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Jack Worth

@jackworth.bsky.social
1.3K followers 546 following 115 posts

Education economist at NFER researching recruitment and retention in the education workforce

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Reposted by Jack Worth
National Foundation for Educational Research @thenfer.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
@jackworth.bsky.social, our Education Workforce Lead, responds to today's teacher pay announcement. Read Jack's comments on the announcement 👇 www.nfer.ac.uk/press-releas...
nfer.ac.uk
NFER statement on STRB pay recommendations
NFER responds to Government's acceptance of 2026 and 2027 teacher pay recommendations
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Reposted by Jack Worth
National Foundation for Educational Research @thenfer.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
📢 The latest teacher workforce statistics show there are 4,654 more teachers above the Government’s 2023/24 baseline target. But what sits beneath the figures? @jackworth.bsky.social explores five key metrics that help build a fuller picture of teacher supply. 👇 www.nfer.ac.uk/blogs/headli...
nfer.ac.uk
Headlines of more teachers masks a more mixed picture on teacher shortages underneath
Education Workforce Lead Jack Worth looks at the latest teacher workforce data and discusses why headline increases in teacher numbers mask a more mixed picture of teacher shortages.
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Reposted by Jack Worth
National Foundation for Educational Research @thenfer.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Last week, the postgraduate trainee teacher recruitment targets for 2026/27 were reduced by 28% for primary and 21% for secondary. Our Education Workforce Lead, @jackworth.bsky.social, discusses what this means for teacher supply. Read the blog 👉 bit.ly/48AeqA1
New blog post - Is the teacher supply challenge finally over?

The image also features a young female teacher sat on a classroom table.
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Reposted by Jack Worth
Tes magazine @tesmagazine.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
The DfE hitting its 6,500 new teacher target is one thing, but it must also ensure to attract teachers in the areas they are most needed, explains @thenfer.bsky.social’s @jackworth.bsky.social
tes.com
How DfE can meet 6,500 teacher target without ‘missing the point’
Hitting the target is one thing, but the government must also ensure that the right teachers are brought into the system, says the NFER’s Jack Worth
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
Thread summarising today's NFER webinar on the education workforce. Thanks to the panel and attendees for joining us!
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Reposted by Jack Worth
National Foundation for Educational Research @thenfer.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
We're hosting a free webinar which will discuss some of the key findings from five reports that focus on the full scope of the education workforce in England, from early years through to further education & incorporating school support staff & the school teacher workforces. 👉 bit.ly/4r2OCmG [1/2]
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Reposted by Jack Worth
National Foundation for Educational Research @thenfer.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
We’re hosting a webinar on all our new Education Workforce findings, featuring a key insights presentation from @jackworth.bsky.social, plus reactions from panellists @leoracruddas.bsky.social, @sarahronan.bsky.social & @hughesdavid.bsky.social. 📅 19 March ⏰ 14:00 - 15:15 Register 👉 bit.ly/4r2OCmG
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
NEW: What helps to improve teacher retention? Today we have published a new study on teacher retention, looking at the association between a wide range of factors relating to teacher's' working lives and their retention decisions www.nfer.ac.uk/publications...
nfer.ac.uk
What helps to improve teacher retention?
This new research explores the factors associated with the leaving decisions of teachers, to understand in greater detail what actions policymakers might take to further improve teacher retention rate...
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Reposted by Jack Worth
National Foundation for Educational Research @thenfer.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
✍️ | In a new blog, @jackworth.bsky.social uses insights from our redeveloped teacher supply forecast and simulation model to look at what the implications of different STRB recommendations might be for teacher recruitment and retention trends. Read more 👉 www.nfer.ac.uk/blogs/what-s...
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 16/12/2025
explore-education-statistics.service.gov.uk/find-statist...
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Reposted by Jack Worth
National Foundation for Educational Research @thenfer.bsky.social · 15/12/2025
With the School Teachers’ Review Body (STRB) currently developing its recommendations for teachers’ pay for the next two years, our Education Workforce Lead, @jackworth.bsky.social, has written a new blog post looking at what he thinks should happen from 2026. Read the post 👉 bit.ly/3KMbSWU
New blog post - What should happen to teachers’ pay from 2026?
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 04/12/2025
Interesting stat from today's release: more than half of physics trainees are now non-UK and non-EEA nationals. A remarkable shift from 6% of trainees in 2021 to 59% in 2025. Encouraged by the bursary eligibility change in 2022/23, but how many have gone on to state-sector employment?
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 04/12/2025
Today's ITT Census data is positive, showing a sizeable increase in trainee numbers vs last year, alongside lower targets due to other supply improvements like retention. But there's still more to do as secondary recruitment is still below target at 88 per cent
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Reposted by Jack Worth
National Foundation for Educational Research @thenfer.bsky.social · 04/12/2025
🗣️ "Improved recruitment to postgraduate teacher training in England is welcome after years of severe under-recruitment." Our Education Workforce Lead, @jackworth.bsky.social, has given his reaction to the latest DfE initial teacher training census data. 👇
"Improved recruitment to postgraduate teacher training in England is welcome after years of severe under-recruitment. While targets for core secondary subjects including English, maths and the sciences have been met, overall secondary recruitment still falls short of the numbers required.

“Further policy efforts to improve teacher recruitment and retention will be needed to maintain the stronger recruitment, reverse the impacts of previous persistent under-recruitment and deliver on the Government's objective to recruit 6,500 new teachers."

Jack Worth - Education Workforce Lead
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
First 2025/26 cycle ITT data out today. Too early to tell much and it's quite contradictory! - Applications up, but offers and acceptances flat or down - Acceptances especially down for secondary and in bursary-cut subjects Will be interesting to see if extra apps translate into offers later on
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Reposted by Jack Worth
Adam Boxer @adamboxereducation.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
NEW EPISODE This week, we're joined by @JackWorthNFER, an economist studying the teacher labour market, to explore the history and future or recruitment and retention. It's MEGA nerdy, and super fascinating. Tune in and share here 👇👇 open.spotify.com/episode/20PH...
open.spotify.com
What's going on with recruitment and retention? With Jack Worth
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 07/10/2025
👋 www.linkedin.com/posts/jack-w...
linkedin.com
Disappointing and confusing to see DfE reducing ITT bursaries today for a range of subjects, including four subjects which we forecast to be below their respective targets this year. Our research… |...
Disappointing and confusing to see DfE reducing ITT bursaries today for a range of subjects, including four subjects which we forecast to be below their respective targets this year. Our research sh...
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Reposted by Jack Worth
National Foundation for Educational Research @thenfer.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
In a brand new feature length blog post, our Education Workforce Lead, @jackworth.bsky.social, discusses new analysis, commissioned by the @instituteofphysics.bsky.social, highlighting how the under-supply of specialist teachers is affecting secondary schools. Read the post 👉 bit.ly/4m8dSWt
New blog post - A widespread lack of specialist physics teachers persists due to recruitment and retention challenges
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Reposted by Jack Worth
National Foundation for Educational Research @thenfer.bsky.social · 09/07/2025
Our Education Workforce Lead, @jackworth.bsky.social, has has given his reaction to the House of Commons Public Committee report on teacher numbers in secondary and further education, published today. Read the full quote 👉 bit.ly/3TuIHIB
“Addressing the teacher supply challenges in secondary and further education requires a strategic and targeted approach to improving the attractiveness of the teaching profession in key subjects and particularly in disadvantaged areas. NFER’s research echoes the importance of building a strategy around the key factors for recruitment and retention raised in this report, including teacher workload, pupil behaviour, a lack of access to flexible working arrangements and teacher pay and incentives.”

Jack Worth, Education Workforce Lead
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 03/07/2025
Sat down with Tom and James earlier this week to discuss 6,500 teachers. Do have a listen! 👇
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Reposted by Jack Worth
National Foundation for Educational Research @thenfer.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
Retention payments for early career teachers may help, but the evidence is mixed. This is the conclusion of our new analysis funded by @nuffieldfoundation.org Read @jackworth.bsky.social's blog on the new findings 👇 bit.ly/4liHKQ5
bit.ly
Do retention payments for early career teachers work?
Jack Worth discusses new analysis of the impact early career retention payments (ECRPs) on teacher retention.
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
Thanks to @nuffieldfoundation.org for funding this work and my colleague Dawson for doing so much of the data-wrangling and number-crunching Full report: www.nfer.ac.uk/publications...
nfer.ac.uk
The impact of early career retention payments on teacher retention
This evaluation, funded by the Nuffield Foundation, explores the impact of five early career retention payment schemes, piloted since 2018, on teacher retention in England.
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
Our analysis implies retention payments have a high marginal cost compared to bursaries This suggests that a 'bursaries first' policy approach is probably always best, which aligns with the findings from the Maths Phased Bursary evaluation www.gov.uk/government/p...
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
In summary, the retention impacts were somewhat mixed and generally not statistically significant. Overall, it suggested an association with lower retention rates, but wasn't conclusive
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
Do extra payments to in-service teachers in shortage subjects improve retention? We thought our analysis might back up the fairly strong 'yes' from UK literature so far, but our findings were not as conclusive. In this blog I assess the findings and what they might mean for policy: bit.ly/4liHKQ5
bit.ly
Do retention payments for early career teachers work?
Jack Worth discusses new analysis of the impact early career retention payments (ECRPs) on teacher retention.
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Reposted by Jack Worth
National Foundation for Educational Research @thenfer.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
Yesterday, our School Workforce Lead and co-author of the research, @jackworth.bsky.social, spoke to LBC News's Vanessa Baffoe about the findings. [2/2] 👇 www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZcO6...
youtube.com
LBC News - 9 June 2025
YouTube video by NFER
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Reposted by Jack Worth
Schools Week @schoolsweek.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
🔬 'Teaching does not reflect diversity in the working-age or school-age populations - but the diversity of training applicants is high' Jack Worth presents new research from @thenfer.bsky.social and @mission44.bsky.social schoolsweek.co.uk/why-we-must-...
schoolsweek.co.uk
Why we must improve teaching’s ethnic diversity – and how
Our new research shows more inclusive recruitment and retention is vital to solving the workforce crisis
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Reposted by Jack Worth
National Foundation for Educational Research @thenfer.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
🗣️ Our School Workforce Lead @jackworth.bsky.social has given his reaction to the announcement of a 4% pay rise for teachers and leaders for the 2025/26 academic year, as well as additional funding for schools and colleges. Read the full quote 👉 bit.ly/4jcuomo
“We welcome the Government’s teacher pay award of 4 per cent as it recognises the crucial value of teachers in our society and will help to improve teacher recruitment and retention.

“While we also welcome the funding the Government has announced to cover the additional 1.2 per cent above its initial proposal to School Teachers' Review Body (STRB), requiring schools to find efficiencies to fund some of this pay rise puts extra strain on school budgets that are already very tight.

Jack Worth, School Workforce Lead
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
Short answer: probably. bsky.app/profile/jack...
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
@hugheshaili.bsky.social
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
indeed very likely so this year, but these targets cover the expected need for the 2026 labour market. Funding during that period uncertain until spending review
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
Worth noting that the long view suggests that the secondary targets have, in general, been unusually high in the last few years. And that interpreting a time series of %s of target doesn't give the full picture on what's really happening
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
With the uptick in recruitment evident in yesterday's application stats, our overall forecast of the ITT outcomes for Sep 2025 is now looking much more positive Maths, science, English, primary: all forecast to be at/above target this year Secondary overall still below target by 15%.
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
The stats release explains that it is due to a number of different factors that have changed since last model, including: - fewer teachers forecast to leave - higher ITT recruitment last year than previous - pupil growth rate decelerating - more returners
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
DfE published some hefty changes to the ITT recruitment targets this morning - down overall and across phases by around 20% - some subjects like physics/ MFL down by more than a third
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Reposted by Jack Worth
Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
There are some real positive signs in the latest ITT recruitment data of improvement vs last year, especially in secondary. I will hold off updating the forecast until tomorrow, when targets are published. But it's interesting to see where the growth is and isn't coming from...🧵
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
So what could be driving it? Possibilities: - shortage subject retention payments bedding in and acting as a recruitment boost (would explain STEM surge) - cooling labour market (esp in tech: www.nfer.ac.uk/press-releas...) - impact of last year's 5.5% pay rise - more marketing (?)
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
It's also mostly from growth in applicants based in England, aside from continued growth in physics recruitment from the rest of the world (where trainees continue to be eligible for a bursary).
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
From what we know about how impactful they are, it's mostly not coming from bursaries this year. The bursaries have not changed much from last year (except for English, where it is the main factor), and nowhere near enough to explain some of the big changes e.g. computing and physics
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
There are some real positive signs in the latest ITT recruitment data of improvement vs last year, especially in secondary. I will hold off updating the forecast until tomorrow, when targets are published. But it's interesting to see where the growth is and isn't coming from...🧵
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Reposted by Jack Worth
Jasmine Norden @jasminenorden.bsky.social · 26/03/2025
The DfE's pay recommendation of 2.8% staying the same after an increase in the OBR's forecast for average annual earnings growth is "unimaginable", the NFER has said www.tes.com/magazine/new...
tes.com
Spring Statement: Teacher pay rise should top 3.7%, says NFER
NFER’s Jack Worth said the DfE’s pay rise recommendation of 2.8% is now “unimaginable” in the light of new forecasts on average earnings growth
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 26/03/2025
Buried in OBR's Economic and Fiscal Outlook Annex A Table A.3 (🤓) is an important number for teachers... OBR now forecasts that average wage growth in FY 25/26 will be 3.7%, up from 3.0% in October. This puts additional upward pressure on DfE's part-funded 2.8% teacher pay proposal for AY 25/26
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Reposted by Jack Worth
Schools Week @schoolsweek.bsky.social · 26/03/2025
According to the OBR, average earnings will rise by 3.7% next year. @jackworth.bsky.social: 'In light of this, it seems unimaginable that the DfE's teacher pay proposal of 2.8 per cent for the next academic year could remain unchanged' schoolsweek.co.uk/union-anger-...
schoolsweek.co.uk
Union anger as spring statement snubs schools
Reeves mentioned crumbling school rooves, but they won't get more capital cash next year
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Reposted by Jack Worth
National Foundation for Educational Research @thenfer.bsky.social · 26/03/2025
Our School Workforce Lead @jackworth.bsky.social has given his reaction to the government's #SpringStatement 👇 You can read the full quote at bit.ly/4kZMmL7
"Following the Government's Spring Statement, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has increased its forecast of average earnings growth for 2025/26 from 3.0 per cent to 3.7 per cent. In light of this, it seems counter to the pledge that the Department for Education's (DfE) teacher pay proposal of 2.8 per cent for the next academic year could remain unchanged."

Jack Worth, School Workforce Lead
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 25/03/2025
The international picture is intriguing. Applications are down a bit, but accepted offers up, so something has shifted the acceptance rate up quite a bit.
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 25/03/2025
Not sure, but my leading contenders are: 1) tightening wider labour market, especially for tech jobs (www.nfer.ac.uk/publications...) 2) lagged effect of 5.5% pay increase 3) increased recruitment marketing spend (but have no data to prove it)
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Reposted by Jack Worth
Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
Latest ITT statistics are somewhat positive, with most secondary subjects - especially shortage ones - recruiting better than last year. Primary down a smidge, English down due to bursary cut But majority still likely to be below target (this is last year's targets: new actuals out next month)
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
Latest ITT statistics are somewhat positive, with most secondary subjects - especially shortage ones - recruiting better than last year. Primary down a smidge, English down due to bursary cut But majority still likely to be below target (this is last year's targets: new actuals out next month)
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Jack Worth @jackworth.bsky.social · 20/03/2025
I've never forgotten the experience as a kid of the Tour route going right past our house. Huge anticipation - then over in a flash - followed by hundreds of cars! youtu.be/CrmiNymRIEA?...
youtu.be
Tour de France 1994 - Dover to Brighton - Stage 4
YouTube video by The Best of Cycling
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Reposted by Jack Worth
National Foundation for Educational Research @thenfer.bsky.social · 14/03/2025
If you missed the launch webinar for the Teacher Labour Market in England Annual Report 2025, you can now watch it back in-full on our website. 👇 www.nfer.ac.uk/events/teach...
nfer.ac.uk
Teacher Labour Market in England Annual Report 2025 Launch Webinar
On March 13, we will be publishing our latest Teacher Labour Market in England Annual Report, and to conincide with the publication, we will be running a launch webinar highlighting the key findings.
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