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Jintro Pauly

@jintropauly.bsky.social
167 followers 372 following 351 posts

Policy Advisor @munsecconf.bsky.social Civil defence volunteer @asb-de.bsky.social Posts in English, Dutch, and German Posts on #Ukraine, #Russia, European #defence, #nuclear #security and, occasionally, trains. Own views only, picture by MSC/Kuhlmann

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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 16/10/2026
Bonus: our train to Warsaw turned out to be the #Kulturzug! I very much enjoyed the unexpected fashion show and quiz on board. Many thanks to @nicolekoenig.bsky.social @tobiasbunde.bsky.social @moritzneubert.bsky.social and the rest of the #MSC team for the good company in Warsaw! 5/5
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 16/10/2026
The issue of Russia's frozen assets kept coming up. Given that 🇪🇺 is increasingly struggling to maintain its financial support for 🇺🇦, I expect this debate to resurface despite 🇧🇪/🇫🇷 opposition. The EU will need to find a mechanism to share the risk of seizing these assets between member states. 4/5
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 16/10/2026
#Russia is escalating its #hybrid attacks against Europe. Europe needs a consistent counterstrategy which imposes meaningful costs on 🇷🇺, e.g. via better sanctions enforcement and by taking on the shadow fleet. Otherwise, it will be a matter of time before Russian hybrid attacks kill someone. 3/5
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 16/10/2026
#Russia is at a stalemate in its military war against #Ukraine, but it may be winning its political war against #Europe and #NATO by dividing Allies and stoking anti-Ukrainian sentiments. Concerns about the effect the 2027 elections in 🇫🇷, 🇮🇹 and 🇵🇱 may have on 🇪🇺 support for 🇺🇦 were palpable. 2/5
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 16/10/2026
Earlier this week, I had the pleasure of attending both the @munsecconf.bsky.social 's European Defense Roundtable in Warsaw as well as the #WarsawSecurityForum for the first time. Some personal (and nonexhaustive) takeaways: 1/5 Picture credits (for the good ones): @leonhardsimon.bsky.social
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 15/10/2026
The Dutch defence ministry has announced that the #Netherlands and #France have held the first meeting of their bilateral #nuclear steering group within the framework of France's new #dissuasion avancée/forward #deterrence initiative. www.defensie.nl/nieuws/20261...
defensie.nl
Frankrijk en Nederland starten strategische dialoog
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Ulrike Franke @rikefranke.eu · 08/10/2026
And so it begins: the very first proposal of the new regional parliament in which the AfD is the strongest faction is about an immediate end to sanctions against Russia and the normalisation of relations. (Which, of course, they cannot decide at the regional level.) www.spiegel.de/politik/deut...
spiegel.de
Sachsen-Anhalt: BSW will mit AfD Ukraine-Antrag verabschieden
Das BSW und die AfD wollen im Landtag in Sachsen-Anhalt den ersten gemeinsamen inhaltlichen Antrag beschließen: Ukrainehilfen sollen eingestellt, Russlandsanktionen aufgehoben werden.
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
NEW PROJECT ANNOUNCEMENT 🚗 🇺🇦🤝🇳🇱 Coming spring, I plan to head to #Ukraine with one of the convoys of the Dutch initiative "Vehicles4Ukraine" to donate an SUV to the Ukrainian armed forces. Any donations to help me realize this project are much appreciated! 👇 whydonate.com/nl/fundraisi...
whydonate.com
Inzamelingsactie door Jintro Pauly | Fundraiser for an SUV for Ukraine's Defenders
Jintro Pauly Heeft je hulp nodig |
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Joris Luyendijk @jorisluyendijk.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Zo'n goede ontwikkeling. Naast de grotere konvooien steeds meer individuen die zelf geld inzamelen en dan één of enkele auto's naar Oekraine rijden. Intussen zijn die 'grotere konvooien' groter dan ooit tevoren, en ontvangen de grotere clubs meer giften dan ooit. Pal voor Oekraine!
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Edwin Mermans @edwinmermans.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
We hebben als Vehicles4Ukraine steeds meer chauffeurs die hun eigen voertuig crowdfunden. Jintro is bezig voor het lentekonvooi naar Kyiv. Help hem zijn terreinwagen voor de units van de Oekraïense strijdkrachten te financieren: whydonate.com/nl/fundraisi... @jorisluyendijk.bsky.social
whydonate.com
Inzamelingsactie door Jintro Pauly | Fundraiser for an SUV for Ukraine's Defenders
Jintro Pauly Heeft je hulp nodig |
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The Guardian @theguardian.com · 06/10/2026
Germany arrests former intelligence chief over alleged spying
theguardian.com
Germany arrests former intelligence chief over alleged spying
August Hanning served as president of federal intelligence service from 1998 to 2005 A former head of Germany’s foreign intelligence service has been arrested on suspicion of treason and spying on behalf of an overseas intelligence agency, prosecutors have said. August Hanning, 80, was head of the federal intelligence service (BND) – which operates outside Germany to gather information across the fields of political, economic, and military intelligence – between 1998 and 2005. Continue reading...
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Chris Aalberts @chrisaalberts.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Stukje geschiedenis.
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Des te meer omdat hij met vier stemmen meer is verkozen dan de AfD en BSW fracties (die aangekondigd hadden voor Rausch te stemmen) samen hebben. Minstens vier deelstaatparlementsleden van een van de andere partijen hebben dus voor Rausch gestemd. Een verdere barst in het Duitse cordon sanitaire.
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The Moscow Times @themoscowtimes.com · 30/09/2026
Russia's budget deficit reached $68.4 billion, or 2.5% of gross domestic product, in the first eight months of 2026, exceeding the $44.8 billion planned for the entire year. Borrowing has been floated as one solution — but it will be an expensive one.
themoscowtimes.com
Russia Has a Budget Problem. Borrowing Its Way Out Won't Be So Simple. - The Moscow Times
Russia’s government debt stands at about 19% of gross domestic product, a figure President Vladimir Putin uses to reassure Russians as the country’s budget deficit widens.  The federal budget deficit ...
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Meduza in English @meduza.io · 23/09/2026
A Russian military Mi-8 helicopter entered Polish airspace on September 23 at 11:08 a.m., the operational command of the Polish army said. meduza.io/en/news/2026...
meduza.io
Poland says Russian military helicopter violated its airspace — Meduza
A Russian military Mi-8 helicopter entered Polish airspace on September 23 at 11:08 a.m., the operational command of the Polish army said.
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Update: Although it is still unclear who is responsible for this sabotage, extremist farmers' protest groups are currently considered the most likely suspects, rendering the scenario of a hybrid attack perpetrated by a foreign power less likely for now. www.dutchnews.nl/2026/09/rail...
dutchnews.nl
Rail sabotage: farm activists suspected as police investigate - DutchNews.nl
Police and the security service AIVD are investigating the widespread sabotage on train tracks throughout the centre and east of the Netherlands on Tuesday, which brought train services to a standstil...
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
En wb het sprookje: daar sloeg de jongen altijd loos alarm, behalve de laatste keer toen niemand kwam. Dat is hier niet de situatie. Om in de analogie te blijven: er waren hier vaak genoeg wel degelijk wolven, ook als de jongen af en toe een vos voor een wolf aanzag. 2/2
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Klopt, daar zit een zeker risico, maar nooit op de Russische hybride campagne tegen Europa durven wijzen op momenten dat daar veel media-aandacht voor is brengt ook risico's met zich mee: zo dreigt het structurele karakter van Ruslands sabotageacties onder te gaan. 1/2
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Voor eerdere sabotageacties waar inmiddels duidelijke aanwijzingen voor Russische betrokkenheid zijn, zie bv: - www.bbc.com/news/article... - www.euractiv.com/news/german-... - www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/crim... Wie er achter deze actie zit zal de tijd (hopelijk) leren. 3/3
tagesschau.de
Bundesregierung: Russland für Drohnen-Anschlagsversuch in Leipzig verantwortlich
Deutschland macht Russland für den versuchten Drohnenanschlag am Flughafen Leipzig/Halle verantwortlich und hat weitere Sanktionen gegen russische Staatsbürger und Einrichtungen angekündigt. Der Kreml...
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Het belang dat wij terecht aan waarheidsvinding hechten wordt zo tegen ons gebruikt. Daarmee omgaan is lastig. Ik vind de aanpak van @hiddebouwmeester.nl niet verkeerd: benadrukken dat er nog geen bewijs is maar tegelijkertijd op de inmiddels bewezen Russische sabotagecampagne in Europa wijzen. 2/3
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Dit is altijd een dilemma bij de omgang met de Russische hybride campagne tegen Europa. Aanvallen worden bewust zo uitgevoerd dat dmv hard bewijs vaststellen wie erachter zit haast onmogelijk is of lang duurt. Tegen die tijd zijn we al 10 nieuwscylci verder en is iedereen met iets anders bezig. 1/3
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Large-scale disturbance of rail traffic in the Netherlands this morning, likely due to sabotage. There are reports of pipes being tied to rails across the country. nos.nl/liveblog/263...
nos.nl
Buizen vastgemaakt aan het spoor • Treinverkeer ontregeld door sabotage
Het treinverkeer in het oosten en noorden van het land is ontregeld door een vermoedelijke sabotageactie. In dit liveblog houden we je op de hoogte.
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
Congratulations!
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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 12/09/2026
⚡️Explosion at Bulgarian ammunition depot supplying Ukraine sparks massive fire, sabotage probe. The latest incident comes amid broader concern over fires, explosions, and suspected sabotage at European defense facilities supplying Ukraine.
kyivindependent.com
Explosion at Bulgarian ammunition depot supplying Ukraine sparks massive fire, sabotage probe
The latest incident comes amid broader concern over fires, explosions, and suspected sabotage at European defense facilities supplying Ukraine.
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
Berlin ❤️ #NoAfD
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
War heute Abend in Köln und musste da, warum auch immer, plötzlich an diesen kölner Klassiker denken. m.youtube.com/watch?v=AC_x...
m.youtube.com
Kristallnaach
YouTube video by BAP - Topic
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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Italy 🇮🇹 joins 🇫🇷 in OKing tech transfer of new generation AS30 imterceptor missile to Ukraine 🇺🇦
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Tagesschau Bot @tagesschau.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Migranten schließen Geschäfte aus Protest gegen Rassismus #AfD #Sachsen-Anhalt #Landtagswahl
tagesschau.de
Migranten schließen Geschäfte aus Protest gegen Rassismus
Was passiert, wenn die AfD in Sachsen-Anhalt regieren würde? Migranten und Forscher warnen vor den Folgen.
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
The UK putting its money, or rather its technology, where its mouth is. An important step in promoting European defence cooperation on deep precision strike, an area where Europe urgently needs to expand its own capabilities to decrease its dependencies on dwindling US missile stockpiles.
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Ulrike Franke @rikefranke.eu · 25/08/2026
Quite a development in the Leipzig drone case: reportedly there was a third drone, possibly also armed.
tagesschau.de
Flughafen Leipzig/Halle: Weitere Drohne und möglicherweise militärischer Sprengstoff entdeckt
Bei dem Anschlagsversuch auf dem Leipziger Flughafen kamen offenbar mehrere Drohnen zum Einsatz. Nach Informationen von WDR, NDR und SZ haben die Behörden ein weiteres Fluggerät entdeckt - und möglich...
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Thomas Wiegold @wiegold.de · 23/08/2026
Hm.
militarnyi.com
Russian Kh-101 Missile That Entered Poland May Have Deliberately Targeted Country
A Russian Kh-101 cruise missile that entered Polish territory in late July may have been deliberately programmed to follow such a route.
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Denis Trubetskoy @denistrubetskoy.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
Eine "Randnotiz": Inzwischen denkt sich Russland nicht mal mehr eine Ausrede aus, warum es am Freitag am helllichten Tag mit zwei Drohnen gezielt ein Einkaufszentrum in Krywyj Rih angegriffen, 16 Zivilisten getötet und etwa 130 verletzt hat. Das wird ignoriert.
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Tagesschau Bot @tagesschau.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Geheimes Waffendepot bei Berlin entdeckt #Waffen #Depot #Verfassungsschutz
tagesschau.de
Geheimes Waffendepot bei Berlin entdeckt
Sicherheitsbehörden haben offenbar am Stadtrand von Berlin ein Versteck mit zwei scharfen Waffen entdeckt.
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The Guardian @theguardian.com · 13/08/2026
Israeli troops force families from homes amid settler terror campaign in West Bank
theguardian.com
Israeli troops force families from homes amid settler terror campaign in West Bank
Former PM of Israel calls events ‘concerted and meticulous attempt at ethnic cleansing’ against Palestinians Israeli troops have forced two Palestinian families to leave their besieged West Bank homes, the day after a top Israeli commander personally promised he would end a violent settler campaign to drive them out. Israeli soldiers also took over eight other homes in Qusra early on Thursday, telling the village’s mayor, Abdul Azim Wadi, that the buildings were needed for a days-long operation to remove the settlers. They later relinquished six. Settlers still roam the village. Continue reading...
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
De foto van de ex-wethouder in kwestie in dit artikel maakt dit hele verhaal nog absurder. Zou ze weten dat "de LHBT-beweging" in Rusland als "extremistische organisatie" geldt en hiervoor "propaganda" verspreiden strafbaar is? www.nhnieuws.nl/nieuws/34972...
nhnieuws.nl
Ze ontkende het, maar jaar na rel woont opgestapte Hilversumse wethouder tóch in Rusland
Oud-wethouder Karin Walters uit Hilversum blijkt tóch naar Rusland verhuisd, een jaar na het te hebben ontkend. Ze heeft er nu een verblijfsvergunning. Lees het hele verhaal.
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Nico Lange @nicolange.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
Das "Russische Haus" in Berlin endlich zu schließen, ist für uns auch eine Frage der Selbstachtung, des Stolzes und der nötigen Botschaft: "Hört mal zu, wir lassen nicht alles mit uns machen!"
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PG Kroeger @pgkroegerbb.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
'Filosoof' mag feitenvrij en zonder enig historisch of geopolitiek besef een land in oorlog 'afslanken' aan 'de onderhandelingstafel met Rusland'.
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The Moscow Times @themoscowtimes.com · 07/08/2026
#OpEd If Europe wants to remain secure when Putin is gone, it needs to think about the very Russians it is building walls to keep out, argues Ilya Yashin.
themoscowtimes.com
Russia’s Exiled Opposition Wants What’s Best for Europe. It’s a Better Future For Russia, Too. - The Moscow Times
Opinion | A recent article in The Spectator by the British former diplomat Nigel Gould-Davies raises an important question about the relationship between the European Union and Russia’s democratic opp...
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
If Russia did something like this, would we call it a hybrid operation?
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Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air @creacleanair.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
🇷🇺 NEW | Monthly analysis of Russian fossil fuel exports & sanctions In July 2026, Russia’s fossil fuel export revenues fell 12% month-on-month (MoM) to EUR 683mn/day; oil product exports hit all-time low; India records highest level of imported Russian crude ever👇️
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Florian Flade @florianflade.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
🔴 Update: Wir haben die Berichterstattung angepasst. Uns lag ein Polizeibericht mit dem besagten Ermittlungsstand vor. Mittlerweile gibt es neue Erkenntnisse: Die Antonov hatte in den Tagen zuvor Munition via #Leipzig transportiert, am Tatabend aber soll sie leer gewesen sein ⬇️ #Drohne #Polizei
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Tagesschau Bot @tagesschau.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
Flugzeug neben Drohne war mit Munition beladen #Drohne #Leipzig
tagesschau.de
Flugzeug neben Drohne war mit Munition beladen
Eine ukrainische Frachtmaschine, neben der die Sprengstoff- Drohne entdeckt wurde, war wohl mit Munition beladen.
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
This problem will become much worse in winter, when Russia can hit energy infrastructure to freeze Ukrainian civilians. Therefore, Ukraine's current airstrike campaign against refineries and Wildberries in Russia likely constitutes an effort to coerce Russia into an aerial ceasefire before winter.
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
This is a big problem for #Ukraine. Besides Patriot systems, Ukraine hardly has capabilities to intercept Russian ballistic missiles. After wasting over half its stockpile on its war on Iran, the US is now less likely to provide Ukraine with the necessary munition. Russia will exploit this.
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Carlo "Realism, Gedankenfetzen und Rants" Masala @carlomasala1.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
Wenn das ein hybrider Angriff gewesen wäre, um Europas Entschlossenheit, Zusammenhalt und Reaktionsfähigkeit zu testen, dann hat Europa den Test nicht bestanden. Das ist auch eine der Lehren der letzten 48 Stunden.
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
Het zoveelste voorbeeld van samenwerking tussen Europees extreemrechts en anti-Europese autoritaire regimes. Zie ook de banden van AfD-Europarlementariërs Petr Bystron en Maximilian Krah met Russische en Chinese inlichtingendiensten. Deze "patriotten" zijn niet vies van een beetje landverraad.
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PG Kroeger @pgkroegerbb.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
Zouden Mona en Dilan dit beseffen? Geert uiteraard wel.
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
The risks of undermining NATO's deterrence posture by not responding to these attacks more proactively, however, grow with every Russian violation of NATO airspace that essentially remains unanswered. 3/3
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
Manned Russian aircraft usually don't venture deep into Ukraine's west and would likely be downed by Ukrainian air defense if they tried. Therefore, the chances of NATO forces accidentally hitting these - and the escalation risks associated with that - would be comparatively low. 2/3
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Jintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
I don't understand why #NATO Allies don't respond to these incidents by shooting down Russian projectiles over western #Ukraine *before* they enter NATO airspace. It gives NATO Allies a better change to prevent hits on their own territory and helps Ukraine's air defense in the country's west. 1/3
bbc.com
Missile that left crater deep inside Poland was probably Russian - Polish PM Tusk
The missile left a 10m-wide (33ft) crater a short distance from the village of Tarnawa Kolonia, about 100km from the border with Ukraine.
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