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Jay Sayre

@jaysayre.bsky.social
266 followers 379 following 61 posts

Economist and Asst Prof of CE @UCDavisARE.bsky.social & @UCANR.edu @CalAgUC.bsky.social International trade + agriculture + remote sensing. 🌐🥑🚢🐄 Chionophile and orophile. #StandUpForUC jsayre.ucdavis.edu calag.ucdavis.edu

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Reposted by Jay Sayre
CalAg @calaguc.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
How much more are California farms paying for diesel this harvest? Diesel hit $8.25 a gallon in late September, up 65% from a year ago and a record even after inflation. We estimate the added cost per acre for major crops. calag.ucdavis.edu/reports/2026-09-2…
calag.ucdavis.edu
September 2026 California Diesel Market Report
California diesel averaged $8.25 a gallon in September 2026, up 65% from a year earlier and a record even after inflation. This report covers crude oil and diesel prices and estimates added costs per acre for major California crops.
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Jay Sayre @jaysayre.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
The visualizations on this @usatoday.com story I talked with Dian Zhang about regarding the US lettuce supply chain are really amazing -- great way to understand the scale of modern food supply chains amid food outbreaks www.usatoday.com/story/graphi...
usatoday.com
How lettuce linked to cyclosporiasis outbreak can get to your table
The United States imports a relatively small percentage of its lettuce. See how that lettuce can travel from a field in Mexico to your dinner table.
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Jay Sayre @jaysayre.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
I recently chatted with @calebmhampton.bsky.social about how USMCA has enabled continued market access for producers in North America and how trade spats are affecting CA's farms www.agalert.com/california-a...
agalert.com
Ag Alert
California farm leaders urge fair trade with Canada as tariff disputes and USMCA talks raise concerns about exports, wine sales and market access.
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Jay Sayre @jaysayre.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
I enjoyed speaking with @elizabethelkin.bsky.social @bloomberg.com about concentration trends in the lettuce supply chain and the recent cyclospora outbreak
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Reposted by Jay Sayre
Pam Kan-Rice @ucanrpam.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
“If you source from different farms, it’s much easier to have the sort of outbreak in one farm diffuse,” @jaysayre.bsky.social @ucdavisare.bsky.social told @bloomberg.com
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Jay Sayre @jaysayre.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Back to back: I spoke with @seanrtimberlake.bsky.social @sacbee.com about trends in CA's olive production amid a merger of two of the state's largest 🫒 olive oil processors
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Jay Sayre @jaysayre.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
I talked with Lucas Robinson at @sandiegouniontribune.com about San Diego co's avocado production and how the high cost of water has setback the industry there
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Reposted by Jay Sayre
Pam Kan-Rice @ucanrpam.bsky.social · 13/12/2025
As U.S. farmers look to expand exports, @jaysayre.bsky.social @ucdavisare.bsky.social & @ucanr.edu sees potential in Southeast Asian markets, especially in Vietnam
Graph of U.S. agricultural exports to ASEAN countries by destination. Shows export values from 2016-2025 to Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam and other. The lines are relatively flat except for Vietnam, which shows a rapid rise in 2025.
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Jay Sayre @jaysayre.bsky.social · 28/11/2025
I talked with @katierodriguez.bsky.social @montereycountynow.com about ongoing trends driving farm and producer consolidation in agriculture: www.montereycountynow.com/news/local_n...
montereycountynow.com
Recent acquisition and staff cuts at Braga Fresh reflect larger trends in the ag sector.
Braga Fresh acquisition by organicgirl, facility closure, and job losses reflect ag sector consolidation trends. Taylor Farms expands.
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Jay Sayre @jaysayre.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
Closes on Monday!
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Mark Agerton @markagerton.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
🎓 Excited to share our 2025-26 job market candidates from UC Davis Agricultural & Resource Economics! Please consider them for your open positions! are.ucdavis.edu/phd/job-cand... #EconJobMarket #Economics #PhD @wenjie-zhan.bsky.social @thjchen.bsky.social @rachelejones.bsky.social
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ucdavisare.bsky.social @ucdavisare.bsky.social · 16/09/2025
@UCDavisARE.bsky.social is hiring an Assistant Professor of Agricultural and Resource Economics: Financial and Agricultural Commodity Market Economics. recruit.ucdavis.edu/JPF07305
recruit.ucdavis.edu
Assistant Professor of Agricultural and Resource Economics: Financial and Agricultural Commodity Market Economics
University of California, Davis is hiring. Apply now!
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Jay Sayre @jaysayre.bsky.social · 16/09/2025
Great news! @UCDavisARE.bluesky.social is hiring an Asst. Prof this year in agricultural and financial commodity markets. Happy to answer any questions about the position or department. Please apply by Nov. 3rd! recruit.ucdavis.edu/JPF07305
recruit.ucdavis.edu
Assistant Professor of Agricultural and Resource Economics: Financial and Agricultural Commodity Market Economics
University of California, Davis is hiring. Apply now!
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David L. Ortega @dlortega.bsky.social · 15/08/2025
Wholesale prices came in hot in today’s PPI report, but veggies stole the show 🥦📈 Vegetable prices at the wholesale level surged nearly 39% in July. @willmasters.bsky.social & I unpack what’s behind this spike in today's @marketplace.org 🎙️ www.marketplace.org/story/2025/0...
marketplace.org
Why are wholesale vegetable prices spiking, and what's that mean for consumers?
About a quarter of the 3.3% price increase recorded by this month’s producer price index was driven by a spike in wholesale prices for veggies.
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Mark Agerton @markagerton.bsky.social · 15/07/2025
@ucdavis.bsky.social Dept of #AgEcon is excited to announce our '25-26 #jobmarket candidates. These 16 #PhD students are doing great research in #agriculture, #development, #environment, #energy, #health, and #labor. Many presenting at #AAEA2025 in Denver July 27-29! are.ucdavis.edu/phd/job-cand...
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Pam Kan-Rice @ucanrpam.bsky.social · 04/07/2025
California grows about 1/3 of the country's vegetables, 3/4 of its fruits & nuts, and employs almost 900,000 people, says @kairyssdal.bsky.social “We’re not getting an influx of new, young workers," says Ali Hill, @ucanr.bsky.social agricultural labor economist
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United Farm Workers @ufw.bsky.social · 16/06/2025
As long as immigration sweeps are happening in the communities that farm workers live in, farm workers will continue being detained and deported. Farm workers deserve REAL protections, so they can continue working without fear. www.npr.org/2025/06/16/n...
npr.org
After early reprieve from immigration enforcement, farming industry reckons with raids
The Trump administration's immigration enforcement mostly left farms and meat packing plants alone, until coordinated raids last week. Now, President Trump is signaling continued support for farmers.
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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 07/06/2025
For some perspective, the federal government funds *over half* of all scientific research and development conducted by the @uofcalifornia.bsky.social -- and UC is collectively responsible, in turn, for over 8% of all academic research conducted in the United States.
Factsheet (from April 2025) detailing various statistics regarding the partnership between the University of California and the federal government.
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Jay Sayre @jaysayre.bsky.social · 20/05/2025
In case you missed this, you can watch the recording here: ucdavis.zoom.us/rec/share/_0...
ucdavis.zoom.us
Video Conferencing, Web Conferencing, Webinars, Screen Sharing
Zoom is the leader in modern enterprise video communications, with an easy, reliable cloud platform for video and audio conferencing, chat, and webinars across mobile, desktop, and room systems. Zoom Rooms is the original software-based conference room solution used around the world in board, conference, huddle, and training rooms, as well as executive offices and classrooms. Founded in 2011, Zoom helps businesses and organizations bring their teams together in a frictionless environment to get more done. Zoom is a publicly traded company headquartered in San Jose, CA.
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Jay Sayre @jaysayre.bsky.social · 15/05/2025
This Monday I'm hosting a webinar titled "Navigating Trade Policy Uncertainty in California Agriculture" on Monday, May 19th at 2pm. Opportunities will be available to ask questions about current trade policy at the end. Register now: ucdavis.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
Image of the Port of Stockton. 📸: Downtowngal, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=26671447
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Jay Sayre @jaysayre.bsky.social · 06/05/2025
Regarding the discussion of bilateral trade deficits, I think there is a missing point: our trade imbalance lowers shipping costs for current U.S. exporters, which boosts the competitiveness of US exports, including Californian ag exports. A short thread below 🧵 (1/7)
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Joey Politano🏳️‍🌈 @josephpolitano.bsky.social · 07/04/2025
I’m losing my mind here. USTR made a list of “Unfair trade practices” they’re retaliating against, complaint number 5 is that the EU cares too much about stopping illegal deforestation, complaint number 7 is that the South Americans are doing too much illegal deforestation
“5/10: The EU's Deforestation-free Supply Chain Regulation (EUDR) aims to prohibit imports of seven products—including cattle, cocoa, rubber, and wood—unless exporters meet various burdensome compliance requirements, including due diligence and geolocation data.

It is estimated the EUDR will potentially impact $8.6 billion worth of annual U.S. agricultural and industrial exports.”

7/10: Illegal logging and illegal mining in South America, particularly in Brazil, Peru, Colombia, and Ecuador, fuel environmental degradation and create unfair competition that harms U.S. businesses committed to responsible sourcing and compliance with environmental laws.

These illicit activities, which usually involve transnational criminal organizations, distort global commodity markets by driving down prices and allowing bad actors to undercut legitimate American exporters.
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Jay Sayre @jaysayre.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
Seems like the quote I gave in this article predicting that the Trump administration would use deforestation as a potential justification to limit imports was pretty prescient given this recent USTR tweet
Tweet from the US Trade Representative that reads: 7/10: Illegal logging and illegal mining in South America, particularly in Brazil, Peru, Colombia, and Ecuador, fuel environmental degradation and create unfair competition that harms U.S. businesses committed to responsible sourcing and compliance with environmental laws.

These illicit activities, which usually involve transnational criminal organizations, distort global commodity markets by driving down prices and allowing bad actors to undercut legitimate American exporters.
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Grist @grist.org · 07/04/2025
America’s avocado obsession is destroying Mexico’s forests. Is there a fix? grist.org/food-and-agr... #Mexico #Food #Avocado #Avocados #Forests #Climate
grist.org
America's avocado obsession is destroying Mexico's forests. Is there a fix?
With deforestation rising and violence a threat, a bold initiative uses satellites to ensure supermarkets sell ethical, eco-friendly avocados.
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Jay Sayre @jaysayre.bsky.social · 05/04/2025
While it'd be great if countries did not retaliate against CA exports 🍷🌰🌾, I tell ABC 10 that CA's status as the 5th largest economy still doesn't allow it to set independent trade policy as part of the 🇺🇸 and it is unlikely trading partners will differentiate, either youtu.be/Rp_on9E6FVA?...
youtu.be
Newsom rebukes Trump tariffs, asks nations to exempt California products
YouTube video by ABC10
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Pam Kan-Rice @ucanrpam.bsky.social · 04/04/2025
"Even if you're buying produce from a California farm, because there's less supply, supply and demand sort of dictates that the price of all goods are going to go up," @jaysayre.bsky.social @ucdavisare.bsky.social & @ucanr.bsky.social told ABC10 about tariffs
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Jay Sayre @jaysayre.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
I spoke with Becca Habegger at ABC10 Sacramento about the effects of tariffs on CA agricultural producers and consumers: youtu.be/9GrWLw5kIQY
youtu.be
Tariffs impact on California agriculture
YouTube video by ABC10
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Pam Kan-Rice @ucanrpam.bsky.social · 20/03/2025
Fun day at #CalAgDay2025 at the Capitol! With🍊🥑, 4-H bunnies🐰🐰 & @jaysayre.bsky.social
Jay holding 2 oranges & a man holding big avocados
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Grist @grist.org · 13/03/2025
What Trump’s escalating trade wars mean for your grocery bill. Climate change and bird flu are already driving up food prices. Trump's tariffs are about to make it worse. grist.org/food-and-agr... #Tariffs #Trade #Climate #Trump #Groceries
grist.org
What Trump's escalating trade wars mean for your grocery bill
Climate change and bird flu are already driving up food prices. Trump's tariffs are about to make it worse.
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Jay Sayre @jaysayre.bsky.social · 06/03/2025
Reading into the USMCA text now and found this: "Canada and the United States shall not permit the sale of any product as Tequila or Mezcal unless it has been manufactured in Mexico". California's upstart agave sector will need to make pulque or rebrand, I guess
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SFGATE @sfgate.com · 05/03/2025
The tariffs on goods from three countries are slated to kick up the prices on certain items in California. 📰: www.sfgate.com/bayarea/arti...
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Jay Sayre @jaysayre.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
In response to the tariffs the 🇺🇸 has levied on Canadian, Chinese, and Mexican imports, Canada and China have posted their own list of products to retaliate against. Canada, in particular, signaled it might target producers in red states, so what Californian agricultural products made the list? (1/5)
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Jay Sayre @jaysayre.bsky.social · 27/02/2025
Amidst all of the other layoffs of federal workers, a quick note on the ramifications of firing USDA APHIS staff. APHIS is responsible for enforcing many of the phytosanitary rules governing agricultural production, and evidently frontline inspectors were some of the hardest hit here. (1/5)
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Jay Sayre @jaysayre.bsky.social · 02/02/2025
The Trump administration has announced 25% tariffs on most Canadian 🇨🇦& Mexican 🇲🇽 imports. This represents a huge shock to North American agricultural trade (as well as our global system), and will have significant impacts on the US produce sector 🍎🥑🥬, including increases in consumer prices (1/11)
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UC Agriculture & Natural Resources @ucanr.edu · 07/12/2024
Rising farm labor costs could shift more U.S. crop production to Mexico. A recent study by @uofcalifornia.bsky.social #ag economists Alexandra Hill and James Sayre explores these changing trends in U.S. and Mexican farmworker demographics and the potential implications for U.S. farms. bit.ly/4inlvaq
people working on a farm field
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Pam Kan-Rice @ucanrpam.bsky.social · 07/12/2024
Aging agricultural workforce is shrinking the farmworker pool. Study by @jaysayre.bsky.social & Ali Hill @ucanr.bsky.social finds the H-2A visa program attracts foreign workers at steep cost. Will crop production move to Mexico? ucanr.edu/News/?routeN...
Workers in a lettuce field move cardboard boxes on flatbed trucks.
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ClimateFran @climatefran.bsky.social · 11/09/2024
UC Davis Ag and Resource Econ Department is hiring in econometrics - come join me at Davis! recruit.ucdavis.edu/JPF06720
recruit.ucdavis.edu
Assistant Professor of Agricultural and Resource Economics: Econometrics
University of California, Davis is hiring. Apply now!
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Reposted by Jay Sayre
Vincent Thivierge @vthivierge.bsky.social · 07/11/2023
First seminar at Berkeley ARE tomorrow. I'm terrified. Wish me luck! are.berkeley.edu/events/2023/...
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Jay Sayre @jaysayre.bsky.social · 16/10/2023
Yeah, your university might be alright, but does it operate a natural reserve with great hiking trails?
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