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John Navas ⛵🌉

@jnavas.com
1.3K followers 67 following 18K posts

San Francisco Bay Area Political moderate Incivility gets blocked • software, network & security expert • troubled company rescue • former aerospace engineer (NASA missions) Substack: jnavassf.substack.com

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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 3h
"The rate of adoption and value of a successful technology is directly proportional to how easily and badly it can be abused."
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 4h
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Sep 29, 2026 @thestudyofwar.bsky.social #ISW Key Takeaways ⤵️ 1. The Russian MoD continues attempts to falsely assert control over settlements in the Lyman direction that Ukrainian forces liberated during Operation Vivaldi. understandingwar.org/research/rus...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Sep 29, 2026 @thestudyofwar.bsky.social #ISW
Key Takeaways ⤵️
1. The Russian MoD continues attempts to falsely assert control over settlements in the Lyman direction that Ukrainian forces liberated during Operation Vivaldi.
https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-september-29-2026/
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 18h
There is a 3rd method of presidential removal: the term limit of 2 terms. So we just have to tough it out for a little more than 2 more years. I'm counting the days. 844 to go. logwork.com/countdown-h5o4
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 22h
Unchanged, not down! — How unpopular is Donald Trump? @economist.com The president's net approval rating is -26, down 0.2 points since last week. 35% approve, 61% disapprove, 4% not sure
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 29/09/2026
Brent Crude still well over $100 oilprice.com/futures/brent/ 🧵
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 29/09/2026
“The louder the denial, the closer you are to truth."
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 29/09/2026
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 29/09/2026
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Sep 28, 2026 @thestudyofwar.bsky.social #ISW Key Takeaways ⤵️ 1. Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps: 3rd phase of Operation Vivaldi included liberation of Nove, Ridkodub, Katerynivka, Karpivka, and Novomykhailivka (north of Lyman). understandingwar.org/research/rus...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Sep 28, 2026 @thestudyofwar.bsky.social #ISW
Key Takeaways ⤵️
1. Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps: 3rd phase of Operation Vivaldi included liberation of Nove, Ridkodub, Katerynivka, Karpivka, and Novomykhailivka (north of Lyman).
https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-september-28-2026/
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 28/09/2026
When inflation expectations become entrenched, consumer behavior shifts from saving to buying before prices go higher, which creates a temporary boost in short-term GDP growth, even with squeezed budgets and declining purchasing power. www.clevelandfed.org/-/media/proj...
When inflation expectations become entrenched, consumer behavior shifts from saving to buying before prices go higher, which creates a temporary boost in short-term GDP growth, even while consumer confidence plummets due to squeezed budgets and declining purchasing power.
https://www.clevelandfed.org/-/media/project/clevelandfedtenant/clevelandfedsite/events/2015/2015householdeconomicsanddecisionmakingconference/hedm2015_weber_paper_04172015.pdf
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 28/09/2026
#Brent Crude: $107 oilprice.com/futures/brent/
#Brent Crude: $107
https://oilprice.com/futures/brent/
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 28/09/2026
#Hormuz Status: CLOSED hormuzstraitmonitor.com
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 28/09/2026
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Sep 27, 2026 @thestudyofwar.bsky.social #ISW Key Takeaways ⤵️ 5. Putin … is likely attempting to force Ukraine to capitulate before Spring 2027. understandingwar.org/research/rus...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Sep 27, 2026 @thestudyofwar.bsky.social #ISW
Key Takeaways ⤵️
5. Putin … is likely attempting to force Ukraine to capitulate before Spring 2027.
https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-september-27-2026/
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 28/09/2026
🎵 … it's all Joe biden's fault! 🎶
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 27/09/2026
Brent Crude back up to $106‼️ oilprice.com/futures/brent/
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 27/09/2026
Good agenda, but some of these will take Amendments to the US Constitution. 🧵
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 27/09/2026
Trump is actually not far off the mark: — U.S. Poverty Rate | Historical Chart & Data www.macrotrends.net/global-metri...
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 27/09/2026
Democrats' Private Equity Push - Pensions & Investments Congressional Democrats are aiming to enshrine more restrictions on the private equity industry with a bill to boost liability requirements for private investment firms over the companies they own. ☑️ www.pionline.com/rules-regula...
Democrats' Private Equity Push: What's at Stake in the Midterms - Pensions & Investments
Congressional Democrats are aiming to enshrine more restrictions on the private equity industry with a bill to boost liability requirements for private investment firms over the companies they own. 
https://www.pionline.com/rules-regulations/government-politics/pi-private-equity-bill-congress-warren/
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 27/09/2026
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Sep 26, 2026 @thestudyofwar.bsky.social #ISW Key Takeaways ⤵️ 2. Russian milbloggers continue emphasizing how the pervasive culture of lying within the Russian military is facilitating Ukrainian successes … understandingwar.org/research/rus...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Sep 26, 2026 @thestudyofwar.bsky.social #ISW
Key Takeaways ⤵️
2. Russian milbloggers continue emphasizing how the pervasive culture of lying within the Russian military is facilitating Ukrainian successes …
https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-september-26-2026/
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 27/09/2026
Brent Crude still over $100‼️ oilprice.com/futures/brent/
Brent Crude still over $100‼️
https://oilprice.com/futures/brent/
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 27/09/2026
But wait! Trump said the Strait was already open! Let's check… hormuzstraitmonitor.com Trump was not telling the truth? How can that be? Say it's not so!
But wait! Trump said the Strait was already open!
Let's check… https://hormuzstraitmonitor.com/
Trump was not telling the truth? How can that be? Say it's not so!
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 27/09/2026
Hanlon's razor ⤵️
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 27/09/2026
@palestinechronicle.bsky.social • Gaza’s death toll since October 2023 has risen to 74,016, with 175,068 Palestinians injured • Since the October 2025 ceasefire, Israeli attacks have killed 1,415 Palestinians and injured 4,953 www.palestinechronicle.com/israeli-dron...
@palestinechronicle.bsky.social 
• Gaza’s death toll since October 2023 has risen to 74,016, with 175,068 Palestinians injured
• Since the October 2025 ceasefire, Israeli attacks have killed 1,415 Palestinians and injured 4,953
https://www.palestinechronicle.com/israeli-drone-strike-kills-palestinian-in-nuseirat-as-gaza-death-toll-tops-74000/
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 26/09/2026
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Sep 25, 2026 @thestudyofwar.bsky.social #ISW Key Takeaways ⤵️ 1. Zelensky stated that US President Donald Trump has made a “final decision” to grant Ukraine licenses to produce Patriot interceptor missiles. understandingwar.org/research/rus...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Sep 25, 2026 @thestudyofwar.bsky.social #ISW
Key Takeaways ⤵️
1. Zelensky stated that US President Donald Trump has made a “final decision” to grant Ukraine licenses to produce Patriot interceptor missiles.
https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-september-25-2026/
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 26/09/2026
Israeli Drone Kills Two Soldiers in #Gaza as Hamas Says Ceasefire ‘Not Holding’ @palestinechronicle.bsky.social ☑️ Two Israeli soldiers were killed by an army drone in Gaza as Hamas rejected claims that the ceasefire continues to hold. www.palestinechronicle.com/israeli-dron... 🧵
Israeli Drone Kills Two Soldiers in #Gaza as Hamas Says Ceasefire ‘Not Holding’ @palestinechronicle.bsky.social 
Two Israeli soldiers were killed by an army drone in Gaza as Hamas rejected claims that the ceasefire continues to hold.
https://www.palestinechronicle.com/israeli-drone-kills-two-soldiers-in-gaza-as-hamas-says-ceasefire-not-holding/
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 26/09/2026
Palestinian Killed in Israeli Strike on Al-Mawasi Amid Continuing #Gaza Attacks @palestinechronicle.bsky.social 🤬 A Palestinian was killed in an Israeli strike on Al-Mawasi Friday, as occupation forces continued attacks across southern and central Gaza. www.palestinechronicle.com/palestinian-... 🧵
Palestinian Killed in Israeli Strike on Al-Mawasi Amid Continuing Gaza Attacks @palestinechronicle.bsky.social 
A Palestinian was killed in an Israeli strike on Al-Mawasi Friday, as occupation forces continued attacks across southern and central Gaza.
https://www.palestinechronicle.com/palestinian-killed-in-israeli-strike-on-al-mawasi-amid-continuing-gaza-attacks/
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 25/09/2026
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Sep 24, 2026 @thestudyofwar.bsky.social #ISW Key Takeaways ⤵️ 1. Several recent incidents in Europe, including drone incursions and acts of sabotage, were conducted by Russia or are likely attributable to Russia … understandingwar.org/research/rus...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Sep 24, 2026 @thestudyofwar.bsky.social #ISW
Key Takeaways ⤵️
1. Several recent incidents in Europe, including drone incursions and acts of sabotage, were conducted by Russia or are likely attributable to Russia …
https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-september-24-2026/
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 25/09/2026
Brent Crude: $105.83 oilprice.com/futures/brent/
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 24/09/2026
Poverty Rates Rise for Older Adults and Seniors @npr.org 😡 The poverty rate among seniors rose for the fifth straight year in 2025, "a trend no other age group experienced"‼️ www.npr.org/2026/09/24/n...
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 24/09/2026
"Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity." [Hanlon's razor]
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 24/09/2026
Given the judge’s skepticism of the White House’s case, as expressed in Thursday morning’s order, it’s unclear how the government could prevail in the next stage of litigation. www.nytimes.com/live/2026/09...
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 24/09/2026
The White House allowed a limited number of photojournalists, but not reporters, into the Oval Office for the start of Trump’s meeting with China’s leader, Xi Jinping. During the event, Trump made a joke about how the Chinese had the friendliest press corps … www.nytimes.com/live/2026/09...
The White House allowed a limited number of photojournalists, but not reporters, into the Oval Office for the start of Trump’s meeting with China’s leader, Xi Jinping. 
During the event, Trump made a joke about how the Chinese had the friendliest press corps …
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/09/24/business/trump-cnn-politico-msnow-white-house/931c7763-26aa-52cf-9984-1ddd5b23377a?smid=url-share
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 24/09/2026
Reporters for CNN and MS NOW were allowed to re-enter the White House grounds around noon on Thursday, the latest development in an ongoing standoff between President Trump and the press corps that covers him. www.nytimes.com/live/2026/09...
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 24/09/2026
Betsy Klein, a CNN correspondent, is now broadcasting from the White House grounds. “Very happy to be getting back to work here,” she says on-air. She was allowed back just minutes ago www.nytimes.com/live/2026/09...
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 24/09/2026
"Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity." [Hanlon's razor]
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 24/09/2026
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Sep 23, 2026 @thestudyofwar.bsky.social #ISW Key Takeaways ⤵️ 1. High-ranking Kremlin officials effectively rejected the US-Ukrainian-proposed limited energy ceasefire … understandingwar.org/research/rus...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Sep 23, 2026 @thestudyofwar.bsky.social #ISW
Key Takeaways ⤵️
1. High-ranking Kremlin officials effectively rejected the US-Ukrainian-proposed limited energy ceasefire …
https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-september-23-2026/
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 24/09/2026
#Brent Crude back up over $105 oilprice.com/futures/brent/
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 24/09/2026
Oil eases off highs? 🙄 FACT CHECK: Brent Crude: $102.09 oilprice.com/futures/brent/
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 24/09/2026
Brent Crude back up: $103.08 oilprice.com/futures/brent/
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 24/09/2026
Hormuz Status: CLOSED hormuzstraitmonitor.com
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 23/09/2026
White House Downplays Comparison of Trump Media Ban to Chinese Press Restrictions @cnn.com 🤭 www.cnn.com/2026/09/23/p... 🧵
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 23/09/2026
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Sep 22, 2026 @thestudyofwar.bsky.social #ISW Key Takeaways ⤵️ understandingwar.org/research/rus...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Sep 22, 2026 @thestudyofwar.bsky.social #ISW
Key Takeaways ⤵️
https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-september-22-2026/
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 23/09/2026
Israel Bombards South Lebanon, Destroys Property Despite Ceasefire @palestinechronicle.bsky.social 😡 Israeli occupation forces shelled towns across south #Lebanon Tuesday while carrying out detonations, demolitions & bulldozing operations despite ceasefire www.palestinechronicle.com/israel-bomba...
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 23/09/2026
Three Palestinians, Including Child and Woman, Killed in Israeli Attacks Across #Gaza @palestinechronicle.bsky.social 🤬 Gaza’s Health Ministry said 1,394 Palestinians have been killed and 4,839 wounded since the ceasefire took effect on October 11, 2025. www.palestinechronicle.com/three-palest...
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 22/09/2026
2028 Presidential Polling Average - General Election — Race to the WH ⬆️ Buttigieg ⬆️ Ossoff ⬇️AOC www.racetothewh.com/president/20...
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 22/09/2026
How unpopular is Donald Trump? @economist.com The president's net approval rating is -26, down 0.2 points since last week. 35% approve, 61% disapprove, 5% not sure www.economist.com/interactive/...
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 22/09/2026
Q: Why would a deal with Iran be reached only after November’s midterm elections? 🤔 A: Because Trump knows it will not be popular with his base. 🤭 Otherwise he would do it now.
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 22/09/2026
Trump Debuts Near Bottom of C-SPAN’s Presidential Leadership Survey @usnews.com ☑️ The former commander in chief placed near last overall and dead last in two of 10 categories. 🤭 www.usnews.com/news/politic...
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 22/09/2026
Good agenda, but some of these will take Amendments to the US Constitution.
How to Rebuild America After Trump
Robert Reich and Inequality Media Civic Action
Let's call them Ten Commandments for a better government.
They must be passed by Congress in order for anything else to get done.
Commandment number one: Enact Supreme Court term limits.
Number two: Crack down on conflicts of interest.
Number three: Stop political interference in criminal prosecutions.
Number four: End the gerrymandering wars.
Number five: Restore the Voting Rights Act.
Number six: Protect the freedom of the press.
Number seven: Eliminate political litmus tests for federal funding.
Number eight: Tax extreme wealth.
Number nine: Elect presidents by the popular vote.
Commandment number ten: Get big money out of politics.
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 22/09/2026
The worst part is that it's not being sold to "the highest bidder"—it's being sold to buyers connected to Trump‼️
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John Navas ⛵🌉 @jnavas.com · 22/09/2026
Hormuz Status: CLOSED hormuzstraitmonitor.com
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