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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 3h

New episode of This Week in Business Risk podcast (by @missiongrey.bsky.social): Mathieu Boulegue on Russia's Arctic military posture, four emerging opportunities & eating horse fat. You can find episodes here: www.missiongrey.com/insights/#po... #podcast #Russia #arctic #geopolitics

missiongrey.com

Insights. Analysis, newsletter, podcast · Mission Grey

Analysis from Mission Grey and the Guild, the Guild Newsletter, and the This Week in Business Risk podcast: how external developments move and what to do about them.

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

I was interviewed for The Diplomat about the geopolitics of AI. AI must not viewed only through a US-China race. EU's Henna Virkkunen described AI as a geopolitical weapon. I'd frame it differently: AI can be weaponized, but it is becoming a strategic capability. thediplomat.com/2026/09/the-...

thediplomat.com

The Geopolitics of AI in the Asia-Pacific

Insights from Jouko Ahvenainen.

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

I'll speak at this event in two weeks in London. Let's try to catch up if you are around. @missiongrey.bsky.social @prifina.bsky.social

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Risk models can look precise while their assumptions are uncertain. Making that visible takes serious mathematics. Our @missiongrey.bsky.social CRO Jani Kinnunen coauthored research on this, now selected as Editor’s Choice in MDPI’s Symmetry. Expertise that matters. missiongrey.com/insights/jan...

missiongrey.com

Mission Grey CRO Jani Kinnunen’s Research on Risk and Uncertainty Selected as Editor’s Choice · Mission Grey

Research coauthored by Mission Grey’s Chief Research Officer Jani Kinnunen and Irina Georgescu has been selected as an Editor’s Choice article in the MDPI journal Symmetry.

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

@missiongrey.bsky.social Monthly Weak-Signal Snapshot: AI adoption, skills and hiring, immigration and talent mobility, regulation, and the resilience of critical capabilities. One clear signal is that adaptation is moving faster than validation. Read more: www.missiongrey.com/insights/mis...

missiongrey.com

Mission Grey Weak-Signal Snapshot: Where AI, Talent, Regulation and Mobility Are Starting to Collide · Mission Grey

The Mission Grey Guild’s monthly Weak-Signal Snapshot for August 2026: how AI adoption, talent mobility, regulation and wellbeing are starting to interact. Two pages, downloadable.

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

How healthy and competitive is a nation really? Our new @missiongrey.bsky.social Guild Newsletter, Health of Nations, examines competitiveness from this different perspective. www.missiongrey.com/insights/

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 31/08/2026

Episode of @missiongrey.bsky.social Guild breaks down week's 4 biggest risk signals: a $3 billion US push to break China's grip on minerals, India's overhaul of mining taxation, India-Africa trade corridor and forcing 35 countries to pick a side in the AI race. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/0...

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 03/08/2026

New @missiongrey.bsky.social podcast episode: discuss the AI race between the US and China, why companies should be wargaming China risk, and how she ate black pork in South Korea. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/0...

podcasts.apple.com

#02 Mercy Kuo on wargaming China risk and eating black pork in South Korea

Podcast Episode · This Week in Business Risk · August 3 · 1h 2m

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 28/07/2026

The new podcast of Mission Grey is now available. In the pilot episode Rwizi hosts Lauri, Mission Grey CEO, to discuss what external intelligence means, the future of human-machine teaming in corporate risk, and his childhood experience of eating a goat feast. missiongrey.com/insights/pod...

missiongrey.com

This Week in Business Risk. A Mission Grey Guild Podcast

This Week in Business Risk is a podcast by Mission Grey. Expert guests explore the forces reshaping global business, from great power competition to wars, pandemics, and the polycrisis era.

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 01/07/2026

Delighted to welcome Runi Irnandari Arnowo to @missiongrey.bsky.social. Deep expertise at the intersection of global trade, financial infrastructure and Asia-Pacific markets. Welcome aboard.

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 16/06/2026

Today @missiongrey.bsky.social is pleased to announce that Mercy Kuo has joined the company as Head of Strategy, United States. She previously served as Executive Vice President and Head of Analysis at a U.S. corporate risk intelligence consultancy: missiongrey.com/insights/str...

missiongrey.com

Mission Grey. External Intelligence for Decisions

Turn global signals into decisions. Monitor change, test scenarios, and act earlier across strategy, operations, and portfolios.

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 30/04/2026

Work of Cambridge Judge Business School and @missiongrey.bsky.social highlights a practical issue: businesses often miss critical external signals when making decisions. Geopolitics, regulation, supply chains—these are now core variables, not externalities. missiongrey.com/insights/fro...

missiongrey.com

Mission Grey — External Intelligence for Decision-Making

Turn global signals into decisions. Monitor change, test scenarios, and act earlier across strategy, operations, and portfolios.

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 27/04/2026

The world is very interconnected, @missiongrey.bsky.social research team: "These findings challenge approaches that treat countries as isolated units. Decisions, risks, and outcomes propagate through interconnected systems, not within borders." Read more: missiongrey.com/insights/int...

missiongrey.com

Mission Grey — External Intelligence for Decision-Making

Turn global signals into decisions. Monitor change, test scenarios, and act earlier across strategy, operations, and portfolios.

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 24/04/2026

Just reading the latest @missiongrey.bsky.social Guild newsletter. Global trade doesn’t suddenly stop. It becomes slower, more expensive, and less predictable. From Hormuz to Malacca to the Baltic, these “chokepoints” are shaping everyday reality more than we think. missiongrey.com/insights

missiongrey.com

Mission Grey — External Intelligence for Decision-Making

Turn global signals into decisions. Monitor change, test scenarios, and act earlier across strategy, operations, and portfolios.

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 07/04/2026

A global residential real estate market report by @missiongrey.bsky.social . Where the opportunities and risks now and what are the signals to follow? We also look for consulting and expert partners in the real estate area. #realestate #externalintelligence #investment #geopolitics

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

What to expect after Trump's Nato comments? What are reactions in Europe? What is impact on businesses? By @missiongrey.bsky.social

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 29/03/2026

Geopolitics is everywhere. In the Baltic Sea: port disruptions, GPS jamming, subsea incidents and now drones reaching Finland. No crisis headline. Just constant friction → higher costs, rising insurance, and growing reputation risk. A report by @missiongrey.bsky.social

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 15/03/2026

I’ll be speaking this week at the CTx Tech event in a session titled “Money, Markets & Momentum: The Future of European Investment.” The investment landscape in Europe is changing rapidly as geopolitical tensions, supply chains, technology competition, and regulation increasingly shape markets.

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 27/02/2026

Next week I’ll be at MWC Barcelona and especially at 4YFN. With @missiongrey.bsky.social , we help leaders understand the external forces, geopolitics, regulation, markets, capital flows, that can change their business overnight. Happy to meet in Barcelona if you want to talk about this. #MWC26

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 19/01/2026

Evening experiment: What’s the bigger market risk 2026: an AI bubble or geopolitics? Asked @missiongrey.bsky.social to analyze it. AI = slow burn (valuations, earnings, indexes) Geopolitics = sudden shock (energy, trade, supply chains) Lesson: stay calm, think in scenarios, control what you can.

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 03/01/2026

A quick analysis by @missiongrey.bsky.social of the situation in Venezuela. These events have impacts on businesses, especially in the energy and LATAM markets, and indirect global impacts. #Geopolitics #RiskManagement #ScenarioAnalysis #StressTesting #Venezuela #EnergyMarket #LATAM #OilPrice

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 08/12/2025

A proud moment for @prifina.bsky.social and for my AI Twin. 🤖✨ Prifina partnered with Mastercard at a major global innovation event, introducing personal AI Twins to top execs from Mastercard and its partners. Full story 👉 www.prifina.com/blog/prifina...

prifina.com

AI Twins - Your Personal AI Extension | Prifina

Create your personal AI Twin with Prifina - the privacy-first platform for AI-powered digital identity and personal data ownership.

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 04/12/2025

Why stress tests often fail and in a big way? Models fail when their underlying assumptions fail, and when people cannot see how major shifts could realistically unfold. That’s why you need scenario-based stress testing and monitoring. That's why Scenario Delta from @missiongrey.bsky.social

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 21/10/2025

The strongest advantage in business is to see before others see and to act faster. At the Deutsch-Finnisches Businessforum 2025 in Lübeck, I’ll talk about how external intelligence (by @missiongrey.bsky.social) helps companies turn uncertainty into resilience. www.missiongrey.com/blog/mission...

missiongrey.com

Mission Grey at the Deutsch-Finnisches Businessforum 2025

(Eine deutsche Zusammenfassung dieses Beitrags finden Sie am Ende des Artikels.) Mission Grey’s Chairman, Jouko Ahvenainen , will deliver a keynote at the Deutsch-Finnisches Businessforum 2025 ,...

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 30/09/2025

Heading to São Paulo next week for the Horasis Global Meeting, where I’ll chair a panel on cooperation in a non-cooperative world. Same themes as we work at @missiongrey.bsky.social . Then in Montevideo and Buenos Aires; happy to meet for discussions there too. www.missiongrey.com/blog/mission...

missiongrey.com

Mission Grey at Horasis Global Meeting 2025 In São Paulo

Next week, leaders from business, government, and academia will gather in São Paulo for the Horasis Global Meeting 2025 . Known as one of the world’s most trusted community for dialogue, Horasis...

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 25/09/2025

Welcome Janaki Kates as @missiongrey.bsky.social Head of Intelligence. With nearly 20 years in national security from CIA to briefing U.S. leaders, Janaki will help us democratize external intelligence for businesses, governments & NGOs. www.missiongrey.com/blog/janaki-... #externalintelligence

missiongrey.com

Janaki Kates Joins Mission Grey as Head of Intelligence

Mission Grey is proud to announce that Janaki Kates has joined the company as Head of Intelligence. In this role, she will lead Mission Grey’s intelligence strategy, data interpretation frameworks,...

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 10/09/2025

High level scenario analysis from @missiongrey.bsky.social (the External Intelligence Platform) based on the recent events in Poland. #geopolitics #externalintelligence #Poland #Russia #drones #Ukraine #security

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 01/09/2025

What to conclude from The Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Tianjin, China; @missiongrey.bsky.social top level analyses. What is impact on businesses? #geopolitics #externalintelligence #ShanghaiSummit

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 14/08/2025

Welcome Jay Tannon to Mission Grey’s Advisory Board. Decades of PE, M&A & infrastructure + political insight = huge value as we scale the external intelligence platform “AI-driven, real-time geopolitical insights…” #AI #Geopolitics #ExternalIntelligence www.missiongrey.com/blog/jay-tan...

missiongrey.com

Jay Tannon Joins Mission Grey Advisory Board

Mission Grey is proud to welcome Jay Tannon to our Advisory Board. Based in Washington D.C., Jay is a highly accomplished business lawyer with extensive expertise in private equity and M&A,...

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 27/07/2025

A quick analysis of the US - EU trade deal by @missiongrey.bsky.social. You can get much more accurate and industry specific analyses from the tool, try it. #Trade #TradeDeal #Tariffs #Export #Import #USA #EU #MissionGrey #ExternalIntelligenceCompany

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 10/07/2025

Just dropped: Mission Grey’s Trade War Capability Index (TWCI) A new way to see who’s actually ready for trade wars. Like a spy agency for the global economy; ranking countries by power, resilience & competitiveness. Smart, bold, and updated. Game on. #TWCI #MissionGrey #GlobalRisk

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 18/06/2025

In the current global uncertainty, with several military activities, one would typically expect a strong dollar. But not now. Why? @missiongrey.bsky.social's, the External Intelligence Company, summary attached #ExternalIntelligence #currencies #FX #geopolitics #investments #USD #EUR #scenarios

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 13/06/2025

A quick analysis of the Iran - Israel situation and potential impacts on businesses and investments, by Mission Grey. #ExternalIntelligence #geopolitics #MiddleEast #Israel #Iran #conflicts

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 11/06/2025

Just back from Asia. Some notes: 🇰🇷 Korea-Taiwan risks now linked. 🇮🇳🇵🇰 India-Pakistan tension high, nuclear risk real. 🇺🇸 US guarantees no longer trusted. 🇪🇺 Europe can’t ignore this. 👉 Real-time info is critical. Read more at @missiongrey.bsky.social: www.missiongrey.com/blog/asias-g... #geopolitics

missiongrey.com

Asia’s Geopolitical Risks Are Everyone’s Business Now; Lessons from Asia

By Jouko Ahvenainen, Chairman & Founder, Mission Grey Inc. Over the past two weeks, I traveled across Asia, visiting South Korea, Malaysia, and Singapore, and meeting people from many other...

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 08/06/2025

How much can AI know about you, just from your name on a list? I tested it. One building name list → AI revealed origins, income, education, family types. In minutes. Full story 👉 open.substack.com/pub/jouko/p/... #AI #Privacy #DataEthics #SyntheticData

open.substack.com

How One Photo Can Reveal Who Lives in a Building And How Much They Likely Earn

How the boundaries of privacy, data use and trust in the digital world are being redefined, faster than most people realize.

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 01/05/2025

I'll be in Dubai next week for an event where I’ll be speaking about AI, investments, personal AI twins and geopolitics. I also have a few open slots for meetings, if you’re in town and want to connect! #AI #Dubai #Investments #AITwin #Geopolitics #RiskManagement

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 30/04/2025

Speaking about AI investments and defendable AI business models, AI Twins and AI to analyze geopolitics: Como Lake, Italy, June. #investment #AI #geopolitics #AITwin #conference #Italy @missiongrey.bsky.social @prifina.bsky.social

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 22/04/2025

Consequences of the Death of the Pope on Geopolitics, @missiongrey.bsky.social's AI expert's summary. One more variable to the complex global situation. #Pope #Vatican #geopolitics #AI #globalpolitics #CatholicChurch

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 08/03/2025

I’ll be speaking about AI, business models, and investments at a Japanese-European event at Vilnius University this Thursday: building AI teammates, AI experts, personal AI twins, and control of data for private AI. #AI #genAI #data #AITwin #AIteammate #AIexpert #conference #Vilnius

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 28/02/2025

Analyses by @missiongrey.bsky.social Geopolitical AI Expert after the Trump and Zelenskyy meeting. #geopolitics #Ukraine #Russia #AI #security #military

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Jouko Ahvenainen @jahven.bsky.social · 25/02/2025

Next week, I'll be at MWC in Barcelona! It's always exciting to see the latest innovations, but even more so to connect with people. Let's see there. #MWC25 #Barcelona #MWCBarcelona #AI #data #conference #startups #4YFN

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