Sign in

John Paul Helveston

@jhelvy.bsky.social
12K followers 2.8K following 681 posts

Systems Eng Prof @ GWU 🦛 | Director, Data Analytics MS Program | EVs 🔋🚗 | Low Carbon Tech | Choice Modeling | Survey Research | China | US-China Policy | #rstats | #reproducibility | #opensource | Father | opinions own

PostsRepliesMedia
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 10/10/2026
Yeah I'm with others on the music. I think a good audio setup and no music would come off better. Human voice > AI voice, but need a good audio set up. It's the environment, not the 🎙️
030
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
What blew me away was it's even in the same order
091
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Walked into this today, and all I can think about is penguins #rstats
Three urinals with different color inserts: purple, teal, and orange (which resemble the color palette from the palmerpenguins R package)
5412
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Rolling back fuel economy standards during the worst Middle East oil crisis since the last Middle East oil crisis that prompted Congress to create those standards in the first place is...a choice
030
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
earmark can now run on GitHub. Set up a repo, then add articles by listing them in a sources.yml file. Making a commit kicks off an action that converts the articles into mp3s that are served on GitHub pages. Listen to your articles from any podcast app! earmark-dev.github.io/earmark/gith...
earmark-dev.github.io
Set it up – earmark
The recommended way. A repo that dictates and publishes itself, with nothing to install.
0121
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Sharing a great little 6-min video by a creative film maker and story teller. Looks like he just getting started on some really cool work. youtu.be/IXRVD7ZqncQ?...
youtu.be
Healthy things stop growing. Why can't economies?
YouTube video by Your Local Planet
001
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
On my way to posit::conf(2026)! Looking forward to sharing ideas about data, code, AI, & tools with a fun and ridiculously creative community. And if you'll also be there, come to my talk Tues afternoon to see how we used #quarto and AI agents to build the vehicletrends.us dashboard!
020
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Terence Tao on OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution
Jeff Goldblum: "Your scientists were so preoccupied with whether or not they could...they didn't stop to think if they should."
020
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Journal editors can't find reviewers because we're overwhelmed. I checked my gmail, review requests have more than doubled since the pre-LLM days. This is also why you're seeing more AI-generated reviews - reviewers can't keep up and reach for the LLM to get the job done faster (not better).
Bar chart of journal review requests per year, 2012–2026. Requests grew slowly from 3 (2012) to ~30/year (2019–2023), then jumped sharply after ChatGPT's release, hitting 86 in 2024 and 73–80 in 2025–2026.Bar chart of journal review requests per month, 2012–2026, with a smoothed trend line. Requests were low and sporadic through 2018, rose modestly 2019–2022, then climbed sharply after ChatGPT's release in late 2022, reaching a trend of ~10/month by 2026.
060
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Python and Claude Code. He made the whole thing open sourced: github.com/pingfan-hu/2...
github.com
GitHub - pingfan-hu/2026-phd-storybook: Pingfan's PhD storybook
Pingfan's PhD storybook. Contribute to pingfan-hu/2026-phd-storybook development by creating an account on GitHub.
000
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Super proud of Dr. @pingfanhu.bsky.social, who successfully defended his dissertation today! In addition to writing his full dissertation, he created a storybook version that is so well done - check it out! pingfan-hu.github.io/2026-phd-sto...
pingfan-hu.github.io
A Million Cars Come Home
2101
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
👂Got an article you wanna listen to? Try this tool! It extracts text from a URL or document, converts it to a narrated MP3, and posts it to your own podcast feed you can subscribe to on your phone. One line and you get a new "episode" on your phone: earmark publish <DOC> jhelvy.github.io/earmark/
jhelvy.github.io
earmark
Turn any document or article into an MP3 you can listen to.
1222
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Your opportunity to comment on the proposed NSF Guidance on Financial Assistance ends next Monday, August 24. There are WAY fewer comments on this than the earlier proposed OMB government-wide regulation, but this rule codify's the SAME policies! Attached is my comment to NSF.
030
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
Thanks to everyone who joined our workshop today on Agentic Workflows with Claude Code! In case you missed it, we just posted the recording on YouTube: youtu.be/kX1bzUHZWqc Happy Claude Coding!
youtu.be
Agentic Workflows with Claude Code, w/JP Helveston & Pingfan Hu (Aug. 14, 2026)
YouTube video by John Helveston
021
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
🚨 We're running a free 2-hour remote workshop this Friday on agentic workflows with Claude Code 🤖 If you're curious about how to get started with agentic workflows, you'll probably find this helpful. All workshop materials (and link to register) are at pingfan-hu.github.io/2026-agentic...
pingfan-hu.github.io
2026 Summer Workshop
Agentic Workflows with Claude Code, a hands-on workshop.
050
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
Refreshing to hear people calling the bullshit what it is in @science.org Full article www.science.org/content/blog...
Quote from article:
"...science. But let me make something clear right up front. When I talk to people about this subject (and that includes some journalists as well) and say what I'm about to at the end of this paragraph I am sometimes met with disbelief. But I mean what I say and I am trying my best to say what I mean: The Trump administration hates academic science funding, full stop. They hate where that money goes, and they hate who it goes to. They want to keep all that money for themselves, to hand out to favored cronies who can help them get elected and to steer yet more money and more power back into their hands.
That's it. That's the story. They are naturally not putting it in those words, but instead talking about "gold standard science" and the "reproducibility crisis" and funding "bold inquiry" for "transformational breakthroughs". This is all bullshit, and it's important to realize that. Shameless hand-waving bullshit, delivered in a how-dare-you-..."
0153
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
The public overwhelmingly rejects OMB's federal grant rule change. I used the GPT 4o mini LLM to classify the comments, showing 94% in opposition. Of the 5% supporting, ~84% are verbatim copies. This blog post summarizes the results (full analysis linked in post). www.jhelvy.com/blog/2026-07...
jhelvy.com
The public overwhelmingly rejects OMB’s proposed federal grant rule – jhelvy.com
OMB has proposed a sweeping rewrite of the rules that govern every federal grant. Thousands of people filed comments. I downloaded them to look at what they actually say.
060
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
There are 496,769 comments on the OMB rule that will devastate U.S. science. Thank you 🙏 Little doubt this administration will shove this rule through anyway, but these comments will matter. The fight to defend science is not over. Many more battles to come. www.regulations.gov/docket/OMB-2...
regulations.gov
Regulations.gov
060
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
In 48 hours with #Claude code, I built a C++ backend to my logitr #rstats 📦 to make mixed logit model estimation ⚡ fast. There's no excuse now for slow software now when tools like CC are available to do the performance engineering. A post on this build out: www.jhelvy.com/blog/2026-07...
logitr just got even faster — and this chart proves it. Across every test, from 50 to 1,500 random draws, logitr stays almost flat near the bottom of the chart while other popular choices for mixed logit estimation climb steeply, taking many times longer as complexity increases. Even with extra cores thrown at the problem, other packages can't catch up to logitr running on a single core. Simply put: less waiting, more modeling. 🚀
1180
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
Dissenting on a birthright citizenship case should be disqualifying for SCOTUS. Not only is the language of the 14th amendment abundantly clear, we fought a civil war to enshrine it in our constitution. That amendment was a very, very costly amendment. Shame on Alito, Gorsuch, and Thomas.
0133
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
This is an excellent talk on the recent history of AI progress in solving increasingly challenging problems in science and the shockingly consistent outcome that just scaling the models more leads to continued performance improvements. youtu.be/Mw60FH5iflI?...
youtu.be
Training Sand to Think: Artificial General Intelligence & Future of Physics
YouTube video by Perimeter Institute for Theoretical Physics
040
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
If you've ever been curious about how to use claude code skills, check out @pingfanhu.bsky.social's recent post. He shows how to leverage skills to encapsulate complex workflows and achieve impressively consistent outputs from agents. pingfanhu.com/blog/2026-06...
pingfanhu.com
Agentic Skills – Pingfan Hu
My approach to agentic skills and how I build them around my own practice.
0172
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
Excellent reporting and analysis on America's deadly mega trucks and SUVs www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
nytimes.com
The Deadly Rise of Giant Trucks and S.U.V.s
The vehicles on American roads have grown larger — and they are killing thousands more pedestrians, a Times investigation found.
021
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
Take 15 minutes: 1️⃣ Comment using the guide (it has an AI prompt to help you draft it): defendfederalresearch.org 2️⃣ Send the same message to your members of Congress ⏰ Deadline: July 13, 2026. Then repost this.
defendfederalresearch.org
Comment on the OMB Rule
The proposed OMB Regulation for Federal Financial Assistance would put political appointees over peer review and let agencies cancel active grants. Here’s what it changes and how to comment before Jul...
000
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
This is the most significant threat to American science in my lifetime. But it's not final. Public comments legally must be considered and responded to — a specific, personal comment genuinely counts.
111
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
The rule would also: • Restrict international collaboration • Sharply raise the barriers to pay publication fees or attend conferences • Ban entire fields of inquiry on ideological grounds • Lock it into binding regulation that's hard to undo — and limits future public input
100
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
The rule would: • Put political appointees in charge of what gets funded — effectively ending scientific peer review • Let agencies cancel active multi-year grants anytime "priorities" shift, no justification required (yes, the language is that vague)
100
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
🚨 The U.S. scientific enterprise faces an existential threat few are talking about. A proposed OMB rule would reshape ALL federal research funding — NIH, NSF, DOE, DOD, every agency. What it does & how to push back 👇 defendfederalresearch.org 🧵...
defendfederalresearch.org
Comment on the OMB Rule
The proposed OMB Regulation for Federal Financial Assistance would put political appointees over peer review and let agencies cancel active grants. Here’s what it changes and how to comment before Jul...
142
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 06/06/2026
🚨 5 alarm fire territory 🚨 www.nytimes.com/2026/06/05/w...
nytimes.com
Police Remove Diabetes Experts From Conference for Distributing Critique of Trump Administration
050
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
I cannot think of a better fitting president for the 二百五 bill
Washington Post article screenshot headlined "Trump appointees push $250 banknote with his portrait." The subheading notes that the printing director who resisted was reassigned, writing "The buck stopped here" in her farewell. Dated May 28, 2026. Below the article text is a photo of a mock-up $250 Federal Reserve Note featuring a portrait of Donald Trump on the front, labeled "United States of America" and "America Anniversary". A caption states it was obtained by The Washington Post and provided to Bureau of Engraving and Printing staff in August.
230
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
Yes, and most gas car drivers pay only about $95/year in gas tax. The proposal is for far more than that, while drivers of hybrids pay far less tax, yet there's no penalty for them.
000
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
You would generate a similar order of magnitude in revenue by increasing the gas tax by $0.01/gal, which comes out to about $5 more per gas vehicle annually. A $130 charge per EV per year is about 6x more for the EV driver than that.
010
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
Code for the chart at gist.github.com/jhelvy/80e99...
gist.github.com
R script showing at what annual mileage the proposed federal EV flat fee (under BUILD America 250) equals what a gas vehicle pays in federal gas taxes
R script showing at what annual mileage the proposed federal EV flat fee (under BUILD America 250) equals what a gas vehicle pays in federal gas taxes - gist:80e9985c6aa2367884983f76a99b5763
010
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
The BUILD America 250 Act charges #EV owners $130/year to "pay their fair share" in road taxes. Hogwash. Average drivers pay ~$95/yr in federal gas tax. A 50 mpg hybrid pays just $42, yet no surcharge for them. It's almost like this has nothing to do with tax revenue and is just an EV penalty 🤔
A line chart titled "BUILD America 250 proposed EV fee penalizes EV owners & is not justified by gas tax revenue loss." The x-axis shows Gas Vehicle Fuel Economy in MPG (10–55), and the y-axis shows Breakeven Annual Miles (0–35,000). Two upward-sloping lines show the annual miles an EV owner would need to drive to pay the same in gas tax as a comparable gas vehicle: one for the $130 initial fee and one for the $150 fee cap. A horizontal dashed line marks the average annual miles driven (11,484), and a vertical dashed line marks the average MPG (22.3). The region above the breakeven lines is shaded red and labeled "EV Fee > Gas Tax"; below is shaded green and labeled "Gas Tax > EV Fee." At average MPG and average miles, both breakeven lines fall well above the average driving line, indicating most EV owners would pay more under the proposed fee than a typical gas driver pays in gas tax. Source: Federal gas tax 18.4¢/gal; BUILD America 250 Act, H.R. 8870, §1129.
5318
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
Esp for use with LLMs - I'm increasingly convinced #quarto is the ideal LLM output. Separating *content* from *format* is so, so useful. www.jhelvy.com/blog/2026-05...
jhelvy.com
The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Quarto – jhelvy.com
Why you should start asking your favorite LLM (cough Claude cough) to produce .qmd files
1142
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
Quarto is 4x more efficient on tokens than HTML outputs from Claude, but can render to the exact same HTML! And 7x more efficient than Word docs!
050
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
#Quarto is much more than a publishing framework. When leveraged with agents with Claude code, it's a powerhouse tool for agentic workflows. In this blog post, I make a few quick arguments for why you should check out Quarto if you're working with agents. www.jhelvy.com/blog/2026-05...
jhelvy.com
The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Quarto – jhelvy.com
Why you should start asking your favorite LLM (cough Claude cough) to produce .qmd files
2324
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 03/05/2026
A less extreme version is just to put speed governors on every car. You can put the cap at something like 85mph, but seriously beyond that there is truly no reason to be allowed to drive faster except like running from the cops
180
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
We are watching our democracy crumble. With this SCOTUS ruling, every state has no choice but to follow TX and redraw their voting maps. The south will become an entirely white R vote, and blue states will become entirely D. The changes made now will lock in polarization for a generation or more.
082
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Excellent piece by Geraint Rees and @jameswilsdon.bsky.social on the massive challenges facing the legacy grant funding system in the era of AI. We need a better approach, like yesterday. www.nature.com/articles/d41...
nature.com
Could agentic AI topple grant-funding systems?
Funders must take action before an increase in submission of high-quality proposals written using AI models makes it impossible to sort the wheat from the chaff.
040
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
You're next Donny www.nytimes.com/2026/04/12/w...
nytimes.com
Orban, Beacon to the Right, Concedes Defeat in Hungary’s Election
1101
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
@pingfanhu.bsky.social has an amazing 3-part blog series on agentic engineering workflows: Part 1 - Claude code basics: pingfanhu.com/blog/2026-03... Part 2 - Workflow and examples: pingfanhu.com/blog/2026-04... Part 3 - Software that ties it together: pingfanhu.com/blog/2026-04...
pingfanhu.com
Agentic Engineering - Part 1 – Pingfan Hu
My experiences of effectively using AI for personal workflows, with a focus on Claude Code.
2122
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
At its peak, the US had over half a million soldiers deployed to Vietnam, with a total of 2.7 million served over the course of the war, and US forces still failed to secure the country
A map showing Vietnam (outlined in red) overlaid on Iran (outlined in blue) for size comparison. Vietnam fits well within Iran's borders, illustrating that Iran is significantly larger in land area than Vietnam.
060
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
This is monumental...the entire open source world now has access to a #python version of Claude code, with a #rust port coming soon. This is the fastest repo in history to surpass 100k stars. Absolutely wild that the most powerful AI coding agent is now just out there. github.com/ultraworkers...
github.com
GitHub - ultraworkers/claw-code: [Notice] The repo temporarily locked while ownership transfer. in the meantime we maintain on here: https://github.com/ultraworkers/claw-code-parity. The fastest repo ...
[Notice] The repo temporarily locked while ownership transfer. in the meantime we maintain on here: https://github.com/ultraworkers/claw-code-parity. The fastest repo in history to surpass 100K sta...
4100
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 29/03/2026
While this specific case is misleading, there's no doubt the content of the article points to a very real threat, one that we may not even be able to detect. That is, LLM responses may already be riddled throughout our data (possibly even in this case) and we may not even be able to tell.
020
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 29/03/2026
💯
010
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
Oof...damning evidence of AI responses on online surveys. The battle against AI survey bots is well underway, and it doesn't look like the humans are winning www.theguardian.com/technology/2...
theguardian.com
‘Our assumptions are broken’: how fraudulent church data revealed AI’s threat to polling
Experts say paid participants are using automated tools to generate unreliable survey responses at scale
061
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
The very best stats course you can get is still free. Absolutely amazing stuff.
030
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
@jigarshahdc.bsky.social on point👇
001
John Paul Helveston @jhelvy.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
If you think that's cool, wait til yoy see my market research tech
Magic 8 ball toy
1132