schmitt deserves the entire world shitting on him. He is the perfect MAGA dumbfuck. johnrraymondesq.medium.com/shitting-on-... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
Shitting on Eric Schmitt
Everybody is already shitting on Eric Schmitt.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, We are at the "Peter Thiel unironically defends evil" stage. johnrraymondesq.medium.com/learning-the... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
Learning the truth about Peter Thiel
Sometimes a powerful person tells you something about himself that is so disturbing that the instinct is to search for a more sophisticated…
031
John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, Obama is a good orator, but he isn't good a analyst. He just isn't - and proved it once again... johnrraymondesq.medium.com/obama-is-loo... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
Obama Is Looking at the Wrong Metric
Barack Obama recently returned to an idea he has been carrying around for years. Speaking with historian Doris Kearns Goodwin at Salem…
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, It is the stupidity of it all. That is the largest single signal we are already inside world war three. johnrraymondesq.medium.com/how-john-r-r... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
How John R. Raymond Knows World War Three Has Already Started
I am going to use the words war, peace and World War Three somewhat differently from the way they are normally used. That is necessary…
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, With Iran in town for the UN, don't get your hopes up for a good deal. If there is a deal it will be a shit one... johnrraymondesq.medium.com/the-deal-tha... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
The Deal That Could Leave the West Weaker
Abbas Araghchi is in New York, the United States and Iran are talking, and President Trump says he believes a settlement will eventually be…
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Grinding Gear Game's "Path of Exile 2" is set to launch on Dec 11, and I am here to tell you, don't get your hopes up. The game is going to be a hot, steaming, pile of dog shit on launch. johnrraymondesq.medium.com/dont-get-you...
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
Don’t Get Your Hopes Up: Path of Exile 2 Will Still Be a Pile of Dog Shit on December 11th
Path of Exile 2 has been a buggy, high-friction, and unfun pile of dog shit from day one, and almost two years of Early Access have done…
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, Kremlev at Don Jr.'s wedding and Trump blaming Ukraine in the same news cycle has opened eyes. Are yours closed? johnrraymondesq.medium.com/now-you-can-... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
Now You Can See It — Trump Is a Russian Asset
History does not arrive to us as a finished narrative. It arrives as facts colliding through time. Men, institutions, technologies…
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, In my latest, I dissect @avindman.bsky.social's near flawless primary loss. *Winky-face* johnrraymondesq.medium.com/understandin... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
Understanding the Vindman Gambit: How a Blue Wizard Can Lose a Primary Without Losing the Game
Alexander Vindman lost.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Eventually, you will have something resembling the world we actually live in. Only then can you ask why reality has the shape it does.

The answer does not change because someone would prefer to lie about the obvious impacts of lost capacity — especially when it comes to oil.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, Supply and demand? Yes. Still upside down strategically? Absolutely yes. johnrraymondesq.medium.com/the-capacity... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
The Capacity Game: Understanding the Last Petrol War
The principal takeaway rule of the capacity game is: Do not gamble away a capacity you may be unable to rebuild when losing the gamble can…
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
For reference, @vladvexler.bsky.social's excellent video: www.youtube.com/watch?v=JLNL...
youtube.com
Ousted Fedorov challenges Zelensky: politicisation in Ukraine
YouTube video by Vlad Vexler Chat
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Ukrainians should therefore demand more from him, not because outsiders know Fedorov better than they do, but because the stakes justify forcing every serious contender for power to expose his reasoning.

What problem, precisely, is he solving? Why is an election the best available solution? Why now? What would Russia do with the opportunity? What would make Fedorov admit he was wrong? What can Ukraine do if elections remain impossible? And does his proposed architecture still look equally good if somebody other than Mykhailo Fedorov wins?

Those are not arguments against Fedorov.

They are the questions a potentially important Ukrainian political leader should be able to answer. Then Ukrainians — with their clarity of proximity — can decide what the answers tell them.

And for me and Vexler, I have to say, our pony yet remains Ukraine and her people.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, @vladvexler.bsky.social's concerns about Fedorov's election plans are real. As another outsider I see them as well johnrraymondesq.medium.com/the-vexleria... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
The Vexlerian Concerns Surrounding Fedorov’s Latest Statements
Vlad Vexler has raised what I think is the right concern about Mykhailo Fedorov’s sudden call for Ukraine to find a way to hold elections…
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
For reference, the @kylekulinskishow.bsky.social video in question.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
The question is not simply whether Jeffries supports Medicare for All. The question is whether the Democratic Party is still functioning in the direction democracy says it should: from voters, through representatives, into policy.

Or whether the machinery has begun running backward, with voters supplying the energy while the institution decides how much of their demand can safely survive.

That is the game. Three pieces move the board. Kyle and I already have two.

Carville may defect away from us. Kristol has defected toward us but carries a profound historical debt. Jeffries possesses the power, represents the coalition, and should have been our third piece from the beginning.

Which is why, once we understand the board, Kyle Kulinski’s fury at Leader Jeffries is not difficult to understand in the least.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, @kylekulinskishow.bsky.social is right to be fucking furious with Hakeem Jeffries. johnrraymondesq.medium.com/in-the-game-... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
In the Game of Democracy, Kyle Kulinski Is Right to Be Furious with Leader Jeffries
At first glance, this is just another Kyle Kulinski segment in which he gets furious with Democratic leadership. Hakeem Jeffries goes on…
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, A quick question I have for @vladvexler.bsky.social per his latest video. johnrraymondesq.medium.com/dear-vlad-ve... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
Dear Vlad Vexler, When Does Silence Itself Become Immoral?
Vlad Vexler has made an argument I mostly accept.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
Watch these two handsome devils, @realjakebroe.bsky.social and @vladvexler.bsky.social: www.youtube.com/watch?v=hByH...
youtube.com
Vlad Vexler: Is Putin Addicted to War Now? | Jake Broe Podcast (E047) @VladVexler
YouTube video by Jake Broe
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
So if Putin sees an American president who can weaken the coalition sustaining Ukraine, game theory tells us what Putin should do.

Exploit the opportunity.

Our job is equally obvious.

Make sure the opportunity does not become decisive.

That is what the little 2-by-2 matrix gives us. It turns an argument about motives into a problem about choices. It lets us operate before we can know everything.

And it leaves Broe with a much better question for Vexler:

If Putin is “playing against” the worst plausible President Trump for us, what are Putin’s winning strategies — and what countermove keeps us out of the losing square?
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, @realjakebroe.bsky.social @vladvexler.bsky.social have a pleasant conversation about Putin and Trump - but what are the strategic takeaways? johnrraymondesq.medium.com/what-do-vlad... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
What Do Vlad Vxler and Jake Broe Have to Say About Game Theory?
Vlad Vexler and Jake Broe almost solved an important game-theory problem without realizing they had constructed one.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
For reference, the @vladvexler.bsky.social video in question: www.youtube.com/watch?v=r3Kk...
youtube.com
Will Ukraine’s strikes "provoke" Putin escalation?
YouTube video by Vlad Vexler Chat
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Perhaps I have therefore been looking at Galeotti incorrectly. I still do not particularly care what Mark Galeotti thinks. But I am beginning to care quite a lot about what happens to Vlad Vexler after Mark Galeotti says it.

The more Vexler dismantles Galeotti, the better Vexler becomes.

And that may be the real story here.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, Though I have had differences with @vladvexler.bsky.social, he proves once more why he is important: actual growth johnrraymondesq.medium.com/an-ascendant... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
An Ascendant Vlad Vexler Uses Mark Galeotti His Speedbag
I have never particularly cared about .
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
For reference the @jjsmart.bsky.social video in question: www.youtube.com/watch?v=gSwi...
youtube.com
Putin Just SEIZED Russia’s Pension Funds
YouTube video by Jason Jay Smart
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
The correct European strategy is therefore not to wait for Russia to collapse. It is to make Russian collapse irrelevant to the outcome of the war.

Ukraine must receive enough resources to defeat Russia’s strategy before Russia’s strategy defeats Ukraine.

Europe should recognize Russian economic cannibalization for what it actually tells us. Putin is burning Russia’s future to purchase military power in the present. Maybe eventually there will be nothing left to burn, but Europe cannot afford to wait and find out.

Why? Because Russia can still win — Ukraine can still lose.

And if Putin learns that destroying Russia was enough to conquer Ukraine, Europe should not assume that the lesson he draws will be to stop.

It should assume he will conclude that the price of war is worth paying.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, @jjsmart.bsky.social's latest video is better than his last one, but he is still offering us "sub-analytic" ideas. johnrraymondesq.medium.com/jason-jay-sm... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
Jason Jay Smart Isn’t: Why Europe Cannot Afford to Listen to Him
Jason Jay Smart is getting closer to understanding what is happening inside Russia.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
For reference, the interview in question: www.youtube.com/watch?v=iAYq...
youtube.com
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Joins Us In Studio | TMR
YouTube video by The Majority Report w/ Sam Seder
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
And AOC, whether she arrived at all of this through political science, practical experience or some combination of the two, seems to have assembled many of those insights into a working political strategy.

I started watching an interview. What I found sounded surprisingly like a theory of government.

And, when I went looking, political science had already written a substantial portion of the bibliography.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, @aoc.bsky.social's theory of government explains why we should fund her - and not the useless #DNC or the establishment candidates. johnrraymondesq.medium.com/the-politica... @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
The Political Science Hiding Inside AOC’s Theory of Government
I am not a political scientist. I am, however, a bit of a researcher myself. That is, after all, where the Raymond Method comes from.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, Beyond the physical degradation risks posed by AI, LLMs are not programmed to actually keep "covenant" with users. johnrraymondesq.medium.com/towards-a-mo... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
Towards a More Sophisticated Understanding of the Risks Posed by Large Language Models
The public debate over artificial intelligence is trapped between two inadequate positions. One treats large language models as emerging…
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Someone must see the whole war.

That responsibility belongs first to President Trump as chief executive and commander in chief. It extends through the secretary of defense or war, the four-star leadership, intelligence chiefs, diplomatic officials, economic policymakers, and every senior officer whose position exists to connect military activity to national purpose.

The United States possessed more than enough power to devastate Iran.

What it lacked was a command system capable of using that power to leave Iran without a viable alternative to American victory.

That is why the war failed.

And, sadly, given Trump and Hegseth, none of it should have been surprising.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, Trump and Hegseth are traitorous bastards for getting us into this totally unwinnable version of the Iran war. johnrraymondesq.medium.com/understandin... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
Understanding the Iran War: Seventeen Crucial Blunders Made by the USA
The United States did not enter the Iran war lacking military power. It entered with the most capable long-range strike force in the world…
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
I do not need to watch Pakman to call out his bullshit. The Vanguard will watch him, identify what deserves attention, and report on it.

The same is true for everyone else.

If Pakman says something significant, we will hear about it. If he does not say anything significant, then we have lost nothing by ignoring him. Either way, there is no reason to continue feeding his operation our time, clicks, views, comments, and outrage.

Pakman advised dissatisfied viewers to stop watching. We should accept his invitation.

Block David Pakman. Support the people willing to monitor his operation. And move on to work that actually matters.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, The Vanguard on Youtube is doing valuable work wrt @davidpakman.bsky.social's MAGA-adjacent horseshit. johnrraymondesq.medium.com/yes-it-is-ti... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
Yes, It Is Time for Us All to Block David Pakman
I blocked David Pakman before Pakman released the video telling dissatisfied viewers to stop watching him. I also blocked him before The…
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, a Fedorov-Zelenskyy settlement exists on paper, if no where else. johnrraymondesq.medium.com/the-rational... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
The Rational Actor Argument: Is a Fedorov-Zelenskyy Settlement Possible?
A settlement between President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and former defense minister Mykhailo Fedorov is possible.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
Therefore, when he suddenly performs friendship toward Zelenskyy, the analytical burden does not fall upon those who distrust the performance. It falls upon anyone claiming that President Trump has changed.

A genuine pivot would consist of persistent, costly and difficult-to-reverse actions that materially strengthen Ukraine and damage Putin’s objectives.

Until those actions occur, there is no new leaf.

There is a photograph, a compliment and another politician standing inside someone else’s celebration.

Talk is cheap. President Trump depends upon people forgetting that.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, @pyotrkurzin.bsky.social and @vladvexler.bsky.social are circling the truth about Trump's latest Ukraine "pivot." johnrraymondesq.medium.com/talk-is-chea... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
Talk Is Cheap: The Reversibility Rule and President Trump’s Latest Ukraine “Pivot”
President Trump did not win the World Cup. Spain did.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, @professorgerdes.bsky.social's videos are warm piss. johnrraymondesq.medium.com/prof-gerdess... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
Prof. Gerdes’s Videos Are Warm Piss
There is a difference between analysis and sitting in front of a camera while information passes through you.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
For reference, see the latest video from The Vanguard: www.youtube.com/watch?v=f0Xy...
youtube.com
Kyle DOUBLES DOWN & DESTROYS David Pakman AGAIN After He's EXPOSED For SECRETLY ALLYING WITH TRUMP
YouTube video by The Vanguard
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
For years, figures like Pakman benefited from the assumption that anyone occupying the space between the socialist left and MAGA was necessarily a responsible progressive. That presumption is collapsing. More people now understand that some of the loudest professional opponents of President Trump are also guardians of the establishment that made President Trump possible — and then made him possible again.

That recognition is long overdue.

David Pakman is not the disease. He is one visible symptom of a liberal political culture that mistakes tactical fluency for moral seriousness, institutional access for credibility, and preservation of the establishment for preservation of democracy.

The left should be glad that people are finally developing a strong aversion to it.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, It is nice to see people on the left finally seeing the danger posed by hacks/shills like @davidpakman.bsky.social johnrraymondesq.medium.com/the-left-is-... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
The Left Is Finally Rejecting the Hacks Who Gave Us President Trump
I have an immediate reaction when I encounter an obvious right-wing hack. The shilling is normally unmistakable. The talking points arrive…
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
For reference, @prestonstew.bsky.social's excellent video: www.youtube.com/watch?v=7zGi...
youtube.com
Americans Have Turned Against The Iran War
YouTube video by Preston Stewart
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Republican members are now being required to gamble their careers, their constitutional responsibilities and the welfare of their constituents upon all of those wagers succeeding simultaneously.

They will not.

Preston Stewart has explained the trap with admirable clarity. He simply stopped one sentence before stating its unavoidable political consequence.

Non-MAGA Republicans must abandon President Trump now — not merely to save themselves, but because their country requires them to remember that they were elected to serve the American people rather than to accompany one man into a war he cannot win and a political collapse he can no longer prevent.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Dear #BlueWizards, @prestonstew.bsky.social knows what he is talking about: the people and politics are inseparable from the Iran war johnrraymondesq.medium.com/preston-stew... @aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social
johnrraymondesq.medium.com
Preston Stewart Just Explained Why Non-MAGA Republicans Must Abandon President Trump — Without…
Preston Stewart has just explained why this is the moment for non-MAGA Republicans to abandon President Trump.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
For references, the video in questio... No, I am not linking @gametheory101.bsky.social's crapass video here. You can find it in my article or search for it yourself.
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John R Raymond @johnrraymond.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
The crisis may have been an avoidable mistake. It may have been an initial mistake that President Zelenskyy converted into an opportunity.

Or it may have been a controlled disruption intended to force Fedorov, Syrskyi, the military establishment, and the public to reveal the actual balance of power.

The available evidence cannot yet prove which interpretation is correct.

But any analyst who does not even recognize the second and third possibilities is not performing serious game theory.

He is watching pieces move across a board while failing to understand that even in a democracy the players can redraw the board beneath them.
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