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jeffhelzner.bsky.social

@jeffhelzner.bsky.social
623 followers 334 following 564 posts

Former academic philosopher. Currently measuring and estimating stuff in the insurance industry. Interested in decision making, uncertainty, and long walks on the beach. jeffhelzner.github.io

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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 4h
I’d like to think there was some additional context when he gave the talk. Unfortunately, this slide has already hit LinkedIn, and people need something to talk about in those Monday morning meetings. Expect an increase in the use of the term “applied mathematics.” Plan accordingly.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 10/10/2026
Now we’re talking
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 10/10/2026
I don’t mind the goofy PhilMind101 stuff here. If there’s an appropriate place for that stuff, then this is it. Just keep it off of our precious LinkedIn.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Basically, I don’t think it really addresses the reference class problem, at least as discussed by philosophers.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
When I first saw the title of this post mentioned on Gelman’s blog, I thought, “This sounds dubious, but it would be cool to see some connection between Bayesian philosophy and Bayesian statistics…”
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
How I arrived on Bluesky
static.klipy.com
Pablo Escobar: Bored & Waiting by the Pool
ALT: Pablo Escobar: Bored & Waiting by the Pool
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Took the little ones apple picking today. All of the Honeycrisp apples were gone, sadly.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
But kids who grew up in different parts of the country seem to remember this. Yeah, camps, playgrounds, kids moving to different cities, but it still surprises me.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
static.klipy.com
Joe Dirt Smoking a Cigarette
ALT: Joe Dirt Smoking a Cigarette
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
It isn’t surprising to see misinformation spread these days, but how did all the kids who grew up in the ’80s come to believe that Mikey from the Life cereal commercials died from drinking Pop Rocks and Coke?
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
static.klipy.com
It's Not That I'm Lazy, I Just Don't Care
ALT: It's Not That I'm Lazy, I Just Don't Care
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Oh yeah, it’s really heating up. It’s not just for career networking anymore. They’ve got videos, knowledge transfer, synergies, and such.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
LinkedIn is like The School of Athens in social network form.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
The tragedy ends with the main character creating a blog about the profession.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
If you see this, post a vampire that isn't Dracula
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
static.klipy.com
Jack Nicholson's Evil Smile Head Nod
ALT: Jack Nicholson's Evil Smile Head Nod
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Over 50? Have a Masters degree in anything from a school? Any work experience whatsoever? Chat with one of our “Overqualified Specialists” today 🤡
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Yet another thing that I don’t miss about academia. 🤮
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
LinkedIn is like The School of Athens in social network form.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Made the case to whom? corp.oup.com/spotlights/a...
corp.oup.com
AI just made the case for philosophy majors; the humanities should not waste it - Oxford University Press
Sophie Goldsworthy, Global Academic Publisher, explores how AI companies hiring philosophers may have made a compelling case for the study of humanities disciplines.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Nice 👍
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
When I was a kid, they had the puck glow on the television to make it easier for people to follow.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I guess they added this to curriculum after I graduated. I don’t know even what “wordle shapeshifter” means. Sounds like the guy from DS9.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Guy who thinks decision analysis is humanities-coded just because it’s honest about where subjectivity enters the process.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I finally have a regular meeting in my life that is every bit as slow and painful as any faculty meeting I had in academia. Achievement unlocked.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Great movie.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
“Some philosophers have imagined that to start an inquiry it was only necessary to utter a question whether orally or by setting it down upon paper …” is the first thing I thought of when I saw this.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
But seriously, some of you need to stop saying weird philosophy and AI stuff in public.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Philosophy trending on LinkedIn again. 🙄
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Fixed it for you
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Some philosopher decided to take their message directly to the closest thing we have to a town square: LinkedIn.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
If someone learned about the world by watching ’80s action shows, they’d probably overestimate the effect of a single karate chop.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Going to tell my kids that this was Eliezer Yudkowsky
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Some philosopher decided to take their message directly to the closest thing we have to a town square: LinkedIn.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
That’s depressing 😔
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Sorry, but Yudkowsky would have been stuffed in a gym locker in Gen X. We’ve really failed the younger generations.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Philosophers used to hold interviews in hotel rooms. They’re in no position to complain about someone bringing an iced coffee.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Philosophers used to hold interviews in hotel rooms. They’re in no position to complain about someone bringing an iced coffee.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
My direct interactions with AI agents these days remind me a little of being an external examiner for a dissertation defense.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
It’s a frappuccino, mf 🙄
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Bayesian, broadly construed, but ultimately pragmatic. I came from a foundations of decision-theory background and hadn’t done much with applied statistics before moving to industry.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Move it all into Databricks, they said. Share your work in notebooks, they said …
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Maybe they’re having a conversation with their audience, like in a one-person show very far off Broadway.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
🚨 Secure the northern border immediately 🚨🤢
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
My direct interactions with AI agents these days remind me a little of being an external examiner for a dissertation defense.
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Just heard an actuary refer to a corporate IT team’s project as “data theater” 😂
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jeffhelzner.bsky.social @jeffhelzner.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Death by Excel is very difficult to detect because it happens so slowly, but you can see it in the eyes of those who have used it for years. I remember the first time I saw an actuary use it. All I could think was that he’d probably be better off smoking Lucky Strikes, but I knew it was too late.
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