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And by the time Spider-man comes out, we will know if the Odyssey is likely to surpass Toy Story. If it can't, Devindra's chances sadly drop to zero, and it's down to Peter and Germain. If Spider-man wins, Germain wins. If Toy Story wins, it's Peter. 4/

A table showing a hypothetical outcome of the top 10 movies of the summer which determine the summer movie wager. In this scenario, Spider-Man finishes first, The Odyssey finishes 2nd and the Toy Story finishes third. Disclosure Day finishes 10 and Moana slips in at 9. I feel like this scenario is very unlikely but possible. It's one of the 2 narrow paths for Devindra to win.

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In another week, we may get a better sense of what place Moana will end up. If it never catches up with Scary Movie, that opens up another avenue for Germain and Devindra's chances evaporate. If it can't catch up to Disclosure Day, BJ is out of the running. 3/

A table showing a hypothetical outcome of the top 10 movies of the summer which determine the summer movie wager. In this scenario, Toy Story finishes first, Spider-Man finishes 2nd and the Odyssey finishes third. Disclosure Day finishes 10 and Moana slips in at 9. This is the only scenario that BJ and Peter ties in.

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Based on pre-sales, I think Spider-man will be a smash hit and overtake Toy Story (70% chance). If that happens Germain wins. That leaves a 25% chance that Peter wins or ties with BJ. And Devindra has only a 5% of winning (the Odyssey would have to beat Toy Story for 2nd). 2/

A table showing a different hypothetical outcome of the top 10 movies of the summer which determine the summer movie wager. In this scenario, Toy-Story finishes first, Spider-Man finishes 2nd and the Odyssey finishes third. Peter wins by 1 point over BJ. Germain comes in 4th.

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Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 03/07/2026

My current analysis of the #SummerMovieWager: Germain is the favorite. It comes down to how likely Spider-man will beat out Toy Story. If Spider-man wins, Germain wins. If Toy Story Wins, Peter wins (or ties with BJ). Devindra has a chance if the Odyssey can surpass Toy Story. 1/

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Here is one of the scenarios where @devindra.bsky.social beat Germain in the #SummerMovieWager. To win, Disclosure Day must finish ahead of Scary Movie. Scary Movie has a slight advantage at this point. Check out scenarios using the "hypothetical" view here: summer-movie-wager.netlify.app

A table showing a hypothetical path for Devindra's win in the summer movie wager. The only way he beats Germain is if Disclosure Day eeks past Scary Movie. Even then Germain has several paths to victory.

Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 03/07/2026

"He sent a harsh email to ICE's top official. 5 months later, federal agents tracked him down" www.npr.org/2026/07/01/n...

David Streever takes a selfie while on vacation with his daughter and a character at Moomin World in Finland. Homeland Security Investigations agents showed up at his house and then at a hotel he was staying at to discuss an email he sent to Todd Lyons, the former acting director of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement.

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Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 23/06/2026

Got this on Facebook just now. Am I bad that I'm hoping this to be a major outage?

A broken image tag with "Sorry, something went wrong. We're working on it and we'll get it fixed as soon as we can." Followed by a copyright notice for Facebook 2026

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Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 19/06/2026

I made some changes to the projections of my website about the #SummerMovieWager. I refined the methods that it uses to project future box office for movies that have been released and I added a chart which shows those projections for the current top 10 movies. summer-movie-wager.netlify.app

Line chart titled "Summer Movie Wager 2026 — Cumulative Box Office, Top 10," updated June 19, 2026. The x-axis runs weekly from May 1 to September 4; the y-axis runs from $0 to $300M. Solid lines show actual cumulative gross; dotted lines show projections past a June 19 cutoff out to September 7. Ten films are tracked. The Devil Wears Prada 2 opened first (early May) and leads on actuals, plateauing near $220M. Obsession opened mid-May, climbs steeply to about $200M by June 19, and is projected highest of all, reaching roughly $260M. Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu (~$168M) and Backrooms (~$160M) sit close together in a third tier, both projected to flatten near $180M. A middle cluster includes Scary Movie (~$85M, projected ~$105M) and Mortal Kombat II (~$80M, nearly flat). A lower group holds The Sheep Detectives (~$60M) and Masters of the Universe (~$50M). Disclosure Day opened latest (mid-June) with low actuals but the steepest projection, climbing from ~$60M to ~$120M. The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act is the lowest, finishing near $40M.

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Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 10/06/2026

I rolled my own site for The Summer Movie Wager. NOT meant to compete with the official site, but I wanted to add a couple features, like sorting movies by their projected gross. @davechen.bsky.social @devindra.bsky.social @jeffcannata.bsky.social summer-movie-wager.netlify.app

Screenshot of a "Summer Movie Wager 2026" leaderboard on a dark interface. A toggle labeled "RANK BY" offers "Current Gross" and "Projected (through Sep 7)," with the latter selected; a note reads "Scores reflect projected final rankings." A table lists ten movies with columns for rank (#), Movie, Box Office, Days Released, Projected (through Sep 7), and a column for the participant "Devindra." The rows are:

Obsession — $156,133,260 — 25 days — $222M–$318M — Devindra pick rank 1
The Devil Wears Prada 2 — $215,312,353 — 39 days — $219M–$224M — 3
Backrooms — $138,661,974 — 11 days — $171M–$249M — (none)
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu — $156,855,061 — 18 days — $159M–$168M — 7
Scary Movie — $58,464,337 — 4 days — $122M–$214M — 1
Masters of the Universe — $31,538,352 — 4 days — $66M–$115M — (none)
Mortal Kombat II — $79,168,053 — 32 days — $80M–$80M — 5
The Sheep Detectives — $59,790,243 — 32 days — $68M–$80M — (none)
The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act — $20,243,821 — 4 days — $42M–$74M — (none)
The Breadwinner — $14,310,601 — 11 days — $18M–$25M — (none)

A "TOTAL" row at the bottom shows 17 in the Devindra column.

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Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 01/05/2026

I'm performing this Sunday night, May 3rd with my improv brother, Paul Grondy. Come see us at the Home Comedy Theater in Chicago at 7pm. It's free! We are going to tape the show and have a jam after. Come watch us play and join us after on stage.

Paul Grondy and Kevin Mullaney are improv Brothers

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Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 14/04/2026

Check out these #improvFestivals that are currently accepting submissions. #improv improvfestivals.org

July 2026
Jet City Improv FestivalAccepting Submissions
Jul 16-18, 2026
Seattle, Washington, USA
Baltimore Improv FestivalAccepting Submissions
Jul 27 - Aug 2, 2026
Baltimore, MD, USA
Yo Adrienne Improv FestivalAccepting Submissions
Jul 31 - Aug 2, 2026
Philadelphia, PA, USA
August 2026
Dramatic Improv FestivalAccepting Submissions
Aug 20-23, 2026
Chicago, IL, USA
ImprovConAccepting Submissions
Aug 20-23, 2026
San Diego, CA, USA
September 2026
Omaha Comedy FestAccepting Submissions
Sep 24-27, 2026

Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 11/04/2026

@nolleyforcongress.bsky.social is taking the fight to my home town tonight. I hope he will be my representative come this January. #democrats #vote #congress

Democratic nominee for the 16th District for Illinois speaking in Morton tonight

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Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 02/04/2026

When you are talking shit about someone and they are right behind you.

A middle aged man realizes the Darth Vader is right behind him.

Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 14/02/2026

When you accidentally use "post" instead of search.

A bsky post by Rob Delaney with just two words: "sex gifs"

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Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 10/12/2025

Molly thinks dogs should get chicken nuggets for breakfast.

Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 24/11/2025

Facebook is so broken. I have a chrome extension that filters out ads and promoted posts. It's an ongoing arms race. Facebook makes changes to thwart the extension. The extension makes changes to catch up. Today it caught up because of the 20 first posts in my feed, none were by friends:

A facebook where all of the first 20 posts have been blocked by an extension, because none of those posts are from friends.

Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 19/11/2025

NVDIA hit its earnings expectation, the AI bubble survives another day.

Stock price chart showing Nvidia’s price per share going straight up right after it was announced that they made $1.30 per share when they were expected to make $1.25 per share

Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 04/11/2025

Donald's poll numbers are collapsing. RCP approval average: -9.9% Silver Bulletin average: -12.7%

A chart showing Trump's net approval rating hitting -12.7% in early November, 2025

A chart showing Trump's net approval rating hitting -9.9% in early November, 2025

From October 13 to November 2, the RealClearPolitics average showed 43.7% approval and 53.6% disapproval, a spread of –9.9 points. CNN’s poll from October 27 to 30, based on 954 registered voters, reported 39% approval and 61% disapproval, a –22 spread. NewsNation’s survey from October 27 to 29 of 1,159 likely voters found 43% approval and 56% disapproval, a –13 spread. CBS News, polling 2,124 adults from October 29 to 31, recorded 41% approval and 59% disapproval, a –18 spread. The I&I/TIPP poll, conducted October 28 to 31 with 1,418 adults, showed 40% approval and 51% disapproval, a –11 spread. Big Data Poll, surveying 2,984 registered voters from October 26 to 28, showed 45% approval and 51% disapproval, a –6 spread. The ABC/Washington Post/Ipsos poll from October 24 to 28 with 2,203 registered voters showed 43% approval and 57% disapproval, a –14 spread. Finally, NBC News, polling 1,000 registered voters from October 24 to 28, found 43% approval and 55% disapproval, a –12 spread.

Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 18/10/2025

One nation, #indivisible, with liberty and justice for all. #nokings

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Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 24/09/2025

You won't believe it... it's a fricking miracle. You know what happened to me? Check this out. I got a text message. From a sitting Democrat who holds a statewide office here in Illinois. And get this... his message DID NOT include a request for money!!!!!! How is this possible?

Hi Kevin,

This is Illinois Secretary of State Alexi Giannoulias. Tomorrow, Wednesday September 24th, our office is conducting a Virtual Town Hall meeting about the high cost of insurance premiums. Our office is gathering local input from the Peoria area to help inform legislation to address this important issue and put money back in your pocket.

The “Driving Change” statewide campaign is aimed at preventing insurance companies from using data such as credit scores, zip codes and age – to charge you higher auto insurance rates.

As part of our campaign, we’re asking you to share your stories about unfair and discriminatory ratemaking practices employed by auto insurance companies by joining this important meeting.

Click here to RSVP to the Town Hall

We hope to see you in attendance tomorrow!

Type STOP to opt out

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Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 16/09/2025

Robert Redford was one of the greats. I love revisiting his movies. Some of my favorites are Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid, The Sting, and All the President's Men. What was your favorite Redford movie?

Robert Redford as Johnny Hooker in The Sting

Robert Redford and Dustin Hoffman (as Bob Woodward and Carl Bernstein) in All the President's Men

Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 11/09/2025

I'm finally watching Guardians of the Galaxy pt 3, and I'm at a part of the movie where Rocket is running along Groot's arm, and I'm realizing... OMG, Rocket, who is a Raccoon, is best friends with Groot, who is A TREE! It took me over a decade to realize this.

Rocket and Groot: A raccoon-like creature in a blue and red armored suit wields a large futuristic gun while riding on the shoulder of a massive humanoid figure made of tree bark, with thick wooden arms and a stern expression, inside a metallic, futuristic spaceship corridor.

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Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 23/07/2025

I think this is likely their only girlfriend. Lucky for them they can share.

Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 17/07/2025

I have a pet peeve about trailers, I wonder if you know what I'm talking about. Many trailers are uploaded with letterboxing already baked into the image. When viewed on an ultra-wide screen it has bars on all four sides. @davechen.bsky.social @jeffcannata.bsky.social @devindra.bsky.social

Green MPA movie trailer screen with white text stating: "The following preview has been approved for appropriate audiences by the Motion Picture Association, Inc." A box indicates the film is rated R for "strong bloody violence and gore, and language." Text below reads: "Under 17 requires accompanying parent or adult guardian."

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Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 22/06/2025

Get ready for lots of posts like this on Facebook.

Oh no, the president bombed a country without Congress? Relax—Obama did it in Libya, Trump hit Syria, Reagan lit up Libya, Clinton yeeted missiles at Sudan, and Bush barely waited after 9/11. It’s basically a presidential rite of passage. 🇺🇸💥

Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 05/06/2025

You are not alone in your love for the “Now You…” franchise, @davechen.bsky.social

A graphic showing Now You See Me as the number 1 movie on Netflix.

Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 28/04/2025

Trump's approval rating is sinking fast.

A chart from Real Clear Politics of President Trump's Job Approval based on their average of polls. It shows a steady downward trend in President Trump's approval rating along with a steady upward trend in his disapproval rating. The slope of his disapproval rating is increasing sharply over the last couple of weeks. The overall difference in the average now stands at -7.1

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Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 07/04/2025

Remember to say "Thank you!" for all this winning!

A chart of the S&P 500 stock price YTD as of April 7, 9:45am. The market is down 14.46% year to date, with a very sharp drop of about 10% in the last few days since, Trump's tariff annoucement.

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Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 14/03/2025

And there you have it, the Democrats folded in the Senate. At least 7 voted for cloture. We need a new Senate leader. Everyone who voted for this should be Primaried.

Screen shot of Senate floor. Cloture vote for the GOP funding bill. The vote isn't over yet, but at least 7 democrats voted for it. The current vote is 60 for cloture and 33 against.

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Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 28/02/2025

“People will die,” said Dr. Catherine Kyobutungi, executive director of the African Population and Health Research Center, “but we will never know, because even the programs to count the dead are cut.” archive.ph/PddbR

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Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 25/02/2025

No matter who you voted for, no matter which party represents you in congress. If you are against proposed legislation or actions that people in government are taking, you should call them and let them know. Pepper is pleading with you to call. She would if she could.

Pepper the hound dog, lies on your belly in the morning, with sad pleading puppy dog eyes.

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Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 22/02/2025

www.politico.com/news/2023/09...

“We don’t take an oath to a king, or a queen, or to a tyrant or dictator, and we don’t take an oath to a wannabe dictator. We don’t take an oath to an individual. We take an oath to the Constitution, and we take an oath to the idea that is America, and we’re willing to die to protect it.”
- General Mark Milley

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Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 12/02/2025

I'm having trouble understanding how, Trump's approval rating has not declined in the last 3 weeks. The majority of America approve of him, or at least what they know he is doing. I fear we have no chance of congress stepping up while his approval is this high. www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-a...

Screenshot of first two paragraphs of article which says:

With most describing him as "tough," "energetic," "focused" and "effective" — and as doing what he'd promised during his campaign — President Trump has started his term with net positive marks from Americans overall.

Many say he's doing more than they expected — and of those who say this, most like what they see. Very few think he's doing less.

Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 17/01/2025

Autocorrect already knows…

A screen capture of my previous post. In it, it shows auto complete already knowing that one of the most likely words to follow “democracy is already” is the word “dead”

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Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 19/12/2024

I feel like buying Costco wine bottles by the dozen, should unlock a special achievement badge.

A shopping cart containing a case of wine bottles, each separated by cardboard dividers, with golden screw caps visible. To the side, a package of pre-sliced roasted turkey breast is partially visible in the cart. The image appears to be taken inside a warehouse or bulk store.

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Mullaney @ircmullaney.bsky.social · 16/12/2024

"Devising is very demanding and it's not for everyone because you are expected to have not just an eye on the character that you're playing, but really I demand the whole room take collective responsibility for how we interpret the book." #BingeTheFringe

A close-up of a person speaking intently during a rehearsal. The text on screen reads, "Devising is very demanding and it's not for everyone because you are expected..." The caption below says, "Jane Eyre, Rehearsal footage, 2015."

A woman identified as Sally Cookson, the director, is being interviewed in front of a colorful poster. The text on screen reads, "to have not just an eye on the character that you're playing."

A man with a beard, wearing a red shirt, sits cross-legged on the floor of a rehearsal space. The text on screen reads, "but really I demand the whole room take collective responsibility." The caption says, "Jane Eyre, Rehearsal footage, 2015."

A person is lounging on a large brown chair in a rehearsal room holding papers. Behind them are sketches pinned on the wall and a table with props and items. The text reads, "for how we interpret the book." The caption says, "Jane Eyre, Rehearsal footage, 2015."