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Julien Chaisse

@jchaisse.bsky.social
591 followers 1.4K following 86 posts

law professor @CityULaw | editor-in-chief @JWITBrill & @pacific_law | columnist @fDiIntelligence | arbitrator @CIArb @difc @ihkiac @officialaiac

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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Cato Institute @cato.org · 09/10/2026
Despite historically high tariffs in 2025-26, the US trade deficit is roughly back to where it was in 2024. That should be unsurprising, write Cato’s Scott Lincicome and Chad Smitson. ow.ly/ELal50ZWtko
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
The Economist @economist.com · 10/10/2026
“If China cannot be persuaded to rebalance the system and reduce its exports, Europe will become increasingly protectionist,” warns Pascal Lamy. “So let us test Chinese willingness to reform”
bit.ly
How Europe should handle its trade problem with China
It has a ready-made template to force rebalancing should talks fail, writes Pascal Lamy
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
The Hill Times @hilltimes.com · 18h
Opinion: Critical minerals are Canada’s investment shield against Trump’s trade war www.hilltimes.com/2026/10/07/c...
hilltimes.com
Critical minerals are Canada’s investment shield against Trump’s trade war - The Hill Times
At the Canada Investment Summit, it became clear that the government’s plan to unlock greater critical mineral investment could be accomplished with a simple tax change backed by five provincial and…
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Julien Chaisse @jchaisse.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
12/12 The article asks when an offer gains legal effect. The Kluwer post asks what a partly visible outcome tells us. Both are Open Access and part of my GRF project, supported by Hong Kong SAR RGC, Ref No 11613524. Please download and share. Views from practice are welcome.
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Julien Chaisse @jchaisse.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
11/12 Payment does not reveal the better bargain because WOM retained the project. The case is evidence against the view that ISA gives investors all the leverage. Chile disclosed core terms, not the settlement text or award. This is partial visibility, not full transparency.
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Julien Chaisse @jchaisse.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
10/12 WOM agreed to pay about US$52 million for noncompliance and kept the right to complete the 5G project. It also withdrew proceedings in Chile and before ICSID. The public record does not disclose any release clauses or reserved claims.
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Julien Chaisse @jchaisse.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
9/12 Our Open Access Kluwer Arbitration Law Blog post on WOM v Chile, coauthored with Dr Junianto James Losari: legalblogs.wolterskluwer.com/arbitration-...
legalblogs.wolterskluwer.com
Unusual Outcomes, Important Insights: The Chile-WOM Settlement and ISDS Practice
Investor-State arbitration (“ISA”) has been criticised for giving investors room to pressure host states.
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Julien Chaisse @jchaisse.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
8/12 The article is not against settlement. It argues against procedural effect without legal classification. Once a tribunal is asked to act, the offer’s status and intended effect should be clear. Any pause should be time limited.
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Julien Chaisse @jchaisse.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
7/12 Settlement conduct can affect costs, yet tribunals seldom address bad faith or gamesmanship directly. The article calls this a diagnostic institutional approach: legal effect can arise not only from express rules, but from what procedure permits in silence.
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Julien Chaisse @jchaisse.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
6/12 Tribunals treat “agreement in principle” inconsistently. It may support a stay or termination of proceedings. It may also trigger a new dispute over whether a settlement exists.
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Julien Chaisse @jchaisse.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
5/12 The article reviews 41 documented cases. It does not estimate prevalence. Offers often appear near jurisdictional objections or requests for interim measures, when pressure is high. Their timing can affect delay and costs. It can also alter the posture of the case.
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Julien Chaisse @jchaisse.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
4/12 A tribunal may inspect confidential exchanges to decide whether a settlement exists. If not, it may hear the merits after seeing concessions. “Without prejudice” is not treated uniformly. Questions of privilege and admissibility follow. So may concerns about impartiality.
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Julien Chaisse @jchaisse.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
3/12 ICSID and UNCITRAL rules say little about how tribunals should classify settlement offers. The article asks when a private communication becomes a procedural act with legal effect. That is the epistemic puzzle.
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Julien Chaisse @jchaisse.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
2/12 My Open Access article in Arbitration International, published by Oxford University Press, is “Between Offer and Outcome: The Epistemic Puzzle of Settlement Offers in Investor State Arbitration.” #SettlementOffers doi.org/10.1093/arbi...
doi.org
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Julien Chaisse @jchaisse.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
1/12 🧵 Settlement offers in investor State arbitration are often treated as private bargaining, not adjudication. That line becomes hard to defend once an offer is used to suspend proceedings or to argue that a binding agreement already exists. doi.org/10.1093/arbi...
doi.org
Validate User
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Nikkei Asia (Official) @asia.nikkei.com · 20/04/2026
US tariff refund system launches as thousands of companies file claims asia.nikkei.com/economy/trade-war/t…
asia.nikkei.com
US tariff refund system launches as thousands of companies file claims
System a little glitchy but accepting submissions, early users report
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Yahoo Finance @yahoofinance.com · 20/04/2026
Refund portal opens for tariffs struck down by Supreme Court
yhoo.it
Refund portal opens for tariffs struck down by Supreme Court
A new government portal went live Monday morning, allowing businesses to begin requesting refunds for the blanket tariffs struck down by the Supreme Court.
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Washington Post Opinions @postopinions.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
"President Donald Trump is eager to sign a broad trade deal with Beijing, but Taiwan hovers over talks," the Editorial Board writes. wapo.st/4e4tmKf
wapo.st
Opinion | Taiwan’s self-defense paradox
While U.S. senators lobbied for a Taiwan defense spending increase, the opposition leader said she’s heading to China. Beijing will exploit such clear disunity.
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Cato Institute @cato.org · 20/03/2026
Join the Cato Institute for a policy discussion on Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 and congressional tariff authorities. 🗓️ March 26 | 3 PM EDT 📍 Cato Institute Register: ow.ly/4Wme50Yx2vg
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Peter Ungphakorn @coppetainpu.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Taiwan to skip the WTO Ministerial Conference in Yaoundé, protesting Cameroon designating it as a province of China www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/a...
taipeitimes.com
Taiwan pulls out of WTO event - Taipei Times
Bringing Taiwan to the World and the World to Taiwan
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
World Trade Organization @wto.org · 03/03/2026
WTO members review five regional trade agreements, discuss transparency issues #WTORTAs
dlvr.it
WTO members review five regional trade agreements, discuss transparency issues
At a meeting of the Committee on Regional Trade Agreements (CRTA) on 3 March, WTO members reviewed five regional trade agreements (RTAs) involving Comoros, the European Union, Mozambique, Indonesia, China, Serbia, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, T�rkiye and the Faroe Islands. They also reviewed other topics relevant to the Committee's work under the Transparency Mechanism for RTAs.
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Project Syndicate @projectsyndicate.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
When the US Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s tariffs, it effectively positioned the rule of law as the ultimate arbiter of terrible economic policy, argues Stephen S. Roach (@ssruschina.bsky.social). bit.ly/4aDZ1QG
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Julien Chaisse @jchaisse.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
Read the column (open access): www.fdiintelligence.com/content/a9a5... Full issue: www.fdiintelligence.com/content/c63d... #FDI #Sanctions #InvestmentLaw #Arbitration
fdiintelligence.com
Venezuela proves the new gate to FDI is ‘permission to pay’
The country will not attract capital until money can move and disputes can end in cash
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Julien Chaisse @jchaisse.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
Investors now price licence probability and timing into discount rates, covenants and structure. If money cannot move, capital will not either.
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Julien Chaisse @jchaisse.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
Where a sanctions licence is required, exit, settlement and enforcement become a permissions question. The regulator controls timing, scope and conditions. That affects creditor priority, recovery value and deal certainty. #OFAC
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Julien Chaisse @jchaisse.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
The #Citgo sale in #Delaware shows the core problem. Sanctions can leave assets intact — yet block the moment that matters: turning rights into cash. Courts can validate claims. Buyers can be chosen. #Awards can be issued. Payment can still fail.
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Julien Chaisse @jchaisse.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
The February–April 2026 issue of @fDiIntelligence is out. In my #GlobalLawyer column, I argue that #Venezuela’s investability is being decided as much in #Washington as in #Caracas. www.fdiintelligence.com/content/a9a5... 🧵
fdiintelligence.com
fDi Intelligence – Your source for foreign direct investment information - fDiIntelligence.com
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 23/02/2026
The Trump admin's rhetoric towards China has been confusing (confused?). But amid all the tariff noise, in 2025 US (direct) imports from China fell a LOT, not just in absolute terms but also as a share of its total. 1st 300 clicks of this summary of the confusion free: as.ft.com/r/6ce00165-d...
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Steve Peers @stevepeers.bsky.social · 22/02/2026
EU Commission statement on SCOTUS tariff judgment - seeks "clarity" from Trump administration re deal with the EU ec.europa.eu/commission/p...
Press release, full text in the link
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Noah Barkin @noahbarkin.bsky.social · 22/02/2026
New EU statement on US tariff situaton: - Current situation not conducive to delivering “fair, balanced, and mutually beneficial” trade - EU products must continue to benefit from most competitive treatment, with no increases in tariffs beyond the clear and all-inclusive ceiling previously agreed
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Danielle Myles @dmyles.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
#Venezuela's creditors are battling their claims in US courts. But irrespective of the outcome, their right to recoup what they are owed boils down to sanctions approvals from the Treasury. The latest Global Lawyer column by @jchaisse.bsky.social has all the details ft.trib.al/34TMJCP
ft.trib.al
Venezuela proves the new gate to FDI is ‘permission to pay’
The country will not attract capital until money can move and disputes can end in cash
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Paris Marx @parismarx.com · 15/02/2026
OpenAI ”acknowledged in its own research that LLMs will always produce hallucinations due to fundamental mathematical constraints that cannot be solved through better engineering, marking a significant admission from one of the AI industry’s leading companies.” You can’t trust chatbots.
computerworld.com
OpenAI admits AI hallucinations are mathematically inevitable, not just engineering flaws
In a landmark study, OpenAI researchers reveal that large language models will always produce plausible but false outputs, even with perfect data, due to fundamental statistical and computational limi...
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Edwy Plenel @edwyplenel.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Le magazine « Sources » d’Arte révèle que des filiales russes du géant français du sucre Sucden, qui emploie Nicolas Sarkozy comme consultant, ont fourni à l’armée russe de nombreux matériels utilisés sur le front en Ukraine. www.mediapart.fr/journal/inte...
mediapart.fr
Le groupe français Sucden a contribué à l’effort de guerre russe en Ukraine
Le magazine « Sources » d’Arte révèle que des filiales russes du géant français du sucre Sucden, qui emploie Nicolas Sarkozy comme consultant, ont fourni à l’armée russe de nombreux matériels utilisé…
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Julien Hoez @julienhoez.eu · 08/02/2026
This week in the French Dispatch 🇫🇷 🇷🇺Operation Storm-1516 targets Emmanuel Macron 🚓Musk’s Paris offices raided before Paris Prosecutor summons www.frenchdispatch.eu/p/russian-di...
frenchdispatch.eu
Russian Disinformation Targets Macron as French Prosecutors Move Against Elon Musk’s X
From the Storm-1516 propaganda operation to raids on Musk’s Paris offices, France confronts disinformation, platform abuse, and democratic destabilisation
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
PBS News @pbsnews.org · 28/01/2026
Several Supreme Court practitioners and law professors scoffed at the idea that the justices are dragging their feet on tariffs, putting off a potentially uncomfortable ruling against the president. to.pbs.org/4rnt6JV
to.pbs.org
Months after hearing arguments, the Supreme Court has yet to decide on Trump's tariffs
When the Supreme Court granted an unusually quick hearing over President Donald Trump's tariffs, a similarly rapid resolution seemed possible. But nearly three months have elapsed since arguments in t...
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
The Associated Press @apnews.com · 27/01/2026
Prime Minister Narendra Modi says India and the European Union have reached a free trade agreement to deepen their economic and strategic ties after nearly two decades of negotiations.
bit.ly
India's prime minister says it has reached a free trade with the EU
Prime Minister Narendra Modi says India and the European Union have reached a free trade agreement to deepen their economic and strategic ties.
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
WorldTradeLaw.net @worldtradelaw.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
2025 Had the Most WTO Complaints Since 2019
dlvr.it
2025 Had the Most WTO Complaints Since 2019
Despite the ongoing crisis with the WTO Appellate Body, which has been only partially solved by the creation of the MPIA, 2025 saw a bit of an increase in the filing of requests for consultations under the DSU. Here's a snippet from our WorldTradeLaw.net page where we
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Reuters @reuters.com · 08/01/2026
French farmers block Paris streets in protest against Mercosur trade deal reut.rs/49eDywY
reut.rs
French farmers block Paris streets in protest against Mercosur trade deal
French farmers launched a pre-dawn blockade of roads into Paris and several of the city's landmarks in protest against a sweeping trade deal the European Union hopes soon to sign with South American nations as well as other local grievances.
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
The Japan Times @japantimes.co.jp · 07/01/2026
China's dual-use export ban on Japan is a decisive escalation, with established trade flows at risk if the restrictions are fully implemented.
ebx.sh
China's dual-use export ban on Japan a decisive escalation
Established trade flows are at risk if the restrictions are fully implemented.
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Chad P. Bown @chadpbown.com · 07/01/2026
Was the Supreme Court’s pre-Christmas decision in Trump v. Illinois a sign that it also planned to rule against Trump’s tariffs? by Alan Wm. Wolff
piie.com
Did the Supreme Court just signal the fate of Trump’s tariffs?
Card players recognize the signs of a “tell,” a player’s demeanor that telegraphs intent for the next hand. Just before Christmas, the Supreme Court in Trump v. Illinois made a procedural ruling that ...
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Michael McKee @mckonomy.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
Trump has announced "trade deals" with the EU, UK, Japan, China, and others, none of which have gone into effect. Why do we treat this claim as fact? Particularly when there are no details? www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Trump Says Venezuela to Send Oil Worth Up to $2.8 Billion to US
President Donald Trump said Venezuela would relinquish as much as 50 million barrels of oil to the US, worth roughly $2.8 billion at the current market price, announcing the cargoes would be sold with...
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Reuters @reuters.com · 06/01/2026
With Trump's tariffs on the line, US Supreme Court plans rulings for Friday reut.rs/3LyWfCr
reut.rs
With Trump's tariffs on the line, US Supreme Court plans rulings for Friday
The U.S. Supreme Court is expected to issue rulings on Friday as it weighs cases with major implications both nationally and around the world including the legality of President Donald Trump's sweeping global tariffs.
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Trade and Investment Research Project @ccpa-tirp.bsky.social · 02/01/2026
Will survive, not could. Kevin Hassett, Scott Bessent and Jamieson Greer have been saying they have a global tariff Plan B for months.
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Scott Lincicome @scottlincicome.bsky.social · 24/12/2025
"The tariffs are so complicated that even the government agency tasked with enforcing them can't accurately describe what they are." 🤣😢 reason.com/2025/12/23/t...
reason.com
Trump's economic adviser says tariff refunds would be 'very complicated' and unlikely
Oh, so now the Trump administration is worried about the complexity of its tariff polices?
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 24/12/2025
Average US tariffs on China: 47.5% Average Chinese tariffs on US: 31.9% Average US tariffs on the rest of the world: 18.4% Average Chinese tariffs on the rest of the world: 6.5% #PIIECharts
US-China Trade War Tariffs: An Up-to-Date Chart
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
The Japan Times @japantimes.co.jp · 18/12/2025
A U.S.-Japan consultation panel held its first meeting to consider initial projects for a $550 billion investment pledge that is a pillar of the two countries’ trade deal.
ebx.sh
U.S.-Japan panel convenes to mull projects for $550 billion fund
The investment pledge is a pillar of the trade deal between the two countries.
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Steven Chase @stevenchase.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
Trump may use USMCA withdrawal as a bargaining tactic, trade experts warn www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/art...
theglobeandmail.com
Trump may use USMCA withdrawal as a bargaining tactic, trade experts warn
Trump administration seeking ‘unilateral concessions from Canada and Mexico,’ an expert says
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Reuters @reuters.com · 24/11/2025
From Breakingviews - Breakingviews - Tariff refund spigot leaves Congress tapped out reut.rs/48y0Ey8
reut.rs
Breakingviews - Tariff refund spigot leaves Congress tapped out
President Trump pushed trade levies as a multi-trillion revenue raiser. As the Supreme Court weighs nixing them, he wants to send $450 bln he might not have to consumers, upping deficits and inflation. The idea is bad; further severing legislators from spending plans is worse.
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Euronews @euronews.com · 20/11/2025
A French court has blocked the export and foreign purchase of a 17th century arithmetic machine invented by Blaise Pascal to help ease the laborious task of calculating taxes.
l.euronews.com
French court blocks foreign purchase of 17th century calculator
A French court has blocked the export and foreign purchase of a 17th century arithmetic machine invented by Blaise Pascal to help ease the laborious task of calculating taxes.
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Reposted by Julien Chaisse
Jonathan Hepburn @hepburnjc.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
"Harmful subsidies should be part of the trade and climate conversation," WTO DG @noiweala.bsky.social said in remarks at #COP30. New OECD data: $624bn p.a. in +ve support to individual producers in 2022-24 (due to both border measures and budgetary outlays); $179bn in -ve support. More: 👇
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