Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 28/08/2026"Millions of people believe it — so it must be true." Does popularity make something true? 100
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 25/08/2026The Argument from Ignorance, Part 2 | The Red Scare 000
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 24/08/2026No one has proven that extraterrestrials DON'T exist — therefore they must exist. Scientists haven't proven this treatment works — therefore it's completely ineffective. Both of those feel like reasoning. Neither one is. And once you can see the move underneath them, you will not be able to stop 000
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 24/08/2026The Argument from Ignorance, Part 2 | The Ignorance Gap 000
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 21/08/2026From the Attack on Reasons series: The Argument from Ignorance Fallacy: Part 1 | When "I Don't Know" gets really Weird The link to the full video is provided in the comments. #CriticalThinking #Skepticism 110
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 21/08/2026"Allow this one small rule, and next thing you know, the whole thing collapses." Sound reasoning, or a leap? Reply A or B. Scroll down to reveal the answer. 100
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 14/08/2026"Either we cut the whole program, or we go bankrupt." How many real options are on the table? 110
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 14/08/2026"You can't trust her argument about taxes — she's never even run a business." Fair rebuttal, or dodge? Scroll down to reveal the answer. 100
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 11/08/2026"I can't imagine it"; therefore, IT MUST BE "False" The most convincing feeling in your head is also one of the most unreliable: The Argument from Incredulity. Full video in comments. #criticalthinking #logicalfallacy #psychology #learnontiktok #skepticism #cognitivebias #argumentfromincredulity 120
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 07/08/2026Steve is shy, tidy, and loves detail. Is he more likely a librarian, or a farmer? Scroll down to reveal the answer. 100
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 31/07/2026Xi Jinping: The Quiet Authoritarian. At 15, Xi Jinping was sent to a cave. Father purged, sister dead. He applied to the party that did it — 10 times — until it let him in. Now he runs China. The most dangerous leader doesn't shout. Ep 3: The Authoritarian Trifecta ▶️ youtu.be/XGXI_8gwf6A?... 000
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 31/07/2026Someone's attractive and sharply dressed. Be honest — does that nudge you toward assuming they're competent and trustworthy? Scroll down to reveal the answer. 211
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 24/07/2026One jacket: "$400, now $160." Another, identical: just "$160. Scroll down to reveal the answer. 100
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 21/07/2026Why Being Certain Makes You Wrong: The Hidden Machinery of Confirmation Bias, Part 19. HEADS UP. Due to BlueSky video limitations of 59 seconds max, I had to split this video into many parts. To watch the entire video, go to www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4WW-BeqwpM 000
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 20/07/2026Why Being Certain Makes You Wrong: The Hidden Machinery of Confirmation Bias, Part 1.8 HEADS UP. Due to BlueSky video limitations of 59 seconds max, I had to split this video into many parts. To watch the entire video, go to www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4WW-BeqwpM 010
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 20/07/2026Why Being Certain Makes You Wrong: The Hidden Machinery of Confirmation Bias, Part 17. HEADS UP. Due to BlueSky video limitations of 59 seconds max, I had to split this video into many parts. To watch the entire video, go to www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4WW-BeqwpM 010
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 19/07/2026Why Being Certain Makes You Wrong: The Hidden Machinery of Confirmation Bias, Part 16. HEADS UP. Due to BlueSky video limitations of 59 seconds max, I had to split this video into many parts. To watch the entire video, go to www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4WW-BeqwpM 010
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 18/07/2026Why Being Certain Makes You Wrong: The Hidden Machinery of Confirmation Bias, Part 15. HEADS UP. Due to BlueSky video limitations of 59 seconds max, I had to split this video into many parts. To watch the entire video, go to www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4WW-BeqwpM 010
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 18/07/2026Why Being Certain Makes You Wrong: The Hidden Machinery of Confirmation Bias, Part 14. HEADS UP. Due to BlueSky video limitations of 59 seconds max, I had to split this video into many parts. To watch the entire video, go to www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4WW-BeqwpM 000
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 17/07/2026Why Being Certain Makes You Wrong: The Hidden Machinery of Confirmation Bias, Part 13. HEADS UP. Due to BlueSky video limitations of 59 seconds max, I had to split this video into many parts. To watch the entire video, go to www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4WW-BeqwpM 000
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 17/07/2026Why Being Certain Makes You Wrong: The Hidden Machinery of Confirmation Bias, Part 12. HEADS UP. Due to BlueSky video limitations of 59 seconds max, I had to split this video into many parts. To watch the entire video, go to www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4WW-BeqwpM 000
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 17/07/2026You're certain you're right. So you go online to "do your research." Does your certainty get tested — or get stronger? Scroll down to reveal the answer. 110
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 16/07/2026Why Being Certain Makes You Wrong: The Hidden Machinery of Confirmation Bias, Part 1.1 HEADS UP. Due to BlueSky video limitations of 59 seconds max, I had to split this video into many parts. To watch the entire video, go to www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4WW-BeqwpM 010
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 15/07/2026Why Being Certain Makes You Wrong: The Hidden Machinery of Confirmation Bias, Part 10. HEADS UP. Due to BlueSky video limitations of 59 seconds max, I had to split this video into many parts. To watch the entire video, go to www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4WW-BeqwpM 010
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 14/07/2026Why Being Certain Makes You Wrong: The Hidden Machinery of Confirmation Bias, Part 9. HEADS UP. Due to BlueSky video limitations of 59 seconds max, I had to split this video into many parts. To watch the entire video, go to www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4WW-BeqwpM 010
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 14/07/2026Why Being Certain Makes You Wrong: The Hidden Machinery of Confirmation Bias, Part 8. HEADS UP. Due to BlueSky video limitations of 59 seconds max, I had to split this video into many parts. To watch the entire video, go to www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4WW-BeqwpM 010
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 13/07/2026You've never met this person. You know nothing about them. Yet your brain already decided they're intelligent, trustworthy, and good at their job. You took one trait and let it spread across everything you can't see. That's the Halo Effect. 🧵 #HaloEffect 110
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 13/07/2026Why Being Certain Makes You Wrong: The Hidden Machinery of Confirmation Bias, Part 7. HEADS UP. Due to BlueSky video limitations of 59 seconds max, I had to split this video into many parts. To watch the entire video, go to www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4WW-BeqwpM 000
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 13/07/2026The Halo Effect: How one trait hijacks your judgment, Part 2 of 2🧵 You've never met them, but your brain already decided they're smart, honest & good at their job. That's the Halo Effect — one visible trait spreading across everything you can't see. New Attack on Reason 👇 #HaloEffect 120
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 13/07/2026The Halo Effect: How one trait hijacks your judgment, Part 1 of 2🧵 020
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 12/07/2026Why Being Certain Makes You Wrong: The Hidden Machinery of Confirmation Bias, Part 6. HEADS UP. Due to BlueSky video limitations of 59 seconds max, I had to split this video into many parts. To watch the entire video, go to www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4WW-BeqwpM 030
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 11/07/2026Why Being Certain Makes You Wrong: The Hidden Machinery of Confirmation Bias, Part 5. HEADS UP. Due to BlueSky video limitations of 59 seconds max, I had to split this video into many parts. To watch the entire video, go to www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4WW-BeqwpM 041
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 10/07/2026Why Being Certain Makes You Wrong: The Hidden Machinery of Confirmation Bias, Part 4. HEADS UP. Due to BlueSky video limitations of 59 seconds max, I had to split this video into many parts. To watch the entire video, go to www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4WW-BeqwpM 040
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 10/07/2026Why Being Certain Makes You Wrong: The Hidden Machinery of Confirmation Bias, Part 3. HEADS UP. Due to BlueSky video limitations of 59 seconds max, I had to split this video into many parts. To watch the entire video, go to www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4WW-BeqwpM 130
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 10/07/2026Which kills more people every year — sharks, or falling coconuts? Scroll down to reveal the answer. 230
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 10/07/2026An intro, since I'm new here: I study why good thinking is so rare and cognitively expensive. It's not that people can't reason. The culprit is System 2 laziness -- a product of evolution. My work: low-load interventions that make good thinking cheap enough -- and easy enough -- to actually do. 2131
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 09/07/2026Why Being Certain Makes You Wrong: The Hidden Machinery of Confirmation Bias, Part 2. HEADS UP. Due to BlueSky video limitations of 59 seconds max, I had to split this video into many parts. To watch the entire video, go to www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4WW-BeqwpM 020
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 09/07/2026Why Being Certain Makes You Wrong: The Hidden Machinery of Confirmation Bias, Part 9. HEADS UP. Due to BlueSky video limitations of 59 seconds max, I had to split this video into many parts. To watch the entire video, go to www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4WW-BeqwpM 010
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 09/07/2026Why Being Certain Makes You Wrong: The Hidden Machinery of Confirmation Bias, Part 4. HEADS UP. Due to BlueSky video limitations of 59 seconds max, I had to split this video into many parts. To watch the entire video, go to www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4WW-BeqwpM 010
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 09/07/2026Why Being Certain Makes You Wrong: The Hidden Machinery of Confirmation Bias, Part 1. HEADS UP. Due to BlueSky video limitations of 59 seconds max, I had to split this video into many parts. To watch the entire video, go to www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4WW-BeqwpM 010
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 05/07/2026Start with three words. Train them until they run themselves. Full framework — the neuroscience, the REBT roots, how to train the cue: johnballa546204.substack.com/p/the-low-lo... Think critically. And choose wisely.johnballa546204.substack.comThe Low-Load Migration MethodAn Intentional Design for Defeating System 2's Laziness 000
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 05/07/2026That's the migration. You're not sentenced to exhausting vigilance forever — you're training an instinct. Rationality isn't a fixed trait you're born with or without. It's a state you maintain, through cues small enough to actually run. 020
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 05/07/2026The part that matters most: The first hundred times, running the cue is effortful. But repetition migrates it. It becomes automatic — what Kahneman & Klein call expert intuition. A chess master doesn't calculate. She sees. A trained mind doesn't dispute every belief. The question just fires. 000
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 05/07/2026"Helpful?" trips people up, so let me be precise: I don't mean "does it comfort me." Comfort is often how bad beliefs survive. I mean: is this belief useful and rational to hold? Does keeping it serve me, or quietly cost me? Three words. Small enough to actually use. 000
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 05/07/2026Here's the trick: shrink the check small enough that even a lazy mind will run it. When a feeling shows up wearing the costume of a fact, ask three words: True? — or does it just feel true? Evidenced? — anything outside my own conviction? Helpful? — or is it costing me? 000
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 05/07/2026System 2 isn't lazy because you're lazy. It's lazy because deliberate thinking burns real energy, and evolution built us to conserve it. So when a belief feels true, System 2 usually waves it through without checking. You can't make it less lazy. But you can make the check cheaper. 000
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 05/07/2026Your smartest thinking has an on/off switch, and most people never learn to flip it. Kahneman's two systems: System 1 is fast and automatic. System 2 is slow, deliberate, and does the actual checking. The catch? System 2 is lazy. And that's where bad beliefs slip through. 🧵 030
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 03/07/2026Now that I have explained how to self-intervene in your unconscious beliefs and make them conscious, here are my tips for execution. #behavioraleconomics #cognitivepsychology #kahneman #ellisrebt #dualprocesstheory #thinkingfastandslow #decisionmakingscience #behavioralscience #selfintervention 100
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 03/07/2026How to stop your unconscious mind from sabotaging your life. #behavioraleconomics #cogntivepsychology #behavioralscience #decisionmaking #kahneman #ellisrebt #system2interventions #lowloadmigrationmethod #selfintervention 000
Dr. John Balla · System 2 Insider @johndavidballa.bsky.social · 03/07/2026How to Hack Your Unconscious Mind: The 3-Question Rule 000