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jMorr Bracketology @jmorrb.bsky.social · 15/03/2026

Happy Selection Sunday! Here's my final prediction: Texas is my last team in over Oklahoma; OU, Auburn & SDSU are the only others that wouldn't be a shock to see in. A couple of tough seed decisions depending on when the committee put their pens down (see comment below):

1 SEEDS
Duke
Michigan
Arizona
Florida
2 SEEDS
Houston
Connecticut
Iowa State
Michigan State
3 SEEDS
Purdue
Illinois
Virginia
Nebraska
4 SEEDS
Gonzaga
Vanderbilt
Alabama
Kansas
5 SEEDS
St. John's
Arkansas
Texas Tech
Wisconsin
6 SEEDS
Tennessee
North Carolina
BYU
Louisville
7 SEEDS
Miami FL
Saint Mary's
UCLA
Kentucky
8 SEEDS
Utah State
Clemson
Ohio State
Georgia
9 SEEDS
Villanova
TCU
Iowa
Saint Louis
10 SEEDS
Santa Clara
UCF
Texas A&M
NC State
11 SEEDS
VCU
Missouri/Miami OH
SMU/Texas
South Florida (or Wichita St)
12 SEEDS
Akron
McNeese
Northern Iowa
High Point
13 SEEDS
Hofstra
Cal Baptist
Hawaii
NDSU
14 SEEDS
Troy
Wright State
Penn
Kennesaw State
15 SEEDS
Tennessee State
Idaho
Siena
Furman
16 SEEDS
UMBC
Queens
Long Island/Howard
Lehigh/PVAMU

LAST 4 IN
Missouri
Miami-OH
SMU
Texas
FIRST 4 OUT
Oklahoma
Auburn
San Diego St.
New Mexico
NEXT 4 OUT
Virginia Tech
Indiana
Stanford
Oklahoma St.

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jMorr Bracketology @jmorrb.bsky.social · 13/03/2026

Friday bracketology update: Iowa St makes the 2 line after blowing out Texas Tech. I *think* they'll stay there, and it's Illinois & Michigan St for the last 2 seed. Auburn is (hopefully) out of the field after losing, and Oklahoma is last in for now; UNM/SDSU winner will pass OU if they lose though

1 seeds:
Duke
Michigan
Arizona
Florida
Last 4 in:
VCU
NC State
SMU
Oklahoma
First 4 Out:
San Diego St.
New Mexico
Texas
Auburn
Next 4 out:
Virginia Tech
Indiana
Seton Hall
Stanford

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jMorr Bracketology @jmorrb.bsky.social · 12/03/2026

Thurs bracketology update: not much movement at the top -- Iowa St. passes Purdue (for now) as the top 3 & TCU moves up a seed line (BYU was already a 6 but had to be bracketed as a 7 before). Virtually every bubble team lost (again) so here's where I think things stand for my last 4 in (see below)

1 seeds:
Duke
Michigan
Arizona
Florida
Last 4 in:
VCU
Auburn
SMU
Texas
First 4 out:
New Mexico
Indiana
San Diego St.
Oklahoma
Next 4 out:
Virginia Tech
Seton Hall
Oklahoma St.
Florida St.

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jMorr Bracketology @jmorrb.bsky.social · 11/03/2026

Bracketology update through yesterday's results: most movement is near (mostly below) the cut line. Va Tech and Stanford are virtually done following their early ACC tournament exits & IU barely stays in the field over UNM due to better metrics, though IU's Q1-2 record is bad enough to keep them out

1 seeds:
Duke
Michigan
Arizona
Florida
Last 4 in:
VCU
SMU
Texas
Indiana
First 4 out:
New Mexico
San Diego St.
Auburn
California
Next 4 out:
Boise St.
Virginia Tech
Oklahoma St.
Oklahoma

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jMorr Bracketology @jmorrb.bsky.social · 08/03/2026

Congrats to Tennessee St, LIU, Northern Iowa, High Point & Queens for punching their tickets! Almost every bubble team lost yesterday, so SMU & Indiana stay in the bracket -- barely. VCU & Santa Clara look a bit safer now, but both will want to avoid early conference tournament exits.

1 seeds:
Duke
Michigan
Arizona
UConn

Last 4 in:
VCU
Texas
SMU
Indiana

First 4 out:
Virginia Tech
Stanford
San Diego St.
New Mexico

Next 4 out:
California
Boise St.
Auburn
Cincinnati

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jMorr Bracketology @jmorrb.bsky.social · 06/03/2026

Friday bracket update! Indiana replaces New Mexico in Dayton, with VCU hanging on to the last spot. Cincinnati's win over BYU gets them into the mix, but they'll need to beat TCU and/or pick up multiple wins in the Big 12 tourney to have a shot. Auburn's game vs Alabama is a must-win

1 seeds:
Duke
Michigan
Arizona
UConn

Last 4 in:
Santa Clara
SMU
Indiana
VCU

First 4 out:
Virginia Tech
Cincinnati
Auburn
California

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jMorr Bracketology @jmorrb.bsky.social · 02/03/2026

Happy March and conference tournament season! First full-bracket update -- UConn gets the 4th #1, Alabama jumps up to the 3 line and Vanderbilt falls to a 5 seed. VCU edges out Virginia Tech for the last at-large. Auburn's metrics are good, but their awful W/L record (hopefully) disqualifies them...

#1 seeds:
Duke
Michigan
Arizona
UConn

Last 4 in:
SMU
TCU
New Mexico
VCU

First 4 out:
Virginia Tech
Auburn
Indiana
San Diego St.

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jMorr Bracketology @jmorrb.bsky.social · 21/02/2026

Happy top 16 reveal day! Here’s my guess: — ISU win vs HOU makes it close, but HOU still has the better resume — Teams 12-17 have 4-seed resumes, but GONZ has the best one & gets the last #3. The other 5 could be in any order IMO, but TTU is my odd one out due to Toppin injury, worse road record

MIDWEST

1-Michigan (1)

2-UConn (6)

3-Kansas (10)

4-Alabama (16)

SOUTH

1-Houston (4)

2-Illinois (7)

3-Florida (9)

4-Virginia (14)

EAST

1-Duke (2)

2-lowa St (5)

3-Nebraska (11)

4-Vanderbilt (15)

WEST

1-Arizona (3)

2-Purdue (8)

3-Gonzaga (12)

4-Michigan St. (13)

Also considered: Texas Tech

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jMorr Bracketology @jmorrb.bsky.social · 03/11/2025

🏀 We're back! Here's my way-too-early field -- no games yet but it was good to put a bracket together again. Happy college basketball season everyone! 🏀

A spreadsheet shows a preseason NCAA men's basketball bracket with Houston, Purdue, Florida, and Duke as the #1 seeds.

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jMorr Bracketology @jmorrb.bsky.social · 16/03/2025

Happy Selection Sunday! Tough decisions at the cut line, but in the end Indiana & Xavier are my last 2 teams in — they should both hope VCU & Memphis win today… Final update before 6!

1 seeds: Auburn, Houston, Duke, Florida
Last four in: Vanderbilt, SDSU, Indiana, Xavier
First four out: UNC, Texas, Boise State, UC Irvine

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jMorr Bracketology @jmorrb.bsky.social · 14/03/2025

Texas’s wins over Vandy & A&M put them in my field today, but lose and they’ll likely fall out for good. UNC & Boise both won yesterday, but I think they need to win today to get in. UC Irvine, Colorado St & Dayton are the only others with any kind of bubble chance (Wake will likely get passed)

1 seeds — Auburn, Duke, Houston, Florida
Last 4 in — San Diego State, Texas, Indiana, Xavier
First 4 out — UNC, Boise State, Wake Forest, UC Irvine

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jMorr Bracketology @jmorrb.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

Congrats to SIUE, Omaha, Lipscomb, High Point, and Drake for clinching bids over the weekend! Auburn stays overall #1 despite back to back losses. Despite big resume flaws, Ohio St (14 Ls) & Xavier (only 1 Q1 W) are in the field — because the teams below them have even bigger flaws…

1 seeds: Auburn, Houston, Duke, Florida

Last 4 in: San Diego St, Indiana, Ohio St, Xavier

First 4 out: Boise St, Wake Forest, Dayton, North Carolina

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jMorr Bracketology @jmorrb.bsky.social · 03/03/2025

First bracketology of March! A lot of tough seeding choices — at the top, Tennessee narrowly takes the last #1 over Alabama & Florida. The bubble is difficult too — in the end, Boise State is in by a hair over Nebraska & Xavier. Xavier & UNC each need a second Q1 win to make it in as of now.

#1 seeds: Auburn, Houston, Duke & Tennessee
Last 4 in: San Diego State, Arkansas, Oklahoma, Boise State
First 4 out: Nebraska, Xavier, North Carolina, Wake Forest

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jMorr Bracketology @jmorrb.bsky.social · 23/02/2025

New bracketology! The 7 line is full of teams that have stumbled a lot recently (UCLA, Kansas, Illinois, Marquette). On the cut line, Wake barely stays in after losing to NC State, mostly by default — SMU is first out but still doesn’t have a Quad 1 win. (Bracket reflects results through Saturday)

#1 seeds: Auburn, Duke, Florida, Alabama

Last 4 in: Ohio State, Arkansas, Texas, Wake Forest

First 4 out: SMU, North Carolina, Georgia, Boise State

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jMorr Bracketology @jmorrb.bsky.social · 15/02/2025

It’s officially top 16 reveal day! Here’s my prediction — it’ll be interesting to see if the committee has taken results from the last couple days into account (based on prior years, my guess is no)

Prediction for the top 16 reveal:

SOUTH (Atlanta)
1: Auburn (#1)
2: Houston (#6)
3: Wisconsin (#11)
4: St. John's (#16)
WEST (San Francisco)
1: Duke (#4)
2: Tennessee (#5)
3: Michigan (#12)
4: Arizona (#13)
MIDWEST (Indianapolis)
1: Alabama (#2)
2: Texas A&M (#7)
3: lowa St. (#9)
4: Texas Tech (#15)
EAST (Newark)
1: Florida (#3)
2: Purdue (#8)
3: Kentucky (#10)
4: Kansas (#14)

Also considered:
Mississippi, Marquette, Illinois, Michigan St.

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jMorr Bracketology @jmorrb.bsky.social · 11/02/2025

Despite Saturday’s loss, Auburn stays the overall #1 in my latest update, followed by Bama, Tenn & Duke. UNC is the last team in, ahead of Arkansas. Shouts to UCSD — they’d prob have to win out until the BW title for any at-large shot, but amazing to even be in the mix in year 1 of eligibility!

Latest Bracketology update. Auburn, Alabama, Tennessee, & Duke are the 1 seeds, North Carolina is the last team in, and Arkansas is the first team out.

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jMorr Bracketology @jmorrb.bsky.social · 27/01/2025

Hi everyone! My first Bluesky bracketology post is also my first in-season update. Feeling fairly confident about the at-larges that I have in (though Drake definitely has a case to be included as well, just depends on how the committee views them — for now I think the metrics would keep them out)

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