iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

James Yorke @jair1970.com · 11/09/2026

World Athletics Ultimate Championships and to the shock of nobody another huge L for "probability in sports broadcasts", with Werro (fastest in event since early 80s) given a 73% chance of qualifying, sure enough she eased through, let me bet those odds please

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 06/08/2026

From a BBC article about a 17yo playing Robert Plant at chess and well... something of a wild early pawn move from Plant here 😬

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 31/05/2026

Letsile Tebogo with the solid but not television friendly message here

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 28/05/2026

used to have an old thread, so latest update is I am currently rated 1702 in blitz after spending *over 2 years* rated below that, brutal stuff, but at least i'm not finished (yet)

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 20/05/2026

Realised I could round out the story: -City: not as good as they were -Liverpool: very much a down year

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 20/05/2026

This tells the story for me: what you have to do is elevate your performance levels to that which gets you contending. Arsenal achieved that across the last 4 seasons, and as such could expect to contend and if the chips fell right, win. On this trajectory, it was likely never a case of if, but when

table of Arsenal's xG difference since 2015-16 to date showing how they fell away then recovered and became close to contending levels, eventually winning.

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 12/05/2026

apropros of nowt but writing stuff did used to be quite fun: blogarchive.statsbomb.com/articles/soc...

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 11/05/2026

good point for the hammers (kinda is?)

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 08/05/2026

one of my visuals that I never quite tuned up to my satisfaction, but still 0.4 OBV/90 is really good and this is Kev at City

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 01/05/2026

this has been going on for 45+ minutes, no pot since then, all the reds jammed in the corner, blocked by the black, no obvious way forward as no incentive for Allen to do anything different. Crowd is sarcastically cheering every shot, slow handclaps now. And? In a way this is peak sport.

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 07/03/2026

let us not suggest local BBC news is dumbing down, but a curious angle for this story, half expecting quotes from the dog given we have a picture of it on duty, taking its job seriously

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 07/02/2026

Winter Olympics has been coming with some flair shots, but just a great camera angle from the Luge, with the town in the background

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 29/01/2026

This chart was on BBC website today and obvious Q is "what happened around 2002" and the answer is an absolute classic data collection skew: there wasn't an actual spike in homicides, they just added all Harold Shipman's victims to the recorded list

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 26/01/2026

PL non-pen xG difference since start of December (so 9-10 games) 👀

xG table of the PL since start of December, showing Man Utd top

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 20/12/2025

bbc sport website L to R, chaos->control->chaos:

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 17/12/2025

Despite all the misery this man inflicted on me down the years with his goals, this is by far the deepest cut. Thierry Henry is 10 days older than me and is getting a "Lifetime Achievement" award. #old

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 11/11/2025

EFL crew assemble Coventry's game against Sheff Wed has single handedly extended the scale :/

xG per game for and against on an xy chart for english championship 2025-26. Coventry look really good while Oxford, Wrexham (should sign Messi probably) less so

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 10/11/2025

Ye olde xG per game chart w/various lightweight takes: 1. Arsenal is the blueprint here, 7 good games, 4 ~equal, 0 bad 2. Man City no bad games recently 3. stacking up the bad games: West Ham (but 2 good), Wolves (0 good) and Burnley (0 good) and curiously Bournemouth 4. No "good" Tottenham game :/

Premier League xy chart for xG per game, shows Arsenal profiling well, Man City and Palace, less so, Burnley, West Ham, Wolves and perhaps surprisingly Bournemouth

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 22/10/2025

Said goodbye to my dad today; true story: he played drums with the Beatles then knocked them back cos he wasn't sure they'd amount to anything. Good job really else i'd not exist ha. RIP Peter Reid - he was a good guy

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 21/09/2025

It's only yesterday it seemed to recur:

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 21/09/2025

Fun with pressure maps This is Richarlison in the Super Cup, with a neat pattern i've been looking for since:

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 27/08/2025

Current/recent lightning map of part of the UK with Grimsby highlighted

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 21/04/2025

Chart a bit busy at this stage, but point to make is Liverpool haven't had a "bad" defensive game in the PL all season. Arsenal's xG Against is a clip lower, and they've been solid too, but just nothing given away by Liverpool, worst game was Bournemouth in Sept, 1.36 xG against #d#

Chart of each individual game xG for whole PL season by team, produced mainly to show Liverpool's robust and consistent defence

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 07/04/2025

This was the main list they discussed

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 23/12/2024

No judgement at all (good article!), but would be remiss if I didn't dig out this from The Authority:

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 22/12/2024

Around an hour ago I had an idea that Slot Liverpool might be an interesting matchup for Ange Tottenham, and er... I've changed my mind. That's as well as anyone has played against Tottenham this year I think :/

xG for 1st half Tottenham 0.31 v Liverpool 2.34

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 15/12/2024

By contrast for 2023-24, same filter so no headers. Stark to me is difference in the volume of OGs (so forced opportunities) and throughball shots and goals. I've not watched enough to know what's different, but the outcome defo is

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 15/12/2024

Hard to prescribe the solution, but this chart is all 2024-25 PL shots, but no headers. There's a huge space in front of goal that is just light on footed shots.

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 04/12/2024

PRODUCT ENDORSEMENT: NOT AN AD

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 25/11/2024

I used to like using the 12 game point to do some analysis, but I checked my file and I haven't updated it since 2019 :/

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 24/11/2024

Sometimes it can be so simple; Rashford's PL shot locations this season here, yet today he bombs through the centre to get on the end of a cross

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 21/11/2024

ngl was mostly curious about Mbappe

finishing "snakes" showing how players finishing fluctuates across 50 shot samples. Lewandowski and Mbappe both have long term variable outputs, with the highs higher than the lows, Lewa is on a high currently, Mbappe a low. Vinicius Junior and Raphinha also shown, neither seems specifically a plus finisher over time, but again, all is variable, such is finishing.

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 18/11/2024

Your (current) PL top scorers. Long term top flight finishing trends. Chris Wood has been hot for a while, wasn't always. Mbuemo chart, intriguing trajectory albeit comparatively short career at top level

Finishing "snakes" that show how players score vs xG over time, covering the top scorers in the PL this season. Mo Salah has a highly variable long career that is trending slightly downwards, Erling Haaland spends more time above the average line than not, but has cooled after a fast start to 2024-25, Chris Wood did not appear to be a "good" finisher until more recently in which he has been hot, and has been for a while. Bryan Mbuemo has trended generally up across a short-ish PL career. None of this is to forecast what these players may do in the future, but is interesting to visualise and tell a story around how variable finishing rates can be.

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 17/11/2024

Through this lens, respect for Liverpool and Chelsea's consistency through the early part of the season

a chart of xG for and against, by game, Premier League, this season for each team

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 15/11/2024

I hear people are harking for a former time 😎

PDO is an old ice hockey metric that causes extreme reactions in some people when used in soccer, as it smooshes together shot conversion and save % as a kinda ready reckoner "luck" metric and was used in the early days of soccer analytics. This chart shows that Chelsea and Liverpool are currently scoring "well", Palace and Everton less so

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James Yorke @jair1970.com · 14/11/2024

EXCLUSIVE content: the only clear picture of me from the last Statsbomb Conference; what a shambles! contrary to the visual indication here I was sober as I was on pain meds :)

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